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Have a community conversation about teen pregnancy
As local author and educator Jean Harper notes well in a recent blog post, the issue of young people becoming parents before they're ready is a serious one that needs critical attention in our community. Teen pregnancies have a direct impact on the health and well being of our young citizens, on the ability of our education system to be effective, and on many other aspects of community life.
To be sure, it's a difficult issue to tackle, especially given the strong feelings and opinions that come up around related issues - the role of the state in parenting, sex education in schools, abortion, etc.
We shouldn't expect everyone in the community to agree about these issues or what to do, but we could take some steps in the right direction by facilitating some intentional conversations in the community about the issue of teen pregnancy and how to address it.
It could take the form of the Study Circles programs that have been conducted in the past around issues of racism, poverty, and other core issues - groups form and agree to meet over the course of a few weeks or months, using some guided discussion and supporting materials to help them along.
Perhaps there are existing organizations doing work with family issues that could take the lead on this?

subset: commoncrawl


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CIRCLEVILLE � This is how a tiny mountain town ended up with three gymnasiums and three public kitchens within 50 yards of each other, all in the name of saving money.
Twelve years ago, county school officials said they had to close historic Circleville K-12 School to cut costs.
It�s a relic from the 1930s, they said. It�s expensive to maintain and doesn�t meet the needs of children anymore.
Besides, the state School Building Authority wouldn�t give the county money unless it consolidated schools, they said.
After a bitter court battle, they closed Circleville in 1998. They built a new elementary nearby � close enough that a sixth-grader could throw a baseball and hit their old school.
They sent the junior and senior high students to Franklin, after building an addition and renovating the high school there.
Cost: $9.2 million, paid almost entirely by the state School Building Authority.
While they were building the new elementary school, they ran short of money. They had to cut the size of the gymnasium in half.
�No fair,� local parents cried. They had been promised a full-sized gym.
They turned to their state representative, who happens to be Finance Committee chairman of the House of Delegates.
Three gymnasiums, Related graphic is available for download here. href="http://www.adobe.com/products/acrobat/readstep.html">Adobe Acrobat required for .pdf files) |
He found state money to build the kitchen and gymnasium that now bears his name, the Harold K. Michael Community Building. It stands between the old school and the new one.
Cost: more than $600,000 from the state Budget Digest.
Meanwhile, community volunteers like Dot Bennett worked to bring the old school back to its former glory. Earlier this month, she showed visitors the results.
They polished the wooden gym floors and painted the old bleachers gleaming white and green, and installed new kitchen equipment in the old home economics room. With some additional work, the building soon will meet all fire and safety codes, Bennett said.
Cost: about $200,000, from grants, local fund-raisers and state funds.
�They said it would cost millions to fix this building,� Bennett said. She waved her hand at the gymnasium ceiling, at the new lights and paint. �Look what we�ve been able to do with so little.�
Twelve years ago, county officials estimated it would cost $6.6 million to build a new Circleville School.
They never estimated how much it would cost to renovate the old building, which is on the National Register of Historic Places.
�That�s outrageous not to even explore all of the options,� said Constance Beaumont of the National Trust of Historic Places. �It�s heartbreaking, as well as wasteful.�
Other states have discovered they can save millions through renovations and still give students a modern school, she said.
During the closure debate, Clacy Williams, executive director of the state School Building Authority, said the building was a firetrap. You could start a fire by dropping a match on its wooden floors, he said.
Jerry Myers, a school architect in Idaho, has renovated several schools with wooden floors and met fire codes. Even replacing the floors could be cheaper than building something new, he said.
Bennett isn�t a construction expert. But she�s convinced that county officials were so determined to close Circleville, they didn�t want to ask if renovation was possible.
�If we could�ve gotten the money they�ve spent on these other buildings, we would�ve had the Taj Mahal here,� she said.
�It�s a shame it had to happen. If they had any sense, it wouldn�t have,� she said.
No savings, few new classes
In the last decade, Pendleton County school officials closed one high school and two elementary schools. The survival of the school system depended on consolidation, they said, to cut costs and improve curriculum for students.
But predictions of big savings have failed to come true.
They�ve cut only three staff members, when they promised to cut 10.
Meanwhile, student enrollment has dropped by almost 200 students, the equivalent of four loaded school buses.
County officials are trying to explain the falling enrollment. Hanover Shoe, the county�s biggest employer, shut its doors two years ago.
Also, about 70 North Fork Valley students who would have attended Circleville drive or take a bus to schools in other counties, such as Petersburg High in Grant County.


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Nominations are in for the 2014 MTV Movie Awards
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Achy Breaky Part 2 is a thing and now the world makes sense
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Add these new songs to your playlist ASAP
Miley, Charlie and more!
December 3rd, 2012
We reported it last week and now we have our first glimpse at the upcoming Beyonce documentary, which will surely be the best thing ever.
In this snippet of the HBO doc, we see a number of intimate, never-seen-before clips of the singer. She narrates over the teaser, "I always battle with how much do I reveal about myself," to which to continues, "If I'm scared, be scared. Allow it. Release it."
CAN'T. WAIT. The documentary is set to air on HBO on Feb. 16.
Watch the teaser below:
Tags: beyonce, documentary, HBO, News
Posted on Monday, December 3rd, 2012 at 3:06 pm by Melody and is filed under Blog, Celebrities & Pop Culture, Movies, Music & Videos, News.


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Accueil › GLH Worldwide Partners: Rotary International ›
GLH Worldwide Partners: Rotary International
Rotary International
On 17-18 May 2013 Rotary Global Peace Forum Hiroshima, "Peace begins with you", was held in Hiroshima. GLH Co-Founders Tomoko Watanabe and Nassrine Azimi, both gave their presentations, with the title each "Peace activities as global citizen" and "Hiroshima's many legacies", respectively. In commemoration of the new relationship between Rotary International and GLHI, Ginkgo saplings of Hiroshima A-bombed trees were presented to Mr. Sakuji Tanaka, President of Rotary International. It is planned to plant the trees on the grounds of the headquarters of Rotary International in Evanston. 5 saplings of Ginkgo biloba, 5 saplings of Camphor, and 3 advetitious buds of Japanese fern palm were also presented to Rotary Club of Honolulu, where the prior peace forum was held.
In the afternoon of 18 May, GLH team also gave an A-bombed tree tour to some of the forum participants.


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Election 2012
4:00 am
Mon December 26, 2011
GOP Candidates Take Christmas Off
By Kate Wells
The Iowa caucuses are a little more than a week away. The candidates dialed back the intensity of their TV ads this past weekend, featuring gentler messages many of which showcased the candidates' wives. Iowa Public Radio's Kate Wells reports on the Iowa landscape this past weekend - and what's likely in the coming week.


