text:
Towards the modelling of true species distributions
Article first published online: 10 FEB 2011
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02487.x
© 2011 Blackwell Publishing Ltd
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How to Cite
Kéry, M. (2011), Towards the modelling of true species distributions. Journal of Biogeography, 38: 617–618. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02487.x
Publication History
- Issue published online: 15 MAR 2011
- Article first published online: 10 FEB 2011
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Species distributions are the focal interest in a vast number of studies in ecology, biogeography and related sub-disciplines, including metapopulation ecology, invasive species and global warming studies. Typically, a model is used to relate the probability of species occurrence to explanatory variables, for example those describing environmental conditions. A species distribution model allows covariate relationships to be tested for and for these relationships to be extrapolated to unsurveyed sites (e.g. as a distribution map) or to unsurveyed times (e.g. to predict response to climate change).
In recent years, species distribution modelling has experienced vigorous development at the intersection of ecology, biogeography, applied statistics and computer science, and several new techniques have appeared (Elith et al., 2006; Phillips et al., 2006). Surprisingly, however, virtually all approaches have neglected one important aspect of ecological field data – one which every naturalist knows very well –almost any species may be overlooked. That is, the probability of detection given presence (p) is seldom equal to 1. Indeed, uncertain detection adds much to the fun of being a field naturalist. It adds an element of hunting: if only I look harder, I'm more likely to bring in 'prey', i.e. to see an interesting species.
In academia, however, this age-old wisdom has often been lost; almost all approaches to species distribution modelling assume away the challenges of imperfect detection. This is worrisome, because inferences from models that erroneously assume that p = 1 will suffer from at least three problems.
- 1Occupancy will be underestimated. For instance, if a species occurs in 80% of grid cells, but its detection probability is 60%, it will be found in only 48% of cells. Thus, the 'apparent distribution' is modelled, i.e. the product of the probability of occupancy and the probability of detection, not the true distribution.
- 2Estimated slopes of covariate relationships are biased towards zero.
- 3Environmental relationships with detection probability may be wrongly identified as determinants of occurrence or may mask them.
To account for imperfect detection, MacKenzie et al. (2002) and Tyre et al. (2003) have independently proposed the use of zero-inflated binomial models, also called 'site-occupancy models', in the present context. This model class can be used to estimate true, not apparent, species distributions. In their simplest incarnation, site-occupancy models consist of two linked logistic regressions:
- 1Latent ecological process: z|ψ ∼ Bernoulli(ψ).
- 2Observation process: y|z ∼ Bernoulli(z × p).
Both processes are modelled as 'coin-flips', i.e. as Bernoulli distributions (or binomials with trial size 1). The imperfectly observed (latent) occurrence state, presence (z = 1) or absence (z = 0), is modelled separately from the 'presence/absence'observations, which are more correctly termed detection (y = 1) or non-detection (y = 0) observations. Occurrence, and hence the true species distribution, is governed by occurrence probability ψ, i.e. the probability that the abundance of the target species at a randomly chosen site is greater than zero. The observation process depends on detection probability p and maps occurrence state z onto observation y. Both parameters, ψ and p, can be modelled as functions of covariates, e.g. using a generalized linear model (GLM) or a generalized additive model (GAM) approach. To separately estimate both occurrence and detection parameters, at least two temporal, or more rarely spatial, independent replicate observations are required for a number of sites. Temporal replication must be over a short time period so that the occurrence state (z) of a site is unchanged.
Site-occupancy models represent the only framework available for species distributions that is not affected by the above three problems in the presence of imperfect detection. The original model has been greatly extended, also to dynamic distributions; see Kéry et al. (2010) for an application. Unfortunately, the considerable potential of these models for species distributions has not been recognized as widely as I believe it should.
In two recent papers Karanth et al. (2009, 2010) provide illustration of how site-occupancy modelling can be used for rigorous inferences about species distributions. They did not aim low; instead, they used a country-wide survey of local experts to obtain replicate observations of mammal species occurrences for the entire Indian subcontinent! Their work represents one of the first attempts ever undertaken in the history of biogeography to map, for a very large area, true species distributions, i.e. potential or actual distributions corrected for all effects of imperfect detection. In addition, their determinants of occurrence identified are not biased by imperfect detection. Thus, their true species distribution maps, albeit crude, stand out from a myriad of apparent distribution maps that confound true absence and non-detection.
It is worth mentioning that recent modelling approaches for presence-only data (e.g. Phillips et al., 2006; Ward et al., 2009; Warton & Shepherd, 2010) cannot solve the problem of imperfect detection for species distribution models. The reason for this is that they suffer from an intrinsic non-identifiability of the occupancy parameter ψ (Ward et al., 2009). Moreover, the information about ψ, and about environmental relationships with ψ, stems from a comparison of the locations of recorded presences with the background, i.e. the larger area from which sampled sites are drawn. Presence-only modelling must by necessity assume that sites with presence records are a random sample from the background area. However, presence records can hardly ever be a random sample from the wider landscape and this will introduce bias (Phillips et al., 2009).
I would not argue that presence-only data or unreplicated detection/non-detection data should be discarded. If they are all we have, they should probably be analysed to answer questions of scientific or management relevance. But analysts ought to know, and acknowledge openly, that they are on thin ice: they are modelling 'apparent distributions' only, their estimates of covariate relationships will be biased by imperfect detection and all of their inferences may be biased by sample selection bias, especially in the case of presence-only data. The degree to which this applies to a particular study may or may not be fatal for their goals, but this usually remains unknown and unknowable.
I would like to offer a few final comments on site-occupancy models:
- 1They require replicated observations, and these may simply not be available. It is possible to deduce not only non-detection data, but also replicate observations, from general faunistic databases (Kéry et al., 2010). However, the effects of various types of detection heterogeneity on estimates of occupancy and covariate effects remain to be explored.
- 2The quality of the estimates from these models naturally declines with small sample size, e.g. few sites, few replicates, low p. Simulations may be required to know how good one's estimates will be (Guillera-Arroita et al., 2010).
- 3Software to fit site-occupancy models, e.g. MARK and PRESENCE, is less advanced in some respects than many traditional species modelling tools. In particular, there is no integration with mapping software to automatically extrapolate estimated environmental relationships and produce maps (but see the new R package 'unmarked', which allows integration of analyses with mapping tools that are available in R) (Fiske & Chandler, in press).
- 4Model and variable selection is cumbersome compared to super-flexible traditional modelling methods such as boosted regression trees or maximum entropy (Elith et al., 2006; Phillips et al., 2006). One would hope that the advantages of the two approaches, flexible covariate modelling and conceptual rigour, could be combined in the future. First steps in that direction are being explored (R.A. Hutchinson, School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Oregon State University, pers. comm.).
To summarize my mini-review of species distribution modelling, I would say that without a doubt, species distribution modelling is more important than ever in the history of ecology. However, most traditional modelling methods must recognize the limitations of modelling apparent species distributions. Whenever within-site replicate observations are available, site-occupancy models may be adopted to yield estimates of true species distributions and unbiased covariate relationships. Creativity in deducing replicate observations from existing databases, and efforts made in designing the field work of future studies, will pay great dividends in terms of the rigour of the ensuing species distribution analyses. Finally, efforts are needed to merge site-occupancy models with modern variable selection techniques, and site-occupancy modelling ought to be integrated with mapping software. I believe that these developments would provide a great boost to species distribution modelling.
- 2006) Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography, 29, 129–151. , , et al. (
- in press) Unmarked: an R package for the analysis of wildlife occurrence and abundance data. Journal of Statistical Software. & (
- 2010) Design of occupancy studies with imperfect detection. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 1, 131–139. , & (
- 2009) Patterns and determinants of mammal species occurrence in India. Journal of Applied Ecology, 46, 1189–1200. , , , & (
- 2010) Occurrence and distribution of Indian primates. Biological Conservation, 143, 2891–2899. , & (
- 2010) Site-occupancy distribution modeling to correct population-trend estimates derived from opportunistic observations. Conservation Biology, 24, 1388–1397. , , , , , & (
- 2002) Estimating site occupancy rates when detection probability rates are less than one. Ecology, 83, 2248–2255. , , , , & (
- 2006) Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling, 190, 231–259. , & (
- 2009) Sample-selection bias and presence-only distribution models: implications for background and pseudo-absence data. Ecological Applications, 19, 181–197. , , , , , & (
- 2003) Improving precision and reducing bias in biological surveys: estimating false-negative error rates. Ecological Applications, 13, 1790–1801. , , , , & (
- 2009) Presence-only data and the EM algorithm. Biometrics, 65, 554–563. , , , & (
- 2010) Poisson point process models solve the "pseudo-absence problem" for presence-only data in ecology. Annals of Applied Statistics, 4, 1383–1402. & (
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Additional Physical Format: | Print version: Simmons, Marc. Massacre on the Lordsburg road. College Station, Tex. : Texas A & M University Press, ©1997 (DLC) 97019530 (OCoLC)36909618 |
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Mazda Complaint - Mazda of Manhattan - Car lease
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NEW YORK, NEW YORK -- When I leased my first car in my early 20's - a Nissan from 5 Towns Nissan in Inwood, NY - I got a call 2 weeks into the lease that the lease payment was miscalculated and I actually owned $11 more per month, and that if I didn't come in an re-sign, my credit rating would be destroyed. That colored my image of car dealerships as crooked and dishonest. The reason I leased my Mazda from Manhattan Mazda is because I got a good feeling about the sales guy. Unfortunatley, the experience turned sour fast.
First off, the shifty finance guy tried to sell me some outrageously expensive tire insurance. He said that the tires were thin and prone to blow outs - that made me feel confident, especially since I was told this after signing all the paperwork. Then, a week later he called to say he had left off the return fee on the contract and could I resign.
The next incedent really blew my mind. About 2 weeks after the car left the lot, I got a tire blow out on the turnpike. Pulled over on the side of the road on a hot summer day with my girlfriend, brother and his pregnant wife, we called Mazda roadside, who informed us that the NJ Turnpike is a restricted road and they could not come help us, so they gave us a number for a local tow service and said that if we mailed in the receipt, we would be reimbursed. The mechanic who replaced the tire said that the tires were unevenly inflated, some were way above the recommeneded tire pressure and some way below. The uneven tires and hot day probably caused the blowout.
The next day, I contacted the dealership, who gave me the run around about reimbursement. Long story short, it went on for 6 months - unreturned calls, decision makers "on vacation", etc. Finally, I was told that I would be reimbured for the tire - $135, but not the towing charge of $35. I didn't think that was fair, since the only reason I needed the tow was because their tire didn't make it through the first month. The check for the tire was supposedly in the mail, but it never came. I went back and forth for several more months. I then got a letter from Easy Care stating that my tire claim was denied.
All in all, Mazda took no responsibility. They outright refused to make good on $165 just to make a customer happy. They denied that the car could have left the lot with uneven tire pressure, made no appology for my inconvienence or their negligence, and more importantly, the precarious position it put me and my passengers in. It became my problem and not theirs. They tried to throw me free oil changes and the like - funny, just what Nissan did when they screwed me over. In my business, when we make a mistake, or even if it is percieved by a client, we would most certainly eat $165 so as not to leave a bad taste in a clients mouth. Apparantly these guys have no business acumen.
I thought that by going back to a dealership where I had a pretty favorable experience, at least with the sales guy, they would do the right thing by a customer. Unfortunatly, they embody all the negative images that people have of the car business. They have proven that once a car leaves the lot, that's where the service ends. These guys are petty, cheap, take no responsibility for their own actions and overall, could care less about their customers. I guess I was expendable because I was only leasing a Mazda 3, I wonder if I would have had a different experience if I was getting an $80,000 Jag from their sister dealership??
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This article includes a list of references, but its sources remain unclear because it has insufficient inline citations. (January 2011) |
The Meža (Slovenian) or Mieß (German) is a 43 km (27 mi.) river in the Austrian state of Carinthia and Slovenia.[1] It has its source on the Austrian side of the border near Mount Olševa, becomes subterranean a kilometre from its source, and reappears on the surface in Koprivna near Črna na Koroškem, Slovenia. It is the central river of the Mežica Valley. It flows through Črna na Koroškem, Mežica, Prevalje, and Ravne na Koroškem, and into the Drava River at Dravograd. In its first part the Meža falls rapidly and is a typical alpine river with its tributaries from the Kamnik Alps and the Karavanke Mountains. After Črna na Koroškem it becomes a slow meandering lowland river. Its main tributary is the Mislinja River, which joins the Meža River a couple of hundred meters before it joins the Drava.
The Meža is noted for being the most polluted river in Slovenia. In 1982 the singer-songwriter Marijan Smode wrote a song about it titled "Mrtva reka" (The Dead River). This song has even been published in primary school textbooks. The main polluter has been the Ravne Steelworks (Slovene: Železarna Ravne) conglomerate.
- ^ "Reke, dolge nad 25 km, in njihova padavinska območja" [Rivers, longer than 25 km, and their catchment areas] (in Slovene, English). Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia. 2002.
External links[edit]
Wikimedia Commons has media related to Meža. |
- Confluence of the Meža, Mislinja and Drava rivers, interactive map at Geopedia.si.
Coordinates: 46°35′N 15°01′E / 46.583°N 15.017°E
This Slovenian geography article is a stub. You can help Wikipedia by expanding it. |


