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David's Charge to Solomon
1As David's time to die drew near, he charged Solomon his son, saying, 2"I am going the way of all the earth. Be strong, therefore, and show yourself a man. 3Keep the charge of the Lord your God, to walk in His ways, to keep His statutes, His commandments, His ordinances, and His testimonies, according to what is written in the Law of Moses, that you may succeed in all that you do and wherever you turn, 4so that the Lord may carry out His promise which He spoke concerning me, saying, 'If your sons are careful of their way, to walk before Me in #Or faithfulnesstruth with all their heart and with all their soul, you shall not lack a man on the throne of Israel.'
5"Now you also know what Joab the son of Zeruiah did to me, what he did to the two commanders of the armies of Israel, to Abner the son of Ner, and to Amasa the son of Jether, whom he killed; he also shed the blood of war in peace. And he put the blood of war on his belt about his waist, and on his sandals on his feet. 6So act according to your wisdom, and do not let his gray hair go down to Sheol in peace. 7But show kindness to the sons of Barzillai the Gileadite, and let them be among those who eat at your table; for they assisted me when I fled from Absalom your brother. 8Behold, there is with you Shimei the son of Gera the Benjamite, of Bahurim; now it was he who cursed me with a violent curse on the day I went to Mahanaim. But when he came down to me at the Jordan, I swore to him by the Lord, saying, 'I will not put you to death with the sword.' 9Now therefore, do not let him go unpunished, for you are a wise man; and you will know what you ought to do to him, and you will bring his gray hair down to Sheol with blood."
Death of David
10Then David slept with his fathers and was buried in the city of David. 11The days that David reigned over Israel were forty years: seven years he reigned in Hebron and thirty-three years he reigned in Jerusalem. 12And Solomon sat on the throne of David his father, and his kingdom was firmly established.
13Now Adonijah the son of Haggith came to Bathsheba the mother of Solomon. And she said, "Do you come peacefully?" And he said, "Peacefully." 14Then he said, "I have something to say to you." And she said, "Speak." 15So he said, "You know that the kingdom was mine and that all Israel expected me to be king; however, the kingdom has turned about and become my brother's, for it was his from the Lord. 16Now I am making one request of you; do not #Lit turn away my facerefuse me." And she said to him, "Speak." 17Then he said, "Please speak to Solomon the king, for he will not refuse you, that he may give me Abishag the Shunammite as a wife." 18Bathsheba said, "Very well; I will speak to the king for you."
Adonijah Executed
19So Bathsheba went to King Solomon to speak to him for Adonijah. And the king arose to meet her, bowed before her, and sat on his throne; then he had a throne set for the king's mother, and she sat on his right. 20Then she said, "I am making one small request of you; do not refuse me." And the king said to her, "Ask, my mother, for I will not refuse you." 21So she said, "Let Abishag the Shunammite be given to Adonijah your brother as a wife." 22King Solomon answered and said to his mother, "And why are you asking Abishag the Shunammite for Adonijah? Ask for him also the kingdom-for he is my older brother-even for him, for Abiathar the priest, and for Joab the son of Zeruiah!" 23Then King Solomon swore by the Lord, saying, "May God do so to me and more also, if Adonijah has not spoken this word against his own life. 24Now therefore, as the Lord lives, who has established me and set me on the throne of David my father and who has made me a house as He promised, surely Adonijah shall be put to death today." 25So King Solomon sent Benaiah the son of Jehoiada; and he fell upon him so that he died.
26Then to Abiathar the priest the king said, "Go to Anathoth to your own field, for you deserve to die; but I will not put you to death at this time, because you carried the ark of the Lord God before my father David, and because you were afflicted in everything with which my father was afflicted." 27So Solomon dismissed Abiathar from being priest to the Lord, in order to fulfill the word of the Lord, which He had spoken concerning the house of Eli in Shiloh.
Joab Executed
28Now the news came to Joab, for Joab had followed Adonijah, although he had not followed Absalom. And Joab fled to the tent of the Lord and took hold of the horns of the altar. 29It was told King Solomon that Joab had fled to the tent of the Lord, and behold, he is beside the altar. Then Solomon sent Benaiah the son of Jehoiada, saying, "Go, fall upon him." 30So Benaiah came to the tent of the Lord and said to him, "Thus the king has said, 'Come out.'" But he said, "No, for I will die here." And Benaiah brought the king word again, saying, "Thus spoke Joab, and thus he answered me." 31The king said to him, "Do as he has spoken and fall upon him and bury him, that you may remove from me and from my father's house the blood which Joab shed without cause. 32The Lord will return his blood on his own head, because he fell upon two men more righteous and better than he and killed them with the sword, while my father David did not know it: Abner the son of Ner, commander of the army of Israel, and Amasa the son of Jether, commander of the army of Judah. 33So shall their blood return on the head of Joab and on the head of his descendants forever; but to David and his descendants and his house and his throne, may there be peace from the Lord forever." 34Then Benaiah the son of Jehoiada went up and fell upon him and put him to death, and he was buried at his own house in the wilderness. 35The king appointed Benaiah the son of Jehoiada over the army in his place, and the king appointed Zadok the priest in the place of Abiathar.
Shimei Executed
36Now the king sent and called for Shimei and said to him, "Build for yourself a house in Jerusalem and live there, and do not go out from there to any place. 37For on the day you go out and cross over the brook Kidron, you will know for certain that you shall surely die; your blood shall be on your own head." 38Shimei then said to the king, "The word is good. As my lord the king has said, so your servant will do." So Shimei lived in Jerusalem many days.
39But it came about at the end of three years, that two of the servants of Shimei ran away to Achish son of Maacah, king of Gath. And they told Shimei, saying, "Behold, your servants are in Gath." 40Then Shimei arose and saddled his donkey, and went to Gath to Achish to look for his servants. And Shimei went and brought his servants from Gath. 41It was told Solomon that Shimei had gone from Jerusalem to Gath, and had returned. 42So the king sent and called for Shimei and said to him, "Did I not make you swear by the Lord and solemnly warn you, saying, 'You will know for certain that on the day you depart and go anywhere, you shall surely die'? And you said to me, 'The word which I have heard is good.' 43Why then have you not kept the oath of the Lord, and the command which I have laid on you?" 44The king also said to Shimei, "You know all the evil which you acknowledge in your heart, which you did to my father David; therefore the Lord shall return your evil on your own head. 45But King Solomon shall be blessed, and the throne of David shall be established before the Lord forever." 46So the king commanded Benaiah the son of Jehoiada, and he went out and fell upon him so that he died.
Thus the kingdom was established in the hands of Solomon.
Laster referanser i sekundær oversettelse...


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holiday running
I'm off to sunny (hopefully!) Wroxham in Norfolk for a holiday in a few weeks and would like to get at least a little bit of running done whilst there.
Does anybody know of any good routes? We're staying close to the river and I was wondering if there are footpaths along the rinver which I could use. As we're going with friends I don't think I'll have time for any long runs so can see meyself aiming for between 5 and 10km.
Loads of footpaths and bridleways, also, if you are there in August, the Wroxham 5k is a good race (its my 5k PB!!).
Try searching Wroxham on mapmyrun, there may be some routes on there.
We took a boat on the broads before we had kids; there were several things that seemed to identify it from the rest of the country. One of the most amusing was a quiz machine in a pub in Great Yarmouth.... that was full of spelling mistakes. Wtf?
It got a couple of the answers wrong as well! We know because we double checked our answers.
I'm not going to be around for the 5km race unfortunately. I'm glad there are plenty of footpaths/bridleways. Hopefully they'll be clearly signposted and I won't find myself getting lost!
I'll probably only be able to get out for a run if I get up before everybody else as we're going with friends so I can't really go running when they're around.
Sounds like yarmouth might be somewhere to avoid?!
I'm not sure if we'll make it to Yarmouth as we're all from seaside towns: South Shields or Brighton so I can see us going more for the 'countryside' parts of Norfolk.
I'll be visiting S.Shields before Norfolk so will probably run the last section of the Great North Run whilst there . One day I may even get to run the event itself!
I did a race round Blickling hall last year, its a lovely place, a nice family walk, or even a run round there is very good.
Theres plenty of countryside to explore, thats for sure!
Anne Solley wrote (see)

subset: commoncrawl


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Richard Simmons Blast & Tone
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This could be handled very easily. There are two movies opening this week. They both look pretty bad. There. That about covers it. Fortunately, there are compensations in special showings and on DVD.