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Offer - Bassetts Early Health Strawberry Pastilles 45 per pack
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MONDAY, MAY 31, 2010DENTAL SCHOOL PATIENT PARKING LOT: · A new paved parking lot is being constructed across Florida Ave. from the Clinic Building to provide improved, safer and more convenient parking for the clinic patients. · The contractor mobilized equipment to the work site. LANDSCAPING/EXTERIOR: · Facility Services cleaned and maintained the new planting beds at the School of Dentistry. LIONS/LSU CLINIC BLDG 8th FLOOR RENOVATIONS: · The contractor continued installing junction boxes for the can lights in the large conference room. · The walls in the large conference room were painted. · Workers installed ceiling tiles in the small conference room. RESIDENCE HALL PERMANENT REPAIRS & MITIGATION: · The contractor continued to build the concrete forms for the second level slab. RESOURCE CENTER PERMANENT REPAIRS & MITIGATION: · The contractor completed waterproofing the pit for Elevators #3 and #4. · They continued cleaning the exterior granite panels on the south side of the building. |
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Hang tight!
Recipe by sal
"Chicken breasts baked with soy sauce, vinegar, bell peppers and water chestnuts. Ta dah! That's it! Very tasty and simple."
Watch video tips and tricks
6 skinless, boneless chicken breast halves
1 cup soy sauce
1/2 cup vinegar
1 green bell pepper, chopped
2 (8 ounce) cans sliced water chestnuts, drained
I used skinless drumsticks and cooked 10 to 15 minutes longer, turning 1/2 way thru. Instead of the canned chestnuts I added ALOT of frozen stir fry Veges. Served with brown rice. Also,used apple cider vinnegar because that's what I had. Thanks for recipe!
I'm not trying to be mean, but this really isn't a good recipe at all. The chicken turned out okay, but the sauce and veggies we're too salty and tart to eat. Maybe this recipe would be better as a marinade.
23 Ratings
I thought this recipe had potential, so I played with it just a bit. First of all, I used low sodium soy sauce, cut the vinegar back to a quarter cup, added low sodium chicken broth, honey and seasonings to the sauce and heated it before I poured over the chicken. The kids went wild over it and found the drumsticks I used to be crispy and very flavorful. Good start Sarah and thanks!
For some reason the recipe turned out a little too salty for my taste.
I love this recipe...in fact after eating it I realized this was the exact same thing my mom made for us as kids! I used a low sodium soy sauce, added onions and carrots...served it over rice...yum!!!!!
I cheat and use a red,green,and onion frozen mix, and people love it...one warning it is SALTY!
I also added a bit of honey and just loved it! The water chestnuts were a little dry so I think I will let them cook in the juices and not on top. The flavor was wonderful and even the left over chicken was great
I tried this last night for the family. I jazzed it up at as suggested with salt, pepper and seasoning and cut the vinagar back by 1/4. the water chestnuts worked well but the sauce was way too thin. Most certainly not a keeper in my book.
* Percent Daily Values are based on a 2,000 calorie diet.
Easy Asian Baked Chicken
Serving Size: 1/6 of a recipe Servings Per Recipe: 6 Amount Per Serving Calories: 198 Calories from Fat: 14
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Me Talk Pretty One Dayby David Sedaris
Synopses & ReviewsPublisher Comments:A new collection from David Sedaris is cause for jubilation. His recent move to Paris has inspired hilarious pieces, including "Me Talk Pretty One Day", about his attempts to learn French. His family is another inspiration. "You Can't Kill the Rooster" is a portrait of his brother who talks incessant hip-hop slang to his bewildered father. And no one hones a finer fury in response to such modern annoyances as restaurant meals presented in ludicrous towers and cashiers with 6-inch fingernails. Compared by The New Yorker to Twain and Hawthorne, Sedaris has become one of our best-loved authors.
-- And he's an NPR star. Sedaris's commentaries and observations are featured regularly on NPR, and he remains a top correspondent for Ira Glass's series "This American Life".
-- Sedaris is an amazing reader whose appearances draw hundreds, and his performances — including a jaw-dropping impression of Billie Holiday singing "I wish I were an Oscar Meyer weiner" — are unforgettable.
-- Sedaris's essays on living in Paris are some of the funniest he's ever written. At last, someone even meaner than the French!
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Other Names for this Disease
- Type - Epigastric - defect in the cephalic fold
- Type - Hypogastric - defect in the caudal fold
See Disclaimer regarding information on this site. Some links on this page may take you to organizations outside of the National Institutes of Health.
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by the Genetic and Rare Diseases Information CenterPlease contact us with your questions about Paraomphalocele. We will answer your question and update these pages with new resources and information.
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UNK Quick Links Quick Links A-Z Website Listing Office of the Chancellor Campus Maps UNK Factbook Calendar of Events Policies & Procedures Contact Information Registrar's Office UNK Alert Undergraduate Graduate International eCampus Scholarships & Fin. Aid Academic Affairs American Democracy Undergraduate Studies International Education Study Abroad Academic Calendar Colleges & Departments Computer Use Policy Course Catalog Library eCampus Classes Schedule of Classes Transcripts Firefly Academic Calendar Blackboard LoperMail eCampus Helpdesk (ITS) Major/Advisor Change (ugrad) Student Union Student Government LoperCAREERS Telecommunications The Antelope Online KLPR Radio UNK ID Card MyBLUE Blackboard Ektron Login Faculty Senate Firefly Future Catalog Helpdesk (ITS) Email Staff Senate Telephone Directory UNK ID Card myBlue Assessment Current Catalog Faculty Handbook Policies & Procedures The Antelope Online UNK Today UNK Factbook Business & Finance Academic & Career Services Contact Information Employment at UNK Human Resources ITS Police/Parking Services Dining Services Alumni Association NU Foundation NU System
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Programs of Excellence Funding at the University of Nebraska at Kearney
Fiscal Year 2006 Report
Compiled by Finnie A. MurraySenior Vice Chancellor for Academic Affairs and Student LifeMarch 31, 2006
At UNK, the Programs of Excellence (POE) program has been extremely beneficial in building strength and productivity in some of our most successful academic programs. The Program at UNK has evolved over the years in which it has been in existence, as campus and programmatic needs have changed during that time. In FY03 and FY04, a substantial portion of the POE funds were allocated for the use of select priority programs at the discretion of deans and department chairs. That practice was particularly useful and beneficial at that time, in that it allowed application of resources where the people closest to the priority programs saw the opportunity for greatest positive impact. However, budget cuts applied during FY03 and FY04 had a negative effect on all programs at UNK, including those designated as Programs of Excellence. These effects have made it difficult to hire new faculty for some of our priority programs, and we have requested some new POE funds and reallocated POE funds to address these needs. In addition, a deepening commitment on the part of all of our priority programs to undergraduate/faculty research has been addressed by application of new POE money and by reallocation from discretionary uses. Finally, in light of the high importance of teacher education programs to the state and to UNK, we have progressively allocated POE funds to enhancement of our teacher renewal and network of partner schools programs in support of our teacher education programs. All three of these changes in emphasis began in FY04, but were progressively strengthened in both FY05 and FY06.
The report of our application of POE funds for FY06 follows.
A. Title of the Project: Biology Faculty – Distance Education. $45,902 (below)B. Department Excellence Discretionary Expenditures. $123,000C. Equipment for Priority Programs. $87,690D. Exercise Science: Human Performance Lab Coordinator. $25,000E. Faculty (new) Salary Enhancements. $100,000F. Graduate Assistant Stipends. $57,400G. Multimedia/Visual Design, including Student Facutly Collabortive Research. $118.810H. Sponsored Programs Office Assistant Director. $37,500I. Social Work Faculty. $40,265J. Manangement Faculty/grant writer for College of Business and Technology. $50,454K. Undergraduate Research--Student Faculty Collaborative Reserach. $386,710


