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Prediction Markets move into the forecasting mainstream
- Gordon Housworth [ 2/19/2007 - 22:29 ] #
Prediction Markets move into the forecasting mainstream as a "specialists market [that] is smarter than the broader and more turbulence susceptible big markets," thereby "attracting significant event risk monitoring attention and that it will tend to reflect presumptions driving some of the smart money at play in broader markets."
Prediction Markets have been of interest to me ever since DARPA's excellent, but politically tone deaf, Policy Analysis Market (PAM) was pulled down in less than a day due to misplaced Congressional criticism. (A future's contract on the assassination of Jordan's King Abdullah was one of PAM's launching examples; very pertinent but very tone deaf - typical of Poindexter, resulting in his resignation.) See: Avian Flu emerges as the new lighting rod for predictive futures markets, Dec 2005.
Speculation over Poindexter's departure spawned its own prediction market:
Intrade's futures contracts on the date of the first Avian Flu infection in the US struck me as an excellent bit of informed prediction that could better the received wisdom of pundits and self-styled experts. See Prediction without accountability: calling the expertise and honesty of expert predictors into question, January, 2006
I agree with a colleague's assessment of Intrade (private note):
Wolfers and Zitzewitz describe this form of Prediction Market as:
These probability, mean or median type contracts are differentiated:
Corporate forecasting, dodgy in all but the best of cases, should be able to benefit from internal Prediction Markets that tap the incipient organization (how work gets done) within a firm as opposed to its organizational chart (how work is theoretically done):
My colleague was on the same ground (private note):
Used wisely, the combination of internal prediction markets and other tools has the potential of revealing potent social networks that could (should) become the basis for employee elevation. (See the Krebs social networking items in Globally dispersed, indigenously sited communities of terrorists upgrading to locally produced chembio agents, Nov 2006.)
I am not alone in predicting that this 'wisdom of specialized crowds' will be closely watched. With regards to its use as predictor of 2008 presidental and Congressional seats, I immediately wondered to colleagues:
Reader Responses to the Column
Odds Are, Theyll Know 08 Winner
Prediction Markets
The Furor Over 'Terrorism Futures'
If This Is Harebrained, Bet on the Hare
Gordon Housworth
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Whoa! Haul the bus I want to get off!
The past few weeks have been a mad swirl, like going round the race track in Monza in a F1 car; except I'm not actually in the car, more like being dragged behind it in roller skates, clinging on for dear life.
Back to school
We've had the whole 'back to school' drama, of new uniforms, and a list of stationary that will keep Easons in business (even if they don't sell another paperback) the rest of the year. This is only halfway – because, once bought, every… and I mean EVERY bast***ding thing has to be labeled with a name. <Note to self: I could save a whole lot of time next year by buying ready named pencils>
And I did it, I named e.v.e.r.y.t.h.i.n.g.– do I get a sticker saying "well done! I named all the stuff"? No
Do I go onto a Mum's league table for getting it all sorted?
Again, no.
Is it too much to ask – a little bit of credit for getting my shit together? (Apparently yes)
Nobody knows the strain, how against the grain this level of organisation is pour moi. I am – as revealed by lovely Kim from Rhinoceros Dreams – a pantser. Yes it would be lovely to be the 'panther' that my spell check is desperate to change that to, but no, 'Pantser' it is, and 'Pantser' it remains – someone who flies by the seat of their pants. Kim's reference was specifically for writing, but as I mentioned to her, I am a dyed in the wool, card carrying, lifelong panther and pretty much apply this mentality to everything… except the boys, I try to keep some level of organisation there; if I didn't the scale of the disorganisation would be truly and very scarily epic. Read Kim's post https://rhinocerosdreams.com/give-pantser-writing-prompt/
So having 'named all of the stuff' so begins the second round; backing books. Bring on the sticky backed plastic.
Next – Backing Books
You need to imagine Spaghetti Western music, and tumbleweed as me and the sticky back plastic have a Mexican standoff at the dining room table.
Right, so it's done. But I used all of the swear words; every last one of them, and made up a few more. Last year I believe I played a blinder and managed to back their books using Pokemon cards, thats 25 cards that won't be lying on my floor; only 5638 to find another use for then, but this was ruled out for this year, dang & blast!
So that was boys back to school, and the bank account emptied.
Next was stepson No. 2 going back to Uni – <enter Stage Left the mother load of laundry> No bloody wonder his room stank! A full box of laundry powder later, and it turns out he actually went up to the attic looking for yet more gear to be washed. humph.
Then I had a brain fart, I had forgotten I had promised to make him brownies, and I was almost out of time (I am a pantser remember). So that had to happen.
I have never made brownies before, this would be broaching new territory.
I am now the Brownie Bitch – they rock!
Back in the kitchen, baking brownies
The first batch disappeared like snow off a ditch, there was nothing to pack, his Dad and brothers cleared every last crumb. i made another batch, and got about 9 into a tin pretty much immediately. Blinked and the remaining brownies disappeared. Have now made two more batches and there is a run on these as we speak.
In my head I am now planning a new career selling Brownies by post, and am developing all sorts of recipe ideas, incorporating salted caramel, cherries for a Black Forrest Brownie, and chilli jam for my El Diablo. How can I be naming stuff that doesn't actually exist? Anyway unlike my allotment, it'll never bear fruit – but in the unlikely event that anything happens other than me waking my self up snoring – you'll be the first to know.
Talking of the plot, it always picks the most inopportune time to go ballistic, which would be the past fortnight. We are in Tomatogedden again – despite not actually planting any tomatoes this year after the last palaver. However it is the cucumbers that are this year's stand out thugs, and are pushing fruit out faster than Culchies buying Buckfast in a half price promotion.
I have given loads away, my family are sick looking at them, so are the neighbours; they are great in gin, but if I gave away any more with that in mind I'd be pushing folk into borderline alcoholism.
The elephant in the room here is pickling. I had a pickle incident last year when I tried to pickle the green tomatoes. Between you and me – vile! Absolutely disgusting! Not only did the house reek of vinegar for a week, we lost a layer of tooth enamel trying to eat the stuff. I still have three pots of it, just in case I need a present for someone I don't like.
Anyhoo, I decided to give pickling another go, using a different method.
Well, darlings, we have success! I made my own sweet spiced vinegar and have now pickled numerous cucumbers, my onions, beetroot, and carrots. Its YUM! Thank God, because I don't know what else I could have done!
I have already finished one pot, any excuse and I'll have pickle with that. Amazeballs!
I'll put up a recipe post soon for the brownies and also the pickles, just in case you fancy having a go, but I'll have to wrap this up as I am out of time… again, and will be late with tea, which is a cardinal sin.