Before we move on to the compensations, I suppose we should look at what's opening. After all, at least one of us will be watching them. First up, we have something called Dark Skies, which boasts a trailer that actually provoked laughter in the theater when I saw it. That might be considered desirable, except this is supposed to be some kind of sci-fi horror alien abduction thriller. If the shot of the open-mouthed Josh Hamilton wasn't enough, then the one of Keri Russell banging her head against the glass door sealed the unintentional mirth deal. It comes to us "from the producers of Paranormal Activity and Insidious," but was written and directed by Scott Stewart, the special effects guy turned director who gave us Legion and Priest. That says a lot right there -- none of it good. For what it's worth, J.K. Simmons is also in the cast. Whether this lives up to his insurance commercials remains to be seen.
On the other hand, we have Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson in Snitch. This appears to be another of The Rock's bids for actual action star -- and possibly even actor -- status, as opposed to his usual walking punchline material. Actually, it looks like something Liam Neeson might have passed on in the father-out-to-save-his-child sub-genre. (See also Mr. Willis in A Good Day to Die Hard.) It comes from stuntman-turned-director Ric Roman Waugh. Somehow (read: paycheck) Susan Sarandon is also in the film. It's all about The Rock infiltrating a drug cartel in order to save his son from a (wrongful) ten year stretch in the Big House. The trailer looks exactly like what you'd expect. In other words, it makes me look forward to Dark Skies.
With this light a schedule of openings, there's not much of anything going away this week, though I'd expect an exodus of a lot of the Oscar nom hangers-on after the awards on Sunday.
Special Screenings
Before getting down to the movies on tap for this week, I'll note that this is the place to report on any public Oscar festivities. I know there's an Oscar party in the Cinema Lounge at The Carolina on Sunday night, but I imagine there are others. If you know of any, please let me know in the comments section.
This week the Thursday Horror Picture Show is running J. Walter Ruben's The Phantom of Crestwood (1932) on Thu., Feb. 21 at 8 p.m. in the Cinema Lounge at The Carolina. Roman Polanski's debut feature Knife in the Water (1962) is this week's offering from World Cinema on Fri., Feb. 22 at 8 p.m. in the Railroad Library in the Phil Mechanic Building. The Hendersonville Film Society is showing last year's Oscar winner for Best Picture The Artist at 2 p.m. on Sun., Feb. 24 in the Smoky Mountain Theater at Lake Pointe Landing in Hendersonville. The Asheville Film Society is screening the first Astaire-Rogers pairing Flying Down to Rio (1933) on Tue., Feb. 26 at 8 p.m. in the Cinema Lounge at The Carolina. More on all films in this week's paper with expanded coverage in the online edition.
On DVD
There are two films of note coming out this week. The biggest so far as I'm concerned is Joe Wright's Anna Karenina (my copy is on its way to me), but since it took my top spot on this year's Ten Best list, that should come as no surprise. The popular choice, however, is certainly going to be Ben Affleck's Oscar-poised Argo, which I freely admit is all kinds of entertaining. Of somewhat lesser note are Sinister and Fun Size, but even they appear as masterpieces when placed next to those floor sweepings of a movie known as Atlas Shrugged II: The Strike.
Notable TV Screenings
There's an OK line-up of titles on Wed., Feb. 20 starting at 8 p.m. on TCM. First up -- and most interesting -- is Mitchell Leisen's Hold Back the Dawn (1941). It's not that it's the best of the line-up, but it's the least shown and the only of the titles that has stubbornly refused to make it to DVD. Following it are Leo McCarey's Going My Way (1944) and thre Preston Sturges pictures, The Lady Eve (1941), Hail the Conquering Hero (1944). and The Great McGinty (1940). Unfortunately, the rest of the week -- while containing some good stuff -- is made up of things that are shown an awful lot.
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Carl Marcel Bergquist of Fairport, N.Y., died Thursday, Nov. 22, 2012. He was employed by the American Can Company for 45 years as a lithographer. He was an Eagle Scout for the Boy Scouts of America. He was a member of the American Legion, Masonic Lodge of Geneva, Mendon Golf Club and member of Local Battle of Bulge WWII. He was called back for the Korean Conflict. He was predeceased by parents Victor and Anna; his wife, Thelma C.; a sister, Norma Bergquist; three cousins, Alan Bergquist, Germain (Sam) Caruso, and Patricia Brown; and his good friends Dan and Gwen Winagle.
Billie Jo Worley, 29, of 130 Greeves St., passed away suddenly Wednesday, Nov. 21, 2012, at Kane Community Hospital. Born June 21, 1983, in Hattiesburg, Mississippi, she was a daughter of Clifford(Barbara) Gadley and Kathryn Thayer. She was married in New Jersey, to Michael Worley who survives. Billie Jo, a homemaker, was a member of the Eagles Lodge # 307 in Kane.
Marian C. Swanson, 90, formerly of Kasson, passed away Tuesday, Nov. 20, 2012, at the Elk Regional Hospital in St. Marys. Born Sept. 9, 1922, in Kushequa, she was a daughter of Wells and Margaret Martin Blair. On May 2, 1948, in Kushequa, she married Russell Swanson who preceded her in death. They were the first couple to be married at the Kushequa Union Church. Mrs. Swanson was employed in the Treasury office at the courthouse and later worked in the VA office. A member of the Smethport Methodist Church, she also was a participant in the Bell Choir at the church.
Michael Alan Snyder, 57, of Kane, died Nov. 11, 2012, of an accidental drowning when the canoe he was in tipped over at the Kinzua Reservoir while he was fishing with his wife who also drowned in the accident. Born April 23, 1955, in Clearfield County, he was a son of Charles H. and Dores Holt Snyder Sr. On Nov. 12, 1999, in Olmsted County in Minnesota, he married Terry Wegman who died with him in the accident. Mr. Snyder was the owner of Snyder Contracting. \He was a member of the VFW Lodge #1132 in Kane and was an avid fisherman and outdoorsman. He also was a NASCAR fan.
Larry Smith, 68, passed away at his home in Tucson, Ariz. on Thursday, Nov. 15, 2012. Larry was born Sept. 21, 1944 in Kane, to Dorothy Smith and the late George Smith. He was a devoted and loving son, husband, father and grandfather. Larry was retired Air Force with over 20 years of service to his country.Â
Joan L. Swanson, 70, of 633 Wood St., Kane, passed away unexpectedly at St. Vincent's Medical Health Center on Thursday, Nov. 15, 2012. Born Feb. 24, 1942, in Kane, she was a daughter of the late Melvin and Edla Gustafson Carlson. On April 25, 1964, in Kane, she married Ronald Swanson, who survives. Mrs. Swanson was primarily a homemaker but in the past had been employed by New Process in Warren and Walker Printing in Kane. She was a member of Tabor Evangelical Lutheran Church where she once had taken care of the Sunday School nursery.
Terry Snyder, 62, of 307 Maple St. died Sunday, Nov. 11, of an accidental drowning at the Kinzua Reservoir. She was born in Rochester, Minn. on Nov. 17, 1949 to Frank White and the late Joanne Fitzpatrick. She married Mike Snyder in Rochester on Nov. 12, 1999, and worked with him as a roofing contractor in the Kane area.
Mayme Carmen Carlson died Sunday, Nov. 11 in Tucson, Ariz. She was born Jan. 21, 1921 in Saybrook, Pa. to Angeline Frontera and James Servedio. She was married to Kurt Carlson. Mayme was a longtime resident of Wilcox until moving to Arizona in 1965. She worked as a bookkeeper but enjoyed entertaining with her beautiful piano playing. She is survived by her sisters, Ann Hallberg of Kane and Maxine Nelson of Ludlow; her children, Judy, Scott and Linda; eight grandchildren; and eight great-grandchildren.
Ruth E. Buhl, 98, of 36 Pine St., Wellsville, N.Y., passed away peacefully on Wednesday, Nov. 14, 2012 at the Hart Comfort House in Wellsville. She was born Aug. 6, 1914 in Mt. Jewett, the daughter of arl and Emma (Malmstrom) Bengtson. She graduated from Kane Area High School and Clarion State Teachers College. She was a longtime resident of Kane when she taught school and later was the manager of the Sears store there. In 1999 she moved to Wellsville to be closer to her family.