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Getty ImagesBy Ashlee Davis
About 13% of women who give birth develop postpartum depression, a serious, long-lasting condition that's more than just "baby blues."
Postpartum depression can happen to anyone, even the rich and famous (and new dads too). Exhaustion, sleep deprivation, and other stressors take their toll.
These celebrity moms shared their postpartum depression with the world, despite a cultural stigma against discussing motherhood in less-than-glowing terms.
Health.com: Avoiding the stigma of mental illness
Brooke Shields
Shields put postpartum depression front and center in 2005 when she traded barbs with Tom Cruise, who had criticized her use of antidepressants after the birth of her daughter Rowan.
Shields talks frankly about her extreme, sometimes suicidal, feelings in Down Came the Rain: My Journey Through Postpartum Depression.
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In the book Fair Game, Wilson, the world's most famous "outed" spy, talked about being a CIA operative-but also dedicated a chapter to her postpartum depression.
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Courteney Cox
Cox described her experience as a delayed case of postpartum depression to USA Today.
"I went through a really hard time-not right after the baby, but when [Coco] turned 6 months. I couldn't sleep," the actress said. "My heart was racing. And I got really depressed. I went to the doctor and found out my hormones had been pummeled."
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Reality TV star Wilkinson talked with OK! magazine about son Hank: "After giving birth, I never brushed my hair, my teeth, or took a shower. I looked in the mirror one day and was really depressed. I thought, 'Look at me!' I had this glamorous life in LA, and now [in Indianapolis], I didn't."
Keep reading: Health.com: 10 Celebrities Who Battled Postpartum Depression
Celebrities who battled postpartum depression
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MTV Brings the Music to the Masses for VMA Weekend 2009
* Reuters is not responsible for the content in this press release.
30H!3, Fefe Dobson, Cobra Starship, Phoenix and Kid Cudi Set To Perform in NYC NEW YORK, Sept. 3 /PRNewswire/ -- MTV is warming NYC up for the "2009 MTV Video Music Awards," which will air live from Radio City Music Hall on Sunday, September 13th at 9pm ET/PT, with a trio of music-filled events that will culminate with the massive music awards extravaganza. Music fans will be able to check out performances from 3OH!3, Fefe Dobson, Cobra Starship, Kid Cudi, and Phoenix at locations across the city. On Thursday night, the VMAs and Verizon Wireless kick off the week with a performance from 3OH!3, and Taco Bell(R) welcomes Fefe Dobson and Cobra Starship, along with DJ Vice, to the stage on Friday night. On Saturday night, the VMAs and Pepsi present "A Refreshing Night of Music" featuring DJ Clinton Sparks, Kid Cudi and Phoenix, with the event benefiting LIFEbeat, The Music Industry Fights AIDS. Tickets for The 2009 Video Music Awards and Pepsi Present: A Refreshing Night of Music with DJ Clinton Sparks, Kid Cudi and Phoenix a Benefit for LIFEbeat, The Music Industry Fights AIDS, an all ages event, are $40.00 for General Admission in advance, with limited tickets at the door available for $50.00. Advance VIP tickets are also available for $150.00, with proceeds from all tickets going to LIFEbeat. Tickets can be purchased by going to LIFEbeat.org, ticketweb.com or by calling 866.468.7619. In addition, the event will offer fans the chance to play the highly-anticipated music video game The Beatles: Rock Band. More information on the LIFEbeat and the event can be found at LIFEbeat.org. The "2009 MTV Video Music Awards Weekend" schedule is as follows: THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 10th, 2009 The 2009 Video Music Awards and Verizon Wireless Present: VMA Weekend Kick-Off Party with 3OH!3 Touch Nightclub, 240 W 52nd St Door Open at 8pm Cover Charge at the Door Performance by 3OH!3 FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 11th, 2009 The 2009 VMAs and Taco Bell present: A Concert with Fefe Dobson and Cobra Starship The Fillmore New York at Irving Plaza, 17 Irving Place Doors Open at 6:30pm $20 cover charge at the door, or advance cover may be purchased at the box office or at www.livenation.com Performances from Fefe Dobson and Cobra Starship Music by DJ Vice SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 12th, 2009 The 2009 Video Music Awards and Pepsi Present: A Refreshing Night of Music with DJ Clinton Sparks, Kid Cudi and Phoenix a Benefit for LIFEbeat, The Music Industry Fights AIDS 610 West 56th Street Doors Open - 9pm Show Begins- 9:45pm Special performances from Phoenix and Kid Cudi Music by DJ Clinton Sparks MTV and Taco Bell are blowing out their VMA partnership this year. Over the past four weeks, Taco Bell has brought the VMAs in-store, showcasing it via cups and point of purchase material with VMA tune-in attracting visibility among the more than 38 million people who visit a Taco Bell each week. Taco Bell has also integrated itself into MTV's 2009 VMA Tour at Six Flags as well as the Friday night concert over VMA weekend at The Fillmore NY. Taco Bell and MTV will bring both these events to the masses via MTV News hits that will air on MTV and MTVu throughout VMA weekend. Taco Bell is also using the VMA platform to launch the fourth year of its Feed the Beat(TM) program, which rewards up-and-coming bands free food while on tour. Go to feedthebeat.com for more information. This year, MTV is recognizing 50 young volunteers from the Boys & Girls Club, City Year and Youth Build for getting involved in their local communities by bringing them to the MTV VMA Awards to catch all of the night's action. Serve.MTV.com is MTV's platform to connect young people with a wide range of ways to get active in their local communities, launched in response to surging youth interest in volunteerism, as well as the President and First Lady's call for Americans to become more involved in service. Find out more online at Serve.MTV.com, on Facebook or on MySpace. MTV News and V CAST from Verizon Wireless are giving customers an All Access video pass to the 2009 VMAs, with an unprecedented inside look at the making of the biggest music event of the year. Verizon Wireless customers can sign up for VMA text alerts by texting VIP to 8911 to receive VMA news insider reports delivered directly to their Verizon Wireless phones. Viewers can vote for the "Best New Artist" category throughout the show, live on September 13. MTV, Pepsi and Rock Band(TM) have created a new category at this year's VMAs, "Best Performance in a Pepsi Rock Band Video" that allows fans, for the first time, a chance to win their very own Moonman. This summer, contestants entered their original Rock Band(TM) music videos, which fans voted on to select the ultimate winner. The winning band will travel to the "2009 MTV Video Music Awards," walk the red carpet, receive their Moonman, and be featured in an MTV produced promotional spot airing the night of the show. Shugoll Research and Telescope are the Official Business Advisors of the "2009 MTV Video Music Awards" Nominee and Winner Voting periods. Jesse Ignjatovic/Den of Thieves is the Executive Producer for the "2009 MTV Video Music Awards." Dave Sirulnick is Executive Producer. Garrett English is co-Executive Producer/Executive in Charge of Production. Amy Doyle is co-Executive Producer. Joanna Bomberg is Executive in Charge of Music and Talent. Jen Jones is Producer. Hamish Hamilton is Director. Robin Reinhardt-Locke is Celebrity Talent Executive. Official sponsors of the "2009 MTV Video Music Awards" are 5 (R) Gum, Febreze, Pepsi, Rhapsody (R), Sears, Taco Bell, U.S. Army and Verizon Wireless. The "2009 MTV Video Music Awards" will be available to a potential viewing audience of more than 1.2 billion people via MTV's global network of 68 channels reaching 577 million households around the world as well as through syndication. In addition, its convergent programming & content will reach the entire interactive community, via MTV's more than 200 digital media properties around the world. About MTV: MTV is the dynamic, vibrant experiment at the intersection of music, creativity and youth culture. For over 27 years, MTV has evolved, challenged the norm, and detonated boundaries -- giving each new generation a creative outlet and voice that entertains, informs and unites on every platform and screen. On-air, MTV is the number one rated full-day ad-supported cable network for P12-24. Online, MTV.com averaged 21.7 million monthly unique visitors during the first quarter of 2009 -- up +7% from the 4Q/2008. Total video streams for the first quarter of 2009 increased by 13% from 4Q/2008 and by 21% over the same time period last year. And MTV's successful sibling networks MTV2, mtvU and MTV Tr3s each deliver unprecedented customized content, super-serving music fans, college students and young American Latinos like no one else. MTV is part of MTV Networks, a unit of Viacom (NYSE: VIA, VIA.B), one of the world's leading creators of programming and content across all media platforms. Wanna know more? Come on in...www.mtvpress.com. SOURCE MTV Tom Biro, +1-212-846-6406, email@example.com; or Melissa Barreto, +1-212-846-7226, firstname.lastname@example.com; or Emily Yeomans, +1-310-752-8074, email@example.com
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South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier plans to have an update on suspended receiver Shaq Roland's status later this week, he said Sunday on his teleconference.
Roland was left home when No. 13 USC traveled to Orlando, Fla., to play Central Florida, a game it won 28-25 Saturday. The reason for Roland's absence was cited as "a violation of athletic department policy."
Spurrier said Saturday the suspension was not drug related. On Sunday, Spurrier said it was not connected to behavioral reasons, academic concerns, or social media. He also said Roland was not arrested.
"We'll find out something, probably midweek or so," Spurrier said. "It's a university policy that, somehow or another, he was in violation. OK? That's about all I should say, I guess."
Here are a few more status updates on injured South Carolina players:
- Spurrier said quarterback Connor Shaw will miss two to three weeks with a sprained right, throwing shoulder.
- Center Cody Waldrop's injury was an ankle sprain. He did not re-injure his foot, which caused him to miss USC's past two games. Spurrier said Waldrop could play Saturday against Kentucky.
- Running back Brandon Wilds will miss three to four weeks with a dislocated left elbow. Spurrier said David Williams will be brought up to the varsity. Along with Shon Carson, Williams will provide running back depth behind Mike Davis.


