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First I want to Thank you all for reading my Blogs.. Believe it or not it gives me Heart Hugs to know that. Thank you all for the wishes... To Barbara.. I did sleep pretty good last night after watching Leno. Guess he is a better sleeping aid. LOL Two emails today were amazing.. One is Larry's Proverbs...Don't know who Larry is, My guess he is Maxine's Boyfriend or her competition.. You decide for your self. The second is a link that I was just mesmerized with the impact and Beauty of it. It in my opinion needed to be shared. Here is Larry.... Larry's Proverbs 1.A day without sunshine is like night. 2. On the other hand, you have different fingers. 3. 42.7 percent of all statistics are made up on the spot. 4. 99 percent of lawyers give the rest a bad name. 5. Remember, half the people you know are below average. 6. He who laughs last, thinks slowest. 7. Depression is merely anger without enthusiasm. 8. The early bird may get the worm, but the second mouse gets the cheese in the trap. 9. Support bacteria. They're the only culture most people have. 10. A clear conscience is usually the sign of a bad memory. 11. Change is inevitable, except from vending machines. 12. If you think nobody cares, try missing a couple of payments. 13. How many of you believe in psycho-kinesis? Raise my hand. 14. OK, so what's the speed of dark? 15. When everything is coming your way, you're in the wrong lane. 16. Hard work pays off in the future. Laziness pays off now. 17. How much deeper would the ocean be without sponges? 18. Eagles may soar, but weasels don't get sucked into jet engines. 19. What happens if you get scared half to death, twice? 20. Why do psychics have to ask you your name? 21. Inside every older person is a younger person wondering, 'What the heck happened?' 22. Just remember -- if the world didn't suck, we would all fall off. 23. Light travels faster than sound. That's why some people appear bright until you hear them speak. 24. Life isn't like a box of chocolates. It's more like a jar of jalape�os. What you do today, might burn your butt tomorrow. Here is the other one: Sit back and just relax... www.greatdanepromilitary.com/Colors/index.htm
It is late here than I expected to be up. Oh so late for me. Just could not sleep So I decided to read quotes and then decided to share them. If they brighten your day I will be happy. If it mends a friendship all the better. Now I think I will try to sleep. Sweet Dreams all and Have a better and Brighter tomorrow. "Do not save your loving speeches For your friends till they are dead; Do not write them on their tombstones, Speak them rather now instead. - Anna Cummins "True friendship's laws are by this rule expressed, Welcome the coming, speed the parting guest." - Alexander Pope "A friend is, as it were, a second self. - Cicero (Sent by Nigar Baimova) "The most beautiful thing we can experience is the mysterious, it is the true source of art, science, and friendship." - Albert Einstien (Sent by Brandon Merenda) "But friendship is precious, not only in the shade, but in the sunshine of life; and thanks to a benevolent arrangement of things, the greater part of life is sunshine." - Thomas Jefferson (Sent by Shawn) "The world would be so lonely, in sunny hours or gray. Without the gift of friendship, to help us every day." - Hilda Brett Farr "All love that has not friendship for its base, is like a mansion built upon the sand." - Ella Wheeler Wilcox "In a friend you find a second self." - Isabelle Norton "Never shall I forget the days I spent with you. Continue to be my friend, as you will always find me yours." - Ludwig van Beethoven "Walking with a friend in the dark is better than walking alone in the light." - Helen Keller "Happiness is time spent with a friend and looking forward to sharing time with them again." - Lee Wilkinson "Ah, how good it feels...the hand of an old friend" - Mary Englebright "A friend should be a master at guessing and keeping still." - Friedrich Nietzsche "Friendship is a single soul dwellings in two bodies." - Aristotle To Have a Friend is to Be a friend ~~ Unknown
Just wanted to share a few quotes before I call it a night. I found them very interesting and a couple a little funny Until I really thought about it.. Wishing you all a Sweet Dream filled Night. Alan Bennett: Life is rather like a tin of sardines - we're all of us looking for the key. Bertrand Russell: The good life is inspired by love and guided by knowledge "While both joy and sorrow are fleeting, and often intertwined, love has the power to overcome both. And love can last forever." ~ Deb Plouse Fulton, in A Second Chicken Soup for the Woman's Soul "Photographs are precious memories . . . the visual evidence of place and time and relationships . . . ritual talismans for the treasure chest of the heart." ~ Robert Fulghum, in From Beginning to End Captain Jean-Luc Picard: Time is a companion that goes with us on a journey. It reminds us to cherish each moment, because it will never come again. What we leave behind is not as important as how we have lived. played by Patrick Stewart, from the film "Star Trek: Generations" Charles Schulz: My life has no purpose, no direction, no aim, no meaning, and yet I'm happy. I can't figure it out. What am I doing right? Corita Kent: Life is a succession of moments. To live each one is to succeed. Eleanor Roosevelt: I could not, at any age, be content to take my place by the fireside and simply look on. Life was meant to be lived. Curiosity must be kept alive. One must never, for whatever reason, turn his back on life. Henri Frederick Amiel: Life is short and we have never too much time for gladdening the hearts of those who are traveling the dark journey with us. Oh be swift to love, make haste to be kind. Henry Van Dyke: Be glad of life because it gives you the chance to love, to work, to play, and to look up at the stars.
Kitchen Wisdom Maxine's rebuttal to Martha Stewart Martha- Stuff a miniature marshmallow in the bottom of an ice cream cone to prevent ice cream drips. Maxine Just suck the ice cream out of the bottom of the cone, for Pete's sake! You are probably lying on the couch with your feet up eating it anyway! Martha To keep potatoes from budding, place an apple in the bag with the potatoes. Maxine Buy Hungry Jack mashed potato mix. Keeps in the pantry for up to a year. Martha When a cake recipe calls for flouring the baking pan, use a bit of the dry cake mix instead and there won't be any white mess on the outside of the cake. Maxine Go to the bakery! Hell, they'll even decorate it for you! Martha If you accidentally over-salt a dish while it's still cooking, drop in a peeled potato and it will absorb the excess salt for an instant 'fix-me-up.' Maxine If you over-salt a dish while you are cooking, that's too bad. Please recite with me the real woman's motto: 'I made it, you will eat it and I don't care how bad it tastes!' Martha Wrap celery in aluminum foil when putting in the refrigerator and it will keep for weeks. Maxine Celery? Never heard of it! Martha Brush some beaten egg white over pie crust before baking to yield a beautiful glossy finish. Maxine The Mrs. Smith frozen pie directions do not include brushing egg whites over the crust, so I don't. Martha Cure for headaches: take a lime, cut it in half and rub it on your forehead. The throbbing will go away. Maxine Take a lime, mix it with tequila, chill and drink! All your pains go away! Martha If you have a problem opening jars, try using latex dish washing gloves. They give a non-slip grip that makes opening jars easy. Maxine When in doubt..Go ask that very cute neighbor if he can open it for you. Martha Don't throw out all that leftover wine. Freeze into ice cubes for future use in casseroles and sauces. Maxine Leftover wine??????????? HELLO!!!!!!! Lastly, if you don't forward this to 1 of your friends within the next 5 minutes your belly button will unscrew and your butt will fall off. Really.... It's true! Have I ever lied to you????
I was going to write this and ask this question and I started to cry. One of my team members on EE asked the question on the team page. where were you and what were you doing . As I answered the question and as I write this. I am still crying. For all who were lost that day and for their families and friends. May we Never Forget all the beautiful lives that gave so much that day. I will share my story with you all and then go Hug my DH. I had just gotten back home in Forest Hills, NY after dropping my DH off at the train station for his job in NYC. He worked for CNN/Financial at the time. They did beauty shots on NYC skyline after each segment. I was having coffee at the computer when he called me and told me to turn on the TV the Towers were hit by a plane. He and the crew went up to the roof and saw the 2nd plane hit and the collapse. As I write this I have the chills. I watched it on TV and cried my heart out and prayed for all the people and Our Country. Then the Pentagon and the plane in PA. Worried for DH and not knowing if they were going to send him out to the scene or not. He was in NYC for 24 hours and our communications were few and far between. I prayed so much and I am Grateful he is still here with me today. They were supposed to have a meeting up on the roof of the Twin Towers because that was were the CNN had microwave pickup communication antennas for the news trucks and the day before 9/10 they were told the meeting was rescheduled. Jack has his ID badge for the Twin Towers put away. May they all Rest in Peace. That Night all the neighbors lit candles and put them on our porches with Our Flags at Half Mast. That night was very erie in Queens, we could see the ash in the sky and the smell in the air was so different. By train we were only 18 minutes from Manhattan. It was almost surreal like in the old war movies. People outside with flash lights watching what was going on in the neighborhoods. I will light candles tomorrow. If I was living there I would have put the candles on my porch. May We Never Forget The Beautiful Souls that were lost That Day!! May They Rest in Peace www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q65KZIqay4E


