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East Lancashire designer teams up with former Blur frontman (From Lancashire Telegraph)
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East Lancashire designer teams up with former Blur frontman
4:00pm Monday 27th January 2014 in News
AN ARTIST and designer from East Lancashire has been become the creative director of Blur and Gorillaz frontman Damon Albarn's first solo album.
Aitor Throup, who grew up in Brierfield and attended Blackburn College, has spent more than a year on the project, which involved designing the album sleeve and creating videos to go along with the songs.
The move into popular music is a slight departure for Aitor, 33, who has previously designed high street fashion clothes inspired by the 'football casual' style he saw on the streets as a youngster.
The former Gawthorpe High School student studied sciences in Blackburn before becoming a fashion student in Manchester.
Aitor lived in Massey Lane, Brierfield, with his mother before moving to Manchester and then London His graduate collection — When Football Hooligans Become Hindu Gods — won the International Talent Support Award in 2006 for graduate collection of the year.
Aitor said: "It started about a year ago I guess when I sat down in the studio with Damon. I saw the work evolve naturally. All I seemed to do for months was absorb the process that he was going through.
"I spent quite a lot of time talking to Damon about what his intentions were for individual songs and also for the piece as a whole.
"I started to build symbols and metaphors which could get to the core of what he was trying to get across.
"At the same time there was a very personal focus on him as an individual as it's his first solo album." For their debut video project Everyday Robots, Aitor created a 'digital portrait' of the performer using CGI software and facial reconstruction techniques to form cranial scans showing the digitised anatomy of Albarn's head.
The Blur frontman will release the album, also called Everyday Robots on April 28.
According to Albarn's Facebook page, the album will feature guest appearances from Brian Eno and Natasha Khan of Bat For Lashes.
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When Robert Kraft purchased the Patriots in January 1994, his mind was approximately 2,700 miles away. That's where the vision for what kind of franchise he wanted to own resided as reality.
Kraft wanted to model — or remodel — the Patriots after the San Francisco 49ers, then the league's supermodel franchise. Soon after Kraft bought the Patriots, then the Route 1 runts of the Boston sports scene, he took a trip to the 49ers' practice facility to glean from their greatness. Kraft's first season as an NFL owner would coincide with the last of San Francisco's five Super Bowl titles in 14 seasons.

subset: commoncrawl


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is wealth so keep yourself healthy by improving the immune
system. We can keep our immune system (body's defence system) up to
date by so
many means such as - by taking good nutrients; good and mild physical
(yoga); keeping activity of life in good routine; avoiding mental and
stress etc. But
someone's immunity is influenced by some disease process then
treatment can treat the patient in a better way even end
stage kidney disease, kidney problems; chronic kidney or renal
failure, up
to 80% damaged kidneys, even blood urea and
serum creatinine starts controlling just within days. When allopathy
fails in
treating the cases of terminal stage then Homeopathy helps a
lot. Such as
you can never give up supplementary food, similarly allopathic
treatment for
diabetes or hypertension would never make you free from the disease as
well as
its medicines; in the similar way Yoga is not a treatment but it is a
life style that you have to be
adopted for life long. While Homeopathy
has no such limitations.
* There is always a possibility of limitation of results as in every other therapeutic system.
Kidney failure, it is not done in herbal treatment for 4 yrs.
His brother is continuously improving in spite of high Creatinine level
High Creatinine with retinal detachment
Kidney infection in diabetic nephropathy treated well
Kidney size of CKD patient may also improve
Click to know how does it happens
Creatinine up to 16 and raised Urea can be managed well in Homeopathy: This young boy came to homeopathic treatment after had taken Ayurvedic treatment for one and half year. He was bed ridden so he had to take homeopathic treatment without visiting to our centre. This video was made when he visited to us after getting much improvement just within 2 months.
Cystic kidney disease also improved by Dr KK Goyal's homeopathic treatment When yoga for 30 years failed to control the disease process, classical homeopathy rescued the kidney patient's trouble.
Kidney size of CKD patient may also improve in homeopathic treatment
is her first visit in our clinic after taking treatment for 10
months remotely.
Now, her brother and mother are telling that how much they had benefited by this treatment.


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News - China - SCANDAL
Top zoology academic embroiled in sex tape scandal suspended
Posted Jan 16th 2014, 01:16pm by Andrea Chen
... Andrea Chen email@example.com The vice president of an academic institute in Yunnan Province has been suspended after screenshots of video footage showing him having sex with his young colleague went viral online. The sex scandal erupted last Tuesday when an anonymous blogger posted nude pictures of Wang Wen, vice president of Kunming Institute of Zoology, on an online forum, ...http://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/1406815/top-zoology-academic-embroiled-sex-tape-scandal-suspended
Hong Kong Zoological and Botanical Gardens
Posted Mar 13th 2004, 12:00am by Tara Jenkins
... Tara Jenkins Hong Kong Zoological and Botanical Gardens There are great zoological and botanical gardens (I'm thinking of Sydney's Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew Gardens in London ... we arrived. Verdict: A great venue for monkeying around. The Hong Kong Zoological and Botanical Gardens is located on Upper Albert Road, opposite Government House; enter on Garden Road. Free. ...http://www.scmp.com/article/447988/hong-kong-zoological-and-botanical-gardens
Rare turtles stolen from zoological gardens
Posted Jul 06th 2004, 12:00am by Clifford Lo
... Clifford Lo Police fear they were taken to be ground up for medicine Police fear four highly endangered turtles stolen from the Zoological and Botanical Gardens will be sold on the black market and their shells used to make a medicinal jelly. Security has been stepped up at the gardens in Central after the theft of the turtles, which belong to a species used to make the medicinal ...http://www.scmp.com/article/462072/rare-turtles-stolen-zoological-gardens
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Close cramped, dated city zoo to protect well-being of animals
Posted Aug 31st 2014, 05:23am by LETTERS
... of their physical and mental well-being. The facilities in the zoological gardens are outdated and inadequate. Little seems to have changed since the gardens opened in 1871. An added problem ...http://www.scmp.com/comment/letters/article/1581972/close-cramped-dated-city-zoo-protect-well-being-animals
Not all owners go for cute and cuddly, some get the beetle bug
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... Jade Lee-Duffy When it comes to pets, not everyone goes for cute and cuddly. Some owners want a pet that is interesting and rewarding, but doesn't require too much work. Two years ago Peter Sze turned his love of beetles into a hobby of breeding and ...http://www.scmp.com/article/712410/not-all-owners-go-cute-and-cuddly-some-get-beetle-bug
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... Wong Yat-hei Top Hong Kong showjumper Patrick Lam has high hopes for the upcoming Asian Games in Guangzhou. He won a gold and a bronze medal at last year's China National Games in Shandong. The 26-year-old will spend most of his time training in Euro ...http://www.scmp.com/article/704215/lam-eyes-asian-games-glory
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... Horses live in luxury and eat imported meals, but it's a different story for the rest of us, writes ALVIN SALLAY The horses get the best treatment at Sha Tin. Not only do they live in air-conditioned luxury, they also eat the best meals, tailor-made ...http://www.scmp.com/article/649567/food-might-not-taste-so-good-least-beer-cheap
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Pangolins are being 'eaten to extinction': conservationists
Posted Jul 30th 2014, 12:02am by AFP
... the other co-chair of the specialist group based at the Zoological Society of London. Conservationists want to save the pangolin from the dinner table and the annals of extinction as they are highly ...http://www.scmp.com/news/world/article/1562245/pangolins-are-being-eaten-extinction-conservationists
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Small cages and nothing to do: Hong Kong Zoo animals 'trapped in the 19th century'
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... Sarah Karacs firstname.lastname@example.com Zoo's animals are 'trapped in 19th century' At more than 140 years old, Hong Kong zoo is home to almost 400 animals, including three-year-old twin orang-utans and one very bored-looking sloth. Little seems to have changed since the Hong Kong Zoological and Botanical Gardens' inception in 1871, according to the Society ...http://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/article/1575582/zoos-animals-are-trapped-19th-century
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England call up not in Crystal Palace striker's thinking (From Streatham Guardian)
Contact us: Got a photo? Text SLPICS to 80360, click to upload your story or call 020 8722 6392
England call up not in Crystal Palace striker's thinking
Updated 3:23pm Wednesday 20th February 2013 in Sport By Paul Green, sports editor
CRYSTAL Palace goal machine Glenn Murray's reputation continues to grow, but he isn't expecting to follow team-mate Wilfried Zaha into the England team just yet.
Murray struck the opener in last night's 2-1 home victory over Bristol City, his 28th goal in a prolific season with the Eagles.
The Palace striker is now the second highest scorer in Europe behind only Lionel Messi and even though Jay Bothroyd got his first cap while with Championship Cardiff in 2010, Murray doesn't anticipate repeating the feat anytime soon.
When asked if a potential phone call from Roy Hodgson was out of the question, the Selhurst forward said: "I think so, yeah.
"I'm sure there will be a few English Premier League strikers there fuming if I go ahead of them now. I would never expect to either.
"I think when Jay Bothroyd got called up there was maybe a shortage of English strikers in the Premier League doing well.
"Grant Halt and Rickie Lambert would be fuming if I went ahead of them.
"I think it is probably out of the question."
Murray has proved a real handful for Championship defences this season but the man himself denied he expects to score every time he gets the ball.
"I wouldn't go that far," the Palace forward said.
"Obviously you've just got to keep alive in the box.
"I'm always going to get quality from Wilfried, Yannick, Dobbie and little Jonny behind me – I'm always going to get quality off them so I've just got to keep alive in the box and believe that I'm going to score.
"I'm enjoying my football here, it is a great place to be and I want to stay."
Next up for the Eagles on Saturday is a trip to Sheffield Wednesday, a side who remain close to the relegation zone despite a recent improvement in results.
Murray added: "Every game is tough in the Championship, everyone is fighting for something whether it be down at the bottom or up at the top.
"It is a hard place to go, Hillsborough, and we will have to be at our best to get some points there."
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Cats Protection
Cats Protection is the UK's leading feline charity. Our vision is of a world where all cats are treated with kindness and an understanding of its needs
Visit our pages at www.facebook.com/catsprotection or www.twitter.com/catsprotection
For details of Cats Protection's centres and work in Oxfordshire please use the link below to the Cats Protection site centre location pages.
Cats Protection in Oxfordshire
Cats Protection
Website: http://www.cats.org.uk/find-us/


