text:
Democrats are losing Latinos but GOP has no clue how to keep them
Recently, Democrats have done a spectacular job of driving away Latino voters and pushing them into Republican arms.
Still, Republicans don't have the best idea of how to keep these people. Latinos are a tribe that most Republicans don't think about, don't care about, or don't know much about.
While Democrats are stuck in a model of being white and white, most Republicans live in a whiter and whiter world.
On the doorstep of midterm elections 2022, many of the country's 62 million Latinos are distasteful with both parties. America's largest minority group is also one of the rapidly growing divisions of the electorate, and a lot of them seem ready to mark their ballots as "None of the above".
In a recent poll of Axios-Ipsos, 46% of Latinos support Democrats while only 23% choose Republicans when asked which party better represents their concerns. The same poll found that 40% of Latinos feel the Democrats take their support for granted, and 51% say the same about the Republican Party.
Did you catch that? Many Latinos feel more taken for granted by Republicans (who are not supported by them) than by Democrats (who do).
Many Latinos remain skeptical of Republicans, and they think, with good reason, that the party's outreach is spurious and fleeting. With a few notable blue moon exceptions – Ronald Reagan in 1984, George W. Bush in 2004 – the GOP has spent the past 60 years keeping Latinos from telling the time of day.
Now, when Republicans make even the slightest encroachment on Latinos, they remain suspicious. For Latinos, hard work is sacred. Many of us don't respect the Republican party, or see the GOP as a permanent home, because we know the party has made no effort to earn our support – as opposed to just inheriting it. because Democrats are idiots.
However, for the Republicans, who longed for a greater share of the Latino vote, all was not lost. They have three saving graces.
First, they are pro-business, and the message of lower taxes and less regulation will resonate with a population full of entrepreneurs and small business owners.
Second, though the Republican Party's hard line on social issues – including its pro-life fervor over abortion – may scare white women in the suburbs. fear, but that doesn't affect the largely Catholic community.
And third, Republicans don't need Latinos to officially change their party registration, just let Latinos vote now and then for the occasional Republican candidate who isn't a lunatic. .
Republicans also have one last thing for them: the Democratic Party.
The Democratic Party's strategy on how to lose the Latino vote is as follows: Ignore familiar issues that concern Latinos such as education, jobs and the economy and focus instead on issues that concern Latinos. Topics they don't care about as much as race theory matters, climate change and punishing Trump for the January 6 attack on the US Capitol. Vote for Latinos without joining the community and ask for their support. Support Trump with Biden's immigration policy to appease "anxious" suburban white voters.
That will do. Hooray, Democrats.
Still, Latino flirting with the GOP won't last – maybe not even until the next election – if Republicans don't figure out how to keep those Latino voters.
And Donald Trump's party — and his three dwarfs, Govs. Greg Abbott in Texas, Ron DeSantis in Florida, and Doug Ducey in Arizona — are out in its depths.
White Republicans are getting burned out of the "race" talk, and buzzwords like "incorporate" seem more likely to scare Latinos by hardening their stance. them about hot button issues.
Cliff Young, Ipsos president of the American Public Service, talks about the poll his company ran with Axios. pushed them away from the Republicans."
Perhaps this was to be expected. Political parties are creatures of habit that do not change who or what they are.
My grandfather, Samuel, was a tejano Stetson cowboy hat fan. Born a United States citizen in Goliad, Texas, he had the right to vote during his lifetime. In fact, he probably would have cast more votes if it weren't for the illegal poll tax that demands a day to exercise the privilege. He never saw GOP in his corner.
"The Republican Party is the party of los ricos (rich man)," he once told me.
All these years later, that's still true. The Democratic Party is no longer really the party of the poor and the working class. But the Republican Party is still the party of the rich. Their base is comprised of wealthy whites who think tax cuts and loosening of gun laws will fix everything.
The GOP hopes it can find enough Latinos to think the same way. It will find a few, but not many. It will increase the bounty if it is willing to change a bit, soften the edges, be less threatening and more approachable.
Above all, Republicans need to be careful not to repeat the mistakes that Democrats have made.
When large numbers of legal and illegal immigrants from Latin America began making their way to the United States in the 1990s, in part due to trade imbalances stemming from the North American Free Trade Agreement, Republicans succumbed to nativism and imposed total restrictions. That sent Latinos — nearly half of whom voted for Reagan in 1984 — back into the arms of Democrats, the pro-union faction that was also anti-immigrant. In any case, once Latino voters were firmly in their hands, Democrats quickly forgot about them and took their outreach elsewhere.
That has created an opportunity that some believe the GOP is not yet ready to seize.
That's the view of Chris Roman, founder of Roman Communications Group LLC, a Las Vegas-based marketing and consulting firm that specializes in helping companies and organizations reach Latinos in English and Spanish. .
"I think Republicans will squander this opportunity. I really do," said Roman. "They didn't collect beyond the usual suspects, the Latinos had to face that they worked on a number of campaigns."
He wants a bigger investment, starting with personnel.
"I don't see Latinos in senior positions in the Republican Party," Roman said. "The party doesn't put the pieces together fast enough."
It is poetic. For nearly a century, Republicans have preached that there is no free lunch and that Americans shouldn't expect to get something for nothing.
They need to capture that message and apply it to themselves. Right now, Republicans are getting Latino votes they haven't won yet.
That won't last. So the GOP needs to work, invest time and spend money to make a claim in this growing constituency. Along the way, they will need to brave the inevitable opposition from white Republicans who will likely resent these outreach efforts because they already feel marginalized. and was pushed aside by changing demographics.
For Republicans, the effort to prove they are worthy of Latino support is easy. But if they do nothing and carry on with business as usual — out of complacency, laziness, or fear — they will find it even easier to lose those votes.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/democrats-are-losing-latinos-but-the-gop-has-no-clue-how-to-keep-them?source=articles&via=rss Democrats are losing Latinos but GOP has no clue how to keep them