Helen E. "Bonney" Vito, age 88, of Albuquerque, N.M. died peacefully Monday, Nov. 5, 2012, after a two-month struggle with injuries suffered in a fall at home. She was born Feb. 11, 1924 in Battle Creek, Mich. to Albert Bonney and Eva I. Long. She attended school in Jackson, Mich. and graduated from high school in 1941. She met Frank Vito, an Army veteran from WWII (from 229 Beech St., Kane) in Washington, D.C. in 1946 and they were married in Jackson, Mich. on Sept. 2, 1948.


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ISO 13849-1 Machine Guarding Adoption, Part 4 - safety standard merger
Adopting EN ISO 13849-1 by Dec. 31, 2011 has been taking a lot of attention this year particularly for manufacturers of machinery and global end users. Guess what? The IEC (International Electrotechnical Commission) world and the ISO (International Standardization Organization) world are voting to merge EN ISO 13849-1 and IEC 62061. Yikes – when will "Safety of Machinery – Safety Functions of Control Systems" settle down?
Adopting EN ISO 13849-1 by Dec. 31, 2011 has been taking a lot of attention this year particularly for manufacturers of machinery and global end users. Guess what? The IEC (International Electrotechnical Commission) world and the ISO (International Standardization Organization) world are voting to merge EN ISO 13849-1 and IEC 62061. Yikes – when will "Safety of Machinery – Safety Functions of Control Systems" settle down?
We been talking about a lot of new approaches, terminology, and considerations for industry faced with the compliance requirements integral to the adoption of ISO 13849-1 by Dec. 31, 2011. For many companies this will be a paradigm shift within their organizations but one that offers increased safety and fewer injuries for industry's most valuable resource – the employee. We're still fairly early in the learning and adoption curves for this full transition to designing in and compliance with these functional safety requirements. When will this potentially merged standard be completed and how will it affect Industry? This is the million dollar question!
Have any of you heard about this? Do you have any ideas on how this might affect your responsibilities or your business? Please let us know by providing your comments below.
Briefly, in my opinion, the potential merger of 13849-1 and 62061 could be another significant advancement in machine guarding and functional safety of control systems. The NWIP (New Work Item Proposal) submitted by France is out for vote within IEC and ISO. Once approved a joint working group is formed and their activities and time schedule is defined for completion. The amount of work for this kind of effort I believe is substantial and completion could take four years. The new EN ISO 13849-1 was originally given a two year transition to take the place of EN 954-1 but experienced two extensions. Possibly this merged standard will also be awarded a two year phase in also which could place the compliance date in six years or roughly 2018. If it happens is seven years enough time to get ready?
As for the second question, I believe the affect on your responsibilities or your business could be slight and positive. In 30,000 foot language I believe this is because 62061 does a great job of covering the more complex components of the control system (like safety PLC's, safe motion, etc.) and 13849-1 does a great job of addressing the less complex components of the control system (like safety interlock switches, safety relays, etc.). Both of these standards use mathematically derived safety circuit design methodologies to determine safety levels of compliance and hazard mitigation. Surely, by 2018, industry should have enough experience using these standards to achieve safety compliance that adoption of the merged standard should be straight forward. The gotcha is of course – innovation. For the past ten years we've been it a fast paced cycle of safety automation innovation.
What new technologies will automation suppliers bring to the market adding a third dimension to this question over the next 10 years?
Your comments or suggestion are always welcome so please let us know your thoughts. Submit your ideas, experiences, and challenges on this subject in the comments section below. Click on the following text if you don't see a comments box, then scroll down: ISO 13849-1 Machine Guarding Adoption, Part 4.
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Related articles:
ISO 13849-1 Machine Guarding Adoption, Part 1
ISO 13849-1 Machine Guarding Adoption, Part 2
ISO 13849-1 Machine Guarding Adoption, Part 3
EN ISO 13849-1; 2008 – Are We Ready By December 2011?
Cover story: Machine Safety Integration
Trouble Implementing ISO 13849-1; 2006 per the European Machinery Directive
Contact: www.jbtitus.com for "Solutions for Machine Safety".
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Business News written by Industry Experts
Hardide Coatings Partners with GE
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Verizon Wireless has touted the results of a new study published by wireless analytics company RootMetrics as proof that they are ahead of the competition. The study, which occurred during the latter half of 2013, showed that when looking at network … Read More
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Zintro just got better! Also, did you hear about the six figure referral fee?
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Want to make Six Figures with a simple referral? – February 2014 Zintro Newsletter
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West Virginia Water Safety
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On Sun, Jul 8, 2012 at 1:12 PM, SKANKTANK said:
On Thu, Sep 29, 2011 at 4:06 PM, dawna said:
It is so hard to when concerts/shows/festivals are plenty with artists never seen or want to see again. I've had to unsubscribe to venue updates and tell my friends not to talk about certain events I have miss like Free Press Houston in June. I was going to volunteer again. I can't talk about this.
On Thu, Sep 29, 2011 at 4:03 PM, dawna said:
Thank you for sympathizing with my addiction. I resisted the urge to see ACL this year. I am going to hold out until next year for any festivals and/or live shows unless it's do or die. And FFF fest has a real freaking awesome lineup.
On Thu, Sep 29, 2011 at 12:13 PM, terrormachine said:
I've spent over 1500$ seeing bands this year. Don't feel too bad.
On Sun, Sep 18, 2011 at 9:07 AM, ross_r said:
Pace your concert watching.
On Wed, Aug 3, 2011 at 7:57 PM, dawna said:
The love is and will always be there. I have to regain my defeat.
On Wed, Aug 3, 2011 at 7:55 PM, dawna said:
Yes in a confused way.
On Tue, Aug 2, 2011 at 11:03 AM, courtney cutthroat said:
i'm guessing you are disappointed? if so, i feel ya.
On Mon, Aug 1, 2011 at 1:38 PM, Listenyoungman said:
This is very confusing...so youve lost the love?


text:
COLUMBIA — On the soccer pitch, Missouri sophomore goalkeeper Tasha Dittamore is always moving. Even when there are no shots to defend, as was the case in Sunday's win over Eastern Illinois, she keeps herself occupied.
Tigers' new goalkeeper more at home at MU
Monday, September 10, 2007 | 11:23 p.m. CDT;
updated 12:27 a.m. CDT, Monday, July 21, 2008
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Updated July 2008 |
AFFIRMATIVE ACTION /EQUAL OPPORTUNITY STATEMENT In accordance with the requirements of the Civil Rights Act, Bakersfield College provides services and benefits to students regardless of race, color, national origin, ancestry, gender, age, religion, marital status, medical condition or disability. The lack of English language skills will not be a barrier to administration and participation in vocational education programs. (Title VI and VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, as amended; Title IX of the Education Amendments of 1972; and Section 503 and 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973, as amended.) |
Bakersfield College Home Page | BC Counseling Site | Class Schedule | Feedback Allied Health Department | 1801 Panorama Drive | Bakersfield, CA 93305 | 661.395.4281 Last Updated: 09/07/2008 |


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Thursday, February 11, 2010
ETFs and Panic Avoidance
Or maybe I'm stretching but either way...
The WSJ article struggled to make its point and maybe I still have it wrong but it seemed to conclude that portfolio managers trade more frequently than they plan to because, like all people, that have emotions that they occasionally give into.
Much of what I write about is geared toward reducing or eliminating the role emotion plays in navigating the market. There is a difference here that is worth exploring. Emotion can come in the form of a complete meltdown where everything is sold in a panic after a big drop and of course this same sort of person might then realize they were wrong and buy back in after a big move up. People lose a lot of ground with that type of action.
Another emotional response I have mentioned quite a few times that is far less damaging is sacrificing one name to the market gods just to make yourself feel better during a market panic. Selling a holding that comprises 2-3% of the portfolio at the low would in hindsight turn out to be a bad trade but it is not ruinous behavior. The consequence of this small sacrifice is reasonably missing out on a couple of hundred basis points so with the rally from the March low it wouldn't really matter whether you bounced 48% or 50%? However anyone riding the market all the way down fully invested who then panicked out completely in March has a big problem.
If the WSJ article even isolated anything interesting or is drawing the correct conclusion it is no doubt obvious the role narrow exposure ETFs can play in helping with this issue. Anyone reading this site for a while know I believe in using mostly individual stocks with a few ETFs but stocks require getting two big things correct; the theme and then the way you access the theme whereas with an ETF you need only be correct about the theme.