text:
I cannot possibly imagine.
Several people on topix, though, in the wake of various postings Ive made on religious subjects, have asked me for an explanation of just how I arrived at my present agnosticism, or atheism, or whatever it is. So rather than answering these various people individually Ive elected to start this forum and direct the interested parties here.
What follows is nothing more or less than a summary of my personal experiences as a Christian, related about as honestly as I know how to do it. Im not hoping for contributions, followers, or enlightenment, and I dont claim it to be momentous or universal or significant to anyone but me. But it is genuine.
Dearth of Couth


text:
Email: firstname.lastname@example.com | Twitter: @WWLTV
NEW ORLEANS - Do you have a wallet that's bursting at the seams?
You may think an over-stuffed wallet makes you look successful, but what it really does is make you look like a victim.
With just your name and social security number, identity thieves can open new credit accounts and make costly purchases in your name.
"Stretching Your Dollar's" Randy Waesche told us eight things you should take out of your wallet immediately.


text:
another thing i thought of was do you really need the zoom?
Yes. What zoom does in a constant aperture lens like the 17-55 is allow you to set your camera exposure and flash output manually for the room, then use the zoom to frame while trying to maintain the same distance to the subjects you want to capture. You can also fine tune that by how you hold the flash, and in my case, the bounce attachment I use. I'm usually bending it and shaping it with my teeth if I need to widen or intensify light.
If that doesn't work I move closer or farther or if it's a drastic change, I change the exposure slightly - first by changing the shutter because it's fastest and at my finger tips, and then if necessary, bump the flash a bit up or down. I try not to mess with the ISO and aperture much and need to keep the shutter reasonably show to get the looks I want. When I'm working, this all happens very fast and I can sneak in and out and get candid shots very easily. Even if I need a second shot to adjust, I can usually bounce out before people really start to pose. I don't have any others uploaded but I'll look to see a better example. IS is indeed a MUST. At least for me. I'll see how the ISO plays, but having better ISO and lower noise is something I'll want to take advantage of if possible. It would suck to just crank it up and get what I had before, but I'll take that if it's all I can get.


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Krewe of Wrecks Mardi Gras Parade
|Mardi Gras parade with an island atmosphere! The Krewe of Wrecks Parade will have the best floats throwing beads, candy and doubloons. No one leaves the island beadless! After parade parties are everywhere and the biggest is on the boardwalk, at the shell, where the paraders wait for the results of the judges and trophies to be awarded. Of course the music is playing and partiers are dancing!


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The second example reads just about ok; the first one seems awkward to me - looks like something from a forum!
However, your interpretation is correct, and no, it isn't particularly common usage. "fool you from" is not good English -
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Jason Dufner and Ryan Palmer will be leading the golfers looking for a win at the 2012 Zurich Classic of New Orleans on Sunday. But Dufner gets to start atop the leaderboard at the TPC of Louisiana while Palmer comes into Sunday play off Saturday's hottest round.
Dufner sits at 17-under after 54 holes of play, having fired three rounds of 5-under 67 or better, including his third-round 67 on Saturday. Graham DeLaet is two strokes back, at 15-under, and John Rollins and Ernie Els are tied for fourth at 14-under.
Palmer is four strokes back of Dufner at 13-under after a Saturday 64, the best round of the day. It's also tied for the best round of the tournament to date with 64s from Greg Chalmers and Russell Knox on Friday.
The final round of the 2012 Zurich Classic will be broadcast on the Golf Channel from 1 p.m. to 2:30 p.m. ET. The live coverage will continue on CBS from 3 p.m. to 6 p.m. ET and then pick up again in rebroadcasts and highlights on the Golf Channel from 8:30 p.m. to 11 p.m. ET.
Complete tee times and pairings below. All times are local CDT.
12:45 p.m.: Jason Dufner, Graham DeLaet
12:35 p.m.: John Rollins, Ernie Els
12:25 p.m.: Ryan Palmer, Steve Stricker
12:15 p.m.: Cameron Tringale, Luke Donald
12:05 p.m.: Ken Duke, Ben Curtis
11:55 a.m.: Rickie Fowler, Alex Cejka
11:45 a.m.: J.B. Holmes, Daniel Summerhays
11:35 a.m.: Greg Chalmers, Webb Simpson
11:25 a.m.: George McNeill, Justin Rose
11:15 a.m.: Scott Piercy, Kyle Reifers
11:05 a.m.: Bubba Watson, Russell Knox
10:55 a.m.: Stuart Appleby, James Driscoll
10:45 a.m.: Tim Herron, Daniel Chopra
10:35 a.m.: William McGirt, Jason Kokrak
10:25 a.m.: Jimmy Walker, Jonas Blixt
10:16 a.m.: David Hearn, Charles Howell III
10:07 a.m.: Chris Stroud, Erik Compton
9:58 a.m.: Rocco Mediate, Kris Blanks
9:49 a.m.: Camilo Villegas, David Toms
9:40 a.m.: Seung-Yul Noh, David Mathis
9:31 a.m.: Greg Owen, Brian Davis
9:22 a.m.: Bobby Gates, Matt Jones
9:13 a.m.: Fred Funk, David Duval
9:04 a.m.: Mark Anders, Chris DiMarco
8:55 a.m.: Patrick Reed, Hank Kuehne
8:46 a.m.: J.J. Henry, Will Claxton
8:37 a.m.: John Senden, Brendon de Jonge
8:28 a.m.: John Merrick, Graeme McDowell
8:19 a.m.: Miguel Angel Carballo, Colt Knost
8:10 a.m.: Jeff Overton, K.J. Choi
8:01 a.m.: Tommy Biershenk, Peter Hanson
7:52 a.m.: Vaughn Taylor, Geoff Ogilvy
7:43 a.m.: Lucas Glover, Danny Lee
7:34 a.m.: Briny Baird, Brian Gay
7:25 a.m.: Troy Kelly, Kevin Streelman
7:20 a.m.: Garth Mulroy
For a complete live leaderboard of the Zurich Classic, visit Golf.com.
For more from Louisiana, stay tuned to SB Nation's Golf hub and check out the blog Waggle Room.