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This is flowers on an artichoke plant. If you don't eat the artichoke fruit from the plant it will turn into a blossom. I have several artichoke plants and so does my neighbors. Several times the fruit is not picked to be eaten and produce flowers. These are unique. I have shared some with others who have never seen a artichoke blossom.
Natures Bouquet
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March 12, 2014
COLLEGE STATION -- The Texas A&M football team opened its 2007 fall camp on Monday with a spirited workout that started in the new McFerrin Athletic Center and ended on the adjacent grass practice fields.
The Aggies, who went 9-4 last season, return nine starters on offense and six on defense from a team that earned a spot in the Pacific Life Holiday Bowl. The Aggies are ranked No. 25 in the preseason USA Today/ESPN Coaches Poll.
"It was a good first workout -- good retention, good work habits and good athleticism," said fifth-year Aggie head coach Dennis Franchione said. "The older guys did a good job of leading and helped coach the young guys. The young guys learned pretty well by watching. We went outside for the last 30 minutes because we needed more space for the team drill. The first day is always a little more high anxiety but they pushed through and did a good job."
Franchione was asked if any of his veterans caught his eye on the first day of fall camp.
"I thought two guys lost some weight over the summer and that caught my eye," Franchione said. "Howard Morrow and Pierre Brown both trimmed down and I thought they looked quicker with the loss of the weight. Red Bryant and Chris Harrington showed the effect of being away from football from eight months. There's no other way to get ready for practice other than to practice. They didn't look bad; I just know it was taxing for them today."
Franchione singled out a handful of newcomers that stood out to him.
"Billy Chavis did a nice job. Lionel Smith, Derrick Stephens, Nick Trice, Bradley Stephens, Harold Turnage. I paid special attention to them in the individual drills and I was pleased with the way the new guys looked."
The Aggies return to the practice field on Tuesday with a single workout in shorts and helmets. All fall workouts are closed to the general public.


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Annual Report (2000)
12 December 2000
Walter Gegner, Department Head
Minneapolis Public Library
300 Nicollet Mall
Minneapolis MN 55401
(612) 630-6332
e-mail: email@example.com
Walter Gegner, chair; Jill Vetter, acting secretary/treasurer; Rosemary Furtak, past chair
ARLIS/TC has 21 members representing art libraries in Minneapolis and St. Paul. The chapter met four times this year at various locations throughout the metropolitan area.
Summary of Meetings:
Ten ARLIS/TC members met January 18th at the Perpich Center for Arts Education in Golden Valley, where Jim Marshall, Director of the Learning Resource Center, provided us with a tour of the facility. PCAE is the only arts high school in the state of Minnesota. Established in 1985 by the Minnesota Legislature, the Center has provided public education centered in the arts to junior and senior high school students for over a decade. ARLIS members, Jim Marshall and Jeanne Iverson, staff the Learning Resource Center which includes 12,000 catalogued titles, videotapes, curriculum materials. LRC is an innovative arts library that is open to residents of Minnesota as well as the 300 students attending PCAE. After our orientation in the library we then toured the impressive PCAE campus including classrooms, performance spaces, and art studios.
Twelve ARLIS/TC members next met on February 24th at The Archie Givens Sr. Collection of African American Literature. Recently appointed curator, Kathryn M. Neal, provided us with a history of the Givens collection and a chance to view some of the wonderful items in it. Neal explained that The Givens Collection is one of the richest collections of African American literature, biography, social science, and art known to exist. It contains over 6,000 books, pamphlets, manuscripts, letters, and ephemera produced during a span of over 200 years, from the late eighteenth century to the present. One of the collection's special strengths is the Harlem Renaissance era of the 1920s, including works by James Weldon Johnson, Langston Hughes, Claude McKay, and others who made their time and place a watershed in African American literature and the arts.
Our next meeting was May 20th, where six members gathered at the new Open Book building for a behind-the-scenes preview of the new facility. Located in a renovated warehouse, Open Book is a truly innovative non-profit facility combining three literary institutions: Minnesota Center for Book Arts, The Loft Literary Center, and Milkweed Editions. Peggy Korsmo-Kennon, executive director of Minnesota Center for Book Arts, gave us a wonderful tour of MCBA, which includes12,000 square feet of space dedicated to letterpress printing, hand bookbinding and papermaking. In addition to studio space, MCBA provides classes and workshops for people interested in creating books as well as a gallery for exhibiting artist books. Peggy then showed us the rest of the building highlighting some of its architectural details such as the floor-to-ceiling windowpanes hinged to resemble an open book and the spiral staircase designed by artist Karen Wirth which was inspired by a book being taken apart at the spine.
Our last meeting of the year took place October 24th at the College of Visual Arts, St. Paul where twelve members met with CVA Librarian Kathy Heuer. Kathy provided us with an informative description of the library followed by a tour of the campus including the beautiful Summit Avenue mansion and the art gallery. Founded in 1924, the College of Visual Arts is a private, accredited, four year college of art and design offering Bachelor of Fine Arts degrees in graphic design, illustration, photography and fine arts. The current enrollment is around 300 and continues to grow.
Treasurer's Report:
Balance 12/08/99 = $265.44
Balance 12/12/00 = $312.19
Income 12/12/00 = $046.75 Expenses
12/12/00 = $ 0.00


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Bradley Monton's Paper criticizing Dover Decision
by BilboI have yet to receive my copy of Bradley Monton's book, Seeking God in Science; an Atheist Defends Intelligent Design. However, I just found out that there is a review of his book, here. And there is also a previous paper that he wrote concerning the Dover trial, here.
The paper is a criticism of Judge Jones' decision in the Dover case. What is most interesting is Monton's focus on the claim that science entails methodical methodological naturalism. I'll just quote from his paper.
"Most of my discussion will focus on the issue of methodological naturalism – I will argue that rejection of the supernatural should not be a part of scientific methodology.
"The reason this matters is that it's a dangerous practice to try to impose rigid boundaries on what counts as science. For example, as I will show, a consequence of Jones's criteria is that the aim of science is not truth. While this may be the case, one would expect this to be established by philosophical argumentation about the aim of science (along the lines of e.g. van Fraassen 1980), not by a specification of demarcation criteria to distinguish science from pseudoscience. My position is that scientists should be free to pursue hypotheses as they see fit, without being constrained by a particular philosophical account of what science is.
"In sum, I maintain that it is a mistake to try to argue against ID by declaring it unscientific. Larry Laudan got the answer right:
If we would stand up and be counted on the side of reason, we ought to drop terms like "pseudo-science" and "unscientific" from our vocabulary; they are just hollow phrases which do only emotive work for us. (Laudan 1983, 349)
"If our goal is to believe truth and avoid falsehood, and if we are rational people who take into account evidence in deciding what to believe, then we need to focus on the question of what evidence there is for and against ID. I recognize that, if we can't declare ID unscientific, this makes it harder to exclude ID from pubic school. But we first need to figure out the right thing to think about the scientific status of and the empirical evidence for ID; only then can we take up the very different question of what should be included in public school curricula. This latter question is outside the scope of this paper.
"…We come now to the most promising of Jones's three criteria, the criterion of methodological naturalism. In this section I will grant that ID does postulate supernatural causation, and I will argue that that is compatible with it being scientific. In the next section I will ague that in fact ID is not inherently supernatural, and hence ID can count as science even if the restriction to naturalism is part of the scientific methodology.
"…I will now argue that it is counterproductive to restrict scientific activity in such a way that hypotheses that invoke the supernatural are ruled out. Specifically, I will argue that it is possible to get scientific evidence for the existence of God. The scenario I am about to describe is implausible, but there is nothing logically inconsistent about it. The point of the scenario is that in the described situation, it would be reasonable for scientists to postulate and test the hypothesis that there is supernatural causation occurring. (I am not the first to present this sort of scenario; for a related scenario, see Dembski 1992.)
"Imagine that some astronomers discover a pulsar that is pulsing out Morse code. The message says that it's from God, and that God is causing the pulsar to pulse in this unusual way. The astronomers are initially skeptical, but they find that when they formulate questions in their head, the questions are correctly answered by the message. The astronomers bring in other people to examine this, and the questions are consistently answered. The message goes on to suggest certain experiments that scientists should perform in particle accelerators – the message says that if the experiments are set up in a specified precise way, then God will cause a miracle to occur. The experiments are done, and the resulting cloud chamber tracks spell out Biblical verses. Then the message explains to the scientists how to form a proper quantum theory of gravity…
"I could go on, but you get the picture. The evidence doesn't prove that God exists – maybe some advanced alien civilization is playing a trick on us; maybe the scientists are undergoing some sort of mass hallucination; maybe all this is happening due to some incredibly improbable quantum fluctuation. But the evidence does provide some support for the hypothesis that God exists. It would be close-minded for the scientists to refuse to countenance the hypothesis that God exists, due to some commitment to methodological naturalism. Of course, it is important to consider the naturalistic hypotheses, but one has to consider the theistic hypothesis as well.
Monton cites some scientists and philosophers of science who discount methodological naturalism as a necessary part of science.
"I conclude that it's not the case that there's a clear consensus in favor of methodological naturalism (when understood to rule out appeals to the supernatural) in the scientific or philosophical communities."
Dembski, William (1992), "The Incompleteness of Scientific Naturalism", in Jon Buell and Virginia Hearn (eds.), Darwinism: Science or Philosophy, available at http://www.leaderu.com/orgs/fte/darwinism/index.html.