Recently I disclosed swapping out of Monsanto (MON) and into Market Vectors Agribusiness (MOO). MON started out as the correct stock in the correct theme and then became the wrong stock in the right theme. Picking the wrong stock now and then goes with the territory. If the wrong one is picked too frequently then maybe the strategy needs to change but picking the correct theme is easier, obviously, and realizing what other segments, if any, also benefit is easy as well. Note that this simply creates a tailwind not a guarantee of success.
A theme usually won't implode unless there is widespread market panic, like a year ago, but a stock can implode at anytime. To the WSJ article when a stock implodes there then is extra work to try to assess whether the stock pick was really an incorrect one or not and after a big drop in that stock the process might be clouded enough by emotion to influence the incorrect action. Under normal market conditions an ETF is likely to be down less than possibly gone-bad stock pick and up less than a home-run stock pick so either way there is less chance of emotion clouding judgment. We are collectively probably wired to better handle a narrow based fund dropping 15% than a stock dropping 25% (obvious statement).
I can appreciate that this entire post may be obvious but if you have been a broad based index investor and are starting to think, as I have for years, that success in the next decade will require going narrower but you do not want to make the leap to individual stocks then ETFs are probably your best shot and the above, obvious or not, might be the right mindset to have.
18 comments:
- Anonymous said...
great point and very exclicit example with Monsonto. Etf gives you an edge since as you saied individual stock can implode easily.
This bussiness is very difficult and must thank you for your blog in bringing good ideas. If I may I like to leave a message for MikeC.
Ilike to make some points from Soros Alchemy book:
Trend followers will be the ones that will have staying power in this market. During changes of trends there is high volatility.
My observation: I have made a blue print of the market with excel software, and these are the following observation: 2000 peek was a higher climatic effect than the high of 2007. The cxlimatic low of march/2009 has been the highes climax low for all data observation(1968-today). Where are we today: we are at 18/07/1975 look at what happen before and look at what happened after.
Must go, have to take my family out and pick up the car, cannot explain fully.
Jeff from Milan, Italy - 7:03 AM
- Anonymous said...
ETFs are safer than stocks especially for the individual investor.
Large index funds are not as bad as you think, but good focused funds can be better. PROVIDED there is sufficient liquidity in the focused funds. - 7:35 AM
- Anonymous said...
The problem with "themes" is that they can be assembled using faulty premises. Once someone has convinced themselves a "theme" is tradable, there is a strong bias to accept information that supports the theme and reject information that refutes it. Research has shown that this behavior can be as destructive as the person who sells at the low.
An example would be farmland. I have seen farmland used as an investing theme several times. The usual argument is that farmland is a proxy for agricultural commodities. In my experience, the value of farmland has barely kept pace with inflation and is extremely illiquid.
How about T. Boone Pickens' theme of investing in renewable energy and natural gas. Seemed so obvious at the time, yet other factors led to the theme's demise.
Perhaps the most troubling aspect of "theme" investing is having to have a tradable theme to begin with. What happens when a really good idea cannot be identified, yet the market as a whole continues to march on? Is that investment capital in cash waiting for it's manager to come up with an idea? And for diversification's sake, many investment themes have to exist at the same time.
So for the person who is not able to regularly identify profitable investing themes, buy and hold isn't such a bad alternative. - 8:26 AM
- Anonymous said...
Has any one done any research that you know of involving buying duopoly stocks such as pep and Ko as a strategy to cover an area and lower volatility and stock choice.
- Anonymous said...
Just an update for everyone.
I wrote last week about WSJ's subscription renewal rate of $116.55 per quarter. Today I was offered $51.87 per quarter for print (6 days a week) and online. I don't get what they're doing, but just say no to excessive rates and they'll offer something better. - 9:39 AM
- Anonymous said...
Roger, to your point about some flawed thinking at WSJ. Having been a reader for over four decades, I have come to believe there is more and more of this kind of "journalism" there. Sometimes I get the feeling I am reading the print version of Fox News. ( I know it's Murdoch's baby now). For me, I have decided to dump the WSJ in favor of significantly better sources of information, your blog included.
- Anonymous said...
I renewed my WSJ subscription (print, 6 days/wk) a couple of weeks ago for $162.00
- Mike C said...
@ Roger,
Been thinking about this one, and actually posted this on another forum, but curious to get your take, and again hopefully the regular cast here (SEG, RW, Jeff, etc.) will chime in. Actually, probably thinking about this partially due to your influence. I'd say 3-4 years ago I was primarily about asset class diversification with some mix of bottoms-up stock-picking, but regular reading of this blog has led me to be more cognizant of top-down thematic issues. Anyways here is the question I posted:
Over the next 5-10 years, out of the next 3 categories, which category do you think will show the most dispersion/least homogeneity of returns across the category.
In terms of #2 versus #3, I am particularly interested why you think one over the other. Where possible, please share your thought process/reasons beyond just answering the question.
1. U.S. market capitalization – Large vs. Mid vs. Small
2. U.S. sector – Consumer Discretionary vs. Utility vs. Energy vs. Technology vs Financials, etc.
3. International country – Brazil vs Japan vs Canda vs U.S. vs China vs. South Korea ,etc.
I am a regular reader of this blog, but maybe I missed it, but I don't recall you mentioning whether going forward you thought country selection or sector selection was going to be a bigger driver of returns in the quest to outperform say 50/50 SPY/EFA. - 11:25 AM
- Roger Nusbaum said...
i have touched on this several times before. I believe country selection will be far more important than the other two. for now there are no obvious sector distortions. underweighting financials was easy thanks to the lessons of the tech wreck. there now no obvious signal like that that will obviously add value. if rates rise that hurts utilities but at less than 4% how much value will that add?
- Anonymous said...
thanks for the invite. I have never created a portafolio per say. I either take big position for a few days or a week or am in cash. Going foward 5-10 years takes lots of courage and experience. When I was in my 30's I was a floor trader and that style has not left yet, I only started to get back in in 2007. More than 20 years have passed. In 2008 I took such a big position in Jblu that when I closed out that position it took a whole day for the bank to execute. What I do is look at sector descrepencies(reccomended by Roger) and have noticed that energy is one of the biggest sector so I am staying away. Financial and tech look like they are the underwait. So in the next 5 years I think that they will do better. In terms of countries I have just started to look at brasil, HongKong, China, Australia. I do not feel confortable since I do not know any fundamentals about countries. What I look at is not anly for stocks but can do for anything if something is cheep or expensive. If something is going bust or something is about to implode. I have built a mathematical model that allows me to see these phases. But again nothing is certain.
Mike, going back to the blueprint, what is showing me is that the market is driven by feer more than greed. The fenomenon big climax on the downside happened in and around 26/5/1970, 4/10/1974, 19/10/1987, 23/7/2002, 20/11/2008-6/3/2009. As you can see these things do not happen every day. The driver is more feer than good fundamentals or logical thinking. The up climax happened 29/11/68, 5/1/1973, 20/11/1980,6/5/83, 11/8/87, 8/8/89, 12/1/91, 6/1/99,9/10/2007. These may not be price highs/lows, but psychological climatic points. This tells you that a new climax either down or up is not likely to happen within the next year or two since they have already happened very recently. One thing the bias during 70-2000 is up and from 2000 to today the bias is down. So can we see another big down move in say 3 years from now. I think that is possible since the bias of the market is down. Meaning too many people have gotten burned in 2000 high, and we keep on getting many problems that undermine big expectations. When thse expectations are eradicated then I think that a real bull market is likely to start.
RW, can perhaps give us a better picture as to what is likely to happen in the next 5-10 years. He strikes me as one of the smartest people that I know with a university background to articulate this better than anyone I know. Seg also has a great feeling about the market since he picked up shares at such bargain prices that left all of us behind.
Jeff from Milan, Italy - 6:08 PM
- Anonymous said...
The use of themes, sectors, countries, and avoidance are the teachings of Roger over the past several years that I've followed the blog. It's been difficult for me to use the thematic approach successfully,and I think I'm beginning to understand why. Themes require you to make assumptions that preclude the influence of disruptive forces to the presumed outcome. For example, the use of horizontal drilling has disrupted natural gas markets through increased low cost supply. I've recently read an article on SA about the use of subterranean geothermal that could be disruptive to nuclear, coal, and alternate energy sources for electrical production. These disruptive technologies or their equivalent social changes make it difficult for me to create successful investment themes. Sectors and countries have been much easier for me to understand and work with as building blocks. Same for tools such as SDS, inverse rate curves, and avoidance of over valued sectors. The recurring statement from both Roger and Hussman about avoiding a large loss is more important than scoring a large gain has worked well for me, and I'm thankful for their teaching me that protecting gains is an important part of building wealth. Mike C: I vote for door number 3. The countries will have more dispersion. I listen closely to Roger and Bill Gross for how to keep away from potential IED's.