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The Blacksburg Police Department warns the community about a telephone scam targeting banking information.
Police say the callers identify themselves as Mega Millions Sweepstakes representatives and tell people they are have won millions of dollars.
The caller will ask for a certain amount of money to be paid in advance for insurance holding.
After that, police say, they ask for bank account information so the money can be deposited when they receive the insurance holding money.
If you get one of these calls, police advise against responding.
If you are able to get the caller's name or the number they call from, contact your local police department.


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Cyber Gear Publishes White Paper on 'Google Rankings Algorithm'
Cyber Gear, the leading web design agency in the Middle East has published a white paper on 'Google Rankings Algorithm'. The document provides a detailed insight for web site owners and digital marketing professionals on how to drive traffic to their web site through improved organic rankings.
Abu Dhabi Real Estate Pricing Update
While studio prices in the emirate stand at AED 689,000, a one bedroom in the city costs AED 1.3 million and a two bedroom apartment, AED 2 million. "We've released this data based on for-sale homes and rentals listed on our site. Topping the list of places for buying property in Abu Dhabi is Al Reem Island, followed by Al Reef and Al Raha Beach. Al Ghadeer enters the top 10 this quarter; its appeal seems to be rising as it did not make the list in Q2 2013 and 2012," said Michael Lahyani, CEO and Founder of propertyfinder.ae, the UAE's leading property site.
Abu Dhabi real estate market experiences growth
JLL, the world's leading real estate investment and advisory firm, has released its second quarter (Q2 2014) Abu Dhabi Real Estate Overview report, whichprovides the consultancy's perspective on the latest trends in the office, residential, retail and hotel sectors in the Abu Dhabi market.
SMC Activates Sharjah's First Government Communication Network
As part of the plan to improve work mechanisms and upgrade government communication in the emirate, Sharjah Media Centre (SMC) has adopted a strategic plan to activate the Government Communication Network (GCN), a first-of-its-kind network involving all government entities in Sharjah.
Sharjah's Beach Hotels Attract 180,000 Tourists In First Half Of The Year
Hotels and beach resorts across Sharjah have been witnessing a heavy turnout of international tourists and visitors, from amateur water sports and leisure enthusiasts to families seeking rest and relaxation on the shores.
Air Arabia Launches Flights To Chittagong, Bangladesh From Ras Al Khaimah
Air Arabia, the Middle East and North Africa's first and largest low-cost carrier (LCC), has announced that from September 2, 2014 it will run three flights per week from its new hub in Ras Al Khaimah to Chittagong, Bangladesh, further strengthening its connectivity with a core growth market.
New book features unique collection of Islamic textiles from Sharjah
One of the world's most important collections of Islamic textiles from the Sharjah Museum of Islamic Civilisation is being celebrated in a new publication created by Sharjah Museums Department (SMD).
Sharjah Commerce and Tourism Development Authority
Established in 1996 by the Government of Sharjah, the SCTDA has been in the forefront of promoting and taking Sharjah to the world with its relentless efforts and unmatched enthusiasm. The Authority constantly explores possibilities and avenues of promoting and developing tourism and commercial sectors in the emirate through special events, activities and festivals at home and around the world. It pursues its goals by planning and drawing up strategic plans to promote and develop tourism sector in all its forms. It conducts social and economic research and studies as well to evolve its strategies and pursue its goals. And as part of its strategy to promote Sharjah, SCTDA participates in local, regional and international exhibitions, focusing on the factors of distinction and exclusivity.
The Economist praises Sharjah's efforts in water conservation
The Economist, a weekly international news and business publication, has confirmed that Sharjah s per capita consumption of water is consistent with the recommendations of the United Nations, pointing to the emirate's numerous efforts in water conservation. A report by Sharjah Media Centre mentioned that the magazine in its recent issue titled "The World in 2014", commended on the fact that daily water consumption in Sharjah is estimated at around 200 liters per person, which is the average recommended by the UN.


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Where i could find beautiful templates?
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When you say "template" that suggests you are using a CMS of some type, or are you talking about a non-CMS type of website?
For example, WordPress, Joomla, etc have many themes/templates available and there are many threads discussing them here in the forums.
As for they being what you consider "beautiful" that depends on your tastes and suggestions from other members may or may not be the same.
In other words, the best thing to do is for you to look at as many as you can find and make your own decision as to what you like.


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Harvesters ease to Whetstone win (From St Albans & Harpenden Review)
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Robinson hat-trick fires Harvesters to Whetstone win
12:10pm Wednesday 13th February 2013 in Sport
A William Robinson hat-trick sent Harvesters Under-9s North to a 5-0 away win at Whetstone Lions in the cup on Sunday.
The team coped well in soggy conditions and goals from Joe Ashton and Ryan O' Sullivan helped Harvesters record the emphatic scoreline.
Amalie Newman-Booth and Eve Shaw scored braces in Harvesters Under-11s Girls' 6-2 victory over Bury Rangers.
Neat, passing football was played by Harvesters as Emily Giovanni and Rachel Dodd also scored in a game that doubled up on the 3-1 advantage secured in a confident first-half display.
Ade Oyefusi's man-of-the-match display for Harvesters Under-11s South was not enough to prevent his team going down 4-1 to Bushey & Oxhey Bears in the league. Harry Ruane grabbed the only goal for the losing side.
Harvesters Under-12s Girls' team succumbed to a 2-0 defeat against a strong Enfield Town side in the League Cup quarter-final with Sabrina Spring producing an impressive individual performance.
A hat-trick of hat-tricks were scored by Harvesters Under-12s North as they routed Edmonton Rangers Jaguars 12-0 in the Second Round of the League Cup.
Finbar King, Amir Berchill and Louie Roberts were left to fight for the match ball and two goals from William Brothwood, plus George O'Connor's effort, contributed to an impressive result.
Maya Yapp excelled for Harvesters Under-13s Girls in a 6-1 win over Berkhamsted.
Player-of-the-match Yapp and Julia Draper grabbed a brace apiece with Bolu Fisher and Rebecca McShane also converting in a game Harvesters were always in control of, gelling particularly well in the final quarter of the game.
A four-goal second half display put pay to St Albans City's challenge on Saturday as Harvesters Under-14s Girls romped to a 5-0 win.
Star player Molly Rogan, scored twice and Olivia Syson, Megan Samuel and Robyn Reardon were also on target on a pleasing day for the team.
Liam Kirby put in a man-of-the-match performance for Harvesters Under-16s South as they were thrashed 6-0 by Everett Rovers thanks, in part, to a particularly strong second half performance from Rovers.
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Tasteful Sensations Team by Tasteful Sensations - over 1 year ago
"We are a team of Tastefully Simple consultants at a conference in Boston MA. Our team name is Tasteful Sensations and we were "ROCKIN" in our team t-shirts! We love to cheer for each other, be silly and have FUN! These matching shirts from CustomInk helped us make our event just perfect!!! THANK YOU!!!!! "