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Artist: | Outasight |
Title: | Hell Yea |
Album: | Stay Gold EP |
Producer: | Cook Classics |
Avg Rating: |
Got room for one more on your "summer jam" playlist? If your answer to that question is a hearty "Hell Yea!", then Outasight's latest effort should be right up your alley. On this newly-released EP single, the Booth fave's first feature since May's Change the World, Cook Classics' breezy, … Read More


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Help fund the independent return of 2008 GLAAD Media Award winning series The DL Chronicles with all new episodes!
The DL Chronicles is an award winning anthology TV series by filmmakers Quincy LeNear and Deondray Gossett that aired on cable TV in 2007.
The DL Chronicles tells the stories of men of color who by consequence and by choice, live sexually duplicitous and secret lifestyles also known as,The Down Low. The "Down Low" is a slang term for men who identify as being straight, but secretly engage in sexual activity with men. More than just closeted, they do not identify as Gay or Bi-sexual and refuse to be associated with the Gay lifestyle or community.
Not only sexy and provocative, it offers a socially-conscious insight into the lines between sexuality and perceived socially acceptable behavior within communities of color. It provides an unapologetic view of intimacy between men and explores these scintillating stories with honesty and integrity.
It was renewed in 2008 and green lit for a second season but was put on hold indefinitely... eventually silently cancelled.
Check out the BTS of Season 1
For the past 3 years The DL Chronicles has been shelved by its former TV Network, and the fans have been outraged, waiting for years to no avail. Well the wait is over! The series' RIGHTS reverted back to the creators this Fall, now affording the fans and supporters the opportunity to bring back The DL Chronicles with all NEW episodes! (NOTE: The series will not air on its former cable network, here!TV or OutTV).
We are excited and ready to bring you ALL NEW stories, ones that entertain, scintillate, inspire, and CHANGE!
For more info visit our website theofficialdlchronicles.com
We are raising a minimum of $125,000 in time for the series to enter into production in late January 2012!
The DL Chronicles has thousands of fans across the country and thousands more across the globe. The pirated clips and downloads of Season 1 alone are in the hundreds of thousands!. So we know that you are watching and we know that you want to see the stories that will reflect you, that chronicle your lives, but to do this we need your to take ACTION!
We believe that the viewing audience has the power to choose the images they want to see. Why should we wait for the networks to continue to undervalue and render us invisible? The funds for this series should come from the people who the series actually impacts. It should come from the thousands of people whose lives these stories portray. It should come from the fans because you have demanded it.
The goal of this campaign is to raise a minimum of $125,000 for production of the entire new season, 5 half hour episodes. That's the equivalent of producing a two and a half hour movie for only $125,000! That's practically unheard of,.. but we live and strive in the realm of infinite possibility. ;)
If you decide to help, you can pledge whatever you can in exchange for our awesome rewards (for example, a DVD of the series when it's completed, your name in the credits, even a cameo appearance in an episode,... the list goes on!).
The MORE you pledge, the better the rewards! You can pledge as little as $1 (but don't be afraid to pledge more... just saying) or $50+ (the cost of a movie ticket, parking, snacks and gas in one day), or as much as $10,000+ (in which case I might have to propose to you).
Take a look at the column on the right to see what's available!
The campaign has a hard deadline of 11:59pm on DECEMBER 30th
If the goal is met by the deadline, your credit card is charged what you pledged (but only then). The DL Chronicles RETURNS will go into production, you get great REWARDS,and thousand more people will get to enjoy one of your all time favorite shows, more importantly YOU!
If we don't make the goal by the deadline (falling even a cent short), your credit card is not charged, The DL Chronicles RETURNS will not go into production, you don't get any reward(s), and the world doesn't see zilch. Back to the drawing board... but we have all the FAITH in the world in our fans because its been your undying support that brought us here!
Our goal is to be sure that The DL Chronicles is accessible wherever a broadband connection is found and a media enabled device is used, broadband enabled televisions, computers, cellular phones, wireless devices (iPad, iPod, Android tablets, etc.) gaming systems, and solid media such as BLU Ray and DVD.
Thanks to the world wide web we are no longer confined to our TV sets and channels. We are currently on the precipice of defining our own sources of distribution. We have to begin thinking outside of the box. A film or TV series should not be deemed less valuable or less successful if it is not seen on traditional TV. We can garner the same numbers ONLINE and prove to be as successful if not more.
Our intended distribution avenues are:
HD Video downloads (iTunes, Amazon Prime, and more)
HD Streaming (Hulu, Xbox, PS3, Youtube, and more)
VOD (Netflix, Comcast, Blockbuster, Direct TV and more)
and a planned theatrical tour in select cities!
The DL Chronicles was created as a labor of love in 2005. After noticing the absence of men of color in LGBT themed films and television and an absence of LGBT people in ethnic themed films and television, we were inspired to address the void. Furthermore, while witnessing the misdirected attacks and scapegoating of Same Gender Loving men of color in the media during the height of the country's Down Low hysteria and HIV witch hunt (concurrently during the Oscar success of Brokeback Mountain which was heralded as a great love story and not a scary Down Low one), we wanted to address the topic from it's sociological and cultural truths and paint a more accurate picture.
Armed with less than a few thousand dollars and the support of friends and family, we shot the pilot episode. It was a true independent and guerrilla filmmaking experience. We had no idea that it would grow beyond the confines of our own inner circle and reach national television, win countless awards, and reach across the seas, entertaining, inspiring, and changing lives.
In 2010, The DL Chronicles has been included in the college text book, Our Sexuality by Robert Crooks, Karla Baur, published by Cengage Learning.
"This is the most respected and authoritative college textbook available on human sexuality."
The DL Chronicles Season 1 DVD is regularly used by universities and community organizations as a teaching tool.
Fan Letter:
"I recently went to a screening of the DL Chronicles here in Philly and I really enjoyed it. Congrats on your success and I wish you even more success in the near future. Please keep up the good work. While I liked all of the segments I have to say I enjoyed part 2 the most, simply because I have never really seen the relationship between a black SGL man and his daughter explored to that magnitude on screen. It was a wonderful mix of humor and drama along with some very endearing characters. Seeing the movie forced me to do some self-inventory and make some changes within my own life which is what art is supposed to do. Thank you for making us proud."
- Carib Boi
The impact that the series had was fulfilling beyond the egoistic desires of being a filmmaker and was rewarding because it helped someone heal, gave someone courage, gave someone a different point of view. We could move on to the countless other creative and fun ideas we have and we will, but as long as these stories remain relevant and continue to affect lives for the better, we will continue to speak for the silenced.
YES! This is a great gift for friends and family! Birthdays, Anniversaries, Christmas, Valentines Day!
If you would like to gift your reward to someone, simply make a donation in your name (For billing purposes it must be in your name). After the deadline, we will send a message to you on Kickstarter. (to the email address provided). Simply reply with all the person's information. We will make sure they receive your gift (according to delivery date).