text: UMAX Delivers Most Powerful Internet-Ready Mac OS Compatible Workstation Available.FREMONT, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Oct. 1, 1997--New UMAX S900i/250 brings ultimate expandability and upgradeability to high-end graphic design, digital video and Internet server environments UMAX Computer Corporation (UCC An abbreviation for the Uniform Commercial Code. ) today introduced a new member of their SuperMac S series Mac OS compatible computers, the UMAX SuperMac S900i/250. This robust 604e-based workstation ships standard with Mac OS 8 and 64 MB RAM. With an estimated street price of $3,695, this machine raises the bar for performance and value in the high-end Mac OS compatible workstation market. The UMAX S900i/250 will be available in November, 1997. "Our S900 series has proven to be an ideal solution for high- end graphic design and digital video environments, and this new model provides a key benefit for professional users who require fa" said Bruce Berkoff, director of product marofessionals, as well as Internet server enviroCD-ROM, a 4 GB Ultra wide SCSI A SCSI interface that transfers 16 bits in parallel rather than 8 bits. See SCSI. (hardware, standard) Wide SCSI - A variant on the SCSI-2 interface. It uses a 16-bit bus - double the width of the original SCSI-1 - and therefore cannot be connected to a SCSI-1 bus. Hard Drive, 4 MB IXMICRO TwinTurbo video card and 64 MB RAM. To further enhance the powerful system architecture, the computer ships standard with an internal zip drive See Zip disk. (hardware, storage) Zip Drive - A disk drive from Iomega Corporation which takes removable 100 megabyte hard disks. Both internal and external drives are manufactured, making the drive suitable for backup, mass storage or for moving files between computers. and UMAX' extended performance card (E100) with 10/100 Base-T ethernet and Ultra wide SCSI III ports on one card. The SuperMac S900/250 motherboard contains interleaved memory Interleaved memory is where Memory is divided into a set of banks. It is a technique for compensating the relatively slow speed of DRAM. The CPU can access alternative sections immediately without waiting for memory to be cached. for advanced performance, and an advanced PCI (1) (Payment Card Industry) See PCI DSS. (2) (Peripheral Component Interconnect) The most widely used I/O bus (peripheral bus). to PCI Bridge chip for managing internal peripheral cards. Distribution, Availability, Support And Pricing The UMAX S900i/250 will be available in November in all UMAX channels, including retail stores, catalogues, and through UMAX value added resellers See VAR. (company) value added reseller - (VAR, or "value added retailer") A company which sells something (e.g. computers) made by another company (an OEM) with extra components added (e.g. specialist software). . The estimated street price is $3,695. Warranty and Technical Support UMAX is one of the few manufacturers who offer a basic warranty that extends for one year and provides for unlimited access to a toll-free technical support line that is open from 6 a.m. to midnight, central standard time. Service is provided nationwide through a network of resellers qualified as UMAX Authorized Service Providers and by DecisionOne, the largest independent computer systems support organization in North America North America, third largest continent (1990 est. pop. 365,000,000), c.9,400,000 sq mi (24,346,000 sq km), the northern of the two continents of the Western Hemisphere. with 3,900 technical personnel deployed in 150 service offices. UMAX Computer Corporation UMAX Computer Corporation designs, manufactures and markets a full range of Mac OS compatible SuperMac systems based on the PowerPC chip architecture, including the high end, multiprocessor-enabled S900 systems targeting graphics professionals, J700 business systems, C600 family of small office/home office See SOHO. systems, and C500 entry-level desktop systems. UMAX' SuperMac systems are designed to broaden the Mac OS compatible market substantially by offering features and price/performance ratios not readily available in the Mac market. UMAX utilizes sales channels exclusively and is aggressively targeting new market segments for Mac OS compatible systems. UMAX Computer Corporation is headquartered in Fremont, California For the unincorporated community in Yolo County, California, see . Fremont (IPA: /ˈfriːmɒnt/) is a city in California that was incorporated on January 23, 1956, from the merger of five smaller communities: , and maintains its research and development facilities in Santa Clara, California Santa Clara, California (IPA: /ˌsæntəˈklærə/) , founded in 1777 and incorporated in 1852, is a city in Santa Clara County, in the U.S. state of California. . -0- Note to Editors: SuperMac is a registered trademark of Radius licensed to UMAX Computer Corporation. All other product names may be trademarks of Apple computer, Inc. or their respective companies. CONTACT: UMAX Computer Corporation Suzette Juico, 510/624-8821 email@example.com or Molly Ford, 510/624-8810 firstname.lastname@example.com or A&R Partners Allen Bush, 415/363-0982 x228 email@example.com Reader Opinion |

subset: commoncrawl


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Chairs & Rockers
Table & Chair Sets for Boys
Rocking Chairs for Boys
Beanbags for Boys
Poufs, Stools & Ottomans for Boys
Floor Pillows & Cushions for Boys
Computer & Desk Chairs for Boys
Complete Collection of Boys Seating
Modern White Kids Rocking Chair by Sprout Kids This modern kids rocking chair is not your traditional rocking chair! Features include:
SIZE: 21"H x 12"W x 20"DSeat Height: 10"
Category: Furniture, Rocking Chairs for Boys
©2004-2013 Rosenberry Rooms, LLC. All Rights reserved. | 709 Hillsborough Street, Raleigh, NC, 27603
ecommerce enabled by fastpivot | PRIVACY POLICY


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"I ordered these thank-you notes for my son to use in conjunction with his college graduation announcements (also ordered on this site). They came out perfect; not too large nor too small but very professional looking."
"I purchased these personalized cards for a gift and they were a big hit! Very classy style and amazing paper and print quality! Very satisfied customer!"
"These are for my husband and they are perfect! The quality is great, the design is great and the order process and delivery were great! As always a hit with Tiny Prints! Love them!!"
"I ordered these note cards for my husband. They are well designed without being overdone for a guy. The pattern on the back is what really makes this design great."
"I personalized these notes with just our name. I liked the ecru color with black design and print. The paper was good quality. I am very pleased with the end result! Thank you."