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Keywords : Ansys
ANSYS-Based Structural Analysis Study of Elevated Spherical Tank Exposed to Earthquake
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2021, Volume 39, Issue 6, Pages 870-883
DOI: 10.30684/etj.v39i6.460
Damage of elevated tanks during earthquakes can jeopardize the supply of drinking water and causes significant economic losses. Therefore, seismic analysis of tanks containing liquids requires special consideration. Knowledge of liquid hydrodynamic pressures developed during an earthquake is important for tank design. This paper aims to verify the dynamic reaction of structural systems of spherical elevated steel tanks containing water, and determine the natural frequencies that contribute to the physical response, as well as seismic analysis of the tank. A three dimensional Finite Element Model was developed to identify the main parameters involved in this response for three different fullness ratio (0.00%, 53.30% and 71.11%) using the ANSYS software. The model was implemented and validated based on the results of a previously conducted experimental study. Moreover, it was analyzed under the impact of the most severe earthquake that Iraq was exposed to in 2017 with a magnitude of 7.2 on the Richter scale. The results showed a very good agreement in natural frequency with a discrepancy (root mean square error) of 2% (0.05 Hz), 6.9% (0.15 Hz) and 9.5% (0.2 Hz) for the fullness ratio 0%, 53.3% and 71.11%, respectively In addition, the selected element type and the method of analysis are applicable. Moreover, results of displacement and stresses from earthquake analysis indicated that the spherical tank could lose stability in time 1.4 seconds of the proposed time for the worst part of the earthquake, when displacement records highest values in the direction of earthquake for the tank body at chosen points in the top, middle, and bottom of the tank body which were almost equally at all cases proposed in this study.
Optimum Design of Journal Bearings Dimensions for Rotating Machines
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2020, Volume 38, Issue 10A, Pages 1481-1488
DOI: 10.30684/etj.v38i10A.1093
The values of Many parameters which involve in the design of fluid film journal bearings mainly depend on the bearing applied load when using the conventional design method to design the journal bearings, in this study, as well as applied bearing load, the dynamic response and critical speed have been used to calculate the dimensions of journal bearings. In the field of rotating machine, especially a heavy-duty rotating machines, the critical speed and response are the main parameters that specify bearing dimensions. The bearing aspect ratio (bearing length to bore diameter) and bearing clearance have been determined based on rotor maximum critical speed and minimum response displacement. The analytical solution of rotor Eq. of motion was verified by numerical solution via using ANSYS Mechanical APDL 18.0 and by comparing the numerical solution with the preceding study. The final study results clearly showed that the bearing aspect ratio has little effect on the critical speed, but it has a high effect on the dynamic response also the bearing clearance has little effect on the critical speed and considerable effect on the dynamic response. The study showed that the more accurate values of bearing aspect ratio to make the response of rotor as low as possible are about 0.65 - 1 and bearing percent clearance is about 0.15 - 0.2 for different rotor dimensions.
Fatigue Life and Surface Hardening Investigation of Aluminum Shot Peening Process
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2018, Volume 36, Issue 6A, Pages 672-676
DOI: 10.30684/etj.36.6A.12
Two different tests are used in order to analyze the shot peening foraluminum 6061-T6 alloys. Stress amplitude versus fatigue life (S-N curves) are established experimentally using different shot peening ball size (three diameters of balls are used in this paper are 1.5, 3, and 3.5 mm). Also the hardening via Vickers hardnessis evaluated due to shot peening experimentally and by ANSYS software, the three dimensional finite element model of a square plate shot by ball is demonstrates the application of shot peened of hardening surface.The influences of the ball's diameter on the hardening and S-N curves are studied. The results showed that the fatigue strength is increased when increasing the ball diameter. The higher strength was obtained when using the ball diameter of (3.5 mm) compared to the other diameters (1.5 and 3 mm). Good agreement of hardening results is evident between experimental and Ansys results with average discrepancy 3.6%
Proposed Formulation Using ANSYS for Estimation Axially Strength of Steel Tubes Columns Filled with Concrete
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2016, Volume 34, Issue 11, Pages 2057-2071
DOI: 10.30684/etj.34.11A.12
In this paper, concrete filled steel tubes columns (CFT) are investigated by using finite element program ANSYS 15.0. Analysis are done for four different shapes of columns (circular, square,hexagonal andoctagonal). Results of analytical solution (for circular and square) were compared with existing experimental data provided by [Alwash et al., 2013].Comparative resultsof failure load give 4% difference between experimental and ANSYS 15.0. Also, parametric studies have been carried out to investigate the effect of concrete filled steel tubes columns shapes (for hexagonal and octagonal) on load carrying capacity.Finally, a newformulaefor predicting the ultimate strength of CFT is proposedbased on experimental data of 148 CFT columns of different cross sections with side length ranging between 200 and 4000 mm. To check the validity of the proposed equation, the loads calculated from the designmethods (American Concrete Institute (ACI 318M-14), Eurocode (EC4),New Zealand Standard of concrete structures(NZS) and American Institute of Steel Construction (AISC)) are used to compare with it. The comparison shows least convergence percentageof the proposed equation.
Finite Element Analysis of Suppression the Vibration of Dish Using Closed Loop Control System
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2016, Volume 34, Issue 8, Pages 1499-1513
DOI: 10.30684/etj.34.8A.3
A closed loop simulation is used for minimizing of undemanding vibration caused in the dish system. The finite element method is used to model the closed loop control via ANSYS- APDL. In this paper the Bezier function for surface modeling to get the best modeling points for dish is used. A designed surface is represented by sufficient control points, using these control points, the surface has been represented depending on Bezier technique to generate reliable and near-optimal dish surface. The required equations are generated to apply the surfaces and curves efficiently using MATLAP program, then exported to ANSYS to perform closed loop vibration analysis. It can be concluded that the closed loop control system with gain (Kp=4, Ki=1, Kd=0.1) suppression the vibration of the dish with 98% with different thickness and materials of dish. Also the natural frequencies and the mode shapes of the dish is evaluated. Three materials (pure copper, pure aluminum and steel) each with different thickness is taken for the dish (0.8, 0.9, 1, 1.1 and 1.2) mm and for each thickness the responses and the natural frequencies are determined for six modes. The effect of the thickness's variation on natural frequencies for each material was studied. It can be observed that natural frequency is direct proportional with the thickness of the dish.
Improving the Strength of Steel Perforated Plate Girders Loaded in Shear Using CFRP laminates
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2015, Volume 33, Issue 9, Pages 2119-2129
The structural behavior of perforated composite web plate girders under shear loading is studied. Five steel plate girders have been tested. Two of them are reference girders, not perforated and perforated. The perforated webs in the three other girders are strengthened with carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) laminates in different patterns. The diameter of the central circle opening is 300 mm, where is 60% of the web depth. It is found from the experimental work that the ultimate shear load for the perforated composite web plate girder is higher than the reference perforated girder in a range of 100% to 134% depending on the orientation of the fiber in CFRP laminates. Through the experimental results, new formulas are presented to predict the ultimate shear load of perforated strengthened steel girders by CFRP laminates. A nonlinear finite element analysis is carried out for the tested plate girders using the package software program (ANSYS V.14.5). The analytical results contain the distribution of VonMises stresses, which is useful to have a better understanding to the results obtained from the experimental tests.
Numerically and Theoretically Studying of the Upper Composite Complete Prosthetic Denture
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2015, Volume 33, Issue 5, Pages 1023-1037
The current study focused on the manufacturing and development properties of upper prosthesis complete denture from composite materials with the basis cold cured resin of poly methyl methacrylate as new fluid resin and reinforced materials by two different types of particles (nano-hydroxyapatite (nHA), micro zirconia (ZrO2)), that added with different volume fractions of (1%, 2% and 3%), and the different types of woven fibers (Glass fiber, Kevlar fiber), it were added with a fixed volume fraction of (5%) to PMMA composites.Specimens' consist of a six groups where prepared by using (Hand Lay-Up) method from the composites materials and hybrid laminated composites materials. This research includes theoretical and numerical studies by using finite element method to confirming the experimental results of the effect of selected volume fractions of theseparticles and fibers on the (total deformation distribution, equivalent elastic strain and equivalent Von Mises stress) of the composite prosthetic dentures.
The theoretical part included calculations the values of theoretical safety factor and Poisson's ratio. While the numerical part based on finite element method (F.E.M), which was performed by using program (ANSYS-15) to analyze the prepared of denture composite materials and evaluate its characteristics which represent total deformation distribution, equivalent stress and equivalent elastic strain. This was performed by obtaining twenty one models for the PMMA composite dental prostheses which were treated as three dimension structure. The numerical results of the F.E.A showed coincided with some of the experimental results.
Effect of Tunneling in Cohesive Soils on Existing Structures
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2014, Volume 32, Issue 10, Pages 2475-2490
DOI: 10.30684/etj.32.10A.12
The present work is focused on the influence of shallow tunneling on the settlement of existed two storey building supported on different soil properties ranging from medium to stiff clayey soil that having young modules of "50,75 and 100 MPa". Eight locations of the tunnel center "diameter = 4m" were fixed below the building strip footing "width = 2m" at different depths and locations to determine the critical location of the tunnel at each depth.
A total of 24 Finite element CAD "ANSYS" solutions were performed on the eight locations for each of the three types of soil.
The results of the FEM analysis show that the effect of tunneling was to increase the surface settlement and creating differential settlement at the different locations and the critical location of the tunnel was when the tunnel center is located below the center line of the footing at both depths.
Behavior of Corbels Strengthened with Carbon Fiber Reinforced Polymers (CFRP) – Numerical Study
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2014, Volume 32, Issue 10, Pages 2394-2407
DOI: 10.30684/etj.32.10A.7
In this paper, a numerical modeling performed to study the effect of carbon fiber reinforced polymers (CFRP) as a shear strengthening of corbels. In this study a theoretical simulation is achieved with reinforced concrete corbels, several CFRP strengthening positions has been studied with different shear span – effective depth ratio (a/d) of (0.5,0.6&0.7). The numerical model, by using program (ANSYS 12.1) verified by compare its results with the experimental results. It was found that the position and the amount of (CFRP) as well as the vary of (a/d) ratio, have a great effects on the ultimate load capacity of corbels. Where, the ultimate load capacity increase as the amount of (CFRP) increased in certain positions of corbels, with regards the vary in (a/d) ratio.
Experimental and Finite Element Analysis on Rounded Corners Square Shape Tube Hydroforming Process
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2014, Volume 32, Issue 9, Pages 2148-2164
DOI: 10.30684/etj.32.9A4
Tube hydroforming is a forming process where an inner pressure combined with axial feeding deforms the tube to the shape of a die cavity, i.e. the process state where the hardening of the material is unable to resist the increase in inner pressure and wall thickness reduction. In the current work the tube with circular cross section is deformed to square cross section using hydraulic pressure. The die of the square edges is designed and manufacturing to change the tube with circular cross section to square cross section. The die and tools were designed and manufactured in order to satisfy the experimental work.The hydraulic system manufactured is capable to give several values of internal pressure. Initially circular tubes are inflated against a square die while simultaneously they are axially compressed in order to delay wall thinning and burst and achieve an accept tube wall thickness distribution. The dimension of tube used in the experimental work of copper is (L=110 mm, do=9.4 mm , to=1.5mm) to obtain forming limit diagram and mechanical properties of tube and value of the bursting pressure and final thickness for copper tube (170MPa ) and 1.18 mm. A squared grid has been printed by screen method with dimensions (5x5mm) the strain measurement accomplished by measuring the dimensions of the grid printed before and after deformation. The finite element method was applied via ANSYS11software package in order to determine the tube thickness, stress and strain behavior and the internal pressure required to form the square shape tube and the radius of curvature of the tube.It was found that the generated strain during the tube hydroforming process in the square cross – sectional die was less than that in ANSYS software within 20%. The results showed good agreement.
Design and Simulation of 11/0.4 kV Distribution Transformer Using ANSYS
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2014, Volume 32, Issue 2, Pages 414-438
DOI: 10.30684/etj.32.2A.10
This work presents a Finite Element Method (FEM) modeling of a 3-phase, 11/0.4 kV, 50 Hz, oil immersed, core (stack) type distribution transformer. In this work The ANSYS package is used to build the finite element model of the transformer, using actual transformer parameters. To investigate transformer performance several analyses are accomplished on this model such as; static analysis, transient analysis, harmonic analysis. Two types of analysis are considered; the linear analysis (using constant permeability) and the nonlinear analysis using the B-H curve of iron. The results are presented in 2D vector and contour colored plots of the FE model, the voltage and current curves, the magnetic flux lines, flux density, field intensity, current density, and magnetic forces.
Punching Shear Resistance of Reinforced Concrete Flat Plate Slabs Strengthened with CFRP
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2014, Volume 32, Issue 2, Pages 511-529
DOI: 10.30684/etj.32.2A.16
The purpose of this study is to present a model suitable for analyzing reinforced concrete (RC) slabs strengthened with Carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) failing in punching shear using the finite element method. a nonlinear three-dimensional finite element analysis has been used to conduct an analytical investigation on the overall behavior of reinforced concrete slabs strengthened with CFRP strips. ANSYS (version 11, 2007) computer program is utilized.The 8-node isoparametric brick elements in ANSYS are used to represent the concrete, the steel bars and CFRP strips are modeled as axial members discrete within the concrete brick elements by assuming perfect bond between the concrete and steel and between the concrete and CFRP strips. The numerical analysis incorporates material nonlinearity due to concrete cracking in tension, nonlinear stress-strain relations of concrete in compression, crushing of concrete and yielding of steel reinforcement. Also, the evaluation of the CFRP strips enhancement in shear strength of RC slabs is investigated.
Different types of RC slabs strengthened with CFRP strips have been analyzed. Available experimental results are chosen to check the validity and the accuracy of the adopted models. In general, a good agreement is obtained between the finite element and the experimental results. The maximum percentage difference in ultimate load-carrying capacity is 8.83%. Several parametric studies have been carried out to investigate the effects of some important material parameters on the behavior of strengthened RC slabs. These parameters are the concrete compressive strength, the concrete tensile strength, the number of layers of CFRP strips, the configuration of CFRP strips and the effect of diagonal stirrups of CFRP.
Behavior of Steel Plate Girders with Web Openings Loaded in Shear
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2013, Volume 31, Issue 15, Pages 2982-2996
The structural behavior of three steel plate girders under shear is studied. The first
one is the reference plate girder (G) which is prepared without web openings, and the
second one (GO) is fabricated to contain circular opening at the center of each web panel,
the diameter of the opening is 60% of the web depth, while the third plate girder (GOR)
is with reinforced strip welded around the circular web openings. The aspect ratio of the
panels is one and they all have the same dimensions. The experimental results obtained