YES! Once you donate to the campaign, you may want to change your incentive reward to a different one, or increase your pledge amount. To do so, come back to this page and sign in. The green "Back This Project" button has been replaced with a blue "Manage Your Donation" button. Click it and you can enter a new amount, or choose a new incentive.
THANK YOU SOOOOO MUCH!!!! XOXOXO Let's Do This!
More questions? Check e-mail us at firstname.lastname@example.com.
-- Quincy LeNear + Deondray Gossett --
WEBSITE: www.theofficialdlchronicles.com
FACEBOOK: www.facebook.com/dlchronicles
1. Your pledges will not be charged.
2. Our NEW plan B is now at IndieGoGo.com. Please renew your pledges there. http://www.indiegogo.com/The-DL-Chronicles-RETURNS-…. All rewards are the same!
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- First created · 1 backed
- Quincy LeNear 4020 friends
- Website: 2centsprods.com
Pledge $1 or more
You selected35 backers
DONATION We know times are hard and we appreciate even the smallest of donations. So we truly appreciate your gift. Lots of $1 add up to make our goal! •In return we'll send a shout-out and thank you on our FB Fan page.
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $10 or more
You selected55 backers
FRIEND'S PACKAGE • HD Digital download of the "Premiere" episode! • A shout-out and thank you on our FB Fan page. • You'll be included in the thanks section on our website too!
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $25 or more
You selected103 backers
SUPPORTER'S PACKAGE • An HD digital download of the FULL series that you can enjoy on your computer or mobile device anywhere and anytime. • The DL Chronicles RETURNS sticker or refrigerator magnet. • Exclusive access to a protected link on our website of streaming sexy behind the scenes footage! • A shout-out and thank you on our FB Fan page. • You'll be included in the thanks section on our website too!
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $50 or more
You selected71 backers
VIEWERS PACKAGE • Be the first to get the DVD - A SPECIAL CROWDFUNDERS EDITION DVD OF THE FINISHED SEASON (with special features) not available anywhere else! This package includes exclusive video interviews with directors and cast. • As an ADDED BONUS, we're including downloads of "select" songs from our The DL CHRONICLES RETURNS soundtrack. • Also everything in the Supporter's Package above! (Canada shipping, please add $6, International please add $10)
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $100 or more
You selected35 backers
THE # 1 FAN PACKAGE • Be the first to get a COLLECTOR'S EDITION DVD. • A PDF DOWNLOAD OF THE DIRECTOR'S SHOOTING SCREENPLAY! • Digital download of the full SOUNDTRACK! • HD download of the series (for watching on the go). • Exclusive digital download of our Behind the Scenes docu special including interviews with cast and crew as they bring the DL Chronicles RETURNS to life! •Also everything in the Supporter's Package above! ((Canada shipping, please add $6, International please add $10)
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $250 or more
You selected6 backers
GIFT BAG PACKAGE • Signed Behind the Scenes E-Book (or PDF) w screenplay and full color photos for iPad, Kindle or online viewing. • SIGNED COLLECTOR'S EDITION DVD W/ PERSONAL NOTE • HD DOWNLOAD • FULL SOUNDTRACK • Autographed pictures of the cast with special note. • A signed limited edition movie poster signed by the cast. •Also everything in the Supporter's Package above! (Canada shipping, please add $6, International please add $10)
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $500 or more
You selected6 backers
VIP PACKAGE • PARTY! At the wrap party in Los Angeles (transportation not included). Come join us on this very special night. And you also get two tix to the cast and crew screening in Los Angeles (travel and accommodation not provided)! • Bound Behind the Scenes Look Book w screenplay and full color photos. •COLLECTOR'S EDITION DVD W/ PERSONAL NOTE • HD DOWNLOAD • FULL SOUNDTRACK • Autographed pictures of the cast with special note. • A signed limited edition movie poster signed by the cast. • Special thank you in the credits. •Also everything in the Supporter's Package above! (Canada shipping, please add $6, International please add $10)
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $1,000 or more
You selected3 backers
ASSOCIATE PRODUCER PACKAGE • Want to get your name onscreen with us? This donation makes you a bona-fide "Associate Producer" on the film! • ACT! You get a Walk-on Role in the film (travel and accommodation not provided). Come spend the day working on the set and get pix taken by our on set photographer, who will make sure to document your experience - which will be printed in the BTS look Boo!. A great gift! • Highlight your name in our film's THANK YOU credits! •Invite to the cast and crew party in Los Angeles, CA (travel and accommodation not provided). •Also everything in the VIP Package above! (Canada shipping, please add $6, International please add $10)
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $3,000 or more
You selected0 backers
CO-PRODUCER PACKAGE Have you always wanted to sit next to a film director and watch as they bring their vision to life? Come visit the set of The DL Chronicles for a day and hang out with the director, cast and crew. Who knows, we might even let you yell 'Action!' once...or a few times if you're really good at it (travel and accommodation not provided). •A cameo acting appearance in an episode . • Invitation to attend the screening of the pilot. •Lunch with new cast and the Producers in Los Angeles. •Also everything in the VIP Package above! ( (Travel and accommodation not provided/Canada shipping, please add $6, International please add $10)
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $5,000 or more
You selected1 backer Limited (9 left of 10)
CO-EXEC PRODUCER PACKAGE • A "Co- Producer credit" listing in the movie credits, (This would be title only on the film's credit crawl. NOTE: Creative control will remain in the hands of the filmmakers.) • A "Co- Producer credit" listing on IMDB.com • 2 TICKETS TO WRAP PARTY • 2 TICKETS TO ADVANCED VIP SCREENING & AFTER PARTY sit in the VIP section!!! • LET'S DO LUNCH! Have lunch on the set with the cast and crew and have your experience documented by our on set photographer. • Get a character named after you in the film or gift it to a special someone and use their name! • A walk-on role with dialogue (Under 5 lines or we work with you to get your likeness in the project). •Also everything in the VIP Package above! (Canada shipping, please add $6, International please add $10) (Travel and accommodation not provided)
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $7,500 or more
You selected1 backer Limited (4 left of 5)
EXECUTIVE PRODUCER PACKAGE • Executive Producer Credit of The DL Chronicles Returns! • Name listed in opening titles. • A "Executive Producer credit" listing on IMDB.com • 4 TICKETS TO WRAP PARTY • 4 TICKETS TO PREMIERE SCREENING & AFTER PARTY sit in the VIP section!!! (Or screenings in select cities near you) •Also everything in the Co-Producer Package above! (Canada shipping, please add $6, International please add $10) (Travel and accommodation not provided)
Estimated delivery: -
Pledge $10,000 or more
You selected1 backer Limited (9 left of 10)
CORPORATE PACKAGE/ARTS PATRON Are you a company or brand looking for product placement? Or are you just a supporter of the arts? CORPORATE REWARDS are... •We will feature your product, brand or logo prominently in the episodes (Corporations only).. •Your logo, company, personal name, will be listed in the crawl credits and in the opening credits under "Made Possible By..." •Your company/personal name will be featured on our Official website and entire social media presence with clickable links or banners. •Your company/personal name will be credited in the Acknowledgments in limited print literature. •Also select rewards from the Executive-Producer Package above for non-corporations! (Canada shipping, please add $6, International please add $10)
Estimated delivery:
Funding period
- (60 days)