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from Chief Keef – Kay Kay Lyrics on Rap Genius
Aiki was apart of bricksquad, the Chicago insane GD/BD clique on 69th. Aiki got killed(wacked) so Chief Keef is basically dissing.
Look at Jojos shirt
To help improve the meaning of these lyrics, visit "Kay Kay" by Chief Keef Lyrics and leave a comment on the lyrics box


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For those of you who are ecstatic that you have a brand new 15″/17″ MacBook Pro (check out our early benchmarking tests) from Apple on its way to your home, don't jump for joy just yet. There is still one minor but important thing for you to do before making full use of the new machine – download a 258MB patch. Yup, you read that right – MacBook Pro Software Update 1.3 "is recommended for all 15-inch and 17-inch MacBook Pro mid-2010 models and contains improvements for graphics stability for high-performance video and gaming applications as well as various bug fixes." Right from the horse's mouth, to boot! This update was posted today and requires Mac OS X 10.6.3 or higher to run.
Update 4/20: We've published our complete Macbook Pro Review
Next Story: Macbook Pro Core i7 is 30% Faster |


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Greenery, landscape plants |
Landscape Design, office tel: +7 (495) 455-36-53 Landscape Designer, mob: +7 (926) 210-98-45 e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.com |
Greenery is the planting of plants. Planting of greenery is a laborious process. You are to take into account peculiarity of soil, light, humidity, relief. Then to choose landscape plants for greenery, which have necessary frost-, winter-cold- and drought-resistance. Some landscape plants for greenery love a bright light, some landscape plants for greenery prefer scattered light or shade. There are landscape plants for greenery which well naturalized for long-term cold spells. We cultivate only such landscape plants for greenery in our nursery for plots, and heat-loving landscape plants use for interior landscape design for home and office. Landscape plants for greenery we cultivate in our nursery on the North from Moscow and guarantee their taking root. We choose the plants taking into account proper consideration for weather peculiarities of mid-Russian belt. We have got young landscape plants for greenery in our nursery newly grown from seeds (seedling), landscape plants for greenery grown by cutting shot piece of a plant (graft) and landscape plants for greenery newly grown by layers. Our nursery guarantee quality of the landscape plants for greenery of your garden.. Different methods of propagation supply our company with qualitative saplings in sufficient quantity. We sell our landscape plants for greenery in pots and drugged out with clumps of earth. Also we can offer plants for utilitarian garden. Changeable fashion makes land-owners reshape the landscape design of their properties, but one thing remains unchanged: landscape design of Russian estates are utilitarian to a greater or lesser extent. An orchard, a garden, strawberry borders along the tracks, beds with fragrant plants or herbs are arranged as a tribute to tradition, rather than out of mercantile considerations. A modern estate would hardly be decorated with endless potato rows or raspberry encircling the front steps; however a successful blend of "practical" and decorative species in landscape design, non-standart layout of the garden area or "pharmaceutical" beds would enhance visual attractiveness of the landscape. Nevertheless an orchard and greenhouses could be "moved away" to remote parts of the terrain, whereas a traditional kitchen garden could be "hidden" inside the classical boskets or behind light latticed screens twined with creepers. They love such methods of landscape design in Russia, and it's very nice. And now let's go back to landscape design and greenery theory. Greenery needs some analyses of a soil. It is necessary to carry out: - topographical survey; - to find out of the subsoil water's level; - analyze fertility of a soil (strongly acid, weakly acid, neutral, strongly or weakly alkaline, how much humus, nutrient elements it has); - if it is necessary to make a project of drainage system; if it is necessary to make a project of automatic sprinkling system;


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Special Offers see all
More at Powell'sRecently Viewed clear list |
This item may be Check for Availability Blacksmithing: Hot Techniques & Striking Projects
Synopses & ReviewsPublisher Comments:These amazing techniques and projects offer a modern twist on a traditional art—and theyll transform your image of the blacksmith" forever. More and more people are discovering the creative pleasure of going into an iron studio, applying high heat to steel, and hammering or pressing the metal into interesting shapes. While often admired, the process can intimidate novices
but this beautifully photographed book will change that. It provides a superb overview of the fundamentals, including various forms of steel, equipment, and safety precautions. Learn how to create a right-angle bend; form a point, flat end, spiral, and curl; and cut metal using hand tools and a plasma torch. Then follow along, step by step, to create beginner-friendly projects, including a simple trivet, ornamental door handle, wall sconce, and even a metal railing. What Our Readers Are SayingBe the first to add a comment for a chance to win!Product Details
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Engineering » Metal » Blacksmithing


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Shortens every Post with Bitly. Youtube scroller integration like Facebook. Requires & Loads jQuery
-Folder to the /wp-content/plugins/
directoryShort URL: <?php echo get_post_meta( get_the_ID(), 'short_url', true ); ?>
in your templates. Only works in the_post
-While Templates.
Requires: 3.0 or higher
Compatible up to: 3.0.5
Last Updated: 2010-9-2
Downloads: 412
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, 23rd July 2012 at 12:26 PM (121 Views)
Thanks to my Jolly-natured Synchronize Munna, I now have a Jolly Terrakion with a perfect IV in Attack. Its other IVs aren't perfect based on what the guy in the Subway station told me, but hey, I only EV-train for the Battle Subway, anyway. xD
I'm so happy. :D


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Waldbühne 2009: Russian Rhythms
Yefim Bronfman, Sir Simon Rattle and the Berliner Philharmoniker
A 100% Russian programme in the stunning outdoor amphitheatre of Berlin.
The Waldbühne in Berlin, one of the most appealing outdoor amphitheatres on the European continent, is the home of the Berliner Philharmoniker's summer concerts. With over 20.000 in attendance, they are some of the most popular classical music concerts in the world.
In 2009 about 22,000 people had come together at the Berlin Waldbühne to enjoy the traditional summer picnic concert. The theme of the evening was "Russian rhythms", and star conductor Sir Simon Rattle, the Berliner Philharmoniker and Yefim Bronfman, one of the most famous pianists in the world today, presented a superb selection of Russian music.
Yefim Bronfman
Berliner Philharmoniker
Sir Simon Rattle
Movie director : Paul Smaczny
Playlists : Waldbühne Berlin, Russian music
Music genre : Orchestral music
Duration : 01 h 38 min
Location : Berlin Waldbühne (Berlin, Germany)
Production date : 2009
Production : © EuroArts / RBB


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Tony Granato
Discover topics related to Tony Granato on FoxSports.com. Find the most recent sports news and videos about Tony Granato.
Top NHL families
the NHL, including three Stanley Cup wins with the Detroit Red Wings. Sid was inducted to the Hall of Fame in 1969. Tony Granato began his career in 1988 before retiring from the NHL in 2001. Granato has served as an assistant coach and head coach
Best sports families
And if that isn't enough Andrettis, Mario's twin brother, Aldo, was also a racer as well as his son, John. Tony Granato began his career in 1988 before retiring from the NHL in 2001. Granato has served as an assistant coach and head coach
Roy refuses Avs' offer Granato to stay as coach for now
thanks, but no thanks. For now, Tony Granato continues to have what appears ..... Avalanche coaching saga May 2008 - Tony Granato hired as Avalanche head coach ..... major junior's Quebec Remparts. Tony Granato remains the Avalanche coach. Adrian
Avs attack 'Hawks to snap six-game slide
broke the game open and then kept Chicago at bay. "I thought we did a real good job defensively," Colorado coach Tony Granato said. "That's obviously an important part against a team that has such speed and talent." The Blackhawks didn
AVALANCHE Roy meets with Lacroix Intriguing visit raises the possibility of the ex-Av returning as c
steadfast in his few public pronouncements that he would like to return to the NHL as a coach. But the Avs have a coach - Tony Granato - in place with two years left on his contract. The two men who could best summarize any plans going forward - Lacroix
Blues secure West's sixth playoff spot
moving to Denver in 1995. Could changes be in order? "We have to find ways to improve our team," Avalanche coach Tony Granato explained. Asked if he expected to be back next season, Granato said, "I've got a lot of pride in this organization
Trades easier said than done Salary cap era handcuffs Giguere from going after quality help
from a lot of teams. We've just got to try and battle through this and win games as best as we can." Avs coach Tony Granato , when asked his response to fans clamoring for a trade, said: "They can say what they want. As a fan, you're
Lacroix on Thursday in Denver, ostensibly to talk about the club's coaching job. One problem: There's no vacancy. Tony Granato , in his second failed attempt behind the bench, still is the Avs' coach. The Avs, however, are looking for a GM
AVALANCHE Aiming to escape first-rounder rut Chris Stewart hopes to make an impact now that he has g
mental - building confidence that he belongs in the NHL - appears to be Stewart's issue going forward. Avs coach Tony Granato has been in the NHL as a player or coach for the last 20 years, and has seen a lot of top prospects come and go. What
Laperriere's brave heart needed now
including two assists in Monday's 6-5 win over Minnesota. He's being rewarded of late with more ice time from coach Tony Granato , including a season-high 18:42 against Tampa Bay on Saturday night. "The harder you play and the more you do


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DJ Las Vegas has not received any gifts yet
Why you are so rude? You even don't know me!
After seeing your name and your picture, I'm safe to say you remind me of Ron from Jersey Shore. I haven't seen that show since 2010 when I left the states, but I do remember Ron-Ron juice. I've only had it once but damn that shit was gooooood! haha
Thanks for joining my group, hope to see you next time~
I am mandarin teacher now, i would like to help you.
Where are you living/
I am in Pudong now.
Send me sms to 13764883414 if you are interested
© 2014 Created by Asia Stuff Media.