from second and third plate girders have been compared with those obtained from the
reference plate girder. The comparison indicates that the reduction in the ultimate shear
load for plate girder with web opening is 51% and for the plate girder with reinforced
web opening is 35%. Also through the experimental results, new formulas are presented
to predict the ultimate shear load of perforated steel girders with large openings.
A nonlinear finite element analysis is carried out for the tested plate girders using the
package software program (ANSYS V.11). The analytical results contain the ultimate
shear capacity and Von Mises stress distribution. The results of finite element models are
compared with results of experimental tests. The difference in ultimate shear load was
10%, 9% and 1.5% for plate girders GO, GOR and G, respectively. Also a parametric
study with varying size of the reinforcement around the web openings is performed by
using the ANSYS program, and it is found that the thickness of the reinforcement strip
has higher effect than its width on the ultimate shear capacity of perforated plate girder.
Finite Element Analysis of the Boom of Crane Loaded Statically
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2013, Volume 31, Issue 9, Pages 1626-1639
DOI: 10.30684/etj.2013.82179
In this paper, the finite element analysis was carried out on boom of telescopic crane using ANSYS package software and the manual calculation as well as the analysis by the strength of materials procedure. The stress picture along the boom model was conducted under the maximum load carrying capacity. The stress developed at the interception of hydraulic rod with the first tube is higher than that developed along the rest of the boom. Moreover, the maximum deflection occurs at the boom head sheave.
In order to investigate the accuracy of the results, a comparison between the two approaches and the exact obtained by the strength of materials procedure is carried out.
Although the high capabilities of ANSYS software, the results are somewhat less accurate than that obtained by the manual calculations. Besides that, the results obtained by the finite element manual calculations are wholly similar to that of strength of materials procedure. Model taken for this paper is TADANO TR-350 XL 35-ton capacity.
Deformation Analysis of Road Embankment Foundation Soil Improved with Fiber Glass
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2012, Volume 30, Issue 19, Pages 3341-3361
The main objective of this research is to evaluate the improvement of embankment
soil foundation soil using the fiber glass treatment. To accomplish the main objective,
laboratory tests, includes direct shear test and unconfined compression test are made to
evaluate the potential of acting the fiber glass as cementing agent in terms of strength
parameters (cohesion and angle of internal friction). The ANSYS program of version
(12.1) was employed for analyzing embankment foundation system. The results
showed that increasing the percent of fiber glass from (1 to 3%) reduce the vertical and
horizontal displacement about (75%) at 3%, and reduced the horizontal and vertical
strain about (75%, 85%) respectively at the same fiber glass content (3%). This means,
that the general role of adding the fiber glass works as a tender to soil mixture not as
fiber reinforcement. So it can be concluded that the fiber glass act as cementing agent
as shown in the obtained experimental results for strength parameters (cohesion and
angle of internal friction ) from the direct shear and the unconfined compression test
that carried out in this works.
Experimental and Numerical Study of the Effects Of Creating Openings in Existing RC Beams and StrengtheningWith CFRP
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2012, Volume 30, Issue 15, Pages 2550-2561
This study presents an experimental and nonlinear finite element analysis of creating square openings in existing RC beams and strengthening with CFRP laminate. Flexural strengthening of reinforced concrete beams is now becoming more and more important in the field of structural maintenance and retrofitting. In the experimental programming, three RC beams were cast. Two beams were tested in the un-strengthened condition the first act as the solid Control beam, and the other have openings, the third one have opening and strengthening with CFRP laminate. The beams were also modeled using a FEM packaged (ANSYS 11). The results indicate that the strengthened beam recorded the highest failure load and its mode of failure was ductile. The numerical results seemed to be able to predict the behavior of the beams.
Influence of the Butt Joint Design of TIG Welding on the Thermal Stresses
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2011, Volume 29, Issue 14, Pages 2841-2858
The aim of this paper is to demonstrate the influence of the single butt joint design of TIG welding on the thermal stresses for carbon steel type St-37. The butt welding was performed by V angles 30°,45°,60° and 90° and the thermal stresses analysis is based on the local moving heat flux. The numerical model developed by ANSYS12
software based on solving the three dimensional energy equation, considering moving heat source and temperature dependent material properties. Temperature and stresses distributions were obtained function of time. From the results, it is evident that the
joint design has an important role in the welding process, when the edge angle of the welding region gets bigger, the faults get less due to increase of heat flux in the welding region. It can be concluded that the specimen with less than 6mm thickness can be welded without edge angle preparation, due to increase the thermal stresses
when edge angle is evident and higher thermal stresses distribution was at edge angle 60° and lowest thermal stresses distribution was at 90°.
Sphrical Slab with Ferrocement
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2011, Volume 29, Issue 13, Pages 2609-2616
This research is devoted to investigate the behavior of spherical ferrocement slabs under flexural loading. The main parameters considered in the analysis are the thickness of the slab, vertical and horizontal diameters, and the effect of number of wire mesh layers on the behavior of spherical. Analysis was done using the finite element software ANSYS V. 11, which is used for solving several problems of structural engineering. The 8-node iso-parametric brick elements in ANSYS are used to represent the mortar, the wire mesh layers are
considered as smeared layers elastic-perfectly plastic materials embedded within the
brick elements by assuming perfect bond between the mortar and steel.
An improvement was indicated in the behavior of the elements when changing the shape of the slab from straight to spherical slabs found in deflection about 64% (as indicated in ref. [1]). As well as increasing number of wire mesh layers from two to four and from two to six tend to increase the load capacity by 18% and 28% respectively.
The increase in the thickness and the vertical diameter cause decrease in deflection to 20% and 10% alternately.
Influence of Metal Type on the Deep Drawing Force by Experimental and Finite Element Method
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2011, Volume 29, Issue 13, Pages 2601-2608
This paper is aimed to study the effect of material type on the drawing force. Three metals are used (low carbon steel 1008 AISI, Austenitic stainless steel 304 AISI, and pure aluminum 1100), as a sheet with thickness of 0.5mm for each one, and they were cutting as a blank with 80 mm diameter, then drawn in a die with 44mm diameter to produce cup. To predict the deep drawing force by finite element method, Hill's yield criteria is used, which examines the effect of anisotropy. Two dimension axisymmetry model of deep drawing were built and analyzed by ANSYS FEM code. The results show that the drawing force for stainless steel is higher than the other two metals due to the difference in metallurgical structure. The numerical results were compared with the experimental; good agreement was found between finite element and experimental results.
Investigation of the Behavior for Reinforced Concrete Beam Using Non-Linear Three-Dimensional Finite Elements Model
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2011, Volume 29, Issue 10, Pages 1870-1885
This study presents theoretical investigation that reinforced concrete and composite construction might be suitably combined to give a new structural material: composite reinforced concrete. To study theoretically the composite beam, nonlinear three-dimensional finite elements have been used to analyze the tested beam.
The 8-node brick elements in (ANSYS) are used to represent the concrete, the steel bars are modeled as discrete axial members connected with concrete elements at shared nodes assuming perfect bond between the concrete and the steel. The results obtained by finite element solution showed good agreement with experimental results.
Development of Three - Layer Composite Steel - Concrete - Steel Beam Element with Applications
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2010, Volume 28, Issue 24, Pages 6970-6985
In this study, a general linear one-dimensional finite element beam model is developed for the analysis of the three layer composite steel- concrete- steel beams which are a special case of the multi-layer
Connectors, concrete layer thickness, plate thickness, type of loading and concrete compressive strength composite beams. The model is based on partial interaction theory of composite beams where the flexibility of shear connectors is allowed. A program is constructed using VISUAL BASIC language to analyze this type of beams. Numerical applications are presented to demonstrate the validity and applicability of the present method. A parametric study is carried out to demonstrate the effect of some parameters including the variation of shear stiffness of shear on the behaviour of three-layer composite beams. The results of
the proposed programmed model shows a good agreement with those obtained by finite elements method using ANSYS program (Release 11, 2007. The models used in ANSYS program are shell element, brick element and combine element to simulate the behaviour of steel plates, concrete part and shear connectors respectively
Effect of the Number of Horizontal Construction Joints In Reinforced Concrete Beams
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2010, Volume 28, Issue 19, Pages 5803-5821
In this paper some results from previous experimental test are adopted
and analyzed using a nonlinear three-dimensional finite element ANSYS
computer program (v.11) to investigate the effect of the presence of
horizontal construction joints (H.C.J.) on the behavior of reinforced
concrete (RC) beams.
Three beams having one, two and three (H.C.J.) that divide the beam into equal
parts, as well as one reference beam without a joint were analyzed. The results
obtained from the finite element analysis show very good agreement with the
results obtained from the previous experimental test. The maximum differences in
ultimate loads were about (8.2-10.4)% for all types of tested beams. The presence
of one, two and three (H.C.J.) in RC beams under flexure gave a decrease in the
value of the cracking load such that Pcr was (97%), (85%) and (80%) of (Bref).
The respective ultimate load capacity Pu was (96%), (89%) and (84%) compared
to (Bref).
Stability of Al-Hadba minaret a-parametric study
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2010, Volume 28, Issue 19, Pages 968-981
Al-Hadba minaret in MOSUL City is one of the famous and oldest Islamic
monuments in the city. This minaret suffers from cracks in different places and
partial collapse in the outer stairs and in the upper dome. In addition to that, the
minaret is suffering from leaning. In this research the stability analysis,
displacement, and stress distribution were investigated using ANSYS 11 program
to represent the effect of external loads, and loads from maintenance work. In the
analysis the minaret and its foundation were considered as a one unit. Further
more, the effect of changing the nature of surrounding soil was investigated.
Results showed that the underground soil around the foundation is fill and
very loose material containing high percent of organic material and cavities. This
formation is extend down to (4.3-9.8 m) below the ground surface and have no
pronounce effect on the stability of the minaret .The analysis showed that the maximum compressive stress at the base of minaret in the inclination direction of
the minaret, where the opposite direction is under tension and the highest value
was at the base of cylindrical part.
Finite Element Analysis of Single Sided Linear Induction Motor
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2010, Volume 28, Issue 15, Pages 5113-5123
This paper presents analysis and operation of linear induction motor (LIM) using finite element method (FEM). The solution of magnetic field problem is performed for both two and three dimensional approaches. Magnetic vector potential, flux density, field intensity, induced rotor current, and propulsion force are computed for LIM model studied. The effect of velocity is taken into consideration. The primary winding self and mutual inductances are computed for three dimensional analysis.
Evaluation of Transverse Construction Joints of Reinforced Concrete Beams
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2010, Volume 28, Issue 14, Pages 4750-4773
Construction joints are stopping places in the process of placing concrete, and they are required because in many structures it is impractical to place concrete in one continuous operation. The amount of concrete that can be placed at one time is governed by batching and mixing capacity and by the strength of the formwork. A good construction joint should provide adequate flexural and shear continuity through the interface. In this study, available experimental tests were analyzed by using a nonlinear three-dimensional finite element ANSYS computer program (v. 9). In addition an interface model was proposed for the transverse construction joints.
Six beams with different transverse construction joints at mid-span as well as to one reference beam without joint are analyzed. The reliability of the model is demonstrated by comparison with the experiment and alternative numerical analysis which shows 5-7% difference.
FEM-Simulation of Single and Multi Layered Induction Heating Systems
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2009, Volume 27, Issue 13, Pages 2245-2262
Induction heating system has a number of inherent benefits compared to
traditional heating systems. Many analytical and numerical approaches have been applied to solve the problem of induction heating; efforts are made to introduce new development in computational approaches and utilization of newly developed specialized software packages to improve the methods of analysis and design of induction heating systems. This paper includes the description of the steps used for developing a general and comprehensive program, which works under ANSYS 11.0SP1 package environment. This program can be applied to analyze a wide
range of induction heating applications according to finite element method. Analysis approach is extended to deal with induction heating systems with magnetic material workpieces by introducing the multiregion method. Results of analysis the induction heating systems, by using ANSYS package, include all the electromagnetic and thermal quantities related to the induction heating process. To approve the simulation, used in this work, the results were compared with
published practical measurements, a good agreement was achieved.
Effect of Dual Reinforcement on Wear Resistance by Aluminum Compacts Reinforce by SiC, Al2O3
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2009, Volume 27, Issue 13, Pages 423-429
The producing composite materials of dual reinforcement in which the matrix material is aluminum reinforced with two types of ceramic particles : which are Alumina (50μm
composite materials; wear test ; Al2O3; SiC: Al
Finite Element Analysis Up To Failure Of Composite Concrete – Corrugated Steel Cylindrical Shells
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2009, Volume 27, Issue 13, Pages 2339-2351
This study presents three-dimensional finite element analysis to the behavior of composite concrete-corrugated steel cylindrical shell. This type of construction utilizes the advantages of both of ordinary reinforced concrete and the composite action of cylindrical shell with corrugated steel plates. The 8-node brick elements in (ANSYS v.9.0) have been used to represent the concrete, while the steel bars
are modeled as discrete axial members connected with concrete elements at shared nodes with the assumption of prefect bond between the concrete and the steel bars. The corrugated steel plate is modeled by four-node shell elements. The interface elements are modeled by using three-dimensional surface to surface contact elements connected with the nodes of concrete and steel channel elements. Comparison is made between the results obtained from the finite element analysis and the available experimental results of previous studies
Behavior of Composite Steel-Concrete Beam Subjected To Negative Bending
Engineering and Technology Journal,
2009, Volume 27, Issue 1, Pages 53-71
This work deals with the behavior of structural continuous composite steelconcrete
beams, which are widely used in building and bridge constructions. Therefore
the structural behavior of composite beams under negative moment is a significant
subject. However experimental tests in this field are very rare and information about the
efficiency of shear connection when the slab is under tension are really few.
In the present research, available experimental tests on composite steel-concrete
beams under negative bending are theoretically analyzed using the finite element
software ANSYS. ANSYS computer program is a large-scale multipurpose finite
element program which may be used for solving several cases of engineering analyses.
The proposed three dimensional model is able to simulate the overall flexural
behavior of composite beams. This covers; load-deflection behavior, longitudinal slip at
the steel-concrete interface, and distribution of shear studs. The reliability of the model
is demonstrated by comparison with available experiment and alternative numerical
analysis which shows 9-10% difference.