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Isis Mud Client A GTK+ MUD client with support for MCCP, MXP, support for the zChat and MudMaster peer-to-peer chat protocols, the MUD sound protocol (MSP), Telnet GA support, regexp trigger support, aliases, Perl and Python plugin support.
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Madame Butterfly is directed and choreographed by the company's Artistic Director, David Nixon who originally created the piece on his wife, Yoko Ichino, the internationally renowned ballerina, who is now Ballet Mistress and Academy Associate Director at Northern Ballet.
Northern Ballet's Madam Butterfly is based on the original Belasco play that inspired the great opera and premiered at Leeds Grand Theatre in 2002.
This heart-rending tale of love and infidelity, involves a young geisha who marries Lieutenant Pinkerton, a dashing naval officer, only to be abandoned by him while carrying his unborn child. The loyal Butterfly awaits her husband's return, valiantly raising their son alone in a society which has ostracised her. When Pinkerton eventually returns to Nagaski with his new American wife, Butterfly's doomed fate and that of her young son are sealed.
The ballet features choreography and design by David Nixon, music by Giacomo Puccini and orchestration by John Longstaff. Ligthing is by Peter Mumford and the scenic design is by Ali Allen.
Northern Ballet's Madame Butterfly is at the Palace Theatre from 25 - 29 September.