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Men's Basketball Outlasts Campbell, 72-68
FORT MYERS, Fla. - Reed Baker's 26 points and Derrick O'Neil's strong effort (16 points, 9 rebounds, 7 assists, 5 steals) led the Eagles to their first Atlantic Sun victory of the year, defeating Campbell University 72-68 at Alico Arena on Saturday afternoon.
FGCU got off on the right foot, opening the game on a 10-4 run as five different Eagles each hit a field goal in the first 4:11 of the contest. The Camels found their scoring touch quickly, charging back to take the lead 16-12 with 10:09 to play in the first half. FGCU stormed right back, scoring 15 unanswered points, including 10 from Reed Baker. Campbell would again respond with a run of their own, ending the half on an 8-0 run to close the gap to just four points, 38-34. Baker led all scorers in the half with 19 points on 6-9 shooting including 3-5 from three-point range and 4-4 from the free throw line.
Campbell came out in the second half and immediately regained the momentum that they ended the first half with, opening the half on a 13-4 run, keyed by three lay-ups and two free throws from Jonathan Rodriguez. The Eagles quickly regained the lead after an 8-0 spurt capped by a three-pointer and jumper from Delvin Franklin. The teams then exchanged blows for about four minutes, trading the lead twice and drawing even with one another four separate times. With the score tied at 56 the Eagles rattled off nine straight points, giving the home team the lead 65-56 with 4:36 to play. But, just like in the first half, the Camels would not go down easily. After two Preston Dodson layups and a jumper by Lorne Merthie, Campbell cut the lead to 65-62 with 3:04 left. The lead hovered between 3-5 points until a jumper from Chad Thompson made it 68-66 with 36 seconds left. On the next possession, FGCU's Ed Rolax turned it over and immediately committed a foul. Campbell's Junard Hartley hit one of two from the line, but the Eagles would again turn the ball over on the ensuing possession. Facing a one-point deficit, Campbell was unable to get off a shot, eventually turning the ball over with 9 seconds left. Reed Baker was fouled and hit both free throws to give FGCU a three point lead. Addison Smith fouled Lorne Merthie before he could get off a shot, sending him to the line with 4 seconds left, where he hit one of his two free throws. Delvin Franklin was fouled immediately after the inbound pass, and Franklin connected on both of his free throws, giving the Eagles a four point advantage with less than 3 seconds left in the game. Campbell's Chad Thompson three pointer at the buzzer fell short, giving the Eagles a 72-68 victory.
For the Camels (2-5, 0-1), Jonathan Rodriguez led in scoring with 12 points, 10 of which came in the second half, in addition to pulling down a team-high 4 rebounds. Lorne Merthie chipped in 11 points, and Amir Celestin had a team-high 4 assists.
For the Eagles (3-6, 1-1), Reed Baker led all scorers with 26 points, along with 5 rebounds and 5 assists. Derrick O'Neil scored 16, pulled down a game-high 9 boards, dished out a game-high 7 assists, and had a game-high 5 steals. Delvin Franklin added 14 points.
The Eagles will be right back at it tomorrow afternoon hosting Johnson & Wales University. Tip-off is set for 5:00 PM.
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KOLD is teaming up with the UA Athletics Department and Circle K to introduce you to some of the most phenomenal teachers in Southern Arizona.
This week's teacher doesn't mess around, when it comes to money that is.
Diane Swan teaches math at Marana High School, and she is determined to set her students up for success.
Tucson News Now caught up with Mrs. Swan during her financial literacy class, and believe it or not, most of these teens have never saved money before.
"I just kind of assumed that my parents had a bajillion dollars, but now that I've taken the class I understand why my mom and dad are always stressed," said one student in Swan's class.
"Before this class I would just spend my money on anything. If I had it I'd spend it and now I've learned to save," said another.
All of this is music to Mrs. Swan's ears. For more than two decades, she's been getting her kids to save. She wants them to dream big, but also be able to find a way to finance those dreams.
"It's cool to see the kids excel," said Swan. "It's cool to see them all of a sudden go 'I totally get this'."
On this day they were talking about the difference between a job and a career. She couldn't stress enough how important it is for students to work at a career, not just be stuck with a job.
"I especially see that with this unit in particular is where kids are really thoughtfully thinking about what they want to do in the future, where they want to be, how they want to be productive adults," said Swan.
And some are introduced to a field they never thought they'd be interested in.
For instance one of Swan's students, Damon Burdett had only seen himself in a career involving music.
"I'm more of a music arts guy, so probably for me music is something I'd like to do," said Damon.
But after filling out a career assessment, he learned he may also be good at something else, real estate.
Just take a look around the classroom and you can see why her students dare to dream.
Mrs. Swan bases her education philosophy on the Wizard of OZ.
"The students could tell you, it's my favorite movie. The meaning behind it is, whatever you want to do is inside of you. You just have to look."
"She's kind of like my mom at school, and she's really easy to talk to just cause she's Mrs. Swan, she's just that person you can go to for anything," said one student.
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Glenn Stevens declined the invitation to act preemptively against inflation with a 50 point increase in cash rates yesterday.
The Commonwealth Bank has done this job for him, and other banks can also be expected to raise their lending rates by more than the RBA's 25 basis point touch on the brakes.
Other responses were equally predictable; Aussie dollar touches parity with the US dollar (again); retailers warn of a tough Christmas - only 5 % annual growth, perhaps, rather than the preferable (for retailers) 8 %; and record gambling on a horse race in Marvellous Melbourne, the only Australian city where house prices are still rising.
Treasurer Wayne Swan, guzzumped by the opposition's shadow Treasurer, Smokin' Joe Hockey, has begun some bank bashing of his own and says he soon will have his own package of policies to create competition on the financial system. None of Smokin' Joe's nine points have any merit, as the Treasurer said on ABC radio this morning, but he can be expected to use most of them anyway.
This writer cannot get his head around the fact that the RBA happily dropped cash rates in great 100 basis point chunks (after an initial super-cautious 25 basis point cut) during the Global Financial Crisis but cannot bring itself to hike in chunks of even half that size. This shows there is an inflationary bias in even this, the 'miracle economy of the west'.
Meanwhile, in the mysterious East, China's central bank is worried about inflation, including the inflationary threat in the mighty USA, as three Wall Street journalists report via the Oz today.
'CHINA'S central bank, fresh from its first interest-rate increase in nearly three years, says it remains concerned about inflationary risks.
'The central bank also indicated the problem could be amplified by the easy-money policies in the US and other developed countries.
'In its third-quarter monetary policy report published last night, the People's Bank of China said it will "continue to guide monetary conditions gradually back to a normal level" from crisis-response mode as it faces "relatively big" uncertainties over price trends.
'In contrast to the US Federal Reserve, which is widely expected to announce a new program of bond purchases tomorrow to stimulate the economy, China has started to withdraw its stimulus policies. Over the past year, the central bank has reduced the amount of new loans banks can make, and in mid-October it raised benchmark interest rates by a quarter percentage point'.
This is hardly news. John Garnaut reported two weeks ago as follows: 'I don't know what happened at the Party's Plenum over the weekend - there was something for the reformers but seemingly much more for everybody else - but suddenly Zhou Xiaochuan is ratcheting up the rates lever. Is this a turn towards more market-based economic policy making? Can you raise rates in China without raising the currency also, without creating a bigger inflation problem? Does this means the currency is finally going to loosen? I Dunno. But a major turning point, me believes.
'Here are some top line Chinese economists talking about how serious the excess money problems are'.
Here is just one snippet from Garnaut's lively report. "The Chinese economy is one third the size of the US and yet M2 in China now surpasses M2 in the US" said Dr Zhang.
"That is ridiculous," he said. "It means sooner or later there will be huge inflation or huge asset price bubbles."
We refer readers of our discussion of global monetary policy here on 13 October.
The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence fell a further 4.2% to 106.3 in the week ending 4 May. Confidence is now down a sharp 8% over the past fortnight; a large move for the index.
This is most likely to have been driven by policy leaks in the lead up to the May 13 Federal budget, with the Commission of Audits report and the mooted deficit reduction levy covered extensively in the media in the past week.
Consistent with this, the weakness in the week was driven by another sharp fall in consumers perceptions of economic conditions next year (-10.8%) and this sub-index is now down over 20% over the past fortnight. Perceptions of economic conditions in the next five years fell 3.8% after declining 4.6%.
However, there was a silver lining in the report. The sub-index of confidence - perceptions of financial situation compared to a year ago - which is most correlated with households spending decisions, rose modestly last week (+1.9%) after falling a more modest 3.7% in the previous week compared to other sub-indices.
As such, and together with signs that the labour market is beginning to strengthen, ANZs bottom line for the household consumption outlook remains that consumer spending will improve this year and next, although next weeks budget has the ability to drag on the speed of that recovery.
ANZ Chief Economist (Australia) Ivan Colhoun said: 'The ANZ-Roy Morgan weekly consumer confidence is providing the first read of the impact of the Budget on consumers. Confidence has fallen sharply over the past fortnight, to be down over 8% over that period, which coincides with a number of policy leaks in the lead up to the May 13 Federal Budget.
'The policies of most concern to the consumer spending outlook at this stage are the mooted temporary deficit reduction levy and the proposed changes to the eligibilities for welfare and pension payments. These policies, if introduced, would impact consumption both directly and indirectly. This index will be important to watch for the likely magnitude of the policys indirect hit to consumer spending and how sustained the impact from any other Budget-related news will be on consumer confidence more generally'.
The graph shows the effects of facts, fictions and the occasional barefaced leak.
Henry draws your attention to an important article - linked here - on the benefits and costs of trade liberisation, written by Craig Milne of the Australian Productivity Council.
1979 was a dismal year. After two decades of strong post-war boom, OPECs two rounds of oil hikes had reduced the leading nations to virtual despair. But new administrations were in place, or in the wings, and radical change to economic policies were coming soon.
In Australia the Fraser government was struggling with monetary projections that could not be achieved, except by chance, with a fixed exchange rate and heavily restricted domestic financial markets.
In the USA, President Carter was overwhelmed by the problems he was facing on all fronts.
Early in 1979 there began the second oil price crisis. Tremors from Iran spread around the world. Rumours of a new ceiling on Saudi oil production compounded oil companies warnings of shortages and cuts. The dollar plunged while gold shot up to $254 per ounce almost immediately (with further increases to $400 plus) and other metals soared.
A newspaper said: This week, capitalists have been fleeing from securities. Almost all the major stock markets went into reverse.
Investors were switching, sometimes indiscriminately, into anything that offered some shelter against the stagflationary fall-out from Iran.
President Carter appointed Paul Volcker as Chairman of the US Fed in August 1979, in perhaps his finest contribution to global economics. Mr Volcker blamed inflation on excessive monetary growth and said at Senate confirmation hearings there is no substitute for monetary discipline. By October, the American economy was experiencing an inflation rate near 12 % and a trade deficit almost $2 billion a month and a weak dollar, itself adding to inflation.
Strong-arm tactics were planned, including sand in the wheels of finance, with changes in operating procedures for monetary policy. These changes were widely seen as a major gamble. As someone said at the time: Instead of the Fed setting cash rates and hoping for the best, it will cap base money and let banks sort out interest rates. When the new approach was implemented, interest rates oscillated wildly.
Ronald Reagan won in late 1980 and was inaugurated in early 1981. His brash young budget director, David Stockman, was described as David confronting the budgetary Goliath. The hope was that, with the Feds monetary action, the combination of budget cutting and tax cutting might alter expectations of continuing inflationary spiral.
But, in America, the President proposes while Congress disposes. The subsequent struggles was described by one venerable journal as a game of chicken. Reagan and Stockman kept advocating three things: cutting taxes, increasing defence spending and radically cutting other sorts of spending, especially spending on welfare. Broadly speaking, congress accepted lower taxes and higher defence spending but not the other spending cuts that would have reduced the budget to anywhere like zero.