Thanks for your hard work Roger,
Sam - 7:51 PM
- Anonymous said...
Below is a link to a paper from the Journal of Financial Planning that explores the use of a 12 month SMA strategy. The authors conclude a retiree's SWR can be increased using the method. From my perspective it supports what you advocate, so I thought it might interest you.
I am a firm believer in buy, hold, and rebalance but I am open to new ideas. By the way, I'm a long time reader and antagonistic (in a constructive way) poster.
http://www.fpajournal.org/CurrentIssue/TableofContents/ASimpleStrategyforPortfoliosTakingWithdrawals/ - 7:52 PM
- Roger Nusbaum said...
Sam, thank you for the kind word.
anon thanks for the link, i will take a gander - 7:56 PM
- Anonymous said...
Don't know why the whole link did not show. I will try again,
http://www.fpajournal.org/CurrentIssue/TableofContents/ASimpleStrategyforPortfoliosTakingWithdrawals/ - 7:59 PM
- Roger Nusbaum said...
long links don't fit for whatever reason;
here it is shortened;
http://bit.ly/aC3b7t - 8:01 PM
- Anonymous said...
Don't know the whole link won't paste.
Here's the title of the paper,
A Simple Dynamic Strategy for Portfolios Taking Withdrawals: Using a 12-Month Simple Moving Average - 8:01 PM
- Anonymous said...
From the paper referred to above, the following quote gives me the most cause for concern for the methods Roger promotes,
"A period of high monthly return volatility (from high positive monthly returns to high negative monthly returns and vice versa) leading to a whipsawing effect, not long-term market trends, is the biggest potential weakness in the 12-month SMA approach."
I wonder what the outcome would be if instead of 100% in or out, they were 80% in vs 20% in to minimize the whipsaw effect?
It would be refreshing to see some more peer reviewed academic papers along these lines. - 8:46 PM
- Anonymous said...
one the things I was reading was that every so often there is a down draft on equities. Commodities are generally the other way around. Meaning that the bigger climax tends to be on the upside. So in the creation of a portfolio I would also include a portion in commodities. This of course would have to be reaserched.
Jeff from Milan, Italy - 3:58 AM


text:
Nov 12, 2012, 05:16 PM | #1 |
Unable to close Multiple (!) Safari Windows
When I was out of the room, my cat decided to sit on my Macbook keyboard (it was running) and when I came back, somehow he had managed to open up about 70 Safari windows. This freezes the laptop and I cannot close them or quit Safari, nor even manage to get Safari shut down via force quit. The only thing that works is to shut the compter off with the on/off button. But then, as soon as I reopen Safari, all the windows come flying forth. I have check System, but nothing I've found or done has made any differene.
Suggestions? Thanks! |
0 |
Nov 12, 2012, 07:19 PM | #2 |
Hold down the OPTION key, then close one window by clicking its red circled-X control. All the windows should close.
Keyboard shortcut version: cmd+option+W |
0 |
Nov 12, 2012, 08:59 PM | #3 |
Hold the shift key when relaunching Safari. This temporarily disables the Resume feature which restores windows from the previous browsing session.
0 |
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From Wikiquote
Poverty is a state in which an individual, group, or population lack essential elements of life within their societies. This usually has the connotation of a lack of basic survival items like food, clothing, shelter, and health care, or the financial means to obtain these, but can also mean having less tangible problems like social exclusion, dependency, and the ability to participate in society. Its exact meaning varies considerably with context and the social environments involved.
- "Do you think, because I am poor, obscure, plain and little, I am soulless and heartless? You think wrong!. I have as much soul as you, and full as much heart! And if God had gifted me with some beauty and much wealth, I should have made it as hard for you to leave me, as it is now for me to leave you. I am not talking to you now through the medium of custom, conventionalities, nor even of mortal flesh: it is my spirit that addresses your spirit; just as if both had passed through the grave, and we stood at God's feet, equal — as we are!"
- Charlotte Brontë, Jane Eyre.
- The international community . . . allows nearly 3 billion people—almost half of all humanity—to subsist on $2 or less a day in a world of unprecedented wealth.
- Kofi Annan, Awake! magazine May 22, 2002; Can Globalization Really Solve Our Problems?
- One would have thought that it was even more necessary to limit population than property; and that the limit should be fixed by calculating the chances of mortality in the children, and of sterility in married persons. The neglect of this subject, which in existing states is so common, is a never-failing cause of poverty among the citizens; and poverty is the parent of revolution and crime.
- Aristotle, Politics, Book II, Section VI (Translation by Benjamin Jowett)
- In truth, poverty is an anomaly to rich people. It is very difficult to make out why people who want dinner do not ring the bell.
- Walter Bagehot, The Waverley Novels (1858).
- Come away; poverty's catching.
- Aphra Behn (1640-1689), English dramatist, The Rover, Part 2. I. (1681).
- There is a solitude in poverty, but a solitude which restores to each thing its value.
- Albert Camus (1913-1960), French philosopher. 'Between Yes and No', World Review magazine, March 1950.
- There's no scandal like rags, nor any crime so shameful as poverty.
- George Farquhar, The Beaux' Stratagem, Act I, sc. i. (1707).
- It is not true (what some people imagine) "that the common law of England made no provision for the poor": the Mirror shews the contrary. How, indeed, it was done does not appear.
- Foster, J., Rex v. Loxdale (1758), 1 Burr. Part IV. 450; reported in James William Norton-Kyshe, Dictionary of Legal Quotations (1904), p. 198.
- Poverty is no sin.
- George Herbert, Jacula Prudentum (1651).
- Who sees not, that whosoever ministers to the poor, ministers to God? as it appears in that solemn sentence of the last day, Inasmuch as you did feed, clothe, lodge the poor, you did it unto me.
- Hobart, C.J., Pits v. James (1614), Lord Hobart's Rep. 125; reported in James William Norton-Kyshe, Dictionary of Legal Quotations (1904), p. 198.
- Speak out on behalf of the voiceless, and for the rights of all who are vulnerable.
Speak out in order to judge with righteousness and to defend the needy and the poor.
- Proverbs 31:8-10 (CEB)
- For the first time in our history it is possible to conquer poverty.
- Lyndon B. Johnson's Special Message to Congress (16 March 1964).
- When two-thirds of the world's population still go to bed hungry every night, when hundreds of millions need shoes and Warmth, medicines and nourishment to prevent them from dying years before their time, the dereliction of science to reducing the greater part of the earth's surface to radio-active shambles is worse than a crime. It is a sin against the light.
- James Avery Joyce, Peace News, Dec. 13, 1957
- All Crimes are safe, but hated Poverty.
This, only this, the rigid Law persues.- Samuel Johnson, London: A Poem (1738), lines 159-160.
- Nil habet infelix paupertas durius in se
Quam quod ridiculos homines facit.
Poverty is bitter, but it has no harder pang than that it makes men ridiculous.- Juvenal, Satires, iii. 152.
- Though in a state of society some must have greater luxuries and comforts than others, yet all should have the necessaries of life; and if the poor cannot exist, in vain may the rich look for happiness or prosperity. The legislature is never so well employed as when they look to the interests of those who are at a distance from them in the ranks of society. It is their duty to do so: religion calls for it; humanity calls for it; and if there are hearts who are not awake to either of those feelings, their own interests would dictate it.
- Lord Kenyon, Rex v. Rusby (1800), Peake's N. P. Cases 192; reported in James William Norton-Kyshe, Dictionary of Legal Quotations (1904), p. 198-199.
- Real poverty comes only to those who indulge in food and drink. They have made themselves poor.
- Namboku Mizuno, Food Governs Your Destiny, p. 42.
- Poverty is never dishonourable in itself, but only when it is a mark of sloth, intemperance, extravagance, or thoughtlessness. When, on the other hand, it is the handmaid of a sober, industrious, righteous, and brave man, who devotes all his powers to the service of the people, it is the sign of a lofty spirit that harbours no mean thoughts
- Plutarch, Comparison of Aristides and Cato
- The greatest of evils and the worst of crimes is poverty.