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Coconut Rum and Pineapple Juice is a tropical mixed drink, created in New Orleans in the late 1930's. It was invented by Pat O'Brien at his bar, where it became very popular with the locals after World War II. This drink is known for its bright orange color and fruity flavor.
This cocktail has lots of variations as there are only two prime ingredients. Blue Hawaiian Drink can be prepared by adding lemon juice with the ingredients. Another famous variation of this cocktail is Coconut Aviation Cocktail which can be made by adding crème de violette and London dry gin with the main ingredients.
2 ounces coconut rum
4 ounces pineapple juice
1. In a cocktail shaker, combine all ingredients. Shake to chill.
2. Strain into a Collins glass.
3. Add ice if you wish.
Image Source: https://www.yayimages.com/4202107/fresh-lemon-tea-on-black-background.html


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Stunning Kitchen Design Ideas For The Coronary heart Of Your Residence
Inexperienced is known as a great shade in your kitchens. Large mirrors are a great way to extend the scale of your bathroom. Some of us are colour crazy and have a weird fetish for loopy design all over the place be it the living room or bathroom. Caitlin Wilson incorporated a fantastic blue rug in her kitchen so as to add a pop of coloration. On this lavatory, Terracotta Design Build in Atlanta surrounded an existing recessed medicine cabinet with sheet mirror on the highest and either side, says Ili Hidalgo-Nilsson, architect and designer with Terracotta Design.
Designed for … Read the rest


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The Pit Boss 550G offers 8-in-1 cooking versatility, for smoking, baking, braising, roasting, grilling, broiling, barbecuing, high-temperature grilling and browning – all in one. Temperature range from 85°C to 260°C and get instant direct or indirect heat with the innovative open flame system with the sliding plate. Then use the digital control panel and stainless steel meat probes to track temperatures and set it and forget it, while the barbecue does all the work for you.
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The writing looked as though it was already on the wall, but on Tuesday the Bills parted ways with third-year cornerback Justin Rogers.
Buffalo's former seventh-round pick in 2011, Rogers struggled when pressed into a starting role earlier this season at boundary cornerback against the Jets in a 28-20 loss back in Week 3. The reserve cornerback appeared in the first five games of the season, but as the injury-riddled secondary got healthier, Rogers playing time disappeared.
The Richmond product was inactive for each of the Bills' last six games before he was released.
In his two-plus seasons with Buffalo, Rogers appeared in 34 games, compiled 76 tackles and three interceptions. He also served as a reserve punt and kick returner.
The Bills did not have an immediate move Tuesday to fill the vacancy on their 53-man roster.
CB added to practice squad
The cornerback position also saw a couple of changes on the team's practice squad. Buffalo released CB Johnny Adams Tuesday, who had been on the practice squad for most of the season.
The Bills signed CB Mario Butler to make use of the open spot on the eight-man practice squad. Butler (6-1, 187) is a former college free agent (2011) signee of the Dallas Cowboys. He was on the Cowboys active roster for the 2012 season opener, but spent the majority of the first half of last season on the Dallas practice squad.
He was signed to Denver's practice squad at the end of October 2012 and went to training camp with the Broncos this past summer, but did not make the final cut.