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Don Fredrick Okeeffe
Denver City, TX
Basic information on Don Fredrick Okeeffe, Denver City TX. Find Don Fredrick Okeeffe's age, gender, possible aliases, relationship status and professional status.
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The booming growth of China's film market is luring overseas directors to not only market their films here, but to develop original products for the local audience.
Dennie Gordon became the first American female to direct a Chinese feature by taking the helm of "My Lucky Star," a prequel to the 2009 rom-com hit "Sophie's Revenge," featuring Chinese star actress Zhang Ziyi.
Scene Asia is The Wall Street Journal's guide to food, wine, fashion, design, sports, entertainment, and the arts in Asia. It delivers a behind-the-scenes look at the region's dynamic culture, including Q&As with filmmakers, artists and chefs, news on arts and entertainment, and a spotlight on the most striking homes from Goa to the Gold Coast. Write to us at firstname.lastname@example.com
You can also get the latest updates from Scene on your iPhone with WSJ's Scene Asia app.


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Loan Portfolio Performance and El Niño, an Intervention Analysis
This paper illustrates that natural disasters such as those created by extreme El Niño can significantly threaten financial institutions serving the poor. The effects of the 1997-98 El Niño on problem loans (restructured loans and those in arrears) is estimated using intervention analysis for a microfinance institution (MFI) in Piura, a region in northern Peru severely affected by El Niño. Extreme El Niño events like those 1982-83 and 1997-98 create catastrophic flooding that destroys transportation infrastructure, disturbs the livelihoods of households engaged in a wide range of activities, and destroys productive assets, crops, and private homes. The purpose of this paper is to assess exposure of a Piura MFI to the consequences associated with an extreme El Niño. Portfolio-level, monthly data from January 1994 to October 2008 were examined using an intervention analysis. While restructured loans averaged 0.5 percent of the total loan portfolio before the 1997-98 El Niño, the estimated cumulative effect of the El Niño indicates that an additional 3.8 percent of the total portfolio value was restructured in a short time period due to this event. No significant effect is found for changes in the proportion of late loans. The analyses demonstrate 1) that the correlated risk exposure of many small borrowers can significantly affect the lender when the catastrophe occurs; 2) the importance of considering bank management in assessing disaster risk to a loan portfolio; and 3) lender strategies to minimize losses may require long-term restructuring that perpetuates the effects of the disaster in the community.Download Info
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.Bibliographic Info
Paper provided by Southern Agricultural Economics Association in its series 2010 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2010, Orlando, Florida with number 56217.Length:
Date of creation: 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ags:saea10:56217
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Web page: http://www.saea.org/
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Keywords: Agricultural Finance; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Financial Economics; International Development; Risk and Uncertainty;Other versions of this item:
- Benjamin Collier & Ani L. Katchova & Jerry R. Skees, 2011. "Loan portfolio performance and El Niño, an intervention analysis," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 71(1), pages 98-119, May.
References listed on IDEASPlease report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Jerry R. Skees & Barry J. Barnett, 2006. "Enhancing microfinance using index-based risk-transfer products," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 66(2), pages 235-250, September.
- Andreas Jobst, 2007. "Operational Risk--The Sting is Still in the Tail but the Poison Depends on the Dose," IMF Working Papers 07/239, International Monetary Fund.
- Ortiz, Guillermo, 1983. "Currency Substitution in Mexico: The Dollarization Problem," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 15(2), pages 174-85, May.
- Lars Hultkrantz & Christina Olsson, 1997. "Chernobyl effects on domestic and inbound tourism in Sweden — A time series analysis," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 9(2), pages 239-258, March.
- Andrew Worthington & Abbas Valadkhani, 2004.
"Measuring the impact of natural disasters on capital markets: an empirical application using intervention analysis,"
Applied Economics,
Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(19), pages 2177-2186.
- Andrew Worthington & Abbas Valadkhani, 2003. "Measuring the impact of natural disasters on capital markets: An empirical application using intervention analysis," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 154, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
- Stephen R. Boucher & Michael R. Carter & Catherine Guirkinger, 2008. "Risk Rationing and Wealth Effects in Credit Markets: Theory and Implications for Agricultural Development," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 90(2), pages 409-423.
- Ani L. Katchova & Peter J. Barry, 2005. "Credit Risk Models and Agricultural Lending," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 87(1), pages 194-205.
- Jeffrey P. Prestemon & Thomas P. Holmes, 2000. "Timber Price Dynamics Following a Natural Catastrophe," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 82(1), pages 145-160.
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Leonardo Becchetti & Stefano Castriota & Pierluigi Conzo, 2012.
"Bank strategies in catastrophe settings: empirical evidence and policy suggestions,"
CEIS Research Paper
254, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Oct 2012.
- Leonardo Becchetti & Stefano Castriota & Pierluigi Conzo, 2012. "Bank strategies in catastrophe settings: empirical evidence and policy suggestions," Econometica Working Papers wp43, Econometica.
- Becchetti, Leonardo & Castriota, Stefano & Conzo, Pierluigi, 2012. "Bank strategies in catastrophe settings: empirical evidence and policy suggestions," AICCON Working Papers 114-2012, Associazione Italiana per la Cultura della Cooperazione e del Non Profit.
- Leonardo Becchetti & Stefano Castriota & Pierluigi Conzo, 2012. "Bank Strategies in Catastrophe Settings: Empirical Evidence and Policy Suggestions," CSEF Working Papers 324, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Collier, Benjamin & Skees, Jerry R., 2012. "Increasing the Resilience of Financial Intermediaries through Portfolio-Level Insurance against Natural Disasters," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 125535, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Collier, Benjamin, 2013. "Exclusive finance: How unmanaged systemic risk continues to limit financial services for the poor in a booming sector," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150433, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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1. (imp. & p. p.) of Spit.
2. (a.) Put upon a spit; pierced as if by a spit.
3. (a.) Shot out long; -- said of antlers.
4. (p. p) of Spit, v. i., to eject, to spit.
Spitted (1 Occurrence)
Luke 18:32 For he shall be delivered unto the Gentiles, and shall be mocked, and spitefully entreated, and spitted on: (KJV WBS)


text:
Inside Lacrosse December Issue: What Do You Think was the Biggest Story of 2010?
Danielle Bernstein - 11/17/2010
Holy cow! Where did 2010 go? From the beginning of the NLL season to the college season, the world games, the MLL and fallball, the last 11 months have certainly flown by.
As always with the December issue, we take a look back at the year: it's ups — Duke's first title, Matt Poskay and Chris Sanderson overcoming adversity — it's downs — a death and a murder charge, the Iroquois travel situation — and everything in between.
Pick up a copy of the December issue to get more in depth coverage of the stories of the year from perspectives you might not expect — Ryan Powell shares his perspective on winning the FIL World Championship and Dave Cottle gives his insight on the changes in college lacrosse coaching.
Share your thoughts by voting in the poll below. Think the biggest story of 2010 was something else? You know the drill — sound off in the comments.