- Bernard Shaw, Major Barbara (1906), preface
- No, madam, 'tis not so well that I am poor, though many of the rich are damned.
- William Shakespeare, All's Well That Ends Well (1600s), Act I, scene 3, line 17.
- I am as poor as Job, my lord, but not so patient.
- William Shakespeare, Henry IV, Part II (c. 1597-99), Act I, scene 2, line 144.
- It is still her use
To let the wretched man outlive his wealth,
To view with hollow eye and wrinkled brow
An age of poverty.- William Shakespeare, The Merchant of Venice (late 1590s), Act IV, scene 1, line 268.
- Poor and content is rich and rich enough,
But riches fineless is as poor as winter
To him that ever fears he shall be poor.- William Shakespeare, Othello (c. 1603), Act III, scene 3, line 172.
- Stepp'd me in poverty to the very lips.
- William Shakespeare, Othello (c. 1603), Act IV, scene 2, line 50.
- The world affords no law to make thee rich;
Then be not poor, but break it, and take this.- My poverty, but not my will, consents.
I pay thy poverty, and not thy will. - William Shakespeare, Romeo and Juliet (1597), Act V, scene 1, line 73.
- My poverty, but not my will, consents.
- Poverty is no discrace to a man, but it is confoundedly inconvenient.
- Reverand Samuel F. Smith (1808-1895), American Baptist minister and author. His Wit and Wisdom
- Reverand Sydney Smith (1771 - 1845), British clergyman, essayist and wit
- The rich is the one that rules over those of little means, and the borrower is servant to the man doing the lending.
- Whose plenty made him pore.
- Edmund Spenser, The Faerie Queene (1589-96), Book I, Canto IV, Stanza 29.
- His rawbone cheekes, through penurie and pine,
Were shronke into his jawes, as he did never dyne.- Edmund Spenser, The Faerie Queene (1589-96), Book I, Canto IX, Stanza 35.
- To be broke is not a disgrace, it is only a catastrophe.
- Rex Stout, as stated by the character, Nero Wolfe in The League of Frightened Men (1935).
- As for the virtuous poor, one can pity them of course, but one cannot possibly admire them.
- Oscar Wilde (1856-1900). 'The Soul of Man Under Socialism', originally published in the Fortnightly Review magazine, February 1891.
- We must address the root causes of terrorism to end it for all time. […] I believe putting resources into improving the lives of poor people is a better strategy than spending it on guns.
- Nobel Peace Prize-winner Muhammad Yunus; quoted in Karl Ritter and Doug Mellgren (10 December 2006). "Nobel laureate: Poverty fight essential". Associated Press (via Yahoo! News). Retrieved on 2006-12-10.
- So give to the poor; I'm begging you, I'm warning you, I'm commanding you, I'm ordering you.
- St. Augustine Sermon 61:13 [1]
- Alternate version:
- Give then to the poor; I beg, I advise, I charge, I command you.
- In the Bible, poverty is not in itself something to be applauded. It is in fact a wretched condition. Rich Christians romanticize it, misinterpreting the text "blessed are the poor in spirit," as when they claim, "I wish I were poor. Their lives are so uncomplicated, more simple. The poor don't have the worries of the rich." Poverty is not an ideal state. On the contrary, it is regarded as an evil condition in the Bible, because the poor are victims of injustice and oppression. Poverty is seen not so much as an absence of possessions, but as a condition of powerlessness. So poverty is not an ideal but an evil.
- The Rt. Revd. Colin Winter (1928-1981), The Breaking Process, London: SCM Press Ltd., 1981, p. 13. ISBN 0334001390.
- To listen to someone is to put oneself in his place while he is speaking. To put oneself in the place of someone whose soul is corroded by affliction, or in near danger of it, is to annihilate oneself. It is more difficult than suicide would be for a happy child. Therefore the afflicted are not listened to. They are like someone whose tongue has been cut out and who occasionally forgets the fact. When they move their lips no ear perceives any sound. And they themselves soon sink into impotence in the use of language, because of the certainty of not being heard.
That is why there is no hope for the vagrant as he stands before the magistrate. Even if, through his stammerings, he should utter a cry to pierce the soul, neither the magistrate nor the public will hear it. His cry is mute. And the afflicted are nearly always equally deaf to one another; and each of them, constrained by the general indifference, strives by means of self-delusion or forgetfulness to become deaf to his own self.- Simone Weil, Human Personality (1943), p. 71
Hoyt's New Cyclopedia Of Practical Quotations[edit]
- Quotes reported in Hoyt's New Cyclopedia Of Practical Quotations (1922), p. 620-22.
- Paupertas omnium artium repertrix.
- Poverty is the discoverer of all the arts.
- Apollonius, De Magia, p. 285. 35.
- Leave the poor
Some time for self-improvement. Let them not
Be forced to grind the bones out of their arms
For bread, but have some space to think and feel
Like moral and immortal creatures.- Philip James Bailey, Festus (1813), scene A Country Town.
- L'or même à la laideur donne un teint de beauté:
Mais tout devient affreux avec la pauvreté.- Gold gives an appearance of beauty even to ugliness: but with poverty everything becomes frightful.
- Nicolas Boileau-Despréaux, Satires, VIII. 209.
- Oh, the little more, and how much it is!
And the little less, and what worlds away.- Robert Browning, By the Fireside, Stanza 39.
- Needy knife-grinder! whither are ye going?
Rough is the road, your wheel is out of order;
Bleak blows the blast—your hat has got a hole in it.
So have your breeches.- Canning, The Friend of Humanity and the Knife-Grinder.
- Thank God for poverty
That makes and keeps us free,
And lets us go our unobtrusive way,
Glad of the sun and rain,
Upright, serene, humane,
Contented with the fortune of a day.- Bliss Carman, The Word at Saint Kavin's.
- Paupertatis onus patienter ferre memento.
- Patiently bear the burden of poverty.
- Dionysius Cato, Disticha, Lib. I, 21.
- He is now fast rising from affluence to poverty.
- Mark Twain, Henry Ward Beecher's Farm.
- The beggarly last doit.
- William Cowper, The Task (1785), Book V. The Winter Morning Walk, line 316.
- And plenty makes us poor.
- John Dryden, The Medal, line 126.
- Content with poverty, my soul I arm;
And virtue, though in rags, will keep me warm.- John Dryden, Third Book of Horace, Ode 29.
- Living from hand to mouth.
- Guillaume de Salluste Du Bartas, Divine Weekes and Workes, Second Week, First Day, Part IV.
- The greatest man in history was the poorest.
- Ralph Waldo Emerson, Domestic Life.
- Thou source of all my bliss and all my woe,
That found'st me poor at first, and keep'st me so.- Oliver Goldsmith, The Deserted Village (1770), line 413.
- The nakedness of the indigent world may be clothed from the trimmings of the vain.
- Oliver Goldsmith, The Vicar of Wakefield (1766), Chapter IV.
- Chill penury repress'd their noble rage,
And froze the genial current of the soul.- Thomas Gray, Elegy in a Country Churchyard, Stanza 13.
- Yes, child of suffering, thou may'st well be sure
He who ordained the Sabbath loves the poor!- Oliver Wendell Holmes, Urania; or, A Rhymed Lesson, line 325.
- O God! that bread should be so dear,
And flesh and blood so cheap!- Thomas Hood, The Song of the Shirt.
- Stitch! stitch! stitch!
In poverty, hunger, and dirt,
And still with a voice of dolorous pitch,
Would that its tone could reach the Rich,
She sang this "Song of the Shirt!"- Thomas Hood, Song of the Shirt, Stanza 11.
- Magnas inter opes inops.
- Penniless amid great plenty.
- Horace, Carmina, Book III. 16. 28.
- Pauper enim non est cui rerum suppetet usus.
- He is not poor who has the use of necessary things.
- Horace, Epistles, I. 12. 4.
- Ibit eo quo vis qui zonam perdidit.
- The man who has lost his purse will go wherever you wish.
- Horace, Epistles, II. 2. 40.
- Grind the faces of the poor.
- Isaiah, III. 15.
- The poor always ye have with you.
- John, XII. 8.
- All this [wealth] excludes but one evil,—poverty.
- Samuel Johnson, reported in James Boswell, Life of Samuel Johnson (1777).
- Nil habet infelix paupertas durius in se
Quam quod ridiculos homines facit.- Cheerless poverty has no harder trial than this, that it makes men the subject of ridicule.