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Some news from Friday to note via Crain's.
The social media giant, which has surpassed $200 billion in market value, will add 80,000 square feet at 770 Broadway, the large office building south of Union Square where it first took space almost two years ago.
The building's rents have risen substantially since then. According to sources, Facebook is paying rates above $100 per square foot for the new space—at least 20% or 30% more than the price of the space it initially leased. Indeed, the deal is among the priciest ever signed in midtown south.
In total, Facebook now rents 270,000 square feet of the 1.2 million-square-foot building on Broadway/Lafayette and East Ninth Street.
Previously on EV Grieve:
Facebook unveils its new office tonight in Midtown South on Astor Place
Facebook is moving into the neighborhood; Midtown South expands its boundaries, apparently
Report: Maps show that Midtown South does NOT include the East Village/Astor Place


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The Bulls are a hard team to explain.
Just when it felt as though they had learned their lesson and were starting to turn things around, they played a game like they did Tuesday.
Another gut punch, another horrible loss.
After building a 21-point lead in the first half and looking like a team on its way to a season-high four-game winning streak, the Bulls melted down in the second half and lost to the undermanned Pacers 116-110.
All of this despite coach Billy Donovan warning his players at the half that the Pacers weren't going to go away.
"What we talked about at halftime was this team has come back," Donovan said. "We've got to be able to compete better. It started right in the third quarter. We didn't do enough things in terms of taking care of the basketball, rebounding the basketball. As the intensity level got raised, we were not able to respond and play to that level."
And while there was plenty of blame to go around, the finger-pointing starts and ends with the "Big Three."
The Bulls' bench was fine. Derrick Jones Jr., Andre Drummond, Coby White and Alex Caruso each had moments.
Patrick Williams and Ayo Dosunmu did what was asked of them, with both continuing to work through their growing pains and figuring out their roles.
But as go DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and Nikola Vucevic, so go the Bulls. It was that way when the Bulls were 11-18 in mid-December, and it was no coincidence that the three seemingly had figured out how best to play with one another while the Bulls went 11-6 during a 17-game run before facing the Pacers.
"I think for us, just coming in, getting used to the new offense, understanding where each one of our shots is going to come from and getting in a groove," LaVine said of the "Big Three" flipping the switch. "I think all of us have gotten in a pretty good groove of playing in a rhythm."
The numbers backed that up. In the Bulls' previous 17 games, LaVine had shot 48.9% from the field and averaged five rebounds and 4.4 assists. In the 25 games before that, he had shot 44.3% from the field and averaged 4.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists.
Vucevic and DeRozan had similar patterns. That's why the game against the Pacers kind of came from nowhere.
While DeRozan scored 33 points and Vucevic finished with 20 points and eight rebounds, LaVine struggled, going 4-for-14 from the field and 0-for-7 from three-point range. He had a rough game, and the Bulls looked disconnected.
T.J. McConnell put the Pacers in front with 4:27 left and, just like that, the back-and-forth was on.
With just less than two minutes left, the score was tied after Pacers rookie Bennedict Mathurin split two free throws. And he wasn't done. He made a huge three-pointer with 1:01 left and, after a dunk by Vucevic, attacked the rim and gave the Pacers a 112-110 lead with 29 seconds left.
Donovan called a timeout. But when the Bulls couldn't get the inbounds pass in, he was forced to call another.
That didn't fix much. Caruso had his inbounds pass deflected and stolen by Buddy Hield, leaving the Bulls with no choice but to foul. Aaron Nesmith made both free throws to extend the Pacers' lead to four, all but icing the game.
"We didn't execute the [inbounds] pass," Donovan said. "We've got to be better. We just didn't get it to him. The screening execution wasn't great. You want to at least give yourself a chance to get a shot off in that situation."


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Colorado head coach Karl Dorrell has made another change to his coaching staff.
On Sunday, CU and Dorrell announced that Clay Patterson has been hired as the tight ends coach/passing game coordinator after spending the past four seasons at Minnesota.
Patterson replaces Bryan Cook, who has been let go after one season on the job. Cook had one year and $215,000 remaining on a two-year contract. Per the teams of Cook's deal, CU owes him 80 percent of the remainder of the contract.
Patterson will reunite with Mike Sanford, who was hired last month as the Buffaloes' offensive coordinator. Sanford and Patterson worked together at Minnesota the past two seasons.
"My wife Ashley and I are very thankful for Karl Dorrell and Rick George for the opportunity to come to Boulder and coach at the University of Colorado," Patterson said in a press release. "Coach Dorrell is an outstanding football coach and man – I am very excited to work for and learn from him. When the opportunity to continue to work with Mike Sanford and build an offense together came up, I was thrilled. Mike is great to work with and he has an excellent offensive mind."
Prior to his four seasons at Minnesota, Patterson, 39, was the head coach at Northeastern Oklahoma A&M for two seasons (2016-17), going 14-8. A&M went 9-3 in 2017 and won its first Southwest Junior College Football Conference title since 2003. Patterson was the conference coach of the year.
From 2013-15, Patterson was the offensive coordinator/quarterbacks coach at Trinity Valley Community College. He was assistant coach/offensive coordinator/quarterbacks coach at Texas A&M-Kingsville from 2007-12. He also coached receivers at Southeastern Oklahoma (2003-05) and Tarleton State (2006).
"Before accepting the position at Minnesota, Clay's background and experience was well documented in highly productive offenses," Dorrell said in a press release. "His knowledge with passing game concepts over his career will be a big benefit for us as we build a successful offense here at Colorado."
Patterson is the fifth assistant coach hired by Dorrell this offseason, including Sanford, Kyle DeVan (offensive line), Rod Chance (cornerbacks) and Vic So'oto (defensive line).
The Buffs are still looking to hire a receivers coach to complete the 10-man assistant staff. At least six of the 10 will be new to CU next season.
CU confirmed Sunday that quarterbacks coach Danny Langsdorf and outside linebackers coach Brian Michalowski will not be retained.


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I have two partridge who astonish me with their ability to conceal themselves while pecking at berries on open ground just outside my window. They blend in perfectly with fallen leaves and withered grasses while wearing such stunning apparel!
Because nature's animals/plants often reflect a particular ability that is also mirrored by human behavior I started thinking about what the word camouflage really means for animals and for humans, reflecting upon the differences between how the two utilize this strategy.
In nature camouflage is not nuanced the way it is with humans. Camouflage has one primary purpose: to help animals survive as individuals and as a species. However the variety of ways that animals use camouflage is impressive.
Coyotes live in the shadows; they couldn't survive if they didn't. They use stealth to secure their prey. The Viceroy butterfly camouflages itself by looking almost exactly like the poisonous Monarch butterfly, thereby avoiding predation. Many other insects embrace this tactic. The Luna moth has four eyes on its wings to intimidate any aerial predator. Lizards turn the color of the stones they bask upon becoming invisible to all but the most discerning eye. Hiding out under juniper bushes like the rabbits do during the day, seeking tasty clover in the twilight hours minimizes the possibility of becoming a fox's dinner. Weasels turn white in the winter. Wearing a disguise that mimics snowfall probably fools many hungry owls. Remaining still helps deer and bear to remain undetected during a long arduous hunting season. The examples I could give are endless.
Here in the valley Ruffed Grouse still find refuge. They are one of the few animals that continue to inhabit this sanctuary that is surrounded by forests that have been harvested, or trashed in raw human hatred. Every spring the males drum from the exact same location in my woods. During the summer I flush grouse regularly when walking through my young forest. Sometimes in the woods I will surprise a mother with babies who uses the broken wing tactic to distract me as her little ones escape. This year, mama, a bird who knows me raised her brood just behind the fence in an old brush pile. She let her chicks peck away contentedly even as I passed by. By mid- summer she routinely led her little family through the yard and down to brook to bathe while hugging tall grasses.
Most impressive are the partridge who visit my yard each fall to feast on all the crabapple berries. This year I think I just have mama and papa, but I cannot be sure. Now that the mossy open area around the cabin is covered with slippery leathery brown leaves one of the partridges often struts across the lawn just before dawn. I can identify this one as a male because his neck feathers are a deeper russet color and his neck is thicker than that of the female but the differences are very subtle. I see the female pecking at the ground where berries have fallen from the only crabapple tree that still has some left. Mama's colors seem slightly less defined to me but this might be my imagination. Both blend in so well with their surroundings that if I didn't perceive slight movement I wouldn't know they were there. Yesterday the two partridge appeared together giving me a chance to study them together. What I immediately noticed is that the male puffed (!) out his chest, while the female kept pecking the leaves for tidbits. These two were so well camouflaged that I had trouble following their movements while trying to get pictures of the two! The grouse couple knew I was watching them and peered in the window even though I knew they couldn't see me because of the angle of the sun.
Aside from the fact that I love these birds I am so impressed by their ability to wear a ruffled feathery cloak of invisibility in plain sight!
The primary difference between the way animals and humans use camouflage is that the former use this strategy for survival, while humans rarely do; Instead humans use this tactic to communicate with one another, or to deceive. Words are often used to harm others without their knowledge and can be more deadly than the wound from any sword. The opposite of using the Power of the Word to harm is to remain Silent. These two deadly killers of relationship leave a person walking on air.
To lie to oneself or to others deliberately or through omission is another way that humans camouflage their intentions and motives. Righteous indignation, logic, false neutrality (everyone has an opinion), negotiation are ideological disguises that also use words to deceive; nothing is rarely what it seems. Betrayal lurks in the shadows… Humans are the ultimate tricksters. It is no wonder people dislike animals like coyotes that lurk in the shadows. We are looking into nature's mirror and nature never lies. Humans are unmasked!