By early 1983, interest rates were rising while inflation had fallen to around 4 %. In fact, three month money cost 9 %, meaning real (inflation adjusted) rates of interest were probably higher than they were in 1979. With President Reagan facing re-election in 1984, the Federal governments budget deficit had risen from 2 % of GDP to 6 %. Mr Reagan renewed his call for constitutional amendment to ban budget deficits and to allow him to veto spending plans from Congress.
This call was ignored by Congress, and by 1985 the outlook was for budget deficits as far as the eye could see. Interest rates were rising. Paul Volcker called for the budget deficit to be cut quickly.
Make what you will of it, gentle readers. Almost any economist one could find would have predicted cast rates of 20 %, fluctuating wildly, and persistent, apparently unfixable, budget deficits would have wrecked the American economy. Yet the years following saw a massive global share boom, a short-lived bust (readers may recall October 1987) and further rises in what was one of the greatest share booms of history.
Henry's review of Prime Minister Thatcher's budgetary policy is available here.
More budget news today, especially 'No dole before 25: youth will have to earn or learn'. Smaller front page article on cutting down on politician's gold passes, with two reported cases of former pollies spending big to take their families to holiday houses in the sort of places others would like to bask in the sun if it were free to get there - Broome and Lord Howe Island. Nice one Tony'n'Joe, but what about taking a notch in the belt of current pollies? For example: 'Every Australian must share the pain, which includes a modest levy on marginal rates of tax above $xxx K. It will include a 20 % temporary cut in politicians' salaries (or, if this is not feasable, a voluntary cut in government salaries or equivalent payments to a recognised charity. The government also urges all Australians who feel they can afford to do so to increase their contributions to recognised charities.)'.
This is part of Henry's proposed draft outline of a coherent narrative from government that we believe our most senior journalists are in effect calling for. The draft outline is available here.
The budget is understandedly very important, if not yet a 'national emergency'. Regular readers will recognise that a bigger, more urgent, problem is double-digit cost disequilibrium. This is a problem that the proposed temporary 20 % salary cut for pollies is so important, once the problem is put on the table, which so far it has not.
Naturally, readers will make up their own minds about all this. Here is a link to a wonderful contributation by former crusading state premier Jeff Kennett. I really like his attack on penalty rates, which directly deals with the cost overhang.
Also valuable is his proposal to broaden the GST and (if needed to fix the budget) raise its rate, as the relatively brave New Zealanders have done.
And for a second independent opinion, see Paul Kelly, including another video. If you hang about you will see Alan Kohler interviewing the Chair of the Audit Commission.
Henry's non-mainstream views about monetary policy are reviewed by Professor Warwick McKibbin. (Read through until the end.)
Footy'n'other sporting news.
Last night Henry and a co-religionist in the camp of Caaarlton! watched the AFL satanists Collingwood destroy the season of our (previous) one true footy team. It is very rare for Caaaarlton!'s season to be over after seven games, but with a 5(loss)/2(wins) record, only a miracle will see Caaaarlton! feature in September. The good news is there will be a lot of previous footy viewing time to use in more productive areas, like reading and writing, painting and hanging about with the family. Coach Mick the Merciless said afterwards that there were 'passengers' in the team, and one suspects there will soon be a 'youth policy' at Caaarlton!
Not much other sport to watch. NZ's Rugby League team gave the rampaging Aussies a fright, and our world champion heavy-weight boxer got belted. The good news is that a nation's sporting prowess is inverse to its sporting performance, so our sporting decline foretends a better economic performance.
Image of the week
Treasury has told us that economic growth will be the weakest for 50 years. A key question is why they did not tell Rudd'n'Gillard'n'Rudd that the commodity boom they enjoyed so much would end soon (as all previous commodity booms had) and they should therefore not spend like drunken sailors? If such a message was delivered, it would be good to know, Dr Parkinson, preferably now but at least as soon as you are free to write your biography. Today's blog aims to provide a draft narrative to position the tough decisions needed now to minimise future misery for many Australians.
Of course, it seems highly likely Treasury did not sound the relevant warnings. If they had, Treasurer Swan would presumably not have constantly predicted a strong economy whose budget would whirr back into surplus not too long into the future. Did Treasury and/or successive governments really think Australia was a 'miracle economy' owed a living high on the hog for the feasible future?
Now it is time to sort it out, and Messrs Abbott and Hockey are hard at work telling us it is a whole lot worse than Treasury and Treasurer Swan believed only 6 or so short months ago. Gor blimey, comrades, it now looks pretty gruesome.
We have been told, correctly, that budget repair is going to take a unified effort from all Australians. Rich folk will cop a tax levy. While pensioners will have their pensions left alone, future pensioners can expect to work for longer. Families earning over $100 K will have to manage without handouts, which seems fair enough to the Thornton family.
Big spending schemes will need to be downsized/implemented more slowly, as even the PM's paid parental leave plan has been trimmed. Since Tassie has turned its back on the NBN, the largest and least useful white elephant of the Rudd'n'Gillard'n'Rudd administrations, why not just cancel the whole idea and let people make their own arrangements for fast internet? Radical, perhaps, but the simplest way to save a lot of money Henry can imagine.
Henry has been privileged to be the recipient by email of a lovely punch-up between Terry McCrann on one side and John Stone and Des Moore on the other. McCrann has supported the mooted 'tax levy' even if it will raise a relatively small amount, perhaps $2 to $3 billion. Messrs Stone and Moore say this is tiny relative to the overall budgetary problem and suggests it indicates lack of appropriate resolve to cut spending. Whilst one can agree with them on the size of the proposed levy, the political imperative of 'sharing the pain' is presumably the reason it is in the mix.
And on another point of political economy, every responsible commentator agrees that Labor's drunken sailor spending is most of the reason for the budgetary mess, along with the end of the best part of the commodity boom. Current attempts by Labor (and Labor's coalition partners, the Greens) to frustrate the government's attempt to fix the budgetary mess is full of contradictions and illustrates either blind stupidity or gross hypocricy.
The government is taking a beating in the polls and one hopes by budget time it has sorted out the 'narrative' into a few simple propositions.
Here is a first draft:
1 The budget is in big trouble, and Australia has become very uncompetitive. (Provide examples.)
2. Australia's strategic mistake was to assume record terms of trade would last forever, which produced overspending by governments and unsustainable increases in incomes, including welfare payments generally.
3. The Labor Green alliance boosted government outlays with a number of overly-ambitious spending programs. (Specify)
4. The current government is responsible for fixing the budget, which involves cancelling programs we cannot afford, slowing and/or making less ambitious programs Australia currently cannot afford in their current form.
5. Every Australian must share the pain, which includes a modest levy on marginal rates of tax on incomes above $xxx K. It will include a 20 % temporary cut in politicians' salaries (or, if this is not feasable, a voluntary cut in government salaries or equivalent payments to a recognised charity. The government also urges all Australians who feel they can afford to do so to increase their contributions to recognised charities.)
6. Companies whose costs are making them uncompetitive are urged to talk with their workforces to seek changes to remuneration practices, either temporary or permanant, to restore competitiveness. Top managements should take the lead in accepting cuts to their remuneration of a similar proportionate magnitude they wish their staff to adopt. To the extent that productivity can be improved, remuneration cuts can and should be smaller.
7. Specific promises made before we knew the magnitude of problems facing the nation may need to be postponed in whole or in part. We apologise for this but note that officials did not warn of the size of the problems we are now dealing with, nor did the major business representative groups, or indeed most economists or journalists.
Give us your thoughts.
Readers are invited to contact Henry here if you wish to contribute to the debate we have to have.
Reposted at Online Opinion.
Treasurer Joe Hockey has said that all Australians have to share in the task of producing a sustainable budgetary position. David Uren of the Oz has discussed the productivity slide that is part of Australia's double-digit competitiveness handicap.As he says: '...many of the household income gains of the past decade may have to be surrended if commodity prices drop back to the long-term trend, as they have after every previous mineral boom in the past 150 years. In the same report, linked here, Uren says: 'Insiders say [Tony Abbott] was dismayed by his first reading of the Commission of Audit Report. He knew the budget was in poor shape but had no idea the turnaround would demand such a profound rethink of so many things government does'.
David Uren also tackles the challenge of productivity reform, with the help of Australia's productivity supremo.
'Productivity Commission chairman Peter Harris says he has never worked for a government that did not want to undertake productivity reforms. The great difficulty they have is not what to do but how to do it.
'Reform, he says, must be sequentially structured, with the people most affected having the reasons carefully and clearly explained in ways they appreciate. He says you cant succeed by telling people they should eat their greens because it will be good for them'.
You cant jam it down peoples throats.
Henry's favourite hound from hell, Grace Collier, provides another example of why business leaders do not have to bargain with truculent union officials. Put your case direct to the workforce, business leaders, and if you win the union will very likely go away. More than two decades ago, Henry conducted such a dialogue with his staff of almost 1000 souls. From over 60 % of the workforce when Henry took over, the percentage in unions had dropped to 16 when Henry moved on.
Read on here - 'If bargaining is killing your business, just stop doing it'.
Essendon blitzed Collingwood for the first quarter, then Collingwood blitzed Essendon to catch up by half-time. From then it was an arm wrestle eventually won going away by the Magpies. A stirring victory for the black'n'whites, one that sets them up for a potentially tough fight with Caaaarlton! if the Blues can play like they did against Julia Gillard's Doggies and beat West Coast this afternoon.
At long last, Australia has a boxer with a realistic chance of becoming world heavy-weight champ. Go Alex Leapai, we will be watching and cheering you on.
The visit of the Royals has moved the nation, especially the appearance of baby royal, boy George, coinciding as it does with the deep thoughts caused by the occurrance of ANZAC Day.
Here is a link leading to a very noisy video after a very long advertisement.
Here is a link to Henry's editor's portfolio of paintings of Uluru.
Earlier this week we were told that Treasurer Joe Hockey was 'unhappy with' the RBA. Knowledgable RBA watcher, Terry McCrann, scotched this suggestion in a thoughtful article that also explained the Treasury Secretary's twice delayed marching orders. In both cases, McCrann concludes, 'just as Hockey has bonded well with Parkinson, hes done the same with Stevens. Hockeys personality is one of winning friends and influencing people; not barking pointlessly at key allies'.
But something odd is going on. Today the AFR's Economics Editor, Alan Mitchell says 'The IMF's tacit seal of approval for central bank intervention in asset booms can be seen as a concession to the RBA's approach'.
The RBA's approach, Mitchell claims, is one of 'leaning into' asset booms by raising interest rates. He claims this is what the RBA did succesfully at the start of the current decade - even though the politics of leaning against asset price bubbles is 'appalling' and its success - avoiding an asset crash by heading off an asset bubble - is impossible to prove.
Alert readers will recall John Howard as Prime minister say something like: 'Nobody comes up to me in the street to complain about increases in the price of their house'. Nor do many voters tell the PM or Treasurer, 'please get that nice Mr Stevens to raise interest rates to stop me getting rich'.
However, a policy of 'leaning into' asset boom by raising interest rates is not the answer to the logical contradictions now bedevilling Australian and global monetary policy.
In the countries which have have severe recession, interest rates have been set at record low levels, virtually zero, while share prices go through the roof. Should the US Fed have 'leaned into' the share boom with, say, cash interest rates at 2 %, while the real economy was struggling to avoid severe recession becoming depression? No way, Jose, is the sensible answer.
In Australia, while the Aussie dollar was widely perceived as too high, while the economy was struggling, cuts to cash interest rates were widely seen as a useful way to stimulate the economy while also reducing the currency, helped along by RBA's jawboning the forex market. This policy failed, as demonstrated by the subsequent revival of the Aussie dollar as the economy improved somewhat. Now another set of asset prices, house prices, are widely perceived to be booming again. Should the RBA 'lean into' house prices, even if this damages the real economy and pushes the Aussie dollar even higher? Jose says 'don't be silly, comrade'.