text:
I think they tend to agree more than others because they begin with strong agreement on very precise fundamental definitions and most of the rest follows logically and almost mechanically; which is not to say that there are not leaps of genius and intuition but that even the most once such a leap occurs those who follow can easily bridge the chasm using well defined steps.
The less consensus there is on fundamental definitions the less consensus there will be in any discipline. Thus we find mathematics (where consensus on fundamental definitions is strong) exhibiting strong agreement elsewhere, less so with physics, less with biology, less with history, less still with sociology, psychology, philosophy and so it goes. In a field like mathematics there the fundamental constructs are very simple and well defined (e.g. integers, vectors, operations, etc), but on the other end of the spectrum in a field like philosophy, the most fundamental constructs are perhaps the least well defined and agreed upon (e.g. reality, knowledge, truth, etc.) The level of consensus in each field is directly related to the precision of their fundamental definitions and their agreement with regards to them.
Picture of the week: The colors of the Web
- Details
- Category: Nicolas' Blog
- Published on Monday, 15 November 2010 23:00
- Written by Nicolas Baumard
In a recent post, Ophelia wondered about the basis of people's colours preference: Which colour do you prefer ? Have you always preferred it, or did your preference change ? Can you tell why you prefer pink to, let's say, yellow ?
One of the problem here is that, as Ophelia noticed, we lack data, and methods to gather them. As usual, the web may change the debate. The blog COLOURlovers has just released an interesting study of the colors in the brands from the top 100 sites in the world (see also here).
Unsurprinsingly, the web is dominated by red and blue.
More interesting for Ophelia's question, the same team has looked at people's colour choice when they present themselves on Twitter. By looking at the more than 1 Million people who have used their Themeleon tool to design their Twitter Profile in the past 3 months, they were able to paint a picture of the world connecting colors to locations and profile data. So far, the differences are not striking, but who knows what can be extracted form such data bases?
Looks like an interesting way to investigate Ophelia's question: Why pink?


text:
Undergraduate Programs
Five-Year Bachelor of Architecture (B.Arch.)
The five-year Bachelor of Architecture (B.Arch.) program, accredited by the National Architectural Accrediting Board (NAAB), is committed to an interdisciplinary approach at all levels of the curriculum. In the first semester, it shares an integrated curriculum with Landscape Architecture, Architectural Studies and Interior Design, providing students with opportunities for collaboration and time to experience aspects of allied design disciplines. The studio, which is considered the core of the architecture program, is the center of activity where course material and learning are synthesized. Opportunities are provided for professional internships, study abroad, elective enrichment, specialization and independent pursuits.
Four-Year Bachelor of Science in Architectural Studies (B.S.)
The four-year Bachelor of Science in Architectural Studies (B.S.) program allows students to focus on a field that is allied to the profession of architecture. After common first-year studios that lay the foundation for visual thinking, students select a concentration in Architectural Design Technology, Historic Preservation, or Photography and New Media as they begin the second or third year depending upon their area of interest. Each concentration features collaborative studios, field work, study abroad opportunities, professional internships and elective offerings. The Historic Preservation curriculum has been designed to meet the standards of the National Council for Preservation Education (NCPE).
Four-Year Bachelor of Science in Construction Management (B.S.)
The four-year Bachelor of Science in Construction Management (B.S.) program provides an industry-centered learning experience led by faculty who remain active in the fields they teach. Courses in construction, architecture, engineering, business and liberal arts prepare students to be ethical, innovative problem-solvers who understand the full construction business model. In addition to time spent in class, students are encouraged to pursue study abroad and a variety of internship opportunities made possible by our close association with industry professionals.
Four-Year Bachelor of Science in Interior Design (B.S.)
The four-year Bachelor of Science in Interior Design (B.S.) program prepares graduates to be articulate, creative and socially aware design professionals, and is accredited by the Council for Interior Design Accreditation (CIDA). The studio, considered the core of the interior design program, is the center of activity where course material and learning are synthesized. Opportunities are provided for interdisciplinary collaboration, study abroad, professional internships, elective enrichment, independent pursuits, community service, and student membership in professional organizations.
Four-Year Bachelor of Landscape Architecture (BLA)
The four-year Bachelor of Landscape Architecture (BLA) program meets the needs of landscape architecture students who are pursuing a first professional undergraduate degree. The program promotes sustainable urban planning and design. The Landscape Architecture Program provides a comprehensive professional education that develops the knowledge, skills, vision and leadership necessary for students to understand contemporary global issues and the varied needs of society. The program is fully accredited by the Landscape Architecture Accreditation Board (LAAB).
The following minors are offered through the college. For more information about the minors see Minors and Concentration section of the Academic Catalog:
- Architectural History/Theory
- Construction Management
- Historic Preservation
- Landscape Design
- Landscape Planning
- Multimedia and Visualization Minor (offered with C-DEC)
- Photography
Retention of Student Work
Projects completed by students in design studios and courses may be selected to become part of the University's collection for exhibition and/or review. Student work not selected will be stored for only 30 days into the following semester.


text:
Whether you're preparing an international trade mission, a Rotary Club luncheon, or an informal book group, our resources are available to help you.
Speakers Bureau
The Center for Russian, East European and Eurasian Studies maintains a speakers bureau of staff, graduate students and faculty available for individual lectures, classroom culture and language lessons, and consultation. The program is designed to meet an increasing interest in teaching young people about the region and also to share the wealth of resources available at the Center. For more information on this program, or to volunteer as a speaker, please contact the Outreach Coordinator, Tamara Kowalski at firstname.lastname@example.com. Advance notice of at least one or two weeks is appreciated.
REENIC: the Russian and East European Network Information Center
REENIC is an online virtual library consisting of critically reviewed links. It is intended as an educational, non-commercial service offered by The University of Texas at Austin (UT-Austin) and the Center for Russian, East European and Eurasian Studies (CREEES).
Audio Recordings of Previous Speakers
Listen to recordings of past guest presenters as they discuss a variety of topics concerning CREEES-related issues.
Talk: "Putting Your Degree to Work in the Former Soviet Union," by Everett Peachey, March 26, 2010
Video Shorts
Take a look inside the department as CREEES professors discuss aspects of their research in these streaming mini-lectures.
Ian Hancock: Romani Studies (opens new window)
Bella Bychkova-Jordan: Geography of Russia (opens new window)
Mary Neuburger: Balkan History (opens new window)
Robert Moser: Russian Politics and Democratization (opens new window)
CREEES Tutor/Translator/Interpreter List (click here for pdf)
The Center for Russian, East European and Eurasian Studies has compiled this list of local translators and tutors from among current and past students, as well as affiliated members of the community. Any fees are to be arranged between the parties involved.
CREEES Faculty
List of Austin-based experts on Russia, Eastern Europe and Eurasia
Lending Library (opens a new window)
The CREEES Outreach Program maintains a library of materials specifically for use by K-12 educators in their classrooms. You will find a list of books, videos and other resources for learning and teaching about Russia, Eastern Europe and Eurasia.
DVD Library
CREEES and the Department of Slavic and Eurasian Studies maintain a DVD library of materials specifically for use by students taking RUS, POL, SC and CZ, and for SLavic Department and CREEES faculty. The DVD library contains mostly Russian movies, but there are also Czech, Macedonian, Serbo-Croatian, Albanian, Polish, Tajik, Kyrgyz, Hungarian and Armenian movies. Thanks to the generous donation of the Austin Polish Society, the library has received over 30 Polish movies, as well.
The DVD library is located in BUR 231. Since 231 is a classroom, it is recommended that you come in between classes, or place a request for a certain movie from the DVD library with the staff of the Slavic Department and pick it up later.
To borrow a movie, you need to come to BUR 452 and present a valid UT Austin ID. Movies can be checked out for up to 2 weeks at a time, or longer if someone else hasn't requested use of the movie. Arrangements can be made for this purpose. If a DVD disc is lost or damaged upon return, the borrower will have to provide a substitute copy of the movie or purchase the movie on-line and have it delivered to the Slavic Department.
If you have any questions, or if you would like to request a movie, you can call (512) 471-3607.
Credit by Examination
In some cases, students may receive credit for language courses taken in high school, or may "place out" of a course by showing a certain level of proficiency. Some languages have standardized tests available; some require a department-administered exam (DAE). Further details are determined by the language you are studying and the level of proficiency you have attained.
To find out more about this process:
- Contact your academic advisor to discuss your language requirements
Contact the Student Development Specialist at the Center for Teaching and Learning (CTL) (formerly the Measurement and Evaluation Center) to determine if a test is available.
- An upper-level course may require a department-administered exam. The CTL will tell you which forms are required and can help you make special arrangements with the Department of Slavic and Eurasian Studies.
For more information:
CTL webpage
CTL Frequently-Asked Questions webpage
Contact the CTL:
Call (512) 232-2662, email (firstname.lastname@example.com) or visit the office Monday - Friday from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m.
CTL Location
CTL is located in GSB 2.130 (the Graduate School of Business (GSB) Building at the Red McCombs School of Business, 2110 Speedway, Austin, TX, 78713).