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Pregled bibliografske jedinice broj: 849462
AB0460 Causes of Early and Late Death of Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus over A 10-Year Period
AB0460 Causes of Early and Late Death of Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus over A 10-Year Period // Annals of the rheumatic diseases, 75 (2016), suppl.2; 1063-1064 (recenziran, pregledni rad, znanstveni)
CROSBI ID: 849462 Za ispravke kontaktirajte CROSBI podršku putem web obrasca
AB0460 Causes of Early and Late Death of Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus over A 10-Year Period
Padjen, Ivan ; Erceg, Marijan ; Cerovec, Mislav ; Mayer, Miroslav ; Stevanović, Ranko ; Anić, Branimir
Annals of the rheumatic diseases (0003-4967) 75 (2016), Suppl.2; 1063-1064
Vrsta, podvrsta i kategorija rada
Radovi u časopisima, pregledni rad, znanstveni
Ključne riječi
causes of early and late death ; patients ; systemic lupus erythematosus
Background Causes of death (CODs) of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) comprise active SLE and comorbidities that develop as a result of SLE and immunosuppressive therapy: infections, cardiovascular disease and malignant tumors. Active disease and infections are typical causes of early death, while cardiovascular disease typically causes late death. However, COD frequencies depend on the source population and data ascertainment method. Objectives To identify and compare causes of early and late death of SLE patients deceased during a ten-year period. Methods We retrospectively identified SLE patients followed-up by our Department, deceased between 2002 and 2011, and included patients with ≥4 classification criteria of the American College of Rheumatology (ACR), ≥18 years of age and Croatian residency at the time of death. Death and causes of death were retrospectively identified using patient medical records, as well as death certificates and autopsy reports, when available. We also matched data on all SLE patients that visited our Department from 2002 to 2011 with the National Mortality Database. We classified CODs into five categories: active SLE, cardiovascular disease, infection, malignant tumor and other. More than one COD category was possible in a single patient. We compared the frequencies of each COD category between patients deceased within and after 5 years following diagnosis (early vs. late death). Frequencies were compared using the χ2 and Fisher's exact test, and continuous variables using the t-test and Mann-Whitney U test. The study was approved by the local ethics committee. Results We identified 90 deceased patients (68 females, 22 males ; 21 in the early death group (EDG), 69 in the late death group (LDG)). EDG patients were older than LDG patients at diagnosis (mean age±SD: 56±15 vs. 46±17 years ; p=0.005), but there was no difference between the age at death (mean age±SD: 58±15 years for all patients). Patients were followed-up for a median of 10 years (IQR: 5–15 years). LDG patients fulfilled a higher number of ACR criteria compared to EDG patients (median, IQR: 6, 5–7 vs. 5, 4–6 ; p=0.018). No difference between COD category frequencies was detected between EDG and LDG. Nevertheless, infections and active SLE were leading causes of early death (9/21 and 8/21, respectively), while cardiovascular disease was the most frequent cause of late death (30/69), followed by infection and active SLE (21/69 and 18/69, respectively)(Table). SLE was mentioned in the death-related medical records of only 41/90 patients. Conclusions Infections and active SLE are leading causes of early death, while cardiovascular disease is the most frequent cause of late death in SLE. Lack of recording of SLE in death-related medical records requires matching of clinical data with a complementary source, such as a population-based mortality database, to identify deceased SLE patients.
Izvorni jezik
Znanstvena područja
Javno zdravstvo i zdravstvena zaštita
Hrvatski zavod za javno zdravstvo,
Medicinski fakultet, Zagreb
Miroslav Mayer (autor)
Mislav Cerovec (autor)
Ivan Padjen (autor)
Branimir Anić (autor)
Ranko Stevanović (autor)
Marijan Erceg (autor)
Citiraj ovu publikaciju:
Časopis indeksira:
- Current Contents Connect (CCC)
- Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC)
- Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXP)
- SCI-EXP, SSCI i/ili A&HCI
- Scopus
Uključenost u ostale bibliografske baze podataka::


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Natalia Tukhareli defines bibliotherapy as "the practice of using books to help people cope with their mental, physical, developmental[,] or social problems. Together with other similar practices, such as art therapy, dance therapy, music therapy, and play therapy, bibliotherapy emphasizes the idea of the healing, consoling power of art through its various forms. Today, almost one hundred years since the term bibliotherapy was first introduced to therapists, bibliotherapy has been effectively implemented by a wide range of professionals, including librarians, teachers and social workers."
But how does bibliotherapy work? Tukhareli's definition, like most others, doesn't actually explain how books facilitate healing. Maybe writers think it's a given. Regardless, I'm gonna take some time to explain why I think there's "consoling power" in books, just so we're all on the same page.
As I wrote above, I love a good self-help book. Especially the cheesy pep-talk ones that tell me how special and perfect I am. And Gary Chapman's Five Love Languages? That book has had more of a lasting influence on me than any other book I've ever read.
This said, I don't find self-help books very helpful when I actually have a problem.For example, when I was experiencing some pretty extreme anxiety during my undergrad and was told by a doctor to read Jon Kabat-Zinn's The Mindful Way Through Depression, I found the text condescending and anger-inducing. And that accompanying CD with mindfulness exercises? It mocked me. Kabat-Zinn just didn't seem to get what I was experiencing.
I've reread The Mindful Way in a saner state of mind, and it's actually an alright book. But my anxiety-ridden self was so irrational that the book didn't speak to me then like it did when I was feeling a bit better. When I was feeling anxious, I didn't want someone to speak to me top-down. I just wanted someone to meet me where I was. I wanted to feel less alone in my sadness.
The School of Life operates a bibliotherapy program, where "you'll explore your relationship with books so far and be asked to explore new literary directions." Here's a video of the wonderful Alain de Botton explaining the program (sorry, WordPress won't let me embed this video into the post).
And, because I have a bit of a crush on Alain de Botton, here's another video of him describing the power of literature:
Although The School of Life's bibliotherapy program is more of a personalized recommendation service than a service to help you get through tough times, the bibliotherapists in charge recently published The Novel Cure: An A-Z of Literary Remedies, which is a beautiful book that screams Christmas gift. "This is a medical handbook – with a difference," The Novel Cure's introduction begins. "Our medicines are not something you'll find at the chemist, but at the bookshop, in the library, or downloaded onto your electronic reading device. We are bibliotherapists, and the tools of our trade are books. Our apothecary contains Balzacian balms and Tolstoyan tourniquets, the salves of Saramago and the purges of Perec and Proust." The book prescribes literature for every "ailment": Jonathan Franzen's The Corrections and Rohinton Mistry's Family Matters will be there for you when you're facing Aging Parents, Michel Faber's Under the Skin remedies Carnivorousness… And ever find yourself "determinedly ohasing [sic] after a woman even though she's a nun?" Michael Ondaatje's In the Skin of a Lion is for you. This book really does have something for everyone.
Bibliotherapy has been picking up a lot mainstream steam as of late. In the UK, for example, The Reading Agency, the Society of Chief Librarians, and The Association of Senior Children's and Education Librarians have just started their Reading Well for Young People campaign. This campaign aims to provide 13- to 18-year-olds with recommended reading lists that address things like bullying, school stress, and depression and self-harm. These reading lists are compiled under the guidance of mental health experts, who assert that the selected books can be prescribed by doctors, counsellors, and school nurses, and reading lists will soon be made available to public libraries. A list of some of the selected books is included in this article from The Guardian. A book called "Don't Let Emotions Run Your Life for Teens" is on there for those suffering from OCD, and High School Leah's favourite young-adult novel, Stephen Chbosky's The Perks of Being a Wallflower, is on there for anxiety. There are non-fiction and fiction books included for each issue, so teens can get various points of view. They can also read quite a few of the books in public without feeling the stigma one would inevitably encounter while reading a book called "Freaks, Geeks and Asperger Syndrome: A User's Guide to Adolescence" on the bus.
Want to get a taste of bibliotherapy for yourself? Check out LitTherapy, which doles out solid prescriptions. And, if you find yourself getting stoked about this kind of time, you can get "certified" as a biblio/poetry therapist through the International Federation for Bibilo/Poetry Therapy, although I can't guarantee that there's anyone out there who will take your certification seriously.
Just want to learn more about bibliotherapy? The Reader has tons of detailed and readable reports, including an especially interesting report on how reading groups have been used to support people with dementia. Canada's National Reading Campaign also has a bunch of reports available, covering a wide range of topics. Canada is also home to the Canadian Applied Literature Association, which facilitates research that explores literature and stories as means for therapy, pedagogy, and activism.
I don't think bibliotherapy is going to go away any time soon. With more and more people looking for alternative health options (e.g. hot yogis and those anti-vaccinators), bibliotherapy seems to fit nicely into the current cultural climate. So why not give it a try? A new book is cheaper than a pair of lululemon pants.