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November 05, 2013
Extremely warm and comfortable ski jacket ideal for skiing in low temperatures eg in canada/ / usa
October 07, 2013
Well manufactured product. does what it says on the packet
June 24, 2013
Very good coat
May 03, 2013
Useful for cold days as well as holidays, extremely warm and good value for money
March 22, 2013
So impressed with my new jacket i am buying one for my husband.
This does not affect your statutory rights
For full terms and conditions please see our Delivery & Returns policy


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The E30-generation BMW 3-series, made from 1982 to 1994, is probably best remembered for ...
The official specifications are in for Aston Martin's 2012 Vantage GT3 race car, which is being developed to surpass the track record of its DBRS9 predecessor.
The GT3 boasts a modified version of Aston Martin's production-version 6.0-liter V12 engine and is expected to produce about 600 hp and 516 lb-ft of torque. A carbon-fiber driveshaft mates the engine to a six-speed sequential transmission with semiautomatic paddle shifters.
The V12 Vantage has improved weight balance compared with the DBRS9. Together with a shorter wheelbase and lower engine position, Aston Martin expects the car will have better handling and performance. Antilock-braking and traction-control systems come standard.
The Vantage GT3 will be eligible for race series around the globe, including the FIA GT3 Championship, the ADAC Masters, the N�rburgring VLN, the Blancpain Endurance Series, the British GT, Belcar and the Open GT.
Sign up to have the Autoweek Daily Racing report, Racing Weekend Wrap-Up, Daily Drive and Breaking News delivered right to your inbox.


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You have an old version of Macromedia Flash Player that cannot play the content we've created.
Why not download and install the latest version now? It will only take a moment.
Within each page an experience awaits! The Oklahoma City Zoo animals and staff connect you with what matters most—a relationship with nature. We invite you to learn, grow and foster this need through our newest program offerings!
Due to demand, we expanded enrollment by adding an additional class. It begins Sept. 24, 2013. Space is limited, so contact Randelyon Phillips immediately at 405.425.0257...read more


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Prerequisites: All studio art concentration requirements. (Second semester/3 credits/lab fee/4 class and studio hours)
A capstone experience in each student's program of study, the main objective of this course is to provide the student with the opportunity to produce a finished portfolio of work. Emphasis is placed on independent production and class presentation. The class will operate as a supportive workshop for ideas, discussions and critiques of ongoing work inclusive of the many studio media. In order to facilitate and inform the ongoing discussions of historical, theoretical, critical and practical problems in the production of artwork, students are expected to read articles from current periodicals, as assigned. Students will also be expected to keep a critical journal consisting of responses to and consideration of student work, critiques, screenings, readings and discussions. Information on the business aspects relevant to financial survival will also be addressed. Students will be required to show pieces from this class in a final gallery exhibition.


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Magazine Article | January 19, 2011
Feature Article: Get Ready For Unified Collaboration
By Gennifer Biggs, Business Solutions magazine.
Do you remember filmstrips? If you do, you're at least as old as HB Communications, a solutions provider in Connecticut that has its roots in repair of those classic audio/visual tools found in nearly every school district across the country. Over the last 20 years, HB evolved into a video conferencing specialist, and now it is building a full-fledged unified collaboration (UC) offering to meet its customers' changing global communications needs.


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Somebody's Going To Hell! Stephen Hawking: "God Not Necessary For Universe To Exist"
Seen here trying to bite his tongue but catching his lip instead, Stephen Hawking claims there's no need for a God in order for the universe to exist. *Preparing napsack and evacuation route for flame war*
Now, in his upcoming book, according to an excerpt of the introduction released by the London Times which isn't getting any traffic from this because of their pay wall), Hawking declares that the Big Bang can be explained without God.
"Because there is a law such as gravity, the universe can and will create itself from nothing," Hawking and his co-author, Caltech physicist Leonard Mlodinow, write in "The Grand Design," which is due to be issued next week. "Spontaneous creation is the reason there is something rather than nothing, why the universe exists, why we exist. It is not necessary to invoke God to light the blue touch paper [British way of saying light the fuse] and set the universe going."
Listen: I'm not even gonna pretend to be smart (because I'm not), but Stephen Hawking did give us E=Mc2, amirite? No? That was Einstein? Oh. Well then maybe he's just bitter at God for wheelchairing him.
Bad News, Religious People: Stephen Hawking Says God Didn't Create the Universe [nymag]
Thanks to lil co., who a universe without isn't worth living in.
Wait -- so there's no heaven, or it's just not wheelchair accessible? Stephen Hawking, in a tireless effort to bring the church down on him like the great thinkers that have come before him (I hope you have nitrous boost on that wheelchair!), first proclaimed there is no God (... / Continue →
For those counting and not just staring at the clock waiting for the weekend to arrive, this is the eighth (8th) installment in the autotuned Symphony of Science series. It deals with the beginnings of the universe, which, from the information I've gathered from that picture, ... / Continue →
My parents didn't need a book to effectively traumatize us for life. They did a fine job on their own. Well for today's slacking parents there's How To Traumatize Your Children, a book in the Self-Hurt series (along with How To Cut Yourself). You'll learn how to: Determ... / Continue →


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ALLEGANY - Frewsburg seniors Devone Adelgren and James Haick won in their last dual meet as they had pins to help the Bears clinch a win 36-29 wrestling win over Portville on Wednesday night.
Adelgren pinned in only 32 seconds at 145 pounds while Haick's fall was in 2:34 at 152.
99: Jake Lippert (A) won by forfeit.
106: Double forfeit.
113: Double forfeit.
120: Logan Ganoung (A) won For
126: Dom Bleier (A) d. Jon Martin 10-1
132: Zach Bierfeldt (A) d. Preston Rhodes 14-0
138: Jordan Kayes (A) p.. Kyle Parker :47
145: Devon Adelgren (F) p. Shane Zaddison :32
152: James Haick (F) p.Chris Sayles 2:34
160: Alex Anzivine (A) dec Robert Russo 9-2
170: Cody Haler (F) won by forfeit.
182: Austin Lynn (F) won by forfeit.
195: Trevor Spicer (F) won by forfeit.
220: Zach Haller (F) won by forfeit.
285: Double forfeit.