text: murdermanDude did whup Bradley's ass! Posted April 13, 2013 6:03 pmMiatestomperIf the judges would have been competent and gave his well deserved 2 losses in a row and won rematches than Bradley would be more popular today but when your given 2 gift decision's back to back in tends to turn off the boxing fan because of corruption. The average fan will think that Aurum paid off the judges to keep Bradley undefeated Posted March 26, 2013 12:09 pmOCTAVIUS72If fighting the way Bradley did doesn't catch the imagination of the public; NOTHING WILL. He fought his heart out in that fight and went tooth and nail with Rusian. I think he could have made things easier on himself had he boxed him smartly; but he gave a hell of a performance. Any lesser of a fighter would have been out of there. I gained a LOT OF RESPECT FOR THE MAN!!!! Posted March 25, 2013 9:43 pmanyonymousTerror Tim – gotta disagree with "he will never capture the imagination of the casual fan." I would argue that HE JUST DID! Casual fans who saw that fight are still talking about it because of the way Bradley chose to fight back instead of holding on. Great fight! Great for boxing. Great showing for both fighters. Posted March 25, 2013 4:27 pmPEEJThere was no first round KO. Just cause you get up and fall back down does not make it an immediate KO. Just cause that's what happened to Zab for not make it a rule. If the fighter can continue like Bradley obviously did then there is no reason to stop the fight Posted March 25, 2013 3:36 pmterror timBradley will never be a cash cow. He doesn't have the style or the power to become one. He is a good fighter, very good in fact but he will never capture the imagination of the casual fan. Posted March 25, 2013 1:25 amboxingAnalystBradley is a joke, he got his belt and able to retain it thru the help of ARUM. ARUm wants to have a new cash cow Posted March 25, 2013 1:19 amLmanI like how every article about that fight has this picture haha Posted March 24, 2013 10:55 pmbadgerarum is very bad for boxing. Ruslan deserves a rematch. Posted March 24, 2013 9:20 pmHidalgoI'll be watching the fight again–for the third time. I'll be looking to see if Bradley was using the ropes to hold him up in the first round or any round where Prov got him in trouble. Posted March 24, 2013 9:18 pm |


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Yesterday, a photographer came up to me in the subway station and asked if he could take a picture of me reading the newspaper (which is what I was doing). I said sure. Then, when the train came he asked if he could board with me and keep photographing. I told him it was fine as long as I could keep reading the newspaper, which I did. He took pictures for about two stops worth, showed me some and then disembarked (I won't say got off in response to an Ed post). I tried to use my serious, concentration face the whole time.
would have preferred you posed, one foot up on a subway seat, one hand holding the newspaper up to your face (you are wearing sunglasses, of course) while you stare past the other straphangers into the abyss that is the subway tunnel. Are you contemplating the front page article of the Financial Times? Are you rethinking the subterranean transportation system? Did you forget to turn off the stove? Who knows.