- Juvenal, Satires, III. V. 152.
- Haud facile emergunt quorum virtutibus obstat
Res angusta domi.- They do not easily rise whose abilities are repressed by poverty at home.
- Juvenal, Satires, III. 164.
- Hic vivimus ambitiosa
Paupertate omnes.- Here we all live in ambitious poverty.
- Juvenal, Satires, III. 182.
- O Poverty, thy thousand ills combined
Sink not so deep into the generous mind,
As the contempt and laughter of mankind.- Juvenal, Satires, III, line 226. Gifford's translation.
- Cantabit vacuus coram latrone viator.
- The traveler without money will sing before the robber.
- Juvenal, Satires, X. 22.
- Paupertas fugitur, totoque arcessitur orbe.
- Poverty is shunned and persecuted all over the globe.
- Marcus Annaeus Lucanus, Pharsalia, I. 166.
- If you are poor now, Æmilianus, you will always be poor. Riches are now given to none but the rich.
- Martial, Epigrams (c. 80-104 AD), Book V, Epigram 8.
- Non est paupertas, Nestor, habere nihil.
- To have nothing is not poverty.
- Martial, Epigrams (c. 80-104 AD), XI. 32. 8.
- La pauvreté des biens est aysee à guerir; la pauvreté de l'âme, impossible.
- The lack of wealth is easily repaired; but the poverty of the soul is irreparable.
- Michel de Montaigne, Essays, III. 10.
- Rattle his bones over the stones!
He's only a pauper whom nobody owns!- Thomas Noel, The Pauper's Drive.
- Horrea formicæ tendunt ad inania nunquam
Nullus ad amissas ibit amicus opes.- Ants do not bend their ways to empty barns, so no friend will visit the place of departed wealth.
- Ovid, Tristium, I. 9. 9.
- Inops, potentem dum vult imitari, perit.
- The poor, trying to imitate the powerful, perish.
- Phaedrus, Fables, I. 24. 1.
- Paupertas … omnes artes perdocet.
- Poverty is a thorough instructress in all the arts.
- Plautus, Stichus, Act II. 1.
- But to the world no bugbear is so great,
As want of figure and a small estate.- Alexander Pope, First Book of Horace, Epistle I, line 67.
- Where are those troops of poor, that throng'd of yore
The good old landlord's hospitable door?- Alexander Pope, Satires of Dr. Donne, Satire II, line 113.
- So shall thy poverty come as one that travelleth, and thy want as an armed man.
- Proverbs, VI. 11.
- The destruction of the poor is their poverty.
- Proverbs. X. 15.
- He that hath pity upon the poor lendeth unto the Lord.
- Proverbs, XIX. 17.
- Blessed is he that considereth the poor.
- Psalms. XLI. 1.
- Whene'er I walk the public ways,
How many poor that lack ablution
Do probe my heart with pensive gaze,
And beg a trivial contribution.- Owen Seaman, Bitter Cry of the Great Unpaid.
- Non qui parum habet, sed qui plus cupit, pauper est.
- Not he who has little, but he who wishes for more, is poor.
- Seneca, Epistolæ Ad Lucilium, II.
- Nemo tam pauper vivit quam natus est.
- No one lives so poor as he is born.
- Seneca, Quare bonis viris.
- Paupertas sanitatis mater.
- Poverty is the mother of health.
- Vincent of Beauvais, Speculum Historiale, Book X, Chapter LXXI. Herbert, Jacula Prudentum (1651).
- Whene'er I take my walks abroad,
How many poor I see!- Isaac Watts, Praise for Mercies.
Dictionary of Burning Words of Brilliant Writers[edit]
Quotes reported in Josiah Hotchkiss Gilbert, Dictionary of Burning Words of Brilliant Writers (1895).
- As no one can adventure nearer the throne of God by virtue of his rank, his wealth, or his talent, so no one is kept farther from that throne by his low condition, or by his poverty of wealth, of learning, or of intellect. The prince and the sage are not more welcome to heaven than the poor and ignorant.
- Albert Barnes, p. 455.
- Aspirations pure and high —
Strength to do and to endure —
Heir of all the Ages, I —
Lo! I am no longer poor!- Julia Caroline Dorr, p. 455.
- It is not poverty so much as pretense that harasses a ruined man.
- Washington Irving, p. 455.
- There is not such a mighty difference as some men imagine between the poor and the rich; in pomp, show, and opinion, there is a great deal, but little as to the pleasures and satisfactions of life. They enjoy the same earth and air and heavens; hunger and thirst make the poor man's meat and drink as pleasant and relishing as all the varieties which cover the rich man's table; and the labor of a poor man is more healthful, and many times more pleasant, too, than the ease and softness of the rich.
- Thomas Sherlock, p. 454.
- The world's proverb is, "God help the poor, for the rich can help themselves;" but to our mind, it is just the rich who have most need of Heaven's help. Dives in scarlet is worse off than Lazarus in rags, unless Divine love shall uphold him.
- Charles Spurgeon, p. 454.
- It was Lazarus faith, not his poverty, which brought him into Abraham's bosom.
- Richard Chenevix Trench, p. 455.
- Where justice is denied, where poverty is enforced, where ignorance prevails, and where any one class is made to feel that society is in an organized conspiracy to oppress, rob, and degrade them, neither persons nor property will be safe.
- Frederick Douglass speech, April 1886.
- Wealth converts a strange land into homeland and poverty turns a native place into a strange land.
- The hopes of the Republic cannot forever tolerate either undeserved poverty or self-serving wealth.
- Poverty is like punishment for a crime you didn't commit. And one never really forgets either — everything serves as a constant reminder of it.
- It's the same the whole world over,
It's the poor wot gets the blame,
It's the rich wot gets the gravy.
Ain't it all a bleedin' shame?- Chorus of the song "She was Poor but she was Honest", popular among British Army soldiers during the First World War.
- If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
- Bernard Baruch
- Also attributed, in various forms, to Abraham Maslow and others, as the Law of the Instrument.
- Poverty must have many satisfactions, else there would not be so many poor people.
- Don Herold (1889-1966), American Humorist
- Beg help and you will meet with refusals; ask for alms and you will meet with misers.
- A poor man has no friends.
- He who has no house has no word in society.
- Poverty is no disgrace, but it's a great inconvenience.
- English Proverb (16th Century).
- Beggars cannot be choosers.
- English proverb (16th Century).


text:
Twin Cities good Samaritan is Northland's own
It really wasn't a big deal, the Minneapolis police officer insisted after scribbling a note and stuffing it into the pocket of a man who suffered a seizure and passed out behind the wheel. Just part of the job.
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Students at Duluth East and Denfeld high schools may be free to leave campus during lunch next year, after all.
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Dallas Seavey won his second Iditarod sled-dog race in three years on Tuesday, unseating his father, Mitch, as defending champion while breaking the race record for fastest time. Meanwhile, Northland musher Nathan Schroeder was running in 22nd place on Tuesday morning.
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The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has reached a settlement with the Fond du Lac and Grand Portage bands of Lake Superior Chippewa and two environmental groups over the sulfate discharge from the Mesabi Nugget iron nugget plant near Hoyt Lakes.
Snow load on roofs diminishing with melt
That sigh you hear when the house is quiet tonight may be your roof trusses relaxing a little after carrying an aching load of snow this winter.
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RELATED CONTENTBrunch?
A bald eagle perches in a spruce tree overlooking a clear cut in the forest near Barnum hoping to scavenge what it can Tuesday morning. (Bob King / firstname.lastname@example.com)


text:
Tracy Turnblad's dream is to dance on the Corny Collins Show. Her other dream is racial integration. She hopes to conquer both dreams at the same time. The continued success of the Broadway musical Hairspray has spurred Hollywood to make another major motion picture so Tracy is going to get her chance to do it all over again.
If you've been around long enough you probably know Hairspray is a "cult classic" film written and directed by John Waters. It first appeared in the late 80's and starred the likes of Ricki Lake and Sonny Bono.
In 2002, Broadway forever immortalized the image of Tracy Turnblad with the image of Broadway Tony Award winning actress Marissa Jaret Winokur. It's not surprising that Hollywood would jump on the tails of this Broadway success with another updated version.