The answer, of course, is that seperate targets require seperate policies. I have proposed a variable tax on capital inflows to tame the dollar, and (automatic) variable asset ratios for banks and other financiers to take the sting out of housing booms and to encourage new spending in busts. This approach would leave cash interest rates to focus totally on the state of the economy, and not provide the ugly dilemmas that have been the focus of much useless discussion.
Of course, Mr Stevens, if perfectly unzipped, might say there are other ways to influence asset prices. House prices might be lower if governments simplified planning laws and made land more quickly available to build houses. The Aussie dollar would be lower if the budget deficit were lower, and reduced spending or higher taxes in a tough budget might also have a useful impact on house prices. Both points are fair enough, but we are where we are. Glenn Stevens must indeed be hanging out for a tough budget, in the reasonable expectation that it would take pressure off both the currency and the housing market.
But unless and until policies other than cash interest rates are brought to bear, there will be a natural (but painful) end to asset booms. My fear is that the US Fed will not be able to prevent a big fall in global share prices as it seeks, ever so slowly, to normalise US monetary policy. I also fear that when the Aussie dollar finally corrects its current overvalued levels, it will undershoot , producing another destructive lurch in the structure of the Australian economy. Ditto for the eventual but inevitable correction of house prices.
Milton Friedman, a far greater economist than anyone mentioned in this blog, famously said 'monetary policy cannot serve two masters'. I must confess I did not fully understand what he meant at the time. My greatest fear is that no-one now in power in Australia yet understands this point.
More here for those willing to learn.
Today's news, consumer inflation slightly less than feared, still within the RBA's target zone, does not dispose of the issues canvassed above. It does provide time for the RBA to rethink its 'one instrument, multiple targets' approach. This writer had the searing experience of abandoning support for the 'monetary projection' approach to setting cash interest rates, and it would be no disgrace if the RBA adopted a multiple aims, multiple policies approach to monetary policy and macroprudential policy.
Professor Warwick McKibbin, 2/5
I agree that interest rates should NOT be used to bring down the dollar. The RBA has already probably injected an asset bubble into the economy so that foreigners will want to hold appreciating Australian assets which hurts the original goal of lowering rates to bring down the exchange rate. In my view the nominal interest rate (lets use the corporate bond rate) should be equal to the nominal growth rate for policy to be neutral. Corporate borrowing rates are around 3.75% which when compared to the nominal GDP growth rate of 5.5% shows that monetary policy is very loose in Australia.
I disagree with a capital flow tax because as I have written before this raise the cost of access to external finance and reduces the equilibrium capital stock in Australia because you need to get a higher MPK to cover the additional cost of borrowing. We need foreign capital to help fund our growth. Far better to concentrate on cutting input costs (i.e. raising productivity) through a range of policies like tax reform, removing inefficient government regulation, raising the infrastructure capital stock etc) so that the currencies strength does not lead to unemployed resources. Also a good idea to reduce government borrowing so we need less foreign capital.
The fact that the US and other countries that have had a financial crisis have low policy interest rate does not mean Australia should follow suit because we do not have the balance sheet problem they have although we might soon generate our own if we keep the current stance of monetary policy!.
PD Jonson replies.
I understand your reason for rejecting a tax on capital inflow, and I agree that reducing input costs by raising productivity would be a better way of coping.
However, as you know, increasing productivity might at best produce 1 to 2 % improvement per annum, and if the overall cost level is 20 to 30 % above any sensible equilibrium, fixing it that way is just not feasible.
I also disagree that capital inflow would dry up. Indeed, with Australia showing the strength not to allow its industrial structure to be determined by foreign investors, capital inflow might even increase for a time. Something like this happened in Germany half a century ago.
The budget leaks and imspired guesses continue. It will be tough, pension age increased to, say, 70 years, but not until 2030, no means test for pensioners, cutting and scraping at Commonwealth public service, and so on and so forth. But no broader GST, or broader and with a higher rate GST, the one reform virtually all econmomists see as the least bad way to balance the books with least damage, indeed some benefit for, incentives to work, to take risks and to save.
Henry suggests a Commonwealth version of Queensland's slick ads would be worth showing on prime time telly. 'Do you prefer spending cuts, tax increases or sale of assets?'. One gathers that neither 'None of the above' nor 'All of the above' are on the list, but at least this set of options is a nice way to tell people there is no such thing as a free lunch, a fact that oppositions keep suggesting is possible. Click here to vote at the 'Advice to the Queensland premier' website and it seems you can vote multiple times, even if you live in Victoria, Burma or even Sweden.
When perfected, with a logically complete set of options, this approach may revolutionise politics, back to the old Athenian town meetings, conducted electronically.
Des Moore's view
Speculation continues on the federal budget without substantive economic analysis to support the large spending reductions needed to prevent, as Shanahan suggests below, a damp squib.
Let me be clear here: while there is no doubt that Labor left irresponsibly large spending commitments stretching into the future, commitments for next year (2014-15) are only 2 percentage points of GDP above what they were in the final year of the Howard government in 2007-08. It should be politically practicable and not damaging to the economy unless Keynesianism is allowed to return to 2007-08 GDP rates or close to them in 2014-15. Such action would also come close to eliminating the deficit.
But Shanahan has felt it necessary, so close to the budget date, to raise the possibility of a damp squib and to leave the impression that the Coalition has not settled on the main aggregate outcomes. Given the lengthy period since it assumed office, that is a disheartening perspective.
At least Caaarlton! has won a game. And it was without Judd, two-and-a-half men down in the last part of the game and using Brett Rattan's hard tackling, helter skelter, straight up the guts style ditched by Supercoach Mick Malthouse. One hopes this was the result of the players telling Mick thhat they preferred their old style and were thus empowered for the first time since Mick came along to destroy Caaartlon!'s free flowing, attacking style. Could this be a collingwood plot? Stranger things have happened in the James Bond movies, and we all think truth can be stranger than fiction.
More here.
16" x 36"Oil on old kitchen cupboard doorSigned bottom left Jonson 68
Painted on an old kitchen cupboard during a time of adolescent religious fervour, the piece was rejected by the organisers of the local Church Art Show. ("Far too modernist" might have been the comment but apparently the committee objected to the nail holes. "You have problems with the nail holes" was my response, but the stout Presbyterians failed to see my point.) With Crowdy Bay, still my favourite painting.
Greetings from Wuhan, a small, well, smallish, town of 20 million souls, situated on the Yangtze River, two hours flight from Hong Kong. We are here to meet some brilliant scientists, and even more brilliant PHD students, all dedicated to remediating the environment. As we are reading Stephen Baxter's Transcendence, whose subplot is the final destruction of the Earth's environment, the subject assumes additional drama.
Henry has been struggling with the Chinese censor and the (alleged) shortcomings of his steam-powered notebook. He has three ways to communicate with home, with Mrs Thornton presiding - Skype, gmail and bigpond.com. Skype was not available in Hong Kong, and is also not available in Wuhan. Google was not available in Hong Kong, and so far at least is not available in Wuhan - 'It is intermittantly available', as one native said. Bigpond.com is available, and informed Henry of the disgraceful Caaarlton! loss to Melbourne - what were they smoking Mick? Whose tenure, and/or that of others, must now be under scrutiny.
Bigpond.com is available, as I said, but when I tried to open Webmail I got the same messages given by Skype and Google - 'No security certificate available' - which is not what one gets in Melbourne, London, Tokyo or New York, or for all I know Burma. What is the reason for blocking these sites, if that is what is going on? Facts plus factoids (Google); communication with the outside world (Skype) or bigpond webmail (ditto).
I must confess that the hotel staff in Wuhan have attended in large groups and are implying it is Henry's steam driven notebook that is the problem. More tomorrow, provided Henry's site is allowed to continue broadcasting. It was unavailable in Hong Kong, and suddenly was available in Wuhan. Who knows what will happen in Shaoguan?
So far we have travelled by aeroplane - 14 hours to Hong Kong, on CX 104, then after a brief sleep in the Regal Airport Hotel, within walking distrance of the airport, 2 hours by Dragonair to Wuhan. Tomorrow it is the bullet train to Shaoguan, another meeting and dinner, another sleep followed by the bullet train to Hong Kong.
Attended a great conference today mainly very bright young Chinese students reporting on their research. Then headed for the bullet train for Shaoguan a city about halfway between Wuhan and Hong Kong. The line goes on to within 45 minutes by road to Hong Kong. 'China would complete the link to Hong Kong in a year or so, but Hong Kong has a democratic government that is weak', explained our Chinese travelling companion.
Security was less than at an airport, but all luggage was scanned and bodies were frisked electronically. Our tickets took us to the rear carriage where first class seats had been booked. The carriage was marked First/business, and we were in a small compartment with five seats almost as luxurious as those in a Gold Class cinema. Our fare was 600 RMB, and when two of us sat in the two larger 'first class' front facing seats we were told firmly that they were double the price of the mere 'normal' first class seats. So in this socialist paradise, there are four classes of bullet train seats - Economy, Business, First and Superfirst.
The train rode near-silently on its cushion of air and quickly and effortlessly glided to its travel speed of 300 kph. (It was 350 kpm until a vast crash at this speed had killed many passengers.) We chatted as the green and hilly countryside glided past - neat fields and two story houses and in the hillier parts forests. Sadly saw no pandas chewing leaves. Our travelling companions told me the general Chinese view of what had happened to Malayian Flight 780. The captain, a known friend of Mr Anwar, so the story goes, had hijacked the plane to barter the life of his passsengers for Mr Anwar's freedom. If the trade was not agreed, the captain said he would fly the plane into a prominant city building. The government said 'no way Jose' and asked the USA to shoot down the plane, which it promptly did.
Other stories abound, all with the theme that the USA, China and Japan knew at all times exactly where the plane was located. One varient had lithium batteries in the hold, one or more of which caught fire and created a small breach in the hull. Gradual aphixiation overcome the crew and passengers and the plane flew on until it ran out of fuel. Mr Abbott's recent very confident assertion that the black box recorder would soon be found played into the conspiracy theories. 'On the facts we know, he should not be so confident', said one of Henry's companions.
Soon the train will rocket into Hunan, birthplace of 'Uncle Mao' as one wag described his statue as we were driven to the train station in Wuhan. Like most other things in China, the railway is built on a vast scale, with wide platforms and many sets of rails. There was notable signs of forward thinking, or poor planning, in vast apparently completed but unused freeways.
We arrived safely at the end of the rail to be picked up and driven to Hong Kong where business will dominate proceedings. We have been warned that exiting 'China' and entering 'Hong Kong' may be a bit tiresome. But then we shall be in the city that has been described as China's main exemplar of a free society, showing the path ot a more dynamic economy and a freer society. Will Henry be able to access his favourite web sites? That will be a (minor) sign of progress, or its lack.
Return home.
Henry arrived home at about 8 AM today (16 April) after the three-movie flight from Hong Kong. All was well, except for the massive build up of unanswered emails due to lack of internet connectivity in China/Hong Kong. One was able to read the Oz and the Fin in the airport lounge, which suddenly reminds one of the almost total lack of English newsprint or TV coverage in Wuhan and Shaoguan. In Hong Kong there is The South China Post and other options, including on TV.
The great dragon is roaring, gentle readers, but growth seems to be slowing and there are continuing concerns about property markets, the so-called 'shadow' banking system and the need for State Owned Enterprises to focus on making money instead of creating jobs.
Tony Abbot's visit and Australia's work in coordinating the search for the lost plane seems to have reinforced our status as a friend of China, also helped more indirectly by the freer trade agreements with South Korea and Japan announced on the same trip. Some of the business propositions we were presented with, involving remediation of a number of specific environmental problems in what is a seriously polluted environment, would reinforce that positioning.