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Ricky Nolasco Rumors
Dodgers, Giants Make Offers To Acquire Nolasco
Both the Dodgers and Giants have made open offers to acquire Marlins starter Ricky Nolasco, reports MLB.com's Joe Frisaro. The Dodgers are reportedly offering a pitching prospect and would take on the approximately $5.7MM remaining on Nolasco's deal. The Giants' offer, on the other hand, would send two pitching prospects to Miami but would also require some dollars to accompany Nolasco to San Fran.
Frisaro further reports that the Marlins have talked with more than six clubs about a Nolasco trade. He wonders whether the club is sitting on these two outstanding offers and waiting for another team to beat them. In addition to Los Angeles and San Francisco, varying levels of interest in Nolasco have reportedly been shown by the Rockies, Rangers, Padres, and Orioles.
Olney's Latest: Biogenesis, Utley, Wilson, Garza
In his latest column (Insider subscription required and recommended), ESPN's Buster Olney writes that Nelson Cruz is among the players whose free agent stock could be severely impacted by the Biogenesis scandal. If Cruz is cleared of any wrongdoing by that time he will be fine, but if discipline has yet to be handed out, or he receives a suspension near the end of the season, teams will be wary. Cruz's case could be further complicated if the Rangers make him a qualifying offer. Here are a few of the highlights from Olney's excellent piece...
- The Blue Jays are looking for upgrades in their rotation and at second base, and they will be interested in Chase Utley should the Phillies make him available.
- Former Giants closer Brian Wilson is working out in Hawaii and could pitch for teams later this month or in early August.
- The Cubs are "making progress" in trade negotiations surrounding Matt Garza, and they're actively talking with the Rangers, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Indians and Dodgers. They may also still be involved in talks with the Orioles as well as other NL West teams.
- Olney also spoke with his colleague Jayson Stark on today's Baseball Tonight podcast, and they discussed the impact of Biogenesis on pennant races in addition to discussing the upcoming trade deadline (Biogenesis talk begins immediately; trade discussions begin shortly after the 11:00 mark).
- Olney said he'd be "shocked" if Garza was still on the Cubs by the All-Star break, but Stark hears that the Cubs may prefer to wait for a team to meet their price, even if it means waiting until the end of July. Stark and Olney agree that Garza will have the highest price tag of any player on the trade market.
- The Dodgers, Rangers and Rockies are the three teams that are still in the mix on Ricky Nolasco, while the other formerly interested parties are "on the periphery" according to Stark.
Poll: Who Will Acquire Ricky Nolasco?
Ricky Nolasco has been the hottest name on the trade market thus far and represents one of the better starting pitching options available. After a pair of rocky outings on June 21 and June 28, he righted the ship Wednesday against a tough Braves lineup when he allowed two runs on six hits and no walks with seven strikeouts in seven innings. That start brought Nolasco's ERA to 3.85 with 7.1 K/9, 2.0 BB/9 and a 41.9 percent ground-ball rate. He's not an elite starter, but Nolasco is a solid middle-of-the-rotation arm who can upgrade just about any rotation in baseball.
So far, the Dodgers are said to be the frontrunners for his services because they're willing to absorb the roughly $5.5MM he has remaining on his contract. Another suitor, the Rockies, have offered a pair of "pretty decent" prospects, but they don't want to take on the remainder of his contract. The Marlins are currently seeking both salary relief and solid prospects, so a deal has yet to occur.
Nolasco has also drawn interest from the Padres, Giants, Rangers and Orioles, though Baltimore recently acquired Scott Feldman from the Cubs, so their level of interest isn't as clear as it once was. Nolasco, a southern California native, could be particularly attractive to the Padres as they may feel there's a better chance at extending him before he hits the open market.
Recently, the Dodgers, Rockies and Rangers were all said to be "in heavy pursuit" of the eight-year veteran, who is the Marlins franchise leader in wins, starts and innings pitched. At this point, as many have noted, it's no longer a question of if Nolasco gets traded, but rather a question of when he gets traded and where he lands. All of this begs the question...
Ricky Nolasco Rumors: Wednesday
Last night it was reported that the Rockies, Rangers and Dodgers were the three teams that are "in heavy pursuit" of Marlins right-hander Ricky Nolasco. The 30-year-old's name has been the most frequently mentioned trade candidate of the summer to date, and reports have said that today could be a "soft deadline" by which to trade him. Here's the latest on Nolasco...
- The Yankees are scouting the start as well, Knobler tweets.
- Knobler also tweets that the Rangers have a scout in attendance. The Dodgers don't have a scout there, though Knobler notes that may not be worth reading into.
- Nolasco is pitching for the Marlins right now, and Danny Knobler of CBS Sports tweets that the Giants, Padres and Rockies all have scouts in attendance.
- While the Dodgers are still the frontrunners for Nolasco, about a half-dozen teams are showing interest in Nolasco, writes MLB.com's Joe Frisaso. Nolasco could still be moved before the first pitch tonight, he adds. Frisaro also spoke to an NL scout regarding Nolasco's recent pair of rough outings. The scout downplayed the struggles, telling Frisaro: "He did nothing to not get himself traded."
- All signs point to Nolasco making tonight's start for the Marlins, tweets Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports. In a separate tweet, he notes that rain in the forecast could be an issue. A rainout would buy the Marlins some extra time, as the team has been said to prefer to move him prior to this start.
Martino On Phillies, Papelbon, Nolasco, Dodgers
The first big move of trade season went down yesterday when the Orioles acquired starter Scott Feldman from the Cubs, along with catcher Steve Clevenger, for starting pitcher Jake Arrieta, reliever Pedro Strop and international bonus pool money. The move will obviously have an impact on the O's, but more broadly, it means that we've entered the period when trade talk becomes more than just talk, writes Andy Martino of the New York Daily News. Here's more from today's column..
- Scouts that have spoken with Martino expect the Phillies to be active sellers, but hold onto Cliff Lee since they want to contend next year. However, rival scouts and execs anticipate that, in addition to Michael Young and Chase Utley, Jonathan Papelbon will be dealt or at least heavily shopped. We've heard previously that the Phillies are expected to ask for an astronomical haul to part with Papelbon.
- Papelbon also fits the bill as someone who could be kept for next year, but rivals that have spoken with Martino see too much of a need for bullpen help amongst contenders like the Red Sox and Tigers and they expect GM Ruben Amaro to get a strong offer for the closer.
- One executive involved in the talks for the Marlins' Ricky Nolasco predicts that he will land with the Dodgers, with the Giants a possibility and the Padres still somewhat interested. Last night it was reported that the Rangers, Rockies, and Dodgers are in "heavy pursuit" of the Miami hurler.
- A major league source told Martino that the Twins will likely shop Mike Pelfrey later this month, if he makes a strong few starts. While the 29-year-old hasn't exactly been a world-beater this year - he has a 6.11 ERA with 4.8 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 - he could perhaps get better as he moves further from last year's Tommy John surgery and appeal to a contender willing to throw starters against the wall like the Orioles.
Rangers, Dodgers, Rockies In "Heavy Pursuit" Of Nolasco
9:42pm: The Rangers, Dodgers and Rockies "are in heavy pursuit" of Nolasco, two executives tell ESPN's Jayson Stark. The Marlins are narrowing their focus to getting a deal done quickly, because the team would like to have the returning Henderson Alvarez make tomorrow's start instead of Nolasco. The Marlins are seeking a pair of prospects in return for Nolasco.
Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports adds that the Marlins are looking for prospects as opposed to a return like the Cubs received from the Orioles earlier today when they acquired Jake Arrieta and Pedro Strop for Scott Feldman. Rosenthal opines that there is no sense in the Marlins' insistance that the acquiring team absorb the remaining $5.7MM on Nolasco's deal. The Marlins entered the season with a $36.3MM payroll -- the second lowest in baseball -- and will easily receive more than that figure in revenue sharing and national TV money.
7:10pm: Jon Heyman of CBS Sports spoke with a Marlins source who emphasized that Nolasco is "not a giveaway." According to Heyman, the Rockies have offered a pair of "pretty decent prospects" but don't want to absorb the remaining salary on Nolasco's deal. Heyman's source suggests that the Marlins also have an offer that is mostly salary relief without offering much in the way of prospects.
5:12pm: The Marlins are beginning to adjust their asking price on Ricky Nolasco, according to ESPN's Buster Olney (on Twitter). The change reflects their desire to move him as soon as possible, according to Olney, who notes that the Dodgers are still the frontrunners.
As recently as last Thursday, the Marlins were said to be looking for a "good" prospect for Nolasco, as well as a willingness to absorb the entirety of the roughly $6MM remaining on his contract for the 2013 season.
Nolasco has been connected to the Dodgers, Rockies, Padres, Giants, Orioles and Rangers, though the Orioles swung a deal for Scott Feldman earlier today, and it's unclear if their interest remains. The 30-year-old has a 3.93 ERA with 7.1 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 105 1/3 innings this season, though he's struggled in his past two outings.
Jon Paul Morosi of FOX Sports reported last week that Wednesday could be a "soft deadline" to move Nolaco, as the Marlins are hoping to deal him before he makes his scheduled start that day.
Heyman On Nolasco, Dodgers, Utley, Young
Here's a look at the latest from Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com..
- A person familiar with the Ricky Nolasco talks says the Dodgers, Orioles, Giants, Rangers, and Rockies are among the teams in the mix, Heyman writes. The Dodgers have been considered a favorite since they might be willing to absorb the $5.75MM remaining on Nolasco's $11.5-million 2013 salary, but the source suggested late Monday afternoon that there's isn't a deal out there yet that is good enough to jump on. Colorado is said to have offered two decent prospects for the hurler but they are skittish about paying the salary. While some have suggested that the Marlins are anxious to trade Nolasco before his scheduled start on Wednesday, they are still holding out for a quality offer.
- Heyman hears that the word around baseball is that the Dodgers could have interest in Chase Utley. It isn't known if the Dodgers have gone so far as to contact Phillies GM Ruben Amaro, but he doesn't seem anxious to trade the second baseman despite the fact he is headed towards free agency. If the Phillies do decide to sell, they are said to be more willing to part with Michael Young, who's interested the Dodgers before.
- With the deadline just weeks away, Heyman laid out the market as it stands today. The piece starts by highlighting the six biggest sellers in the Cubs, White Sox, Brewers, Twins, Marlins, and Astros.
Morosi On Nolasco, Santana, Pirates, White Sox
In his latest column for FOX Sports, Jon Paul Morosi reminds us that you never know which trade deadline move will pay the biggest dividends. For example, the deal that sent Marco Scutaro from the Rockies to the Giants last July ended up being the most influential move of the 2012 season, as Scutaro helped lead the Giants to a World Series title. Here's Morosi's latest...
- Wednesday could be a "soft deadline" for the Marlins to trade Ricky Nolasco. That's the date of Nolasco's next scheduled start and also the day that Henderson Alvarez (Nolasco's probable replacement in the Miami rotation) comes off the disabled list. Nolasco's recent struggles over his last few starts, however, haven't done much to help his trade stock.
- "It may be wise" for the Pirates to investigate acquiring Nolasco, Matt Garza or Bud Norris, Morosi opines. The Bucs could use veteran starting help if Wandy Rodriguez and A.J. Burnett are still a ways away from returning from the disabled list.
- Ervin Santana "would instantly become one of the top arms" available if the Royals chose to trade the right-hander. Santana will be a free agent this winter and is on pace (2.74 ERA, 4.67 K/BB, 7.2 K/9) for the best season of his nine-year career, though he has been aided by a low .253 BABIP and a high 82.8% strand rate. The Royals play nothing but contenders until the All-Star break and if they haven't reached .500 by the Midsummer Classic, Morosi speculates they could become sellers.
- The White Sox and Tigers haven't made a deal together since 1989, a fact that Chicago executive VP Kenny Williams notes "hasn't been for lack of trying or fear on either part. It's just one of those things." The two teams could be ideal trade partners this summer since Detroit is looking for relief pitching and the Sox have bullpen arms to spare. Williams joked that he'd happily take one of Detroit's top prospects "for two players of our choosing. We will consider that making good on the Tigers' steal in '89," in reference to Williams himself being part of that 24-year-old deal.
NL Notes: Byrd, Pirates, Dodgers, Gregg, Marlins
With nearly half the season in the books, the Washington Post's Barry Svrluga took a look at the offseason's biggest bargains. He starts his list with Marlon Byrd of the Mets, who signed a minor league deal but has contributed 12 home runs and a .258/.309/.493 line in 237 plate appearances.
- The next player to get a nod in the article is the Pirates' Francisco Liriano, who inked an incentive-driven deal with Pittsburgh. He has been nothing short of stellar thus far, carrying a 2.30 ERA over 54 2/3 innings and 10.0 K/9 against 3.6 BB/9. Liriano's excellence has combined with a stunning earlygoing for Jeff Locke, continued renaissance for A.J. Burnett, and now the emergence of top prospect Gerrit Cole to give the Buccos a surprisingly excellent rotation.
- Of course, the Bucs just became the first MLB team to fifty wins after decades of poor performances. While the team may not necessarily have any obvious areas that require immediate attention, then, one must wonder whether it will contemplate any bold moves to seize the opportunity this year. As MLB.com's Tom Singer writes, Pittsburgh will be very interesting to watch as the trade deadline approaches. Manager Clint Hurdle explained: "You always need to look and see if you can add to the team strength. ... You pay attention to chemistry, and try to do the right thing."
- In spite of the rotation's excellence thus far, then, one wonders whether it could be an area that the club looks to improve. While the staff currently sports the league's second-lowest ERA, it ranks 11th in FIP, 18th in xFIP, and 20th in WAR. (All links to Fangraphs leaderboards.) Locke, in particular, looks destined for some pretty heavy regression, with his 2.06 ERA belied by a 3.85 FIP and 4.11 xFIP. In addition to possible regression, Pittsburgh's starting depth has been tested already. As Singer reports, the Pirates could be looking at long absences for starters Wandy Rodriguez and James McDonald. Rodriguez, in particular, would be a major loss if he misses substantial time. He reportedly has been shut down after experiencing forearm tightness following a toss on flat ground.
- Another team that has experienced pitching injuries, the Dodgers, has made an internal move to try and shore up its late-inning woes. The team announced on Twitter that it has brought up right-handed reliever Jose Dominguez. As Dylan Hernandez of the Los Angeles Times explains, the 22-year-old has a legitimate 100+ MPH heater. After two drug suspensions earlier in his career, the Dominican native will look to make a bullpen acquisition unnecessary for the Dodgers.
- Sticking with the relief side of the rubber, the Cubs' Kevin Gregg has emerged as an unlikely trade candidate. As MLB.com's Carrie Muskat writes, Chicago already seems to be sizing up replacements for their newly minted closer. Of course, Gregg blew his first save this evening, which could take some of the luster off of his outstanding start. (Gregg's potential replacement, Blake Parker, went on to pick up his first big league save.) But as MLBTR's Steve Adams recently explained, Gregg's results have largely been supported by his peripherals.
- Another obvious trade candidate, the Marlins' Ricky Nolasco, also struggled in his latest showcase. Nevertheless, as Clark Spencer of the Miami Herald writes, Miami has already lined up Nolasco's rotation spot to be occupied by Henderson Alvarez as soon as Wednesday. Manager Mike Redmond says that Alvarez is "going to be on his way" to Miami and that the team will "figure out what we're going to do as far as where we're going to fit him in."
- The Marlins may be forced to return top Rule 5 pick Alfredo Silverio to the Dodgers after the 26-year-old outfielder had to undergo a second Tommy John surgery, writes Spencer. The former prospect had his career derailed by a car accident, but was hoping to re-establish himself in Miami.
Quick Hits: Konerko, Garza, Gonzalez, Yankees
Paul Konerko isn't interested in discussing a potential trade from the White Sox to a contender, MLB.com's Scott Merkin reports on Twitter. "I don't know many teams that are going to want a guy who can't play," the first baseman said. Konerko, 37, is nursing a back injury and hasn't played since June 23rd. As Merkin notes, Konerko has ten-and-five rights, meaning he cannot be traded without permission. The White Sox reportedly aren't interested in moving him anyway, even though they expect to be sellers at the deadline. Here's more from around baseball..
- The Orioles are interested in the Cubs' Matt Garza after being "lukewarm" on him previously, Jon Heyman of CBS Sports reports via Twitter. However, they believe the Cubs' current asking price is too high.
- A team source says Cuban righty Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez is "not a fit" for the Nationals, according to Adam Kilgore of the Washington Post, via Twitter. The Nats had two scouts watch Gonzalez pitch this month but believe he'll be overpriced.
- The Yankees aren't involved in discussions for Marlins right-hander Ricky Nolasco "or any other pitcher," FOX Sports' Ken Rosenthal says via Twitter, noting that offense is the team's primary need.
- It sounds as though A's GM Billy Beane will give serious thought to re-signing Grant Balfour, despite having two cheaper heir-apparents in the fold, writes Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle.
Aaron Steen contributed to this post.