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Results 1 to 10 of 28
Thread: MAP sensor fell into manifold
MAP sensor fell into manifold
Long story short, the MAP sensor broke and the piece that goes into the manifold fell into the manifold. I would assume this is just - Take manifold off, find the piece, reinstall manifold -. Anything I should know? I have never removed an intake manifold, plan on going by the Haynes manual on this one.
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BTW, the engine was off and has not been turned over since.1999 Chevrolet Suburban LS K1500
1991 Chevrolet S10 4.3L 4x4
2005 Suzuki Forenza (GM/Daewoo)
01-29-2013, 05:26 PM #2is the part that fell in metal? maybe you can fish it out with a magnet.
1995 Silverado 4x4
6" BDS Suspension Lift-3" Body Lift-Add A Leaf in rear -Trailmaster SSV Shocks-Duel Steering Stabilizer Kit -AirAid Cold air intake-
4.56 Gears with Detroit Auburn Locker-Pro-Comp Traction Bars with duel shocks-Aluminum Skid Plate Kit-38.5" x 16.5" Mickey Thompson Baja Claws-Constant Dropping fuel gauge
2005 Yukon XL Jet Power Programmer, Bilstein Shocks, Bilstein rear springs, Helwig Anti-sway bars, EGR Window Visors, EGR Hood Shield, Denali Headlights, Headlight harness upgrade, GE NightHawk Bulbs, White Night Rear lighting system http://www.gmtruckclub.com/forum/sho...5-GMC-Yukon-XL
2002 Silverado ext cab 2wd (Sold)
2003 Yukon XL (Totaled)
01-29-2013, 07:00 PM #3I am not sure actually...but I guess its worth it to try. Its the end of the sensor that sticks down into the intake manifold, from what I remember it is all rubber seal on the outside. The way it broke off I am assuming its all plastic.
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I guess what I need to know is the best way to do the gasket. Where to use RTV.1999 Chevrolet Suburban LS K1500
1991 Chevrolet S10 4.3L 4x4
2005 Suzuki Forenza (GM/Daewoo)
01-29-2013, 07:17 PM #4Buy quality gaskets... And RTV at each end of the intake gasket meets the little gaskets on each end of the intake. Be sure you get yourself a gasket scraper... And plug all the intake ports and lay an old hand towel in the block to catch all the chunks before you start scraping. Another tip... Be sure you mark the distributor position on the intake and rotor position under the cap. This way when you re-install the timing will be close.
2009 Chevy Silverado 2500HDLT 6.0L w/ Towing Package, Dick Cepek GM8 Rims, Dick Cepek FC II 33X11.50R17,RKSport Ram-Air Hood(Functional), Lazer Lite Aluminum Tonneau Cover, Road Armor Stealth Bumper, PIAA Lighting, Diablo Trinity Tuner, Diablew Custom Tune, BullyDog Cold Air Intake, American Racing Headers w/highflow cats, Corsa Performance Sport Exhaust, Custom Striping, Black Bowties front and rear, Fuel Grille Inserts, Recon Headlights, Readylift Shocks, Readylift Upper Contol Arms, 2" Blocks in the Rear..
Future Plans: HD Tie Rods, Under hood upgrades, Crower Camshaft and possibly electric fans.
01-29-2013, 07:51 PM #5No distributor on this truck thank god.
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Im an idiot, I never said what truck...its a 1999 Silverado 5.3.1999 Chevrolet Suburban LS K1500
1991 Chevrolet S10 4.3L 4x4
2005 Suzuki Forenza (GM/Daewoo)
01-30-2013, 04:42 AM #6take the intake tube off and open the throttle and make sure you cant see it first. if you can get a pick or put a small loop in a coat hanger and use a bunch of grease a tthe end to grab the piece. also you truck has an upper and lower intake. i dont think you will need rtv for seperating the lower and upper intake. i know the some of them use an oring that you can reuse if you choose.
"i dont think you got the picture. i got a beautiful picture. this baby happens to have an extra turn of speed, which is the only thing i care about. you dont understnad what happens do you? they make cars. they make 'em exactly the same way. one or two of 'em turn out to be something special. nobody knows why. i know why. i may be kiddin' myself, but i think i can make somethin' out of that sad little bucket of bolts." ~ Tennessee Steinmetz
01-30-2013, 07:22 AM #7Well I thought I had a picture of my truck intake, but I can't find it. 99 was the first year for "DRY" intake manifolds. There are 2 gaskets, each one is made of plastic and each intake port has a rubber o-ring. These are reusable gaskets, BUT you might have an o-ring that gets mangled when you remove the intake so be prepared to have to go and get new gaskets. ($14.99) Felpro from autozone or wherever.
The MAP sensor is also plastic, there is no metal to it at all.2004 Chevy Colorado
LS1 5.7 swap/TBSS rear axle swap
01-30-2013, 10:03 PM #8I got the throttle body off and looked into the manifold. Cant see back far enough to where the MAP sensor was sitting. Looks like the manifold has 2 chambers, all I could see at the back of the first chamber was a small hole that led back further to where the map sensor sits.
1999 Chevrolet Suburban LS K1500
1991 Chevrolet S10 4.3L 4x4
2005 Suzuki Forenza (GM/Daewoo)
01-30-2013, 11:40 PM #9dry manifold like I said in the other post, you will need to replace the intake o-rings. No point will need rtv or even coolant if you unbolt the throttle body and leave it on the engine. Its a really easy job, just make sure to put balled up sheets of heavy papertowel into the intake ports on the head and remember to take them out too. No big
line-x'd front brush guard with KC Daylighters, 6000k HID lows and highs, rewired highbeams, Trans-go mild shift kit, custom stainless duals, 3500 dually OEM taillights, K&N CAI. Still have OEM fender flairs and leveling kit in boxes waiting for time.
01-31-2013, 04:37 PM #10This is the gasket set I got.
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Also, I did spill coolant, I removed the hose from the drivers side of the throttle body.1999 Chevrolet Suburban LS K1500
1991 Chevrolet S10 4.3L 4x4
2005 Suzuki Forenza (GM/Daewoo)
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As part of her Women's History Month residency at Wright State, CNN's Geraldine Moriba will deliver the Anita Hill Annual Lecture on Gender Justice on March 13.
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University Honors Program
The University Honors Program exists to serve the needs of capable, hardworking, ambitious students who want to make the most of their undergraduate education.
In addition to offering honors classes, the University Honors Program provides several other services for Wright State's outstanding students, including:
- small classes
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Students interested in the University Honors Program should meet the following eligibility criteria:
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- GPA of 3.0 or better
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The Honors Program offers several competitive scholarships. For eligibility information and deadlines, check out the scholarship information under Paying for College.
Free March 14 workshop will focus on supporting Dayton immigrant entrepreneurs and making Dayton the best place for immigrants to launch and grow their businesses.
Scheduled for March 14, the annual Public History Graduate Symposium will focus on "The Future is Our History" and include presentations by public history graduate students.