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MTV.com, PopSugar to Livestream New York "Deathly Hallows: Part 2" Premiere from 4.30pm ESTDH Film
MTV.com will be live streaming today's New York City "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2" Premiere from 4.30pm EST. Stay close to Leaky, where we will be embedding the live stream and don't forget that MTV will also be announcing the winner of the Harry Potter World Cup.
PopSugar will also be live streaming the event from 2pm PT/5pm ET and we will post that live stream below as well so you have a choice of coverage. Leaky will be on the carpet covering the premiere and we'll be posting photos, videos and quotes from the actors, crew and filmmakers as they come in. Keep an eye on the @Leaky Twitter for even more premiere updates.
MTV.com Live Stream: here or below: 4:30 pm EST
PopSugar Live Stream: here or below: 2:00 pm PT / 5:00 pm ET
Free video streaming by Ustream


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It is in your best interest to purchase pet insurance for your cat while he or she is still a young, healthy kitten in order to avoid any pre-existing conditions that would be excluded from your cat insurance plan. Because of their curious and rambunctious nature, younger pets have the highest frequency of claims, so insuring a cat as early as possible can help protect them from any future accidents and illnesses.
Also, enrolling your kitten between the ages of eight weeks and one year guarantees you'll pay Trupanion's lowest rates. Even with veterinary inflation, cat owners who enroll their cats as kittens will always pay significantly less than if they originally enrolled their cat at an older age.
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The Oilers and Nashville are both in deep to get back into the playoff race. It's going to take some incredible luck for the Oilers to make it in as is, but if the Oilers lose this one, it will take a miracle to recover.
Team Reports
Oilers Report: The Oilers would be better with Tom Renney behind the bench.
Predators Report: The Preds put Patric Hornqvist and Colin Wilson on IR and lost their only two regular scoring threats. They're making due with a ragtag group that includes waiver wire pickups Bobby Butler and Zach Boychuk and scads of names many fans won't be familiar with. Nashville is dead last in the league at 24.4 shots per game and help isn't coming soon
Expected Line Combinations
Taylor Hall - Shawn Horcoff - Ales Hemsky
Magnus Paajarvi - Sam Gagner - Nail Yakupov
Ryan Jones - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins - Jordan Eberle
Mike Brown - Ryan Smyth - Lennart Petrell
Scratches: Theo Peckham, Teemu Hartikainen, Mark Fistric
Broadcast Information