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st: update qenv available from SSC
Maarten Buis <email@example.com>
st: update qenv available from SSC
Mon, 8 Apr 2013 11:38:32 +0200
Thanks to Kit Baum an updated version of the -qenv- package is now
available from SSC.
The -qenv- package is written by me and Nick Cox and contains programs
that each generate two numeric variables for later plotting on a
quantile-quantile plot that define an envelope of low and high
expectations for each quantile given repeated sampling from a
specified distribution with the same number of values and same
parameter values as the data specified. The programs are helper
programs designed for use with -qplot-, which must be installed
The package is changed in the following ways:
In addition to supporting the normal and gamma distribution, -qenv-
now supports the computation of reference regions for the chi-square,
F, and beta distributions by adding the -qenvchi2-, -qenvF- and
-qenvbeta- programs.
None of the -qenv- programs worked as advertised under Stata 9 or
Stata 10.0, this has been fixed.
We have added options to all programs that allows users to specify the
parameters of the distributions. We were thinking in terms of a
simulation where a user wants to compare the distribution of a test
statistic with a known distribution with known parameters. The
reference interval would than represent the variability that is to be
expected given the random nature of a Monte Carlo simulation, similar
to Ian White's -simsum- (also available from SSC and described in
(White 2010)). This background also explains our interest in the
chi-square and F distributions.
We have speeded up the Mata code for computing the overall reference region.
We have added "click to run" links to the helpfile.
We hope that some of you will find this useful,
Ian White (2010) "simsum: Analyses of simulation studies including
Monte Carlo error". The Stata Journal, 10(3): 369-385.
Maarten L. Buis
Reichpietschufer 50
10785 Berlin
* For searches and help try:
* http://www.stata.com/help.cgi?search
* http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/resources/statalist-faq/
* http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/


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Visit the Norwegian Petroleum Museum in Stavanger and watch "Petropolis". The movie is shown in the museum's cinema twice every hour. Petro and...
3-D movie "Petropolis"
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So my early (non unibodby) MBP is suffering. The CD drive does not work (Hardware) and the OS is slow (Software(. I have both OS 10.5 and 10.6 CDs with me but for obvious reasons i cant use those directly. Can i use it on another computers (i have a win XP laptop) and some how do something?
Im waiting for the new MBP refresh or MBA refresh before i buy a shiney new Mac.. but till then


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