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I couldn't help but think of Erfworld while reading this article.
Kreistor wrote:*shakes head*
So many people don't understand how the insurgent strategy works. They think that since their strategy works, the larger force must be stupid or incompetent. Well, first, let's start with that small force. Does it take only cunning to win? Absolutely not.
Kreistor wrote:*shakes head*
So many people don't understand how the insurgent strategy works. They think that since their strategy works, the larger force must be stupid or incompetent. Well, first, let's start with that small force. Does it take only cunning to win? Absolutely not.
1. Supplies. Without 'em, you starve.
2. Local support. If the locals don't assist you, they turn you in, and you have to keep movnig. Wihtout time, you can't plan, and all you can do is run until you can run no further.
3. Money. Closely related to supplies, but this comes down to maintaining 2 without stealing from the locals.
4. Access to munitions. This is the big thing that caused the US to succeed in Afganistan where the USSR failed. The US provided weapons to the mujahadeen during the 80's. In the US invasion, no one is doing the same, except in extremely limited form, so casualties are much, much lower.
Now, how does it all work? The insurgents hide, protected by a sympathetic populace. They find a target weaker than themselves and attack it. They then flee from the larger force that tries to hunt them down until it gives up. They then return, re-arm, and attack again.
Is there a solution? Yes. It's nasty. You won't like it. But when faced with a funded enemy with local support, there is only one solution. Destroy the local support. Outright annihilation of everyone, or at least until the locals realize that they either stop helping willingly, or they die and stop helping. It does work, if the larger force has the conviction to go through with it.
Oh, right... one other solution. Go to war with whomever is funding your insurgent enemy. Win and then go after the unfunded insurgency. Yeah, just as attractive, eh? A big war to stop a little war.
Is there any other solution? Well, there was one that worked for the Brits, but I'm not convinced it would work in all cases, especially where there are religious links between the populace and the insurgency. In one colony faced with insurgency in the 60's (I forget the name, sorry), they sent in the SAS. The SAS befriended the locals, providing food, medicine, etc., making life better. They kept all fighting away from the villages. Eventually, the local support was undermined, and the insurgency had no safe place to hide, so it was beaten. But, note, that took a long, long time. It was not a quick fix, and there was no political pressure from London to fix it immediately. Too often, the insurgents are causing massive damage creating a political will in the victimized peoples to suffer losses in a war. So the response is war, because politicos give people what they want. But the insurgency can counter this, too, if they lack morality. There are stories of Viet Cong cutting off the arms of any child inoculated by US forces. Fearing the insurgency can cause the locals to help out of fear, instead of sympathy.
The problem, ultimately, is not one of "talent" or "cunning" or "smartness". It's a problem of morality. An insurgent enemy is often immoral in the execution of their activities, including violations of the Geneva Convention such as hiding among civilians in civilian clothing, endangering civilians, and so on. The larger nation, however, is restricted by mandates of morality, and so are inherently hamstrung in how they can fight. This creates rules that the insurgents can abuse. Technically, the Geneva Convention need only be followed by a signatory when fighting another signatory, so in fighting an insurgency that has not signed the Convention, larger nations are not legally hamstrung: it is political hamstringing, placed there by a moral people that want to believe that morality will defeat immorality, so despite the Geneva Convention's lack of applicability, it is followed anyway.
You can look at it as stupidity if you want, but you're wrong. It's a problem inherent in the system of rules by which we limit the activities of our fighting forces. We cause our soldiers to die by asking them to be moral. When fighting an enemy that is reasonably moral, it works out okay. But against an immoral enemy, we suffer losses. That doesn't make our enemy smart, it makes our enemy immoral.
malekith wrote:agreed.
The thing is. Many goliaths don't see that.
Mainly through arrogance and pride than ignorance, but sometimes it's just they don't see.
The majority of the time though the Goliath will think that either they're better and should be able to get rid of these insurgents like ants, or they can't bear to loose money over it - they think that a quick dealing is a cheap one and they dont like being tied down.
examples include Vietnam that i'm surprised no one's mentioned yet and the horrible downturn that the Iraq invasion took after America got it's hand stuck in the cookie jar so to speak.
In Vietnam the Americans apparently 'helped' the south vietnamese and yet they couldn't bear to get drawn into a long proxy war so they tried conventional methods and tried to do it quickly. Yet it crashed and burned and cost them millions per VC soldier they killed. Now if they could bear the cost of a longer pressure campaign then they might have stood a chance and it would have cost a lot less in the long run. But in fairness the local population were very much pro-Communism and not just because the americans were conducting zippo raids and massacres (the communist dictators improved the Russian economy phenominally compared to the Tsars and it wasn't all repression and police state). And another idea to consider is that this kind of warfare was still very new if not completely new when it came to 'nam.
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Revelers celebrate all things Irish at the Beethoven Maennechor on Saturday night, March 16.
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February 8 2013 | WMFE - A group of Florida lawmakers says a measure passed in 2011 to let counties operate their own juvenile justice centers isn't working. The legislators say the facilities need more oversight from the State Department of Juvenile Justice.
The 2011 law was intended to help counties work more efficiently by letting them create their own standards for operating their juvenile justice centers. A number of counties have done so, and in some places it's worked out, but David Utter, with the Southern Poverty Law Center says in other places, such as Polk County, that's not the case.
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This past Sunday the music and TV industries, politicians, athletes and trendsetting celebrities came to support and show their love for Tip at the first annual "A King of Oneself" brunch, presented by men's lifestyle fashion brand AKOO Clothing and Grand Hustle Entertainment. The exclusive, grand affair was held at The Mansion in Atlanta and was filled with T.I.'s 150 closest personal friends and family.
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Life and death at SF General as everyone's hospital moves into an uncertain period, BART's new policy of rousing vagrants, MEX I AM's latin sounds hit Yerba Bunea Center, and Wolrd War I Films blow up the screen at PFA. Articles Online | Digital Edition
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Budos Band - If you ever hear someone say they find instrumental music boring, all you need to do is point them in the direction of the Budos Band, a 10- to 13-member (depending on the year) Afro-soul group that collectively, with its energetic meanderings through jazz and deep-pocket funk with just the right smattering of British invasion pop-sweetness, commands more attention on stage than many a lead singer I've seen. Daptone Records labelmate Sharon Jones is having a banner year — and with the Budos' first album since 2010, Burnt Offering, due out Oct. 21, we imagine the record company is too. Head to the Independent prepared to get sweaty. 8pm, $25. The Independent, 628 Divisadero, SF. www.theindependentsf.com
CAM & Co. Productions' Spring Awakening -- Once a high school theater kid, always a high school theater kid. After receiving their hard-earned diplomas from San Francisco's School of the Arts, some of the city's most talented teens realized they couldn't abandon the pool of talent at the school. So instead of embracing the idea of a deadbeat summer before college, the members created their own production company. Their conception of Spring Awakening is financed through an online fundraiser they created, and is completely driven by efforts from School of the Arts family members. Through Sat/26. 7:30pm, $20. Phoenix Theatre, 414 Mason, SF. www.phoenixtheatresf.org
RAWdance - With a decade of distinguished work behind the company, RAWdance has every reason to celebrate. Ryan T. Smith and Wendy Rein collaborations draw you in with the integrity of a highly structural approach that yet yields works that resonate emotionally. Their newest piece seems tailor-made to the kind of intelligence that they bring to their work. Turing's Apple explores both the genius of the British scientist Alan Turing and his tragedy when he came out as a gay man. It will be joined by the final version of Burns, which the choreographers describe as Rorschach-test driven and film noir-inspired. Fri/25-Sat/26, 8pm; Sun/27, 7pm. $25-30. Z Space, 450 Florida, SF. www.zspace.org
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Boyhood - Believe the hype: Richard Linklater's Boyhood is one of the best films of the year. The director filmed his cast — including titular youth Ellar Coltrane, Lorelai Linklater as his older sister, and Patricia Arquette and Ethan Hawke as his divorced parents, on and off over 12 years — with scenes touching on moments both monumental (high-tension moments with ugly stepfathers) and microscopic (the creation of a perfect campfire s'more). The years flow by, signaled not by any obvious gestures like on-screen text, but by changing hairstyles, pop culture references, and evolving video-game consoles. Watching Coltrane's Mason grow from arrowhead-obsessed tyke to thoughtful college freshman is a rare and remarkable pleasure. Albany, Embarcadero, Piedmont, Smith Rafael, Sundance Kabuki.
Land Ho! - "Ex-brothers-in-law set off on a road trip through Iceland, hoping to reclaim their youth" — that's the studio-supplied elevator description that does accurately describe Land Ho!, but the film is about so much more than that. Jocular Mitch (Earl Lynn Nelson) is fond of inappropriate jokes, smoking weed, and pushing boundaries, while more reserved Colin (Paul Eenhoorn) is dealing with a recent divorce after enduring the death of his first wife. A spontaneous trip to Iceland, funded by Mitch (who's going through a senior-life crisis of sorts), takes the pair to Reykjavik dance clubs, spectacular geysers, hot springs, and lonely rolling moors, all the while bantering about life and love. Without really innovating on the road-movie genre, writer-directors Martha Stephens and Aaron Katz manage to avoid any cute-geezer clichés. Embarcadero, Smith Rafael.
Hundred Waters Hundred Waters are signed to Skrillex's OWSLA label, but don't expect big bass drops from this Florida crew. Rather, they trade in a "digital folk" style that offers an intriguing rural perspective to the retro-futuristic conversation currently taking place in underground electronic circles. Birds chirp in unison with drum machines; Blade Runner synths support Tolkienesque fantasias. At the front of it all is Nicole Miglis, a one-woman choir whose voice seems as perpetually omnipresent as the sun and the sky. 8pm, $14. Independent, 628 Divisadero, SF. www.theindependentsf.com
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Semifinals and final highlights at the Quiksilver Pro Goldcoast 2013
This is the image of Parko flicking Kelly the bird is already coming to define the comp. It was Kelly's priority so he did what all good competitors would. ... "Don't drop-in on locals, @joelparko? Quit f-ing paddling around everybody all the time!" Said Kelly on Instagram when he saw this image.© 2014 ASP/Carey
But I'm still the f-ing champ© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Kelly wanted to surf Kirra for this reason© 2014 ASP/Carey
Kelly said he was happy for Parko to win the World Championship last year... And Parko's presumably just as happy to lose to Kelly at his home break.© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Kelly and the Caroll celebrate another win for the king© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Fanning came in a respectable third. "It's a tough way to go out but you can't be too upset when you put together a heat like that."© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Parko board change thanks Kirra's caress© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Kirra was open wide for business as Kelly and co discovered.© 2014 ASP/Robertson
"It was such a hard heat against Parko." Bourez said. "He's a local and he got a 10 on his first wave. It was kind of embarrassing for me as I was waiting and sitting out there for too long and Joel was able to catch a lot of waves.
The crowd are a bit keen on surfing here, Kirra offers a unique vantage point as generally it's better watching surfing on the net.© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Mick Fanning and Kely Slater backstage tactical discussion on fluid dynamics© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Mick Fanning and Kely Slater backstage tactical discussion on fluid dynamics lecture II© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Joel Parkinson deep on the way to a 10© 2014 ASP/Will H-S
Mick Fanning© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Parko man gaff© 2014 ASP/Will H-S
Kelly on the way in to the chair© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Dane was still hanging around at this spono's event© 2014 ASP/Will H-S
Kelly putting all that media training to good use© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Kirra lineup© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Kelly and the lady do a selfie© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Kelly Slater tunning through foam and sand© 2014 ASP/Will H-S
Bourez shacked© 2014 ASP/Will H-S
Slater one of many© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Is that a bird, is it a plane? No it's Kelly Slater© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
He loves the crowd, they love him right back© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Yep I am the man© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
Kirra loving from Parko to Kelly© 2014 ASP/Kirstin
HE says he's talking the season seriously, he's won the opening event of the year and Parko is the runner-up. This isn't 2005, or even the last hurrah of the old guard in 2012 - another year dawns with the old guard dominating another generation of youngsters.
If you didn't get what we meant. Kelly Slater has won the 2013 Quiksilver Pro Gold Coast in pumping Kirra barrels over Joel Parkinson, Mick Fanning came in 3rd, Michel Bourez 4th and Taj Burrow in 5th. It's sad and ligament-tearingly ironic that the young pretenders (John John and Medina) have been laid low by tender crunched ankles, a direct result of landing the moves which set them apart from the rest. Kelly, for all his concerns over old injuries hampering his surfing he is the one planted on the top step of the podium.
They're all important but it's nice to get off to a good start. The three top seeds: Joel, myself and Mick all finished in the top three spots Kelly Slater
"It was just fun today," Slater said. "I really wanted to surf Kirra as I made known the other day and it was great fun out there. We thought the swell was going to be too East, but it's really really good out there and to get to surf it with Joel (Parkinson) is even better. He's one of the best and we had a lot of fun out there."
Today win marks Slater's 52nd elite tour victory of his career, but the iconic Floridian admits that it's a long season ahead in terms of the hunt for the 2013 title.
"They're all important but it's nice to get off to a good start," Slater said. "The three top seeds – Joel, myself and Mick all finished in the top three spots and Michel (Bourez) had a great event too. Momentum shifts throughout each season and a lot can happen. It's probably the most talented field that has ever been on tour and there are nine more events. I'm committed to the tour this season."
A big part of the story of the contest was the loaded forecast amidst shifting sandbanks, which made contest director Jake Paterson's job much harder than it could have been. We know from our own experiences from working on WCT events that each contest brings its own challenges. Jake was really up against it from day one as the forecast threatened and did deliver the best conditions right at the very end of the ten day waiting period. Tomorrow, Thursday, March 14th, will be even better than today as the swell really fills in but the waiting period is up.
"It was a tough week for Jake Patterson." Said Kelly "Making the calls on when and where to surf, he's got all of us in his ear. Being on the other side of it he now realises how hard it is to be a contest director. But coming down to the last day and we get Kirra. It was epic."
Coming down to the last day and we get Kirra. It was epic. Kelly Slater
Forecast uncertainty is an event director's greatest headache. Nothing is 100% guaranteed when forecasting a swell here due to the spot's limited fetch and especially this week all decisions were shadowed by the unpredictability of Cyclone Sandra to the north. This sort of uncertainty makes every decision difficult, passing up average but guaranteed waves in the 'now' for potentially better better ones in the future takes courage. Add in the much-reported sand issues on the famous Coolangatta points and you have a big test on your hands. We weren't involved in the forecasting but it was really pleasing to see the event, Jake and the surfers get the conditions they deserved for the final rounds.
Parkinson looked unbeatable in his first heat, collecting a perfect 10 in his morning semi before posting an excellent 17.47 in his against Slater. However, the impressive scoreline would prove insufficient against the American's onslaught and the reigning ASP World Champion would post a runner-up finish in the opening event of the year.
"When Kirra is doing what it's doing out there today, it doesn't feel like an event," Parkinson said. "I had some great waves and a lot of fun, and to get to do it with the singlet on is icing on the cake. I appreciate all the local support out here today and it is a good start to the season. Bring on Bells."
Mick Fanning went down in a barrel shootout this morning with Slater. Despite opening up with an impressive scoreline and an early lead, the Kirra local would ultimately fall to Slater in the dying moments of the heat.
"It's a tough way to go out but you can't be too upset when you put together a heat like that," Fanning said. "I had a really good start and put in some solid scores. Kelly (Slater) just did his 'Kelly Thing' and got that incredible 10 and really put himself back in the hunt. Shame I couldn't get to the Final with Joel (Parkinson), but it's a good start to the year so I'll refocus and get ready for Bells."
Michel Bourez had a tough one against Joel. "It was such a hard heat against Parko." Bourez said. "He's a local and he got a 10 on his first wave. It was kind of embarrassing for me as I was waiting and sitting out there for too long and Joel was able to catch a lot of waves. It's alright though. It's my best result at this event. I feel great, my boards are going well and I can't wait for Bells."
The next stop on the 2013 Tour will be the Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach presented by Ford from March 27 – April 7, 2013. Want to watch any of these heats? Hit the heat review button.
1 – Kelly Slater (USA) 18.56
2 – Joel Parkinson (AUS) 17.47
SF 1: Joel Parkinson (AUS) 18.17 def. Michel Bourez (PYF) 15.80
SF 2: Kelly Slater (USA) 19.37 def. Mick Fanning (AUS) 18.60
1. Kelly Slater (USA) 10000 pts
2. Joel Parkinson (AUS) 8000 pts
3. Mick Fanning (AUS) 6500 pts
3. Michel Bourez (PYF) 6500 pts
5. Taj Burrow (AUS) 5200 pts
5. Julian Wilson (AUS) 5200 pts
5. Bede Durbidge (AUS) 5200 pts
5. Matt Wilkinson (AUS) 5200 pts
Alvaro Malpartida's WQS victory at the fierce Chilean wave
Drone footage of body surfers at the Wedge, Newport Beach, California
Tracking the development of the Bertha storm system as it approaches the US East Coast
Guillermo Cobo flying high at home in the Canaries
An edit comprised of clips from Hawaii
Photo Gallery of the goods on offer in southern Sumatra over the weekend


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The deadline to renew tax credits is fast approaching and if you do not complete the forms and return them the HMRC by 31 July you risk losing them entirely, ACCA (the Association of Chartered Certified Accountants) is warning today.
Chas Roy-Chowdhury, ACCA head of taxation said: 'At a time of reduced disposable income for many families tax credits are important for keeping the household finances in order. It's a relatively simple process to complete your tax credits form but if you don't do it, you could end up losing them.
'You must notify HMRC of any changes in circumstances that may affect any monies you receive. The taxman will take a very dim view if they discover your circumstances have changed but you haven't informed them. In extreme circumstances they could decide to prosecute.'
If you are unsure about the information you are submitting you should either speak to HMRC or visit an ACCA accountant. It is important that you get the form right, any mistake could lead to the wrong, or no tax credits being paid.
Visit HMRC's website, via the 'Related Links' section left of this article, for more information.
- Ends -
For more information, please contact:
Ray Allger, ACCA UK Newsroom
+ 44 (0)20 7059 5788
+44 (0) 7540 919 819
Notes to Editors
- ACCA (the Association of Chartered Certified Accountants) is the global body for professional accountants. We aim to offer business-relevant, first-choice qualifications to people of application, ability and ambition around the world who seek a rewarding career in accountancy, finance and management.
- We support our 162,000 members and 426,000 students in 170 countries, helping them to develop successful careers in accounting and business, with the skills required by employers. We work through a network of over 89 offices and centres and more than 8,500 Approved Employers worldwide, who provide high standards of employee learning and development. Through our public interest remit, we promote appropriate regulation of accounting and conduct relevant research to ensure accountancy continues to grow in reputation and influence.
- Founded in 1904, ACCA has consistently held unique core values: opportunity, diversity, innovation, integrity and accountability. We believe that accountants bring value to economies in all stages of development and seek to develop capacity in the profession and encourage the adoption of global standards. Our values are aligned to the needs of employers in all sectors and we ensure that through our qualifications, we prepare accountants for business. We seek to open up the profession to people of all backgrounds and remove artificial barriers, innovating our qualifications and delivery to meet the diverse needs of trainee professionals and their employers.


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I'm also not very keen about Heeken-Kennedy skating for Ukraine or the three Reeds skating for 4 different countries en total, while living, training and having the family in the 5th. I understand when a talented skater from a small country looks for a partner in the Big Six because there's no one around, but this is obviously not the case when the search is the other way around. I can see the problem for Nora Hoffman, but you will have a hard time convincing me that it's the case for Dun.
Having a citizenship does not automatically qualify you as a legitimate representative of a country (in my eyes, of course). I'm sure that the Azerbaijani citizenship is obtained also by right, that doesn't make the whole issue any less non-kosher.North American skaters in the first group often either have citizenship in the second country from birth or can obtain it as a matter of right.
Some do, some don't. And as you quite rightly pointed out, that's not even the biggest problem - even if they do, that makes absolutely no effect on the development of the sport because they don't stay, train, coach or even visit their "home" country. I don't know whether the Reeds speak Japanese, but I can assure you that Allison doesn't speak neither Georgian nor Hebrew. And even if she did, it's ridiculous to claim that she contributes to the development of the skating in the corresponding countries simply by the fact of her existence.I would agree that having an "imported star" doesn't usually help develop skating in the new "home country," but that's largely because the skater usually doesn't actually stay there, train there, or coach younger skaters there. On the other hand, it simply isn't true that none of these skaters can communicate in the local language. Many immigrant families do speak their ancestral language at home.
So what? A skater from Serbia who fails to qualify for the Europeans contributes million times more to the Serbian figure skating than a random Russian import who can't find Belgrade on the map. And to have any kind of ambition to continue training, one has to have the slightest hope of getting in to the major competitions (even if just to the qualification round), Junior "B" are just not enough; moreover, many federations simply don't have the money to send all their skaters to all the competitions, so they concentrate on one who is most likely to get to the Euros/4CC/Worlds/Olympics, withdrawing the funding from the others. Obviously, that's the problem of the federation's management and not of the "US number 58", but it doesn't mean that I have to like it or to accept it.I'm also not sure that it is true that "every time a local skater appears, s/he gets replaced by a slightly better foreign import." With the current qualifying rules, the homegrown skaters usually cannot get into the ISU Championships any more. The one place one might expect to see the effect you are describing is on the Junior Grand Prix, but I am not sure that this is the case, and even if it is, there are Junior "B" events at which those skaters can compete.