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It looks like the UFC and Dana White are going to boulder through with their plans by continuing to schedule events starting in May with UFC 249. They announced three events within a week time span to make up for some of the postponed events through March and April. They also still promised that they maintain the same number of events they committed to at the beginning of the year.
Now I miss fights just as much as the next person, but I can be realistic and consider all the implications and consequences that come with hosting a combat sport in the middle of a pandemic. This will be a two-part article, this one being why bringing back the UFC is wrong, and the next why it is a good idea just to play devils advocate. So, lets get started!
Why bringing back the UFC is wrong?
1. Weakened Immune Systems:
One of the most controversial topics in the entire sport, weight cutting, is a big red flag to compete during these difficult times. Weight cutting has been documented as a dangerous and unhealthy practice. Despite this, it has been an accepted norm in the sport. Now more than ever is it riskier because of the Covid-19.
It has been discovered that the virus more strongly effects those who are immunocompromised. When weight cutting for a fight, these athletes endure extreme dehydration for many days before the fight. These practices leave the fighters immune systems weakened and vulnerable to the virus should they get in contact with someone infected. Should they display any symptoms would they then go into the fight compromised, and not be able to perform to the best of their abilities? That would be a dangerous state to be in for a professional fight increasing the likelihood of passing it on. Or would the UFC do the right thing and cancel the fight?
2. Poor Testing:
Dana White promises that the company will employ the best testing and the best doctors available For UFC 249. The problem with this is that UFC does not have access to FDA and government approved Corona Virus testing kits. Those of which which often time takes a few days to get the results back. Those are obviously reserved for hospitals and medical centres instead of sporting events.
The tests that the UFC will be able to administer are from private companies who admit that they should not be taken as official results. It is more so used for people to have piece of mind and an indicator of their health. Many celebrities including Joe Rogan are facing controversy for being able to access tests while regular working-class people are unable to. These are the tests celebrities have access to, not the official ones. Yes, the fighters will have piece of mind, but the tests are not 100% accurate and full proof. That is excluding the chance of someone testing positive. Will the fighter continue to compete? What about everyone they got in contact with? These are questions that the UFC has not yet addressed.
3. Medical Professionals:
Any sport would have medical professionals on hand just in case anything happens. That is truer than ever for a mixed martial art even. The issue here is that front-line staff workers would be better suited to serve the community and people who are sick rather than supervising a UFC event. There are lots of waiting times for patients who are looking to see a doctor for advice and support. With doctors and medical professionals preoccupied at a UFC event, that means there are less people available to see patients.
4. Against All Prevention Recommendations:
All the messaging that we have received from medical professionals and the government and recommended that people stay home. By hosting an event the UFC staff, cornermen, cut men, fighters, and more will have to fly from all over America to Florida. Traveling and taking flights is highly discouraged during this time. It also appears that Florida has one of the most relaxed rules and restrictions out of all the states. That means they may get in contact with someone or something infected while going from the airport to the hotel and arena.
It is also highly recommended to socially distant from other individuals by six feet if people must leave their homes. Doing so is literally impossible while hosting a professional fight. There is no guarantee that every individual involved in the event will have the correct personal protection equipment such as gloves and face masks while interacting with each other. For some individuals it this is more dangerous than others. People like the cornermen, cut men, and especially the fighters run the risk of transferring bodily fluids like blood and sweat.
5. Poor Taste:
The UFC was very close to pulling off UFC 249 on April 18th. They were going to run the event at the Tachi Palace which is part of the Native American reserve. They would not be subject to the shutdown that the state of California imposed. It was only after the Governor of California, Gavin Newsom, as well as the executives at ESPN and the parent company Disney asked Dana White and the UFC not to move forward with it.
There is an inherent liability involved in staging a sporting event during this pandemic. Especially considering that people are litigious in America. Should someone contract the virus, the UFC would inevitably face a lawsuit claiming that the company understood that there was a highly contagious virus and despite this wanted to move forward with the event. This would signify that peoples lives are worth less than the amount income they would have generated. That is why it is in poor taste to carry through with UFC 249. No other sporting organization like the NBA, MLB, NHL, and MLS is continuing their seasons and leagues. They all understand the importance of everyone's health. They will all get back to work when it is deemed safe to do so.
Here are five reasons why bringing back the UFC is wrong. I miss watching fights and the entertainment from sports, but it is important that the health of the athletes and everyone involved is a top priority. Only after this virus is under better control should sports resume. I will also post another article why the UFC should be back. In the meantime, please let me know what you think, leave your comments and opinions below!


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MV Giamani
Discover the southern and beautiful Islands on board of MV Giamani. Dive the amazing dive sites around Hin Daeng, Hin Muang as well as the best dive spots around the Phi Phi Islands
For those who have not so much time but like to experience a liveaboard safari around some exotic islands and enjoying the amazing underwater world of the southern part of the Andaman Sea incl. the dive sites Phi Phi Island, Hin Daeng, Hin Muang etc. this trip is for you.
Cruise for 3 days on board of the liveaboard vessel MV Giamani around stunning scenery, visit powder white beaches of Phi Phi / Ko Haa and for some of the most spectacular diving in the region at Hin Daneg and Hin Muang.
The safari includes 7 dives over 2 days including dives on the coral covered red & purple Rocks of Hin Muang & Hin Daeng, at the stunning limestone islands of Ko Haa with its breathtaking beauty of 'The Cathedral" or 'The Chimney', as well as dives around Ko Phi Phi, Shark Point and Ko Doc Mai!
Day 1: departure day – every Friday
- Around 17.30 - 18.30 hrs (05.30 – 06.30 pm) pick up guests from hotels or airport around Phuket and Phuket Airport. Transfer to the pier in Chalong.
- Around 19.00 - 20.00 hrs (07.00 - 08.00 pm) When all the guests boarding
MV Giamani. Listen to a welcome briefing and meet your crew. Departure for Ko Haa while enjoing your first dinner onboard around 20.00 hrs (08.00 pm)
Day 2: Ko Haa / Hin Daeng / Hin Muang
Wake up at the morning early for your all inclusive dive and safety briefing. Start your southern island experience with a check out dive at the beautiful islands of Ko Haa followed by two dives around the underwater mountains of Hin Daeng and Hin Muang. We leave the afternoon quite open to be flexible for your last dive. Depending on the weather and sea condition and the number of 'big fish' will determine your last dive for the day. Either we stay around Hin Daeng / Hin Muang or cruising back to Ko Haa for either a sunset or night dive. After the last dive MV Giamani will do a short cruise to Phi Phi Island while you have dinner with an overnight stay at one of the secluded bays. Enjoy your evening by relaxing, watching a movie or read a book. It is also time to fill your logbook or simply have a few beers and enjoy the company of your fellow divers. (total of 4 dives)
Day 3: Phi Phi Island
You will begin your final day on board of MV Giamani do either two dives at Koh Bida Nok or Koh Bida Nai at the south end of the Phi Phi Island chain. Cruise slowly towards Phuket with a dive stop at the famous dive site of Shark Point with its glorious soft coral encrusted. Your last dive will be at Koh Doc Mai a huge rock which walls are covered underwater with beautiful macro. After the final dive MV Giamani will continue cruising back to Phuket, while your pack your dive gear, logging your dives or just have another relaxing drink on board with your new friends. You will arrive around 16.00 hrs (04.00 pm) and continue with a transfer to your hotel. (Total of 3 dives) Or if you continuing for the Similan Island Cruise you will have now time to explore Chalong Bay or chilling out on the boat until departure.
Remark: Why not covering the south as well as the famous SIMILAN Island, just by combining the 5 days cruise of MV Giamani to an amazing 7 days / 6 nights cruise. Click here for more detailed information.
Note: Schedule and Itinerary depending on the weather conditions and the discretion of the Cruise Director and Captain and depends on currents, dive sites activities, light, objective, sailing times etc. The spots are possible, but not guaranteed.
Prices included:
Transfers to and from MV Giamani within Phuket Island, full board accommodation, all meals served onboard including snacks, softdrinks, drinking water, tea, towels, dinghy for onshore exploration and pick ups, tanks, weights and weight belts, professional Tour leader, Divemaster and Instructor, torch for the night dive, total of 7 dives.
Prices not included:
Any international or domestic airfare, National Marine Park fee* (payable on board), rental diving equipment, Nitrox, PADI / SSI Diving courses, alcoholic beverages, Tip, diving or travel insurance (see note below)
Please book in advance if you need to rent a diving computer or underwater camera.
* Southern Island Marine National Park Fees
Normally there are no payments apply. Just keep in mind that these dive destinations belong to a Marine National Park. Therefore at can be happen that Park Rangers are coming along the vessel to collect Marine National park fee.
Fees are: 400 Baht for entry fee (divers and non-divers) plus...200 Baht per diver per day
Please note that the National Park Fee is set by the National Park and is subject to change without notice.
Other services:
Wine per glass 100 THB, Beer 70 THB,
Nitrox tank 300 THB per tank ask for your personel nitrox package
Rental dive gear 800 THB per full set/day
dive computer 300 THB per day
Tourch for night dive get charged at 100THB per dive
Charter: MV Giamani is also available for liveaboard charter; please contact us for more details to make your scuba vacation special for you and your friends.
Travel- & Medical Insurance
Travel Insurance including medical repatriation insurance is mandatory on all our trips. Therefore, we strongly recommend to our guests to make sure to purchase suitable insurance package, which covers all kind of traveling problems, such as lost of luggage, any kind of cancellation of airlines or tours…….. for the value for all the length of your trip. All our tours are including local accident insurance via the operator, but they are most of the time not European standard. Make sure that it covers all the activities that you are likely to undertake, such as rafting, scuba diving, cycling, cruises, trekking etc. Many 'free' insurances that come with banking packages, credit cards etc., are quite inadequate to cover you, so make sure you check the policy before your travel. You are required to give a copy of your insurance policy to your tour leader upon arrival. Without proper insurance like this, we will not be allowed to join the tour as we will not able to respond adequately in case an emergency if you do not have the right insurance. Please also contact your doctor for further preparations regarding to your chosen travel destination including immunizations.
For those who are still looking for a good Travel-, Medical- & Scuba Diving Insurance with a worldwide coverage. Just visit our different Insurance Package.
No matter from which country you are, just follow the above link and get your insurance package. Buy, extend, and claim online, from anywhere in the world, even while you away from home and already on the way.
Note: Please note that a private travel insurance is mandatory on all our packages / excursions/tours.
Price is quoted per person and subject to change without prior notice