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Ron Deresch
member for 6 years, 5 months, 28 days
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Darlene Gutwein
RE: Catherine Hughes Lewis
Catherine hughey-lewis is my 4th great grandmother.
I guess she does not have a marker or she does but it no longer is readable.
Thanks, Darlene
Added by
Darlene Gutwein
on Aug 20, 2014 1:22 PM
Thank you for the headstone photo! If you return, I hope you can find his wife's stone, Priscilla White :)
Added by
on Nov 06, 2013 4:03 PM
Janet Milburn
Muraski memorials
Hello! Ron,
I noticed that you had taken a couple of
photos for the two John M. Muraski's buried
in Queen of Peace. In row 1 to the north there
is another family of Muraski's. You didn't take
the monument photos for those tombstones did you?
Janet Milburn
Added by
Janet Milburn
on Jul 09, 2013 12:31 AM
Janet Milburn
Re: Laura Deleglise and any others you might take monument photos for!
Hi! Ron,
Are you on a Wisconsin vacation????? Thanks for the photo, hope there are more to come. Sure appreciate the work that you are doing and the new memorials that you are making. That combined cemetery needs a lot of love and care. Glad you are there. Please, please pull up any pesky weeds
around those tombstones before taking a photo.
Janet Milburn
Added by
Janet Milburn
on Jun 13, 2013 6:45 PM
alayna summers
RE: Summers
Thank You for taking the time to go to Hershman Cemetery. I obtained that info from the death records. While you were there did you find any Knight's? Thank you again Alayna
Added by
alayna summers
on Jul 03, 2012 6:03 PM
Stalbaum in Hershmann Cemetery
Hello. I wanted to say thank you for the photos of the grave stones of the Stalbaum family located in Hershmann Cemetery which you posted on Findagrave.com.
As for your photos ... may I have permission to post them (and any other of your photos of my ancestors' and/or their graves that you may have posted or will post in the future) on my Ancestry.com file. I post a message under the photo (see the red text below for the content of the post) and my tree is private so people must request permission from me to view my file on Ancestry.com. I now require people to prove their line to me before I allow them access to my tree. I have no interest in publishing any books or using the photos in any way other than for genealogical purposes. I have several things I post under the photos depending on the "owner" of the photo's desires. I have two below ... if you will allow me to post your grave photos on my Ancestry file then I'll place the statement of your choice. The second one has a _____ in it and that's where I would place your e-mail address so people can contact you directly for permission.
NOTE: This photo was obtained from a Findagrave.comphoto volunteer and the volunteer has kindly given me permission to post this on my Ancestry.com file. You must take the steps to contact the owner of the photo for permission to use this photo for your personal use ... permission is NOT granted by me for any use as it is not mine to give.
NOTE: This photo was obtained from a Findagrave.comphoto volunteer. Permission is NOT granted by me for any use as it is not mine to give. You must contact _______ for permission to use this photo.
Again, thank you so much for your kindness ... Find A Grave volunteers are wonderful people :-)
Added by
on Jan 01, 2012 10:59 AM
Patti H
Lillian M Brown
Hershman Cemetery, I found your picture for Lillian M Brown married to Frank Cooper, my grandfather and wondered if you were able to read the print under her age. Thank you in advance for any help as my grandmothers bible was a bit off on her dates, Patti
Added by
Patti H
on May 23, 2011 12:20 PM
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