text: Attention: The City and Fallon Hotels will be closed from January through March of 2014. For more information, Click here. Get your reservations in now. COLUMBIA HOTELS AND COTTAGES, CABooking WindowFri Mar 14 2014 - Tue Mar 31 2015 Reservations must be made 2 Days(s) ahead of arrival and can be made up to 13 Month(s) in advance. New dates are released in blocks, 1 Month(s) at a time. The next on-sale is Tue Apr 01 2014 Booking RulesMinimum Window: 1 dayMax Window: 6 months |


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In Search of England
by Michael Wood
In a rich unfolding of history and legend, the author of "Conquistadors" explores the character and origins of the Anglo-Saxon world, a culture that ... Show synopsis
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Rydges Bankstown
874 Hume Highway, Bass Hill, NSW 2197
+61 2 8707 2800
Bed & Breakfast
From $154 Per room Members from $137 Per roomTreat yourself to a weekend away and enjoy a gorgeous buffet breakfast in our hotel Restaurant. Don't rush to check out in the morning enjoy a sleep in with a late check out of 1pm.
Here's what you will receive:- Overnight Accommodation at Rydges Bankstown
- Full buffet breakfast
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- Rooms and rates subject to availability.
- Cancellation policy applies.
- Breakfast to be taken in hotel Restaurant only.


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"With me, it's story, story, story."
Bernard Malamud
"Miracles are a retelling in small letters of the very same story which is written across the whole world in letters too large for some of us to see."
C.S. Lewis
"There is no greater agony than bearing an untold story inside you."
Maya Angelou
"Why can we remember the tiniest detail that has happened to us, and not remember how many times we have told it to the same person."
François de la Rochefoucauld
"It takes a thousand voices to tell a single story"
Native American Proverb
"'I want out of the labels. I don't want my whole life crammed into a single word. A story. I want to find something else, unknowable, some place to be that's not on the map. A real adventure.' A spinx. A mystery. A blank. Unknown. Undefined."
Chuck Palahniuk
""It takes a while to tell stories, I think it's because I was drunk for three years.""
Gerard Way


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Doug Muzzio
Gloves Come Off: Lhota, de Blasio Trade Heated Jabs, Raise Voices In Second Debate
Mayoral candidates Bill de Blasio and Joe Lhota took jabs, raised their voices and frequently talked over each other at their second debate Tuesday, with de Blasio repeatedly accusing Lhota of "fearmongering," and Lhota accusing de Blasio of failing to keep promises and being soft on crime.
De Blasio In Command, But Thompson Has No Intention Of Conceding
Public Advocate Bill de Blasio emerged as the top choice in the Democratic mayoral primary, but could still face weeks and another electoral fight before becoming his party's nominee.
Weiner, Wife Band Together, Say Latest Sexting Scandal Is Old News
Mayoral candidate and former U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner responded apologetically Tuesday, following revelations of another alleged cybersex relationship, but said he is not going anywhere when it comes to the mayoral race.
Beaming Spitzer Claims He Recorded More Than 27,000 Signatures
The disgraced former governor stood outside the offices of the Board of Elections on Thursday night and revealed to a throng of reporters he had obtained more than enough signatures to get on the Democratic primary ballot.
Report: Anthony Weiner Eyeing Run For NYC Mayor
An article in New York Times Magazine said Weiner's "political committee spent more than $100,000 on polling and research." It also said his wife Huma Abedin is starting to think he should run.
Pundit: Gov. Christie CPAC Snub Will Backfire On Conservatives
Chris Christie made the "do not invite list" for the Conservative Political Action Conference, a major event for GOP big wigs. But as one pundit noted Tuesday, that may not be a bad thing for New Jersey's governor.
Poll: Turner Holds 6-Point Lead Heading Into Special Election For Weiner's Seat
Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani campaigned with Republican congressional candidate Bob Turner on Monday, trying to augment his surprising lead in the polls in Weiner's heavily Democratic 9th Congressional District.
Reaction To Weiner's Resignation Mixed Among Constituents; Analysts, Politicians Also Weigh In
Some constituents said Weiner's decision to quit was the right political decision, while others asserted the Democrat should have looked past the media circus and fought on.


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The classic I love... for dearest mothers.
This great product in white from our department Kids & Babies and Hoodie category can be printed just for you in the size and style you like. The design I love Ma was created by katweazl and uploaded to Spreadshirt for you to have printed on a Hoodie. Next to a host of other great designs, you can find this I love Ma design in Spreadshirt's Mother's Day category. If you are interested in topics like Cool or Sweet, then you'll love I love Ma designs by katweazl. Spreadshirt also offers a huge selection of t-shirts, hoodies and accessories for the category Mother's Day as well as top Tourist clothing. katweazl's designs have already impressed many of our customers, so we are sure that we've got right stuff for you! Spreadshirt is your address for great designs of all kinds – whether it's Cool, Sweet or Tourist. We are sure that you will find something nice in our shop, there are many amazing Mother's Day t-shirts, hoodies or accessories for you to find!Tags: Design ID: 3613502
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Wilson Center News
Galina Starovoitova Fellowship on Human Rights and Conflict Resolution
Apr 07, 2014
The deadline for the next round of Galina Starovoitova Fellowships is approaching the April 7th deadline. Make sure to turn in your application and all supporting documents.
Latest News from the Wilson Center
The Crisis in Venezuela: What Role for the International Community?
Mar 25, 2014
Four regional experts wrestle from distinct angles with the core question of how to play a constructive role in overcoming and resolving tensions in Venezuela.
Latin American Program in the News: "Interview with Donny Meertens on Women's Land Rights & Youth Views on Transitional Justice in Colombia"
Mar 12, 2014
This post features an interview about women's land rights, anthropologists and the rule of law sector, and transitional justice with Latin American Program Fellow Donny Meertens.
Latin American Program in the News: "Otro ataque a la OEA"
Mar 12, 2014
Latin American Program Director Cynthia J. Arnson is quoted in this article about the relationship between Venezuela and the Organization of American States, including the response to the current crisis in Venezuela. This article is in Spanish.
MENA Women's News Brief
Mar 11, 2014
The Middle East Program will send out the latest developments on women's issues in the Middle East and North Africa region on a bi-monthly basis.
Iraqis' New Personal Status Ja'fari Law is Sectarian
Mar 11, 2014
Many Iraqis have expressed outrage and protested against the Ja'fari bill on jurisprudence and personal status.