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Webhooks notify and help you collect information about the key events that happen in your Crowdin project, like completed translations or proofreading. After you configure a webhook for the project, Crowdin will start sending POST or GET requests with data to the webhook URL via HTTP.
Only owners and project managers can register a webhook.
You can add webhooks to build integrations with the services or with your backend. For example:
You can configure webhooks for the following types of events:
Visit Webhooks acticle on Crowdin Developer Portal.
To configure webhooks in Crowdin, open your project and go to Integrations > Webhooks. Click Add Webhook to start configuring your new webhook.
You will need to provide the following information to register a webhook:
When adding a webhook, click Test to see how your application will react to that call.
Depending on your approach to webhooks management, you might need to add dedicated Crowdin IP addresses to your firewall to allow Crowdin to open the pre-configured webhook URLs.
Read more about IP Addresses.
You can access the list of all existing webhooks within a specific project. You will be able to edit or delete webhooks right from the list of webhooks displayed.
In the Calls History section you can see the list of calls of all webhooks that were added in the project. Use the filter to view all or only unsuccessful webhook notifications.
Need help working with Webhooks or have any questions? Contact Support Team.


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How many miles in 1 kind?
The answer is 0.00031068559611867.
We assume you are converting between mile and kind.
You can view more details on each measurement unit:
miles or kind
The SI base unit for length is the metre.
1 metre is equal to 0.00062137119223733 miles, or 2 kind.
Note that rounding errors may occur, so always check the results.
Use this page to learn how to convert between miles and kind.
Type in your own numbers in the form to convert the units!
1 miles to kind = 3218.688 kind
2 miles to kind = 6437.376 kind
3 miles to kind = 9656.064 kind
4 miles to kind = 12874.752 kind
5 miles to kind = 16093.44 kind
6 miles to kind = 19312.128 kind
7 miles to kind = 22530.816 kind
8 miles to kind = 25749.504 kind
9 miles to kind = 28968.192 kind
10 miles to kind = 32186.88 kind
You can do the reverse unit conversion from kind to miles, or enter any two units below:
miles to handbreadth
miles to picometer
miles to kilofoot
miles to t'sun
miles to cape inch
miles to gnat's eye
miles to stadium
miles to seemeile
miles to perch
miles to shaftment
A mile is any of several units of distance, or, in physics terminology, of length. Today, one mile is mainly equal to about 1609 m on land and 1852 m at sea and in the air, but see below for the details. The abbreviation for mile is 'mi'. There are more specific definitions of 'mile' such as the metric mile, statute mile, nautical mile, and survey mile. On this site, we assume that if you only specify 'mile' you want the statute mile.
ConvertUnits.com provides an online conversion calculator for all types of measurement units. You can find metric conversion tables for SI units, as well as English units, currency, and other data. Type in unit symbols, abbreviations, or full names for units of length, area, mass, pressure, and other types. Examples include mm, inch, 100 kg, US fluid ounce, 6'3", 10 stone 4, cubic cm, metres squared, grams, moles, feet per second, and many more!


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There is another FREE SAMPLE offer for Milk-Bone Trail Mix Dog Snacks! Even if you requested the first free sample, you can grab another one! I think this doggie trail mix is just too cute!!! I hope my Scruffy likes it. How can he not?
FREE SAMPLE #2 Milk-Bone Trail Mix Dog Snacks via That Freebie Site
Here is the first free sample offer. If you didn't request it before, I think you still can!
FREE SAMPLE #1 Milk-Bone Trail Mix Dog Snacks via That Freebie Site
BE COOL -> Subscribe to my Youtube channel


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By submitting this form, you agree to receive recurring automated promotional and personalized marketing text messages (e.g. cart reminders) from Mechanic Superstore at the cell number used when signing up. Consent is not a condition of any purchase. Reply HELP for help and STOP to cancel. Msg frequency varies. Msg data and rates may apply.
Although not as popular as 2 post lifts, 4 post car lifts are still your best option when it comes to jobs that require an extra layer of safety. The reason is simple, 4-post lifts also known as wheel contact or "drive-on" lifts, raise the vehicle without compromising its center of gravity. In other words, for a vehicle to fall from a 4 post lift is extremely difficult.
However, that is far from the only reason to consider purchasing this type of cars lift.
In theory, 2 post lifts require a certified technician with adequate skills to position the vehicle in order to raise it in a safe manner. On the other hand, almost anyone can use a four-post lift. The runways of the 4 post automotive lifts allow the operator to drive the car onto the lift (usually in a single maneuver) and then start working immediately. There is no need to triple-check that the vehicle's center of gravity is correctly positioned or ensure that the vehicle is being lifted evenly.
Not convinced yet? Let's review a few additional benefits exclusive to four-post car lifts
Have doubts? Not sure about what type of lift is right for your shop? Kindly contact us, at Mechanic Superstore our friendly staff will be more than happy to assist you through the process of selecting a 4 post car lift that fits your needs.


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Homepage › Forums › NJ BMX Racing › NJ Racing old › New Rider at HCBMX › Reply To: New Rider at HCBMX
May 31, 2006 at 11:38 am #31127
does anyone know if high gear cycle bought out millburn bicycles? my son said he went by there the other day and they had a new sign outside. just wondering if its the same owners as the one in sterling.
we could sure use more bmx-minded shops up here in north jersey…
good luck to your son as he starts his long journey( hopefully) enjoying the sport of bmx racing…. im sure he will love it as much as many of our kids have…once you try it you are usually hooked!


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Celebrating Lunar New Year! FREE SHIPPING on orders over $188 pre-tax
Models (N - Z)
The long-awaited HPA version of the CZ Scorpion EVO 3A1. The HPA version is a milestone for not only for being the first HPA manufactured by ASG, but also being the first licensed HPA Airsoft gun to be released.
The HPA CZ Scorpion EVO 3A1 features all the same functions as the AEG version. While maintaining "empty mag detection", Single/3rd burst/Full Auto, superior range and high grade polymer construction - the HPA Version also offers new features like programmable ROF (15rd-30rd per sec), programmable Burst (2rd-7rd) and programmable valve dwell time.
The HPA version still offers the very best in realistic handling and weapons manipulation. The HPA CZ Scorpion EVO 3A1 is powered by Wolverine Inferno Gen 2, specifically built for the EVO. The HPA version comes standard with 70° ULTIMATE bucking to give you the best range and consistency when putting rounds down range.
• Wolverine powered - Inferno Gen 2 engine
• Easy velocity change
• Empty magazine detection
• 4-position fire selector with custom settings
• CNC machined parts
• Made in Denmark
• Comes with Orange Tip.
HPA tank and regulator not included with the gun.
Must be 18+ to purchase


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The Ohio board of education has taken a definitive step toward eliminating a requirement that districts hire a minimum number of educators in areas such as art, library, and gym.
The change has drawn criticism from some teachers, who fear it would allow districts to cut such jobs at the elementary level and in urban districts, especially when school boards are faced with financial constraints, according to local news media.
State board members who support the change—which is subject to a final vote in March—say they are not eliminating the positions but merely giving districts more flexibility by leaving those staffing decisions up to them.
A version of this article appeared in the January 07, 2015 edition of Education Week as Ohio to Give Districts Say Over Specialty Teachers