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More than 700 children, parents, grandparents and volunteers attended this year's Family Reading Night, held on Friday, March 7 at Washington Middle School.
It's been nearly three years since an F-5 tornado hit Joplin May 22, 2011, and destroyed much of the town. It was the deadliest tornado to hit the United States since 1947, and there were many stories of loss and sadness.
Taking a photo with a cell-phone camera and forwarding it to friends is something most teens (adults too) think very little about — snap, click, send!
The students in Karen Brinkmann's fifth-grade class at Beaufort Elementary cheer for a lot of things. Monday it was the newspaper.
A creative dog portrait will win one young artist and his or her school a visit from Lily, the search and rescue dog who stars in "Lily's Story," the newspaper serial by Carolyn Mueller, now appearing weekly in The Missourian.
The Missourian joins newspapers across the state this month in the Reading Across Missouri campaign, a Newspaper In Education effort to encourage children to read and learn inside their community newspaper.
The Study Guide to The Bee, a special section filled with puzzles, trivia, activities and other fun spelling information as well as the Official Word List for the 2014 regional spelling competition will be included in the Jan. 11/12 issue of The Missourian.
"Lily's Story" is coming to The Missourian beginning in the Jan. 11-12 issue of the newspaper. This new 8-chapter serial is a story of hope and hometown heroes, celebrating the courageous spirit of a very special dog.
More than 150 people, including 99 runners, turned out in support of youth literacy for the 8th annual Run to Read on Saturday, Oct. 12. The event began and ended at Washington Public Library and included a 5K loop around downtown, a 1-mile story stroll and a Baby Buzz Dash.
Meghan McCarthy will headline the 8th annual Run to Read on Saturday, Oct. 12. The event, organized by The Missourian and the YMCA, will begin at 8 a.m. at the Washington Public Library.
The Missourian has delivered a new resource, "Using the Newspaper to Meet Common Core Standards" to K-12 classroom teachers area schools.
Lost binkies, wet diapers, and gassy tummies—babies have a rough time of it. Read about one infant's sorry lot in life in "Baby's Got the Blues," by Carol Diggory Shields. The picture book is the newest Baby Buzz Pick chosen by parent educators with the Washington School District.
Contact Dawn Kitchell, Educational Services Director, at firstname.lastname@example.com for information about the Missourian In Education and Record In Education youth readership programs.
Contact Nancy Sebastian, Missourian In Education Sponsorship Coordinator, at email@example.com about sponsoring the Missourian In Education program.
Contact Chris Stuckenschneider, Book Buzz Coordinator, at email@example.com for information about the Book Buzz Youth Literacy Project.
No matter what the time of day or night, you'll find Chris Stuckenschneider paging through the latest novel or immersed in a stack of picture books for Book Buzz consideration. A longtime literacy advocate, Chris will keep you in the know about books. Page on with The Missourian's book editor--news, reviews and more for book lovers of all ages. To read her blog entries, click HERE.
On March 17th, 2013, a meteor the size of a small boulder traveling over 70 times the speed of a bullet crashed into the surface of the Moon. It created an explosion so bright that it could be seen from Earth—without a telescope! Scientists think that the force of the explosion was the same as about 5 tons of dynamite going off all at once.
Updated: 10:20 am | See more
Lilly, a search and rescue dog from Joplin, will be the star of the Reading Across Missouri project slated to appear in The Missourian beginning in the Jan. 11-12, 2014, issue. Joplin Globe reporter Scott Meeker shares the duo's story in a feature on the Weimaraner and her owner, Tara Prosser, in a feature you can read on the newspaper's website.
7:52 pm | See more
This year, the American Press Institute (formerly the Newspaper Association of America Foundation) has partnered with the Newseum on the annual curriculum. API has been creating Newspaper In Education Week curriculum for more than 25 years.
Updated: 2:13 pm | See more
Go outside when the Moon is full. Look up and imagine you see two Moons, instead of one. Some scientists think that long ago Earth may have had two Moons.
Updated: 1:05 am | See more
You may have seen colorful, eye-popping space images in books or on NASA websites. There are beautiful spiral galaxies that shine in pinks and blues; glowing green and yellow clouds with great white-tipped columns; or the radiant leftovers of exploded stars that may look like an eye or a spider.
10:59 pm | See more
Our membership to the Newspaper In Education Institute provides local educators access to more than 300 instructional resources, including teacher guides, student supplements, character education materials, numerous subject-specific resources, video & audio teacher training modules, and the popular NIE Instructional Calendar.
Updated: 1:43 pm | See more


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A driver was allegedly drunk when they collided with the light rail early Sunday morning.According to police, a driver ran a red light near 24th Street and Jefferson and slammed into the light rail. 11 passengers were onboard the rail, but no one was injured. Police say the front seat passenger riding in the SUV suffered a leg injury and was taken to a hospital. The driver of the SUV was arrested and faces DUI charges.
KTBC FOX 7119 East 10th StreetAustin, TX 78701Phone: (512) 476-7777Fax: (512) 495-7001


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Thursday, March 4th, 2010
Photo by Mark Pummell
Marion Local's Brian Heitkamp, 12, tries to split Minster's Adam Kaiser, left, and Mitchel Poepelman, 32, on his way to the basket during their Division IV sectional semifinal on Wednesday night at Coldwater. Heitkamp scored 11 points in the Flyers' 42-34 win over the Wildcats.
Additional pictures for this date
Weather forecast
for Wednesday:
Snow, colder
for Wednesday:
Snow, colder


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Perhaps too pregnant to deal with the arduous task of walking, Snooki rode an electric scooter around Seaside Heights with fellow "Jersey Shore" cast member Deena, who managed to not get arrested during the outing.
Deena, whose legendary mug shot was released yesterday following her disorderly conduct arrest last weekend, is scheduled to be arraigned on July 3.
Deena should just throw Snooki on her back. Judging from the size of those legs she should have no problem.
Snickers' fat a&$ riding around on a scooter, now that's funny and not in a funny way. I can't believe anyone thinks this show is interesting. A bunch of fat women acting stupid and a couple of gay DJ wannabes.
Take this garbage away and bring back grunge. I hated grunge but I hate this even more. I'll take flannel shirts and horrible music over snickers and her fat, walking friend.
Snooki is probably the most uneducated totally stupid person to come along in a long time. I'm looking at that picture and noticing that her fat azz fills that entire seat to the point of overflow. Greasy, smelly, disgusting sow.
I had to ride those at the grocery store when I was pregnant because of a medical issue in the pregnancy. Don't assume it's just because she's too pregnant to walk *Facepalm*
That woman is NOT too pregnant to have to be in that wheelchair. As someone who is disabled and regularly uses my scooter, I'm insulted that Snooki feels she should get to go around in one. Produce a doctor's note or get the hell out of it! They're for people who actually need them!
if she needs to use one of those scooters, then she shouldn't be wearing sky high heels!!!


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Team Weigel rejoice – it didn't take Dave Weigel very long to land on his feet after he resigned last week from The Washington Post.
Tonight at the end of Countdown, Keith Olbermann introduced new "MSNBC contributor" Dave Weigel.
Olbermann teased an announcement regarding Weigel throughout the program, and when he finally introduced his guest around 8:55pmET, he said, "We are very proud to announce is, as of like, I don't know, 20 minutes ago, an MSNBC contributor. Welcome Dave…and you thought last week was fun, wait until you see what this week holds for you."
Weigel's segment was about an interview he did with Rick Barber (the guy behind this ad). Olbermann closed the interview by reiterating, "MSNBC contributor Dave Weigel, great thanks, as always, and good luck with this."
He'll fit right in with the conservative-hating, all-white MSNBC and their low ratings.


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Statement from Georges Benjamin, MD, FACP, FACEP (E), Executive Director
Washington, D.C., March 27, 2012 — "The American Public Health Association welcomes a new standard for new power plants released today by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency that will strengthen the Clean Air Act, reduce carbon pollution and protect public health.
"Reducing carbon dioxide emissions from power plants — the nation's single largest source of carbon pollution — will help limit the gases that contribute to climate change, which poses serious, long-term health consequences.
"Climate change and rising temperatures expose more Americans to conditions that result in illness and death due to respiratory illness, heat-related stress and insect-borne diseases. These maladies fall most heavily on our most vulnerable communities, including children, older adults, those with serious health conditions and poor people.
"APHA applauds EPA for issuing this new standard and strengthening public health protections under the Clean Air Act."
For more about APHA, visit http://www.apha.org.
Founded in 1872, the APHA is the oldest and most diverse organization of public health professionals in the world. The association aims to protect all Americans and their communities from preventable, serious health threats and strives to assure community-based health promotion and disease prevention activities and preventive health services are universally accessible in the United States. APHA represents a broad array of health providers, educators, environmentalists, policy-makers and health officials at all levels working both within and outside governmental organizations and educational institutions. More information is available at www.apha.org.


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Hi there,
I have an iBook G4 and a MacBook 2.2 both were doing fine, wirelessly going on line. Suddenly without any known reason, this morning, they do not go on line.
No changes were made, no software was downloaded or anything else I could put my finger on.
I ran the diagnostic teston the MacBook:
All the things from Airport to three or four down the list show a green spot, except the last two: Internet and the server, which have red spot .
My broadband is working on my PC. In fact I am using it to write this message.The PC is not wireless, it is connected by wire to the router.
Any suggestions.
Will be very grateful.
Plug your laptops in direct and check.
Try resetting the wireless modem.
Move the modem closer to your workstation.
I have had luck with all of the above. My neighbor must have bought something recently as my signal went in and out at will. Driving me crazy. Picked up a splitter and extra cables and moved the modem upstairs and now it's all good.
John Whipple ---- No-Curb or No-Dam Shower Blog: www.No-Curb.Blogspot.Ca Email firstname.lastname@example.com Phone: 604 506 6792 Reviews 33 Five Star
Always get construction advice double checked by your local city hall. Flood Test Every Shower - Every Time. "John Whipple is logged out" - JW


text:
Product Description
- Size: 62" x 34" x 20"
- Lounging Hammock
- Sisal Wrapped Post
- Wood & Faux Sheepskin Covering
- Sisal Play Rope
- Multiple Levels
- Easy Assembly
Majestic Pet Products 62" Bungalow Cat Tree covered in elegant Faux Sheepskin with Sisal Rope wrapped posts that will withstand the toughest claws. This beautiful playground features multiple levels, a hammock, cubby holes, a dangling rope, and a look-out perch high above. Brand New in box! Assembles in minutes with simple step by step instructions and tools provided. Cleans easily with a vacuum and damp cloth.
Dimensions: Height 62" x Length 34" x Width 20".


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Jason Quick Clean™ Make-up Remover Fragrance Free -- 75 Pads
It was okay.
These pads are small, and require three, sometimes four to take off my eye makeup and foundation. They do the job, but do irritate my eyes slightly.
August 11, 2013
Efficient removal
I use one pad to remove makeup from both eyes, it works great. I love the fact that it's fragrance free. The one thing that bothers me is that it can sting if any gets in your eyes, so be careful not to accidentally get any there.
July 12, 2013
does the job
have reordered this many times, the last time however, noticed I felt a sting when I used it, also had to rewipe more times than previously to remove eye makeup..maybe they changed something in the ingredients...
June 19, 2013
doesn't work well, leaves residue
I prefer the Almay oil based eye makeup remover. This one doesn't work as well and leaves behind a residue that's kind of weird. not oily like the Almay, which I honestly kind of like.
June 16, 2013
If I am disappointed with a product, I usually won't review it. But
I think these are not worth the price or even the effort. They are
very small, very thin and I need about 8 to clean my face! I will stick with the towelettes from now on.
June 15, 2013


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Tool | March 2014
Kiplinger's Economic Outlooks
Last updated: February 28, 2014
By David Payne
Economic activity will grow 2.7% or better for the year, despite a weather-related slowdown in January and February. The gains will come as business and consumer confidence strengthen, and Europe begins to emerge from its long slumber, brightening overseas sales prospects. Continued U.S. government deficit reduction will, however, restrain growth.
At the end of 2013, the economy was growing at a moderate 2.4% pace. There was some cool-down from the unexpectedly strong third quarter: Businesses finished adding to inventories for the time being, and previously hot sectors of residential and commercial construction cooled off, at least partly due to worse-than-normal weather. Plus a shutdown-related drop in government spending took a percentage point of growth away in the fourth quarter.
But there are indications of further momentum headed into 2014: Consumption in the fourth quarter of 2013, for example, grew the most in nearly two years and exports surged. Cold-weather effects on construction and consumer spending in the early part of 2014 will wear off by early spring, and a resurgence is likely. Indeed, a modest slowdown in the first quarter of 2014 is likely in any case, with growth accelerating as the year unwinds.
What's more, there's a decent chance of an upside surprise. Consumer spending and confidence is still way below what would be considered normal levels by the standards of past economic expansions. As job growth returns and consumers feel more secure, a virtuous cycle of spending begetting more consumer income begetting more spending could be initiated. If this occurs, quarterly growth is likely to exceed an annualized pace of 3%. If that doesn't pan out in 2014, it is nevertheless very likely to happen before the end of 2015.
Next scheduled update: March 27.
More from Kiplinger: 2014 Economic Outlook, State by State
Last updated: February 10, 2014
By David Payne
Lower-than-expected job growth in December and January will be offset in the months ahead, and we continue to expect an annual gain of about 2.3 million net new jobs in 2014. Increased business spending, growing consumer confidence, the continued housing renaissance and healthy export gains all add up to an increasingly strong economy that should be able to support net monthly hiring that frequently, if not regularly, tops 200,000. Indeed, the yearly revision of official employment numbers showed 136,000 more jobs were gained than first reported in 2013, bringing to eight the number of months last year that the 200,000 mark was hit.
The recent employment weakness is the result of special factors such as Obamacare, government hiring and weather. For the second month in a row, job gains were less than expected, rising 113,000 in January and 75,000 in December. Health care hiring, a stalwart in recent years, went from a gain of 30,000 in November to a gain of 2,000 in December and nothing at all in January. Hospital employment dropped 9,000 in the last two months. We chalk much of that up to uncertainty over the impact of Obamacare. Government employment dropped 29,000 in January and 14,000 in December. The trend over the rest of this year should be flat to slightly down. Weather affected January much less than December, but could have contributed to the job loss in the retail sector, as snowstorms may have hindered shoppers and stores tend not to hire when foot traffic drops.
It is encouraging that the unemployment rate dropped to 6.6% in January, in spite of growth in the labor force of 523,000. While much of the recent decline in the jobless rate -- now the lowest since 2008 -- is the result of folks leaving the labor force rather than finding jobs, that doesn't seem to be the case in the latest tally, as almost all of these new entrants found jobs. If not, then the unemployment rate would have risen.
The drop of 0.1 percentage point in January is the result of the number of people out of work for six months or longer dropping by 232,000. The likely explanation is that people previously on extended unemployment benefits ceased hunting for jobs entirely when the extended benefits ran out. Thus the unemployment rolls declined not because people found jobs but because they stopped looking. Counting these individuals would put the reported unemployment rate at 6.7%, the same as in December. Because folks come back into the labor force to look for jobs as job creation starts to pick up, the ratio of wannabe workers to workers rises. So the unemployment rate is likely to bounce around a bit and end the year at about 6.3%.
Meanwhile, worker buying power continues to improve. Average hourly earnings continued their slow but steady upward climb, to $20.39 an hour for production workers, up 2.2% over the past 12 months. Given that inflation rose only 1.5% in the same time period, real production worker purchasing power picked up 0.7%.
Next scheduled update: March 7.
Dept. of Labor: Employment Data
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Interest Rates
Last updated: December 20, 2013
By Glenn Somerville
The Federal Reserve's announced tapering of its long-term bond buying in 2014 is likely to push up long-term rates. How much will depend on whether investors take up the slack. If bond market participants step up to the plate, then rate increases will be small over the course of the next year. If not, investor anxiety will push up rates faster.
In mid-2013, when the Fed mused about paring its bond buying, long-term rates quickly ran up a full percentage point. When the Fed announced on December 18 that its first cutback in long-term securities purchases would come in January 2014, long rates rose about 0.1 percentage point. A jump of this magnitude after each Federal Open Market Committee meeting in 2014 would leave rates above 3.6% going into 2015. Of course, rates could rise faster than the Fed is comfortable with and the monetary policymakers could slow down the pace of withdrawal. Increased activity in U.S. housing markets, as well as a stronger global economy, will also exert some upward pressure on long rates.
We expect 10-year Treasury rates to rise to about 3.5% by the end of 2014. The Fed is likely to be OK with an increase on this scale, though not with a much steeper incline. Look for rates for 30-year mortgages -- now at around 4.45% -- to climb to between 5% and 5.5% next year. Note that, although significantly above the 3% to 3.25% rates that were available in early 2013, rates of 5% to 5.5% are still historically very modest. To anyone who bought a house in the 1970s or early 1980s, they'll still seem ridiculously low.
Short-term interest rates will remain low through 2014 in any case, given Federal Reserve officials' announced intention to keep the federal funds rate near zero until a sustained economic pickup is clear. Although encouraging signs of increased hiring and manufacturing activity point to a better-performing economy in 2014, the economic pace is likely to remain well below levels that would call for higher interest rates. At a historic low, between zero and 0.25%, since December 2008, the short-term fed funds rate won't rise significantly before late 2015. And then, any increase will come only if the economy has developed enough momentum to bring unemployment well below current 7% levels -- the Fed recently stated that even 6.5% may not trigger a rate increase. Moreover, with core inflation running at less than 2%, there's little risk that inflation would flare up, the only development that would likely prompt the Fed to alter course.
More from Kiplinger: Interest Rates and the Fed's Taper Plans
Last updated: February 21, 2014
By David Payne
Inflation is likely to remain below 2% in 2014. Economic growth will pick up only moderately this year, and general price pressures tend to lag stronger economic growth by a year or more. Prices of goods will continue to be held down by global competition and excess production capacity -- the utilization ratio is still low compared with historical averages. Prices of services have always risen more than goods and will continue to do so.
Look for the Consumer Price Index in 2014 to post an increase of about 1.8%, measuring from December 2013 to December 2014, up from a hike of just 1.5% from December 2012 to December 2013. Rent increases from stronger housing demand are translating into higher shelter costs in the index, and food prices may pick up a bit this year. But the inflation rate will stay at a moderate level. Producer prices, also referred to as wholesale prices, are posting modest monthly gains and aren't likely to create a surge in prices at the retail level.
From January 2013 to January 2014, headline inflation rose at a 1.6% pace. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, also rose only 1.6%. While goods prices (excluding food and energy) declined an average of 0.3%, services prices (excluding energy) rose 2.3%. Strong price growth in rents, hospital costs, and car insurance may at first glance appear alarming. But this has been true for two years or more already and does not represent a new trend.
Next scheduled update: March 18.
Dept. of Labor: Inflation DataMore from Kiplinger: Print-Ready Consumer Price Index Chart
Business Spending
Last updated: February 28, 2014
By Glenn Somerville
Though off to a soft start in 2014, business spending will gain momentum as global growth picks up later in the year. We anticipate a pickup of 4.5% to 5% in equipment spending after a slight 1.5% gain in 2013. Still, business spending aimed at increasing output will trail the 6% rise posted in 2012, as well as the 10% jump in 2011 spending, an indication of how tightly corporate chiefs continue to grip purse strings in the face of relatively soft expansion.
Signs -- still fairly tentative -- that economic growth is strengthening should bolster business confidence and help spur more spending. Economic growth gained momentum during 2013, particularly during the second half, and the economy is free this year from threats of disruptions to government operations and funding, thanks to the two-year budget deal Congress put in place. That relieves corporate planners from worry about government shutdowns and their potential impact on economic activity. They should gain further confidence from forecasts that national economic growth will pick up to about 2.7% this year, from 1.9% in 2013. Europe continues to gradually recover after contracting fractionally in 2013, making the region a better market for U.S. exports. Although emerging-market nations experienced a bout of turmoil as 2014 began, which rattled financial markets, key countries such as China will grow at a 7.5% clip, feeding U.S. export gains.
In addition, a key measure of investment intentions -- orders for capital goods excluding aircraft -- was up solidly in January by 1.7%, pointing to better times ahead. Stronger demand in January for electronics and fabricated metals also may signal that companies intend to upgrade production lines and prepare for increased output. U.S. businesses were running at just 78.5% of capacity during the month, though, down from their average of about 80% over the past four decades. So companies face only modest pressure to update or expand production lines in order to meet existing demand.
Part of the tonic that business spending needs to regain vigor is a pickup in manufacturing activity. That is expected to occur in spring, once the impact of poor winter weather fades. Stronger consumer demand, which would drive businesses to add more plants and equipment, would also help. Consumer confidence has been rising, which is a positive. But monthly job gains continue to be modest and income growth is weak at best, so the outlook for equipment spending remains healthy but far from robust.
Next scheduled update: March 28.
Census Bureau: Durable Goods Report
Census Bureau: Business Inventories
Census Bureau: Construction Activity
Last updated: March 7, 2014
By Jim Patterson
Another week, another uptick for gasoline prices. At $3.48 per gallon, the average cost of regular unleaded is up about three and a half cents from a week ago. And we look for that climb to continue for at least another couple of weeks, with gas prices likely to top out around $3.60 as refineries close for scheduled maintenance and prepare to start making summer-blend gas grades. Diesel will also edge higher, though at $4.01 per gallon now, we expect future price gains to be fairly small.
The price of crude oil is treading water, at about $102 per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark. We still expect oil prices to start retreating toward the mid-$90s range this spring, because of relatively high stockpiles and growing domestic production. But simmering geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and Venezuela seem to be keeping traders on edge, which is supportive of prices in the short run. By July, we expect crude oil to be trading between $95 and $100 per barrel.
Natural gas customers are finally getting a respite from winter's price spikes. Though much of the country remains chilly, forecasts for warmer weather are keeping gas prices docile. At $4.65 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), natural gas is holding fairly steady, after zooming past $6 last month, when frigid weather caused heating demand to soar. The approaching spring, combined with rising gas production in the U.S., should keep prices in a trading range of $4 to $4.50 per MMBtu in coming weeks.
Dept. of Energy: Price Statistics
More from Kiplinger: North America's Next Energy Hot Spots
Last updated: February 28, 2014
By Gillian B. White
Follow @gillianbwhite
There's more expansion ahead for the housing market in 2014, with starts and new-home sales continuing to rise at double-digit rates, thanks to tight inventory. But the pace of existing-home sales will moderate, and worse-than-normal winter weather will show up in starts and sales figures for the cold-weather months.
We expect about a 4% increase in existing-home sales, to 5.3 million this year, up from 5.1 million in 2013. Sales growth will decline, however, from the strong 9.3% increase in 2013 because of anticipated increases in interest rates and tighter mortgage rules from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. (The rules went into effect at the start of the year.) Inventories of existing homes remain moderately low at 4.9 months (as of January), fairly close to the average in the housing market before the housing bubble -- an indication that foreclosures coming into the market are no longer creating an oversupply of homes.
Sales of new single-family homes, however, are likely to climb by a robust 16% or so, to 500,000 in 2014, on the heels of even stronger gains of 17.0% in 2013 and 20.2% in 2012. Inventories of new homes remain extremely tight. In January 2014, sales of new homes climbed by 9.6%, helped by a temporary decline in both mortgage rates and median home prices. New homes stayed on the market for an average of just 3.3 months before being sold, far below the 5.5-month average of the past 30 years.
Look for construction of about 1.07 million new homes to begin in 2014, as builders respond to tight inventories. That's a 15% jump from estimated 2013 starts of around 930,000. Robust growth is still likely, despite a weather-induced decline of 15.9% in monthly figures from December to January. Starts will see a pickup in March, when temperatures increase, snow dissipates and building can get under way.
Further increases in interest rates are likely to moderate recent strong price gains. In almost all markets across the country, prices rose in 2013. Even cities that had previously been hit hard, such as Detroit, saw double-digit growth. Nevertheless, prices in most regions remain below previous peaks, leaving many homeowners who bought between 2005 and 2008 still underwater and reluctant to trade up or relocate. This continues to have a depressing effect on these markets. In contrast, some regions, particularly portions of the central U.S., which didn't experience the red-hot appreciation of the housing bubble that the coasts did, are now seeing prices less than 10% below previous peaks. Prices in Denver and Dallas have already hit record highs.
Next scheduled update: March 26.
Dept. of Commerce: New-Home Sales
National Assn. of Realtors: Existing-Home Sales
Dept. of Commerce: Housing Starts
More from Kiplinger: Commercial Rents on the Rise
Last updated: February 24, 2014
By Gillian B. White
Follow @gillianbwhite
Look for retail sales to accelerate steadily this year, gaining about 5% over the 12 months of 2014 after more moderate growth of just over 4% in 2013. A stronger economy, benefiting from declining unemployment plus wage gains, will help.
Supporting the gains: Strong vehicle sales, picking up almost 5%. Though the pace of growth will continue to slow from the double-digit tempo of 2011 and 2012, the trajectory remains upward, and total sales in 2014 will likely reach 16.3 million units, up from about 15.6 million in 2013 and the best showing for the industry since 2007. Sales are starting to close in on the historical average for auto sales -- about 16.6 million vehicles a year prior to the recession -- and the vigorous pace of gains from the recession low can't be sustained.
2014 retail sales will also be buoyed by about a 3% increase in personal income. In addition, consumers will have adapted to the 2013 increase in the payroll tax and will no longer be as hesitant to spend.
Unusually cold and snowy weather once again put a damper on sales in January, making it the second consecutive month of decline. Overall retail sales dropped by 0.4% as most Americans stayed home instead of braving frigid temperatures to eat out in restaurants or shop at their local malls. The biggest declines were in autos and at department stores. Building material and garden supply stores saw the biggest gain, with a 1.4% increase in January: Though cold and snow have a dampening effect on building, they mean an increase in sales for items such as snow shovels, generators and pavement salt.
Weather-related slowing will likely creep into February data, pulling down overall first-quarter sales performance even if sales pick up, as expected, once the weather warms up.
Next scheduled update: March 14
Dept. of Commerce: Retail Data
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Last updated: February 7, 2014
By Glenn Somerville
Increased domestic energy production helped narrow the U.S. shortfall on trade with the rest of the world during the past few years and will do so again in 2014. Despite a hiccup in December when exports fell, the deficit for all of 2013 dropped by 12% to $471.5 billion, and we anticipate that it will decline by an additional 5% in 2014.
The pace of the deficit's decline this year will be smaller than in 2013 largely because a stronger U.S. economy will draw in more imports; we expect about a 3% increase over last year. But export growth will be even stronger in 2014 than in 2013 -- rising about 5% this year, compared with a 3% gain last year, despite some distress in emerging markets as the year started. Sales to some countries will suffer but those that will be hardest hit are not major customers. Broader European markets continue to strengthen modestly, while exports to China held up through December and should continue to do so, even though the pace of the Asian powerhouse's economic growth will slow slightly this year.
Increased petroleum exports play a big role in the continuing improvement in U.S. trade performance. During 2013, petroleum exports climbed 14% while imports shrank by 7%. Look for the volume of shipments to rise again in 2014, so even if prices fall moderately, the value of petroleum exports will keep growing. In addition, the U.S. shale oil boom is now spinning off additional trade benefits: American expertise in extracting oil is creating demand for U.S.-made drilling equipment and knowledge in China and other countries eager to boost their own production. In addition, as the global economy gains strength, U.S. foreign sales of civilian aircraft and industrial supplies and materials will pick up in 2014.
While December ended on a soft note, with the monthly deficit rising to $38.7 billion from $34.6 billion in November, the global outlook for 2014 remains positive, if a bit lumpy. Traditional leading trade partners Canada and Mexico will grow solidly and remain steady customers. Europe is now out of recession and will grow modestly this year. However, some of its peripheral members struggle with a high sovereign debt load, so they are more likely to be a drag on global expansion than a contributor. On the other side of the world, China is no longer growing at the breakneck double-digit pace of recent years, so Asia's top economy will be a solid market for U.S.-made goods but a less robust one than previously.
Next scheduled update: March 10.