The current movie incarnation will be released in July and carries some big names. John Travolta dons some fake pudge to play Tracy Turnblad's mother Edna. While I think he looks adorable it really would have been nice if they would have found a real rounded woman to play her. At least Tracy is a real plus size woman played by newcomer Nicole Blonsky. Other actors include Christopher Walken, Allison Janney, Michelle Pfeiffer, Queen Latifah, James Marsden, and Jerry Stiller (who played Wilbur Turnblad in the first movie).
Here's a Movie Cast Comparison, Then (1988) and Now (2007):
* Tracy Turnblad Ricki Lake Nicole Blonsky
* Edna Turnblad/Arvin Hodgepile Divine John Travolta (Edna)
* Wilbur Turnblad Jerry Stiller Christopher Walken
* Motormouth Maybelle Ruth Brown ... Queen Latifah
* Velma Von Tussle Deborah Harry ... Michelle Pfeiffer
* Amber von Tussle Colleen Fitzpatrick ... Brittany Snow
* Franklin von Tussle Sonny Bono not listed in cast
* Seaweed J. Stubbs Clayton Prince ... Elijah Kelley
* Penny Pingleton Leslie Ann Powers ... Amanda Bynes
* Prudence "Prudy" Pingleton Joann Havrilla Allison Janney
* Link Larkin Michael St. Gerard Zac Efron
* Mr. Pinky Alan J. Wendl Jerry Stiller
* Corny Collins Shawn Thompson James Marsden
* Lil' Inez Cyrkle Milbourne Taylor Parks
You'll notice there are a few miner changes in characters. While the star-struck teenagers from Baltimore haven't changed, the musical comedy does have a new screenplay written by Leslie Dixon (Freaky Friday) that is still sure to maintain its comic appeal. As far as I know Tracy's goal is still to dance on the Corny Collins Show while striving to implement racial integration.
If you're a big fan of the musical Hairspray you may want to invest a few dollars in the dolls based on the new movie characters. Yes I said dolls! Move over Barbie! They will be available in July 2007 when the new Hairspray film releases. Each doll will carry the likeness of the current actors and have on clothing imitations from the film. You probably won't find the whole cast but you will find: Amber von Tussel (Brittany Snow), Link Larkin (Zac Efron), Tracy Turnblad (Nicole Blonsky), Mom Edna (John Travolta), Seaweed J. Stubbs (Elijah Kelley), and Penny Pingleton (Amanda Bynes). They range in size from 10 - 12 inches and range in price from $14 - $25. Some of these cuties even sing!
They may be available from such stores as: Costco, Family Dollar, Kmart, Target, Walgreens, Kohl's, KB Toys, Meijer, ShopKo, Toys R Us and Walmart. So keep an eye out for them. I may have to get myself a little Johnny doll.
* Select Hairspray Dolls are available from Amazon.
* Hairspray (2002 Original Broadway Cast) is available from Amazon.com.
* Hairspray (1988) is available from Amazon.com.


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Last year, I wrote a column bemoaning the fact that, thanks to social media and blogs devoted exclusively to Academy Award prognostication, the Oscars have lost all their suspense.
Oh what a difference a year makes!
I'm not quite sure how it happened, but the Oscars are a veritable free-for-all this year. Oh sure, there are a couple of locks: Daniel Day Lewis for Best Actor and Anne Hathaway for Best Supporting Actress are "bet the ranch" type material. But everything else feels gloriously, uncharacteristically up in the air.
The weirdness of this year's race started when the nominees came out and both Ben Affleck and Kathryn Bigelow were shut out of the Best Director's category. Since Argo and Zero Dark Thirty were at the time seen as legitimate Best Picture contenders, it sent the whole race into a tailspin: Wait, how can either of those films win Best Picture if their directors weren't seen worthy of recognition? (Yes, films have won Best Picture without the director getting nominated before—Driving Miss Daisy was the most recent one—but it is a rare feat.)
But then something bizarre happened: Some combination of Ben Affleck and Argo started to win every pre-Oscar award. And I mean every one: Critic's Choice. Golden Globes. Screen Actor's Guild, Director's Guild. You name it.
Argo suddenly had the kind of momentum that seemed to lead to an inevitable Best Picture win. But if so, where does that leave the Best Director race? And what does it say about the Oscar nomination process? Argo may not be auteurist in the true sense, but it's Affleck's sense of timing, humor, and suspense that makes the film hum. So if Argo is the best film, why wasn't he nominated?
The Affleck Effect may explain the uncertainty over Best Picture and Best Director, but it doesn't explain why I still have no clue who's going to win Best Actress or Best Supporting Actor.
Whatever the reason, it's great to have Oscar race that is so uncertain for a change. Last year I watched with a "gotta make the donuts" grimness. This year, I'm breathless with anticipation. So let's examine the awards a little more closely, shall we?
Who will win: It does, indeed, look like ARGO. Even though that would leave the Academy with a bit of egg on their faces for not nominating Affleck.
Who might win:
The prestigious Lincoln should've been a mortal Oscar lock—a grand film by America's most treasured director about a significant time in American history. But, by focusing on the inside politics of the abolishment of slavery, by making the film more about Lincoln the man than Lincoln the myth, so to speak, Spielberg's film feels ever-so-slightly wonky, a beautifully-constructed civics class. Still, it certainly has a real shot.
And never count out Silver Linings Playbook, a more- delightful-than-it-should-be film about bipolar disorder which is backed by the almighty Harvey Weinstein, Oscar's Machiavelli, a man who never met an award's race he couldn't manipulate.
Who will win: Can I say, beats me? Nah, guess not. Okay, then, I'll go with STEVEN SPIELBERG. When in doubt, go with the living legend.
Who might win: The fabulous Chinese-American director Ang Lee did a masterful job with Life of Pi and his name has been getting increasing "hey, could happen" buzz. But the buzz isn't loud of enough to convince me. This really doesn't feel like Life of Pi's year.
Then there's David O. Russell for Silver Linings Playbook. As you'll see, I never count out anyone on Team Weinstein. Ever since the film won for Best Comedy at the Golden Globes, the Silver Linings Playbook gang have been masterfully trying to convince us that their film is NOT a comedy, as comedies rarely win Academy Awards. It's true that the film deals with mental illness and has richly etched characters, but it still falls squarely in the romantic comedy genre. Nice try, guys.
Who will win: DANIEL DAY LEWIS will win the 2013 Oscar for Best Actor. Enuf said.
Who will win: Okay, here's where I might be going with my heart a bit instead of my head (always a deadly sin for Oscar prognosticators.) But I just have this gut feeling that the sublime EMMANUELLE RIVA from Amour might win it. Her performance as a woman clinging to her dignity and identity in the last stages of her life was haunting, nuanced, emotional—heroic. And at 80 years old, it's fair to say this will likely be Riva's last chance to win the award. Might Oscar voters honor her? Or was Amour simply too dark, too intimate, too foreign to appeal to the Academy?
Who might win: Well, Jennifer Lawrence is considered the frontrunner, so obviously she may very well win. I do, however, think there might be a "not so fast, whippersnapper" factor to the 23-year-old's nomination. She's a rising star—there will be many more nominations (and wins) in her future.
Jessica Chastain also has a shot. She, too, is a rising star—a smart actress and a true chameleon. In Zero Dark Thirty, she flips the script on a paradigm that has been successful for male actors—the tough, driven, nearly crazed-by-obsession CIA agent who brings down Bin Laden. Oscar voters love her.
Who will win: ANNE HATHAWAY. Next!
Who will win: I'm really on the fence about this one (a theme). Experts say ROBERT DE NIRO, so great as a disappointed father who expresses a panoply of unspoken emotions through his obsession with football, has the edge. De Niro + Weinstein does seem pretty formidable, so okay, I'll go with that.
Who might win: Um, everyone else. Seriously, I could make the case for all of them (okay, maybe not Phillip Seymour Hoffman, cause The Master is just too weird and highbrow for the Academy)—but yeah, Tommy Lee Jones, Christoph Waltz, Alan Arkin, all contenders. I'd say Jones has the next best shot.
A few more predictions without analysis:
Best Original Song: "Skyfall"
Best Animated Feature: Wreck-It Ralph
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
Best Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Best Adapted Screenplay: Tony Kushner, Lincoln
Best Documentary: Searching For Sugar Man
Two final thoughts:
People often think that I have an advantage in picking the Oscars because I see so many films. Actually, the opposite is true. If anything, seeing the films is a disadvantage when it comes to picking Oscars. It's all about reading the tealeaves. Being emotionally attached to a particular performance or actor only clouds your judgment.
And here is a picture of my dog Oscar: