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text: 000 FXUS61 KBGM 261110 AFDBGM Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 710 AM EDT Mon Sep 26 2016 .SYNOPSIS... After a chilly start to the morning, high pressure will shift east and yield slightly milder temperatures today yet also increasing clouds. The next front will then sweep a period of showers from west to east across the region tonight. Generally dry conditions are expected Tuesday and Wednesday, but an upper level system may get close enough for a few showers late in the week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 7 AM Update... Chenango and Madison counties slipped lower than expected on temperatures. They likely had a good amount of frost as well like the Advisory counties further east. Otherwise, forecast for the coming day and timing of the showers this evening still look good. Previous Discussion... Main feature of interest is a front which will sweep west to east through the region tonight, with a round of showers. For now, high pressure overnight still dominates our weather. Temperatures dropped quickly in the dry air and clear sky in the evening. Our frost advisory counties - Oneida, Otsego, Delaware, and Sullivan NY - are already mainly mid to upper 30s, with upper 30s to mid 40s elsewhere. However, the high is now centered over interior New England and will shift offshore today. Meanwhile, upper ridge aloft is about to pass through the region, and high thin clouds are already spreading out ahead of the next system. Light southeast low level return flow is beginning on the back side of the high, at least immediately above the shallow surface inversions that exist in the valleys. Thus temperatures will drop little if any during the remainder of the night, and may even go up slightly in the Finger Lakes region. Main areas of frost will be in our current advisory counties, with only patchy frost if any elsewhere. Pressure gradient steepens for our region between departing high and approaching front today. Southeast to south winds will pick up as a result into a sustained 15-20 mph for Central Southern Tier to Finger Lakes region this afternoon, and generally 10-15 mph elsewhere (lightest in lower elevations of Northeast PA). Gusts could approach 30 mph in the Finger Lakes region, especially south-southeast to north-northwest downsloping areas. Clouds will also increase and thicken through the day, which along with the wind may make our expected highs of 60s to low 70s not feel quite that mild. Pretty good agreement in the models for timing of the front. It will be occluding as it passes through tonight, and our region will be in the unfavorable right exit region of the jet aloft. So it makes sense that while rain chances are quite high, the amounts in the models are generally trending down and it is reasonable to expect an areal average of only a few tenths of an inch. Triple point of warm-cold-occluded fronts will slide from the vicinity of Finger Lakes NY to Wyoming Valley PA. Just enough instability for a slight chance of non-severe embedded thunder in those areas as the front moves through, but for the most part our region will only see a 2-4 hour period of showers out of this system. Timing will be roughly Finger Lakes-Central Southern Tier 7-9pm, crossing I-81 corridor 9pm-Midnight, and then Tug Hill-Catskills- Poconos shortly after. There will only be a few lingering showers east of I-81 by 4am. With all of the cloud cover and little difference in air masses ahead of/behind occluding front, lows tonight will actually be on the mild side - upper 40s to mid 50s. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... For Tuesday, the area will get into a massive dry slot with a cold front well to our east Tuesday and the main upper low near Lake Superior. A southwest flow of chilly air will support some lake effect rain showers over far western and northern NY however over central NY and NE PA expect partly to mostly sunny skies with dry weather. Highs will be mainly in the middle to upper 60s. Little change occurs for Tuesday night into Wednesday as the upper low digs south over the midwest while weak ridging at the surface extending from a high over eastern Canada pokes south into eastern NY. This will allow for mostly clear skies with continuing dry weather. Lows Tuesday night will be in the 40s with highs Wednesday in the 65 to 70 degree range. Heading into Wednesday night, the digging upper low over over the eastern CONUS looks to spawn a developing coastal low to our south which should eventually affect the area with rain. However forecast models disagree on how quickly this system moves north spreading rain into the area with the GFS and ECMWF bringing the system in beginning Wednesday night while the GEM and NAM keep area dry. Will mention chance/slight chance showers for Wednesday night with the highest POPs south. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... 230 AM Monday Update...Forecast models continue to trend toward a solution that involves an upper level low becoming cut off from the main flow and stalling to our south through much of the long range period. The result looks to be unsettled weather with mostly cloudy skies and periods of rain and showers Thursday and Friday and potentially through a good portion of next weekend as both the 0z GFS and GEM have the upper low still situated close to the region even by 0z next Sunday. In terms of the gridded forecast,we loaded in the latest superblend as a starting point but made some minor adjustments...lowering highs slightly and slightly raising POPs and sky cover. Still have POPs capped at chance for all periods through long range however if current trends continue these may need to be adjusted higher. Sunday PM Update...Main forecast concern will be the evolution of the cut off upper level low mentioned above. Previous runs of the GFS took this system south and eventually to our east, keeping impacts to our area limited with drying expected by Friday and Saturday. The EURO has hinted the past few runs that this low would cause us more headaches and could keep us unsettled into next weekend! The new 12Z GFS is in and the trend toward a more unsettled solution continues. IT appears as the upper low drops south by Wednesday, rain chances will still mainly be to our south and west, closer to the low itself. However by Thursday and beyond as the low drifts to our south, the southerly flow of air around it will slowly drag moisture northward into our area. The latest SUPERBLEND is a decent depiction showing at least chance pops for rain through Saturday, versus our dry forecast from before. If this trend continues however chances for rain will likely need to be increased. && .AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR through the day, but showers and associated deteriorating conditions can be expected with a frontal passage this evening- tonight. High pressure is in charge for now. Very high thin clouds are increasing along with southeasterly low level flow, which will prevent valley fog formation at any of the terminals early this morning. During the day, clouds will continue to thicken yet easily remain VFR, while southeast to south winds will pick up into 8-12 knots range with gusts 16-22 knots. Showers, with degradations to at least MVFR and eventual Fuel Alternate level, will occur as front moves through the region 00Z-06Z Tuesday, then gradual improvement yet still lingering post-frontal CIGS for some terminals 06Z-12Z Tuesday. OUTLOOK... Early Tuesday...Lingering CIG restrictions possible in wake of passing front. Midday Tuesday-Wednesday...Mainly VFR. Wednesday Night-Friday...Possible occasional restrictions from showers associated with upper level system in region. && .BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NY...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ009-037-046- 057-062. && $$ SYNOPSIS...MDP NEAR TERM...MDP SHORT TERM...PCF LONG TERM...Heden/PCF AVIATION...MDP

subset: commoncrawl


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Daimler Buses North America increased passenger capacity to 18 for its commuter style Sprinter MiniBus. The new commuter style layout was recently unveiled to Mercedes-Benz and Freightliner Sprinter Dealers and is now available for order by operators.
Engineers at Daimler Buses North America, the division of Daimler that upfits the Sprinter MiniBus for Mercedes-Benz and Freightliner, reconfigured the layout using Vogelsitze passenger seats that are thinner in design. This allowed the commuter floor plan to add two additional passenger seats from its original design.
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The 8/31 Exemption (and How to Use It)
August 31st is an important date for contending MLB teams, because that's the date that determines eligibility for post-season rosters.
To be eligible to play in the MLB post-season, a player must be on the club's 25-man roster or 15-day or 60-day DL as of 8/31. However, any player (regardless of position) who is a member of the organization on 8/31 is eligible to replace an injured player on the post-season roster as long as the injured player is placed on the DL prior to the start of the post-season series. (If the "replacement player" is not already on his club's 40-man roster, he must be added to the 40 before he can be added to the post-season roster). NOTE: If a player suffers a disabling injury DURING a post-season series, the club can (with approval of the MLB Commissioner) replace the player with any player who was a member of the organization on August 31st, although in this case (replacing an injured player DURING a post-season series), the replacement player must play the same position as the injured player, and the injured player is ineligible to return to the active list at any later point in the post-season.
Essentially, the more players a club can stash on its 15-day or 60-day DL on August 31st, the more post-season roster exemptions for the club. And more post-season roster exemptions gives a club greater flexibility to tweak its post-season roster from series-to-series.
Using post-season roster exemptions, a club can alter its LDS, LCS, and World Series rosters at the start of each series, adding players who were not on the 25-man roster or DL on 8/31. And since projected match-ups are one of the prime influences in determining how a post-season roster is to be constructed, the ability to add an extra lefty reliever in a series where the opposition has a left-handed heavy batting order, or an extra lefty bat off the bench when the opposition has a right-handed heavy bullpen, could give a club an edge. And in a short series involving two quality MLB teams, any little bit of an edge could make the difference between moving on to the next level and going home.
But to add a player or players to a post-season roster, a club needs post-season roster exemptions, and the only way to ensure having the exemptions when they are needed is to have a couple or three players riding the 15-day or 60-day DL on August 31st.
So how did the Cubs go about creating their post-season roster last season?
PITCHERS (11): Ryan Dempster, Scott Eyre, Rich Hill, Bob Howry, Ted Lilly, Carlos Marmol, Jason Marquis, Sean Marshall, Kerry Wood, Michael Wuertz, and Carlos Zambrano
CATCHERS (2): Henry Blanco and Jason Kendall
INFIELDERS (6): Mark DeRosa, Mike Fontenot, Derrek Lee, Aramis Ramirez, Ryan Theriot, and Daryle Ward
OUTFIELDERS (6): Cliff Floyd, Jacque Jones, Craig Monroe, Matt Murton, Felix Pie, and Alfonso Soriano
DISABLED LIST (4): Pitchers Angel Guzman (sprained elbow ligament), Roberto Novoa (fractured shoulder) and Mark Prior (shoulder surgery) on the 60-day DL, and outfielder Angel Pagan (colitis) on the 15-day DL
Because Guzman, Novoa, Prior, and Pagan were on the DL on 8/31, all four were eligible to be included on the Cubs 2007 post-season roster.
Note that the Cubs went with 11 pitchers for four days (8/28 through 8/31), as LHP Carmen Pignatiello was optioned to Iowa on August 28th when OF Alfonso Soriano (strained quad) was activated from the DL. But then RHP Sean Gallagher and LHP Will Ohman were recalled from Iowa on September 1st, and RHP Steve Trachsel (acquired from the Baltimore Orioles on 8/31) was also added to the Cubs active roster on 9/1, giving the Cubs 14 pitchers right at the beginning of September (increased to 16 pitchers when Pignatiello and Kevin Hart were brought up on 9/4).
Trachsel was acquired from the Orioles on 8/31 but was not added to the Cubs active roster until the next day, so he was not automatically eligible for the post-season roster. However, he was eligible to be a post-season "replacement player" because he was a member of the Cubs organization on 8/31.
During September 2007, the Cubs recalled pitchers Sean Gallagher, Will Ohman, and Carmen Pignatiello, catcher Geovany Soto, infielder Ronny Cedeno, and IF-OF Eric Patterson from AAA Iowa (Patterson was subsequently optioned to AA Tennessee for disciplinary reasons), and selected RHP Kevin Hart and OF Sam Fuld from AA Tennessee, as Hendry & Piniella opted to go with a 34-man roster over the last month of the season. (Neal Cotts, Jake Fox, Juan Mateo, Billy Petrick, and Jeff Samardzija were not recalled from their minor league optional assignments).
Because Guzman, Novoa, Prior, and Pagan remained on the DL through the balance of the 2007 season, their roster slots became available as post-season roster exemptions, allowing the Cubs to add Kevin Hart, Geovany Soto, and Ronny Cedeno to their NLDS roster. (Hart, Soto, and Cedeno were brought up from the minors in September, so they would not have been eligible to be included on a post-season roster if not for the roster exemptions).
But adding Hart, Soto, and Cedeno to their NLDS roster meant the Cubs had to "deactivate" three players who had been on their 25-man roster on 8/31, and so they dropped pitcher Sean Marshall, catcher Henry Blanco, and outfielder Craig Monroe. (Marshall stayed "stretched-out" as a starter during the NLDS, throwing 70+ pitches for the Cubs AZ Instructional League team in a "Camp Day" intrasquad game at Fitch Park while the Cubs were in Phoenix to play the Diamondbacks at Chase Field, and Monroe kept active by taking early-morning BP every day that week at Fitch).
Marshall, Blanco, and Monroe, plus Will Ohman (who also threw an inning in the Camp Day intrasquad game at Fitch while the Cubs were in Phoenix) and Sam Fuld, remained with the Cubs throughout the NLDS (Trachsel, Pignatiello, and Gallagher did not), serving as potential "replacement players" in case of a season-ending injury to somebody during the NLDS, and as potential Plan "B" options in the NLCS and World Series (if the Cubs had gotten that far). For instance, Marshall could have been an alternative to Marquis as the #4 starter in an NLCS, or Hart could have been exchanged for Ohman, or Fuld could have replaced Pie or Murrton, or Murton or Pie could have been switched with Monroe.
So knowing what the Cubs did with their September call-ups and post-season roster last year, what are Hendry & Piniella likely to do this year?
If Hendry & Piniella once again go with a 34-man September roster, I would think pitchers Angel Guzman and Jon Lieber will be reactivated from the DL, catcher Koyie Hill will be brought up from Iowa to be the 3rd catcher (the Cubs always add a 3rd catcher in September) and post-season fall-back in case Soto or Blanco were to suffer a disabling injury, and pitchers Michael Wuertz and Kevin Hart, 1B-OF Micah Hoffpauir, and outfielder Felix Pie will be recalled from Iowa. That leaves two spots for a right-handed power bat off the bench (probably either 1B-OF Jason Dubois or OF Jake Fox) and another bullpen arm (probably either Jose Ascanio or Randy Wells). K. Hill, Dubois, and Wells would have to be added to the 40-man roster. (At present there are 38 players on the Cubs 40-man roster, but if Angel Guzman is reactivated from the 60-day DL in September, he would take on of the two open slots).
At present, the Cubs have three players on the DL, with pitchers Chad Fox (sore elbow) and Jon Lieber (sore foot) on the 15-day DL, and pitcher Angel Guzman (TJS surgery rehab) on the 60. Guzman and Lieber will likely be activated from the DL in September, so probably only Chad Fox will provide the Cubs with a ready-made roster exemption for the post-season. (Fox could be transferred to the 60-day DL if an additional spot on the 40-man roster is needed in September).
Of course Lieber has the type of chronic foot problem that probably would allow the Cubs to place him on the DL any old time, so if the Cubs wish to replace a struggling and ineffective Bob Howry with Michael Wuertz and 5th starter Jason Marquis with Micah Hoffpauir, they should be able to do it just by leaving Chad Fox on the DL for the rest of the season and by placing Jon Lieber back on the DL before the start of the NLDS (since Lieber is unlikely to be on the Cubs post-season roster).
Also, LHP Rich Hill (on the Iowa DL with a back problem) and RHP Adam Harben (on the Daytona DL while on extended rehab from 2006 TJS) are both on the Cubs 40-man roster, so either (or both) could be recalled from his optional assignment on August 31st and then be immediately placed on the 60-day DL, giving the Cubs another post-season roster exemption (or two), as well as opening up one (or two) more slots on the 40 in September. (While Harben could get outrighted to the minors at any time, he would have greater value spending the rest of the season on the 60-day DL as a post-season roster exemption than he would by getting outrighted right away).
LHP Carmen Pignatiello and RHP Billy Petrick could also get outrighted if additional slots are needed on the 40-man roster in September, but it's more likely that they will be removed from the 40 after the season.
Re: The 8/31 Exemption (and How to Use It)
Phil: any insight into Billy Petrick?
Scout.com has a short article on him, somewhat mysterious about why he's not pitching.
After making his big league debut a year ago, the Morris, Ill., native has totaled only 11 innings – all in the minor leagues – and has not pitched in over two months.
Petrick has not pitched in a live game since May 25 officially, and recently BaseballAmerica.com reported that the 24-year-old had been placed on the suspended list. But that much is neither here nor there, the Cubs say.
"He's (just) on the DL," one Cubs official said.
Re: Petrick
Re: The 8/31 Exemption (and How to Use It)
Carrie Muskat said he was hurt and not suspended in a recent mailbag of hers.
Re: The 8/31 Exemption (and How to Use It)
Thanks AZ Phil for shedding light on the post-season roster process. Barring injury, I could see us wanting Micah Hoffpauir in particular during the playoffs, as a LHPH.
Like many Cub Fans, Angel Guzman had left my mind. If he can finally get healthy, what kind of pitcher does he project to, and can he figure in our plans for next year? How is his stuff these days?
Is Jake Fox a real prospect? He had a nice year at AA, but is 25 and defensively challenged.
I also forgot about Jason DuBois. He proved again he can blow up AAA pitching, but that's about the limit. Maybe he should go to Japan.
Re: The 8/31 Exemption (and How to Use It)
Great stuff as usual Phil.
I found this interesting:
"To be eligible to play in the MLB post-season, a player must be on the club's 25-man roster or 15-day or 60-day DL as of 8/31. However, any player (regardless of position) who is a member of the organization on 8/31 is eligible to replace an injured player on the post-season roster as long as the injured player is placed on the DL prior to the start of the post-season series."
So, a question for you. Using 2007 as an example, if the Cubs had (stupidly) wanted to get Trachsel on the playoff roster, could they have done so by (1) naming Prior to the playoff roster, then (2) sliding Trachsel into his slot as a replacement because Prior was on the DL?
If the answer is No, could they have accomplished the same thing by naming an "injured" random player to the playoff roster and then simply DL-ing him to make room for Trachsel?
Re: The 8/31 Exemption (and How to Use It)
Thanks Az -
I'm guessing Hoffpauir may be a viable option in the event we get to the World Series (as a DH in away games). The kid is TEARING up AAA ball right now. I'm sure he'll be the replacement for D.Ward next year but I'm interested in your thoughts as to what numbers you think he'd produce if he played every day (at 1B). I know Lee isn't going anywhere, but do you think he could step in and bat .275 with 25-30 homers given his maturity or is that too optimistic?
Also, any reports on Jay Jackson and Cerda for us.....they seem very intriguing as prospects.
Re: The 8/31 Exemption (and How to Use It)
AZ Phil......I'm sorry this is totally off the subject,but I thought you would have the answer to this........Are fall instructionals and the Arizona Fall League two separate events with instructionals happening from Sept 15 to Oct 15 followed by the AFL ? When do they announce who will be on those rosters ? Is there any media coverage of the games ? Thanks for your insights. Do you have any assesments of the AZL Cubs with only 9 remaining games ?
Re: The 8/31 Exemption (and How to Use It)
Thanks for all the great work, AZ Phil. One clear and encouraging observation jumps out at me: Our Roster is WAY better this year than last.
rock on,
Early Lineup excerpt from WSCR
Dero second base
Edmonds- CF
Re: The 8/31 Exemption (and How to Use It)
Thanks for clearing that up for me. I read that Vitters,Cashner,& Brenly will be going to instructionals as well as 7 players from the Mesa Cubs....Lake,Castro,Cerda,Jones,Perez,Watkins,Campana,& Perez (if he is recovered from his hamstring injury).
Recent comments
Lackey finishes with a 3.35 ERA. Currently good for 13th in the NL. Not bad for a guy signed to be a #3 starter in a 15-team league.
He is also 6th in WHIP. Pretty amazing: Cubs have the #2, #3, #5 and #6 starters in WHIP.
Completely meaningless game, but Pena striking out Sean the Turd to with the bases loaded was very fun.
Other than one bad game in SD, Pena has been very good. Even with that game, 9.0 IP, 13 K, 0.89 WHIP.
101 wins...most since 1910 (104).
neat. ...or sad. pick one. pick both. 'murica.
Just looked up Grimm's stats -- after a great run, he gave up 2 runs vs. MIL then didn't pitch for 10 days. Don't remember why?
Sean Rodriguez's helmet looks like it's taking a dump
Grimm not doing himself any favors lately re: making the playoff squad. Seems to have lost the feel for his curveball.
j.grimm is literally worse than hitler.
felix pena, your turn.
it's been a while since joe's over-managed a game...it's gotta feel good for him to be back in the saddle making people's scorecards look like their pens blew up.
Fuck a bench spot on the playoff roster, Coghlan is competing to bat cleanup.
barely any...especially for an evening game. place looks 1/2 full at best to start the game.
Listening on the radio. Are there any fans in the stands at all?
"An MRI taken Monday on the right side of Jorge Soler showed no major damage."
rare air though if he can keep it under 2. Sounds like Maddon already made up his mind though and Hendricks seems like the sort that would want to earn it. Guessing he gets a quick hook if he's still under 2 after 5 innings.
Fwiw, he can give up 1 ER in 5 innings (or more) and still be under 2. If he gives up 2 ER, he would need throw 9 IP to keep it under 2. 1 ER in 4 IP would give him an ERA of exactly 2.
In terms of WAR, it's still Scherzer by a lot (6.4), then Cueto (5.6), Lester (5.5), Kershaw (5.5), Roark (5.4), and then Hendricks (5.1)
Boring lineup tonight in terms of guys trying to reach milestones -- no KB (40 HR), Addy (100 RBI) or JHey (can he keep it going?), and Lackey isn't really going for anything, plus the team has already reached 100 wins. I get the "rest" thing, although they will have 4 days off after Sunday, but....bleh.
Agree -- I think you want to keep him on a regular schedule.
Ramos torn ACL


text:
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Rent Taking Sides: Clashing Views in United States History, Volume 2: Reconstruction to the Present 14th edition today, or search our site for other textbooks by Larry Madaras. Every textbook comes with a 21-day "Any Reason" guarantee. Published by McGraw-Hill/Dushkin.
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Storm Special! View the latest observations near East Pacific TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN as of ADVISORY NUMBER 4 @ 200 AM PDT MON SEP 26 2016.
Station operated by NOAA's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory
Deployed at 44.950 N 12.800 W (44°57'0" N 12°48'0" W)
Available historical data for station 41933 include:
Some data files have been compressed with the GNU gzip program.
View Station Page
View Real Time Data


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A person who looks in the closet for their christmas gifts.
I hid the presents in the attic knowing that Timmy would be a christmas fag.
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Milwaukee Rep's 'Clybourne Park' an electrifying production
Because "Clybourne Park" is so good and because it explores issues that aren't going away, it's easy to agree with Mark Clements' prediction - made in his director's notes for the new Milwaukee Repertory Theater production - that Bruce Norris' play is built to last.
It's much harder to imagine watching the inevitable revival, 10 or 20 years from now, without hearkening back to the electrifying performance I saw Friday night, in which Clements' all-star cast gave "Clybourne" the treatment it deserves. »Read Full Article(1)
Ridge mesmerizing in Chamber Theatre's 'Underneath the Lintel'
Midway through his extraordinary solo performance in Glen Berger's "Underneath the Lintel" - being staged by the Milwaukee Chamber Theatre under C. Michael Wright's direction - James Ridge asks the audience whether we'd recognize a miracle if we saw one.
I know I've missed a few - "Lintel" suggests we all have - but I have no doubt I saw something akin to one Friday night, in watching as good a one-person show as I've seen anywhere in a long time. »Read Full Article(2)


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I recently received a beautiful delivery from The Bouqs that was just so incredible, I couldn't resisting posting some photos. Heavy on the tropical vibes (my favorite kind of vibes) and complete with the most uniquely fun and fruity elements, I loved every single characteristic of the bouquet. Before I go further, I want to note that this is not a sponsored post, I just truly loved this sweet gift so much and wanted to share a look at this beauty with you. For those of you who aren't yet familiar with The Bouqs – they are a wonderful company who has taken the online flower delivery game to the next level. Gone are the days of those cheesy, poorly arranged flowers from the small selection of online flower delivery sites you had to choose from in the past. On TheBouqs.com you'll find a wide array of beautifully arranged, farm fresh flowers. They sent me their "The Flamingo" bouq, as well as some additional goodies, and it was definitely the prettiest delivery I've ever come home to. I loved the vibrant, tropical feel of it all so I decided to dissect the elements to get a better look at the beauty, and then I decided to use a few elements of the bouq to decorate a cake, because…well, what else would you expect from me?! Here's what the cake looked like once I finished.
Since this turned into a collaboration of sorts, The Bouqs team asked if they could interview me for a Q+A on their blog. I ended up talking about my creative process, inspiration, my love of flowers, and much more. You can read the interview on their blog HERE.
Continue on (by clicking "Read More" below) for tips on how to decorate with fresh flowers.
A Partially Inspired CakePosted on September 15, 2016
Here's a small world story for your Thursday. A couple of weeks ago I was meeting my friend Julie at Dinosaur Coffee in Silverlake. Upon arriving, I was drawn to a very beautiful wall hanging / neon display they had in the back. I took a seat next to it and admired the installation – I really loved the textures in the piece. Julie arrived a minute or two later so my mind was refocused on catching up and I forgot to take photos of it before I left. I had been planning on decorating a cake later that day just-for-fun, so once I was back home with those beautiful textures still on my mind I let that slightly guide me. I wasn't attempting to recreate it in any way and definitely wasn't trying to decorate a wall hanging / macrame cake. I posted the cake on my Instagram and minutes later the talented ladies of Hello Gem Events commented that it reminded them of their "Beast installation" at Dinosaur Coffee. How crazy is that?! Of course the Hello Gem girls made that beautiful wall installation I had seen earlier that day…they also designed and produced THIS amazing wedding I did desserts for last year. Those ladies make such amazing work! Anywho, thought I would share photos of the cake and of that beautiful installation since they're both easy on the eyes!
Prints & PatternsPosted on August 23, 2016
I've always found inspiration in colorful prints and patterns, especially when it comes to botanical, nature, or worldly patterns. There's times I've been so inspired that I've even turned that print into cake-form, like when I made my Martinique Wallpaper cake or my Otomi Embroidery cake. Even if the result isn't a baked or crafted good, the inspiration that comes from the particular pattern is always a nice mental experience…meditative-like, if that makes any sense.
While I used to keep things pretty minimal in terms of home decor, I've found myself including pops of bold and colorful patterns into our new home, which has certainly brightened things up…and has created a more personalized space. When it comes to unique decor items, UncommonGoods is an amazing site that offers a myriad of one-of-a-kind, beautiful items for you, your home, or a perfect gift for literally anyone in your life (there really is something for everyone!). And speaking of beautiful patterns and prints, there are so many gorgeous items to choose from – like THIS eco-friendly palm throw, THESE gorgeous agate coasters, or THIS colorful mosaic wallet that was inspired by zellige, the lavish tilework that adorns Moroccan mosques. What I really like about UncommonGoods is that many of the items are made by small-business artisans or artisans working collaboratively in a low income country. Smart, eco-friendly shopping – something we all need to get behind! Here are just a handful of items I've admired from the site.
1. Pineapple Tumbler // 2. Fringe Indigo Kimono // 3. Tropical Palm Throw // 4. Fez Mosaic Embroidered Wallet // 5. Agate Coasters // 6. Fern Pillow // 7. Peacock Pillow // 8. Stained Glass Feathers // 9. Kantha Blanket
*Thank you to UncommonGoods for sponsoring this blog post! You can see some of their great gifts and gift guides HERE.
I recently had the urge to make a customizable tote bag that would work as a cute grocery tote for me, and could also serve as a fun wedding welcome or gift bag for a desert wedding for someone planning their desert wedding. Since the popular desert wedding season hits in September, I thought that now would be a good time to post the tutorial for those who are currently planning their nuptials.
I made this tote using Avery fabric transfers, and honestly – it couldn't have been any easier! For the particular canvas tote I was using (which I got from Jo-Ann's for $6.99), Avery's dark fabric transfers provided the best transfer results. I experimented with the light fabric transfers initially, but found the dark fabric ones worked much better for this type of bag.
While I went with a tote bag, these cacti would also look pretty darn cute on a tea towel, pillowcase, any clothing item, gardening bag, etc…and whichever item you choose for your transfer, the process below will be the same. If you want to further customize the designs I made (add your wedding date, a personalized saying/message, or name), you can do that too! Endless possibilities, people!
Materials Needed:
- Canvas tote bag (available at most craft stores)
- Downloaded design (found HERE)
- Avery Dark Fabric Transfer Sheets (#3279)
- Scissors
- Iron
Step #1: If you'd like to customize my design (change the colors, resize, add text, etc.) OR if you want to keep it as is, just download the file HERE. To open the .avery file provided go to avery.com/print, open the saved file (select "Open a Saved Project from: Your Computer"), and the design will automatically open in Avery Design & Print Online. You'll be able to customize and personalize the design to make it best for you. You can change the colors, the pattern, or even add personalized text. If you have the Avery fabric transfer sheets already and are already setup to print, you can download the PDF HERE.
Note: As I mentioned above, I chose to use the dark fabric transfer images because they worked best for my tote bag. The following directions below are provided for the dark transfer sheets. If using other Avery sheets, follow along with the instructions provided in that specific pack, as they do differ.
Step #2: Print the image onto one of the dark fabric transfer sheets. Unlike light fabric transfer images, you do not need to flip the image to print. Once you've printed the sheet, remove the backing of the transfer sheet and cut out the image(s).
Step #3: On a hard, heat-resistant surface (not an ironing board), iron your tote bag on high to get rid of any wrinkles. Once the bag is cool, place your images onto the bag facing up. Cover the transfer images with the tissue paper provided, and iron atop the tissue paper in sections using firm pressure. For my images, each required about 20 seconds of ironing.
Step #4: Allow the transfers to cool for 2-3 minutes. Once cool, peel away the tissue in a smooth, even motion. And there you have it – a colorful and fun cacti printed tote!
For more help with the transfers, you can find instructions from Avery located HERE.
I love the customization that is possible with Avery products, which is why I was thrilled when they asked me to partner with them for a handful of posts this year. You can see some of my previous Avery-related posts over HERE.
Terrarium Cake TutorialPosted on June 30, 2016
This post is a Part 2 to the Terrarium Cake Tutorial that can be found in the Summer 2016 issue of Betty Magazine. The following tutorial details how to make the buttercream succulents. If you've followed the first part of the tutorial in the magazine and need additional help with the buttercream cacti, check out my Potted Cactus Cake or House Plant Cupcakes tutorials. For the buttercream succulent DIY continue on below. I'll be updating the post with some additional tips next week, so make sure to come back for those!
Fourth FavoritesPosted on June 29, 2016
Since most of you will probably be heading offline and into your 4-day weekend a little early, I wanted to share some holiday favorites for those looking for last-minute ideas for the 4th. First off, here's a peek at a patriotic cake I just finished. How pretty is this Ceres Platter from Anthropologie! It is definitely one of my new favorite serving pieces for all types of food – especially cake!
For those of you looking for some ideas for the holiday weekend, below are a few favorites. Many more can be found HERE.
Stars and Stripes Cake (and Cheese) Plates
DIY Patriotic Shirts (for dogs AND humans!)
Pineapple CakePosted on June 27, 2016
If you're looking to add some summer flair to your next cake, it doesn't get easier than this pineapple cake. Recently, Sugarfina sent me some of their beautiful candies to try and I quickly became obsessed with their "Parisian Pineapple" candies (you can buy them HERE). These adorable little candies are made with fresh pineapple purée, which gives them the most delicious (and natural!) pineapple flavor. They even smell like freshly cut pineapple!
For the topper I cut off the top of a fresh pineapple, stuck a skewer into the bottom and positioned the skewer into the center of the cake. Easy as pi-neapple!
An Impulsive EscapePosted on June 22, 2016
Sunday was the first day I had off in a couple of weeks after some big cake orders so I had planned to take the day off and truly relax, but due to a brush fire that was too close to us for comfort and 106 (106!) degrees temperatures, there was no relaxation to be found. Unfortunately we don't have ac in our new place yet and as evening hit it was still unbearable in our home. The pups seemed fairly uncomfortable so I impulsively decided to pack up the pups and drive down to San Diego to my mom's air conditioning, which ended up being a great decision. Since I didn't have to be back to LA until today, I took yesterday off and explored around North Park. I found myself filled with inspiration, something that I've been feeling a little starved of lately. First I headed to the North Park Library and checked out my aunt's amazing art show that is currently on display at the library. Thought I'd share just a peek on here since I know how you all feel about desert plants. Clearly, I'm not the only Jones' family member who finds inspiration in succulents. How incredible are these paintings?! They're all for sale too btw.
After the library I wandered around a bit and (per usual) ended up stopping into the very Instagram-worthy Pigment shop on 30th.
I finished the inspiring afternoon off with a delicious dinner at El Comal. If you're looking for a great mexican dinner in North Park, go to El Comal! While you're there make sure to order a cucumber margarita…the perfect cocktail for a hot day! Here's a few more snaps from the afternoon…just simple things that I found to be so darn beautiful.
Now it's time to get back to work, but I certainly am feeling refreshed which is a very good thing. I'm also really looking forward to heading back to SD this Sunday for a belated Father's Day dinner with my Dad and a visit to the Del Mar Fair!
Summer FavesPosted on June 20, 2016
Since today marks the official start of summer, I wanted to share some of my favorite summer DIY projects to date. Click on the photo or caption below to be taken to the tutorial. Happy Summer 2016 friends!
Tiki Bar Cocktail Tumblers + Umbrellas
Pineapple Juice Slushies (I couldn't stop drinking these last summer)
Fruit + Yogurt Breakfast Popsicles
Philodendron Waterproof Beach Blanket
For my boyfriend's birthday a couple of weeks ago we had a barbecue at our place and invited some friends over. And as you might have guessed, I made some cakes for the occasion. I went with a chocolate cake with vanilla buttercream, as well as a chocolate cake covered in my delicious blueberry buttercream. It had been a while since I made the blueberry buttercream and I was instantly reminded why I used to make it so much. It is just SO dang good. And friends, this is a perfect buttercream for the summer – I strongly urge you all to try it for yourself to see! You can find my recipe for the BEST blueberry buttercream HERE. In the photos below you'll also see a small gluten free chocolate torte – that was actually not made by me, I just piped on some buttercream to the top. I had forgotten just how many of our friends were GF and I didn't have enough time to whip-up another cake, so I ran to Whole Foods right before the party started to pick one up because EVERYONE at a birthday party should be able to eat birthday cake!


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Hey so I'm joecool123. My alter ego is JC, and I have many secret identities, one of whom goes by Lizzie.
Anyways. It probably took you around... 14 seconds to read that. I'm helping you waste your time. You're welcome.
(Writing tip of the moment: note the context in which I just used 'your' and 'you're.' .... Cool. Glad we had this talk.)
My book "The Bro Code" won a Watty Award for 'Most Popular Humor Story' in 2012 AND "No Capes" won for 'Most Comments' in 2015 so that's pretty awesome. Thanks for that.
You can access my facebook page for updates, fun facts, and to fulfill your daily procrastination quota here: https://www.facebook.com/joecool123.author
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ALSO - this should go without saying but I have to say it anyway: Please don't have conversations with other users on my message board, especially if they're of the 'not so nice' variety. I don't want my message board to turn into the door of some high school bathroom stall. Respect the message board and it will respect you. THANKS.
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joecool123 Sep 28, 2016 09:48PM
ONE MORE DAY to get tickets to NYC Wattcon! I'll be there and so will so many other AMAZING wattpad authors! The event is FREE! right here: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/nycwattcon-a-day-of-all-thin...View all Conversations
Stories by joecool123 (the name's cool)
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Back to School: Secret Agent Edition Adventure
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After attending the Young Scientists' School since he was seven, Michael McCallister embarks on the field trip of a lifetime. It's a race against his time, and maybe even pure evil. He has two class periods to asse...
The Bro Code #253 in Humor
Rule number 4: If a girl falls into the following criteria, she is off limits forever until the end of time: A) Was a bro's ex-girlfriend. B) Your bro specifically told you he wanted her. C) Is your bro's sister. ...
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Barcelona holidays + Family holidays
A meal at the Barcelona tapas bar run by El Bulli's founder was a wedding anniversary treat for Abigail Flanagan – and her food-obsessed 11-year-old son
Take in an open-air film or concert, learn to windsurf or grab your skateboard and land some ollies at the Plaça Angels, says local travel writer Sally Davies
Tom Hall of Lonely Planet answers your questions about worldwide travel. This week, taking the train in the US, city breaks with teenagers, and trekking in Ethiopia
Barcelona may be a party town but don't let that put you off going there with a baby, says Miranda Sawyer.
- Barcelona holidays
- Family holidays
- Spain holidays
- Catalonia holidays
- City breaks
- Adventure travel
- Short breaks
- Walking holidays
- Food and drink
- Food & drink
- Verona holidays
- Ethiopia holidays
- Costa Rica holidays
- Restaurants
- Rail travel
- Italy holidays
- Rome holidays
- United States holidays
- Cultural trips
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This set of two Classic Home / Villa Home pillows were made in India from 35% Jute, 30% Cotton and 35% Flax. This ikat style bohemian chic accent / throw pillow features piping with burgundy, pink, orange and beige colors. Pillow cover front and back print. Pillow insert material: 95% Feather, 5%…
Material: Natural Fibers, Cotton Blend
Weave: Pillow
This set of two Classic Home / Villa Home pillows were made in India from 60% Cotton and 40% Linen. This transitional style bohemian chic accent / throw pillow features a damask pattern and red piping with red, antique white and pink colors. Pillow cover embroidered front. Feather down inserts…
Material: Natural Fibers, Cotton Blend
Weave: Pillow
Offering natural fibers (only the best jute, coir, seagrass and sisal materials) and cozy shags to unique textures and beautiful traditionals. Classic Home specializes in stunning and durable rugs that will compliment any décor – now that's a good blend of beauty and practicality! Let Classic Home help bring warmth, style, and character to your space today. With free shipping, no tax, 30-day return policy, you simply can't go wrong.
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text: Whoops! Uh oh! Looks like one of our balls has got jammed in the internet machine thingy! Call us on 1300 368 067 if you want to make a booking or try using searching for what you are looking for by clicking the search icon on the top right. 10 interesting bowling facts Bowler Don Carter was the first sports person to land a million dollar endorsement The first indoor bowling lanes were built in New York City in 1840 70 million people bowled at least once in 2011 There is no minimum weight for a bowling ball Bowling balls were made out of wood until the early 1900s The largest bowling center is located in Japan. It has 116 lanes! The maximum number of holes allowed in a bowling ball is 12 The origins of bowling can be traced about 5,000 years back to Rome and Greece. Frederick Magliacane achieved the highest between-the-legs bowling score of 224 in Daytona Beach, Florida, in January 2013. Jäni Yli-Länttä and Niko Korkeakangas stacked nine bowling balls on top of one another using no kind of adhesive to hold them together Read More Happy Birthday Kids Parties Do you remember your first bowling party? Of course you do. It's one of those rites of passage that every child goes through. Now it's your time to make new memories for your child and their friends. Book a birthday party $60PP Jolly Holly Package Feel as jolly as Santa himself with the Jolly Holly package. This option is for those who want to splash out and end the year with a bang and a dash of tinsel. Show Me The Package $45PP Xmas Cheer Package Throw in some additional Xmas Cheer at your end of year event with this great value package. Your workplace will be cheering all the way into 2017 with this cheery option. Show Me The Package Latest from AMF View All News If your kid were a party, what would they be? 20.09.2016 Australia s Biggest Bowl Off Winners 19.09.2016 Planning the perfect team Christmas party 12.09.2016 View all news


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Address correspondence to Vivian Ho, Ph.D., Department of Economics, James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy, Rice University, MS 40, 6100 Main St., Houston, TX 77005; e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.com. Vivian Ho, Ph.D., is also at the Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX. Meei-Hsiang Ku-Goto, M.A., is at the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy, Rice University, Houston, TX. James G. Jollis, M.D., Echocardiography Laboratory, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC.
Certificate of Need (CON) for Cardiac Care: Controversy over the Contributions of CON
Version of Record online: 16 DEC 2008
DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6773.2008.00933.x
© Health Research and Educational Trust
Health Services Research
Volume 44, Issue 2p1, pages 483–500, April 2009
Additional Information
How to Cite
Ho, V., Ku-Goto, M.-H. and Jollis, J. G. (2009), Certificate of Need (CON) for Cardiac Care: Controversy over the Contributions of CON. Health Services Research, 44: 483–500. doi: 10.1111/j.1475-6773.2008.00933.x
Publication History
- Issue online: 12 MAR 2009
- Version of Record online: 16 DEC 2008
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How to Find Interesting Biography Books
How to Find Interesting Biography Books from Overstock.com. Our guides provide customers with information about how to find interesting biography books.
Sign up today and activate a
Javy Lopez is a three-time All-Star and the catcher for the Atlanta Braves powerhouse teams of the 1990s, including the squad that won the 1995 World Series. He lives in Suwanee, Georgia. Gary Caruso is a sports journalist, Braves historian, and author of The Braves Encyclopedia and Turner Field: Rarest of Diamonds. He lives in Vista, California.
Popular Atlanta Braves catcher Javier Javy Lopez opens up in this autobiography to tell his amazing story, from learning to play baseball on a neighborhood basketball court to his record of 42 home runs in a season by a catcher. The product of a lower-middle-class background in Puerto Rico, Javy had to overcome numerous hardshipsnot the least of which was a language barrierto fulfill his destiny as one of the most accomplished catchers of the modern era. He tells of bumps along the way to success, including why he overstated his signing bonus as well as the time in the minors when he cried during an all-night meltdown due to his struggles on the field. But he went on to be named MVP of the 1996 National League Championship Series, and played on 12 of the Atlanta Braves unprecedented 14 straight division-winning teams of the 1990s and 2000s. From his relationship with great teammates such as Greg Maddux and John Smoltz, to his failed comeback attempt with the Braves in 2008, this autobiography tells all about the handsome, warm, engaging Lopez and how he became one of baseballs most popular players.
|SPORTS & RECREATION / Baseball / History
|Publisher Date
|2012-04-01 00:00:00.0
|Triumph Books
|Copyright Year
|9.25 in
|6.25 in
|0.75 in
|Unit weight
|1.05 lb
|A Catcher's View of the Braves Dynasty
|Lopez, Javy
|Country of Origin
|United States
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Behind The Plate: A Catcher's View of the Braves Dynasty (Hardcover)
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Varscona Theatre
That Was Then This Is Fringe continues next weekThat Was Then This Is Fringe ends Sunday, but This Will Still Be Fringe next week, when some of the festival's most popular shows get held over.
Fringe review: What Gives?The title itself is a perfect mantra for having fun at the Fringe. What Gives?, the fizzy '40s musical confection that marked Teatro La Quindicina's debut on the old Varscona ...
Review: Cocktails at Pam's is back, in intoxicating form"Mirth! Mirth!" cries Pam, the perfect hostess for whom the conjoined sounds of gaiety, chatter, and the clinking of glasses are the elixir of life. As we've re-discovered regularly since ...
We're invited for cocktails, at Pam's: signature Teatro comedy returnsNot so much a play as an actual cocktail party in real time, Cocktails at Pam's was revived at three separate Fringes five years apart. The signature Teatro La Quindicina ...
Sanjay Shahani's artistic vision: Meet the new leader of the Edmonton Arts CouncilAs the Edmonton Arts Council gets to know its new executive director, who started this week, signs point to a hopeful new era for the organization.
Teatro's tour of the galaxy conjures the heirs to the '60s with affectionReality may be nothing more than "a collective hunch," as Trudy proposes at the outset. But it makes for a vivid human galaxy tour in this spiralling group portrait of ...
For The Love Of Cynthia a festive start for Edmonton's new theatreFor the opening of the new Varscona, Teatro playwright Stewart Lemoine has specially fashioned a story about the way we tell our stories — the way we get inspired to ...
For The Love Of Cynthia: 'We wanted it to be a celebration'When you're launching the new theatre that has arisen, rather marvellously, from the mould, pestilential vapours, and good times of the old, "audiences shouldn't be seeing a play they've already ...
Local Arts
Edmonton Arts Council hires accomplished new executive directorThe Edmonton Arts Council has hired an accomplished artist and administrator as its new executive director.
A new Varscona Theatre, built from the bricks of the old one, is finally ready ...For the first time in a dozen years in this theatre town, a new theatre — built from the brick walls, the memories, and the spirit of an old one, ...


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The trades for Zack Greinke and Shaun Marcum will benefit the Milwaukee Brewers beyond just through their pitching capabilities. In obtaining this pair, the Brewers got two of the best fielders at their position in the sport.
Greinke tied for fifth-best among pitchers in 2010 with seven defensive runs saved. His 18 over the last three seasons rate second-best in baseball. Marcum, who ex-Baseball Tonight analyst J.P. Ricciardi said would someday win a Gold Glove, finished with four runs saved.
How does a pitcher save runs? There are two ways.
For one, both Greinke and Marcum very good at turning batted balls into outs. In Baseball Info Solutions plus-minus system, Greinke rated a +7 in 2010 and a +13 since 2008 (meaning he turned 13 more balls hit his way into outs than the average fielder would have), tied for second-best in baseball. Marcum was a +4 last season and a +8 in his last three seasons (he missed 2009 due to injury).
Most Defensive Runs Saved
Pitchers since 2008
Greinke finished runner-up in BIS' Fielding Bible Awards voting for pitchers, and for good reason. Three times last year, he got an out on a ground ball that earned him a +.88 or better (meaning 88 percent of balls hit to that location at that speed would not have been turned into outs by the average fielding pitcher). Each of those plays required Greinke to make a quick reaction, made possible by a follow-through that left him in an ideal fielding position.
The other stat for which both Greinke and Marcum get some credit is for their work in preventing runners from stealing bases.
Last season Marcum yielded only seven steals in 15 attempts for a career-best rate of 46.7 percent, thanks partly to Jose Molina's presence.
The Brewers might want to consider picking up Molina. Thanks to Baseball-Reference.com's splits pages, we know that Marcum made nine starts with Molina behind the plate last season, and had a 1.74 ERA, a .218 opponents on-base percentage in them, with opponents failing on all three steal attempts.
Greinke has had more sustained excellence in this area, yielding only 19 stolen bases in 43 attempts over the last three seasons (not including five times that Greinke picked a runner off).
Over the last three seasons, opponents have only stolen 19 bases in 43 attempts with Greinke pitching (not including five times that Greinke picked a runner off). Compare that to the success of baserunners stealing against his Royals counterparts (76.4 percent) in that time and it's evident that Greinke has a skill of significant value.
As much as the Brewers improved this offseason, there remains one very significant issue -- their infield defense rated among the worst in the sport last season. All four projected starters for 2011 (Prince Fielder, Rickie Weeks, Yuniesky Betancourt and Casey McGehee) ranked at or near the very bottom at their respective positions in defensive runs saved, not just last season, but over the last three to four years.
Thus, they figure to be quite thankful for the presence of both Greinke and Marcum this season, not just for how they prevent runs on the mound, but on how they prevent them in the field as well.