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NEW YORK — NEW YORK (AP) - The National Hurricane Center in Miami says that Irene has lost hurricane strength and made landfall on New York's Coney Island.
Forecasters say Irene's winds have fallen to 65 mph.
They say Irene should move over New England by the afternoon. Officials also warn that isolated tornadoes are possible in the northeast throughout the morning.


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Full forecast and current conditions are always available on your mobile device.
Click here to download our StormTrack Mobile App.
Fire officials in Providence Township are concerned that a levy to help fund the fire department may not pass this week. They say that could mean slower response times from them.
The department's renewal levy goes on the ballot every five years. It pays for the part-time staff at the Providence Township Fire Department, but Chief Jeremiah Floyd says he's concerned it won't pass.
"We're concerned because of the economy and everything," he said. "We're just asking for a renewal levy. It's not an increase of any sort."
The chief says the levy is necessary to keep 10 part-time employees and if it isn't renewed, the department could be left in the hands of volunteers by Wednesday.
"The volunteers are still going to pick up the slack, but this will lead to an increase in response times and the lack of coverage during the day, I think, is going to be a huge issue," he said.
So far this year, the department has made a total of 294 runs. Chief Floyd says their current response time is about a minute and a half, but that could increase to five minutes.
"Every vote counts and so does every second," he said. "It's more about the concerns of the residents, you know, knowing that they have part-time people in the station 24-7 and being able to respond as quickly as possible."
Mobile users, click on the "Video" button in the app to watch this story. Download our app here.
Copyright 2013 Toledo News Now. All rights reserved.


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Growth and current account forecasts for the Maldives from the Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2013 are retained. Growth is expected to recover modestly to 4.3% in 2013 and 5.5% in 2014, as moderate recovery in the global economy lifts tourism, which provides 28% of gross domestic product (GDP). Up by 17.8% in the first half of 2013, versus 2.3% a year earlier, tourist arrivals are consistent with a strong recovery in the sector and the larger economy. Election-related spending ahead of the presidential vote in September may bolster growth moderately. Political certainty and a clearer policy direction provided by a new government may increase appetites to invest in tourism. Notably, GDP growth forecasts are well below the 7.0% expansion in 2011, when growth in tourist arrivals was comparable, and fall short of the 5-year average of 6.6% since 2007.
Selected Economic Indicators (%) - Maldives | 2013 | 2014 | ||
ADO 2013 | Update | ADO 2013 | Update | |
GDP Growth | 4.3 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
Inflation | 9.3 | 5.5 | 8.5 | 5.0 |
Current Account Balance (share of GDP) | -27.8 | -27.9 | -22.0 | -22.0 |
Source: Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2013 Update; ADB estimates.
Downside risks include how the recent slowing of GDP growth reflects the unsustainability of funding broad economic activity by expanding the government deficit. With a fiscal deficit averaging 14% of GDP over the past 5 years in tandem with a large and growing current account deficit, the government must urgently modify its fiscal stance. In 2012, the government deficit was over 12% of GDP, despite earlier attempts at consolidation, and public debt was estimated at 78% of GDP, more than double its share only 4 years earlier. Thus, serious questions about debt sustainability and concerns regarding repayment capacity undermine the government's credibility and jeopardize future economic stability. Moreover, low gross international reserves, sufficient to cover only 2.6 months of projected imports in late 2013, mean any exchange rate shock is likely to challenge the stability of the currency. While a large and positive entry of errors and omissions in the balance of payments suggests sizable unreported capital inflows, the magnitude of the current account deficit leaves the economy very vulnerable.
Inflation as reported by the Maldives over recent months is volatile, recently falling well below expected rates. Inflation forecasts are thus revised down to 5.5% in 2013 and 5.0% in 2014. Price moderation is in line with longer-term inflation rates, as large increases in the price of fish and some other imported staples have declined sharply.
Source: ADB. 2013. Asian Development Outlook 2013 Update. Manila.


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quote:The talks between Dish and Google aren't advanced and could amount to nothing, one of the people said. Google is just one of several companies that Dish has held talks with recently, and the discussions with other potential partners are also at an exploratory stage, said the people familiar with the discussions. It is unclear which other companies are discussing a potential partnership with Dish.
A Verizon shill sent me a very angry PM last week


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I'm in love with these cupcakes! The fun sucker balloon toppers are super easy to make, and can be made to match any party theme or celebration!
Follow my tutorial below to make these...SEE MORE
Tag Archives: cupcake recipes
These delectable cupcakes will melt in your mouth. Serve these delicious STRAWBERRY CUPCAKES at your next party, social, family dinner, gathering or celebration!
The Best Strawberry Cup...SEE MORE
This fabulous LEMON RASPBERRY CUPCAKE RECIPE is from Courtney Forrester's Sweet, Boston's premiere cupcake destination!
Sweet was created by Courtney Forrester, a Boston business wo...SEE MORE
i made these cute cotton candy cupcakes for a sugar & spice party i hosted a few weeks ago {to see more pics of the party and my candy buffet go to my party site, here}. they were really...SEE MORE
i hosted a dr seuss baby shower this weekend. i made LOTS of cupcakes for the whole shindig...so you're going to be seeing a lot of dr seuss around here this week! check my party site, http...SEE MORE
my sister in law has a collection of 'juicy couture' handbags & loves the brand, 'juicy' so i decided to try and come up with some juicy couture cupcakes for her birthday!
i made some...SEE MORE
these apple cupcakes were super easy and too cute! i covered the cupcake in vanilla frosting, rolled the top in green sprinkles, inserted a pretzel stick & mint leaves, & then used a...SEE MORE
i made these cupcakes for a family bbq celebrating my little bro-in-law graduating from high school! congrats again, seth!
they were super fun to make..and turned out so cute!
all you ...SEE MORE


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Cheyenne: Season 3, Episode 13White Warrior (11 Mar. 1958)Cheyenne is hired as wagon master to lead a number of families and traders through some rough Indian territory, Along the way he frees a comanche brave who turns out to be white. He spends ... See full summary » Director:Lee Sholem |
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A list of perpertrators from the parents of vaccine-damaged children.
There are some people whose actions have been so detrimental to our children they need calling out. I think it's good to know the enemy. Here are a handful of some of the worst offenders and a quick take on how they have stood in the way of real healing and justice for our Autistic children.


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Visiting and would like a recommendation
Hi, I will be visiting Boston with 6 girlfriends and we are looking for a fun, lively restaurant for Sat night. Moderate prices, really good food but also someplace that has a great atmosphere. We are staying in Back Bay but anywhere downtown would be fine.


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Home Buyer Tax Credit Info
If you are going to buy a home in Colorado in 2013, be sure you receive your IRS tax credit; it is worth thousands of dollars and can help you qualify for your mortgage loan as well.
You can receive IRS Tax Credits equal to 20%, 30% or 50% of the annual mortgage interest you pay each year. And you will receive these tax credits every year you live in your home.
There are 3 categories of homebuyers that qualify for these tax credits:
- First time homebuyers (haven't owned a home in past 3 years)
- Veterans
- Non-first time homebuyers (have owned a home in past 3 years)
Above, under "Buyers", select your category and learn more about how to receive your tax credits.