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I took a trip to help a dear friend move recently and rediscovered a simple, fundamental truth that transcends all of life: camouflage hides stuff, whether you want it to or not. This holds true with your kitchen counter top, and your story. "Where's the packing tape," I mumbled to myself as I looked over … Continue reading Pen Tip #5: Camouflage
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| Odyssey Program Testimonials
Three participants to the Odyssey Program share examples and their views after going through this live changing experience.


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Current News
Meetings – The Parish Council is using the virtual platform Zoom. Next Meeting on 7 September 2020 at 7.30pm – Contact Clerk for joining instructions.
Public Access Defibrillator now operational in the BT Phone Box, Lynn Road – Phone 999 for code.
Marking the 75th Anniversary of VE and VJ Days – We will remember them
Little Library – Books not available due to Covid-19 restrictions
Contact Us
The Clerk to the Parish Council
[email protected]
Local Government
- Norfolk County Council Norfolk County Council – responsible for education, highways and social services.
- King's Lynn & W.Norfolk Borough Council District Council
Churches in the area
Local Schools
Category Archives: Photo Album
Grimston in 1910
The Roman Villa, 200 yards West of the church The Grimston Clock, erected in honour of Queen Victoria's Jubilee Albion Place, now called Massingham Road
Posted in Photo Album Comments Off on Grimston in 1910


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Tag Archives: memory
Letting Go
It's been a long couple of weeks. In a way, I did too much too fast, but I could feel time running out on me. There were a couple days I relaxed, and went to the beach, but most days … Continue reading
Posted in 2017-04, Georgia, Uncategorized Tagged california, memory, Peace Corps, San Diego, travel Leave a comment
Lanterns on the Path of Memory
Knowing I'll be leaving makes this place look different. I've been so wrapped up in the problems of the Peace Corps medical clearance that I keep forgetting how close it is. A week to finish work. A week and a … Continue reading
Posted in 2017-02, Taiwan, Uncategorized Tagged american, culture, English, Lantern, memory, Mexico, Peace Corps, photography, Taiwan, travel Leave a comment
I've been thinking back to when I was the age of my student, and I realized I can't remember anything from that time. There are memories, but I don't know how old I was at the time, just a concept … Continue reading
Posted in 2016-12, Taiwan, Uncategorized Tagged buddhism, demons, English, faith, meaning of life, memory, Students, teaching, travel 2 Comments


text: meet a board member CAI West Florida Chapter Would like to thank the outgoing members of our Board of Directors for their service to our chapter: Sheila Connell Mary Hawk, Esq. Kevin Wells, Esq. &0&$$063&$03RUJHV+DPOLQ.QRZOHV 7KH/DZ2I¿FHVRI &RPPXQLW\$VVRFLDWLRQ0DQDJHU +DZN3$ :HOOV2ODK We would like to thank the outgoing president of our Board of Directors Lee Howell, CMCA, AMS &RPPXQLW\$VVRFLDWLRQ0DQDJHU /HHZLOOUHPDLQRQWKH%RDUGRI'LUHFWRUVDV,PPHGLDWH3DVW3UHVLGHQW And to welcome the incoming president of our Board of Directors Term beginning January 1, 2018: Floyd "Duff" Smiley &RPPXQLW\$VVRFLDWLRQ9ROXQWHHU/HDGHU Finally, we would like to welcome the new members of our Board of Directors Terms beginning January 1, 2018: Bill Ashby Telese McKay, Esq. ,QGLYLGXDO0DQDJHU%DNHU3DXO'RUPDQ 0F.D\ Cindi Bass (Re-elected) )ORULGD6RXWKHUQ5RR¿QJ 6KHHWPHWDO,QF Thank you all for the gift of your time, knowledge and experience for the continued success of our chapter! WWW.CAIWESTFLORIDA.ORG community • December 2017 11


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The number of people visiting Australia continues to grow with most arriving for a holiday as 7.3% more took a vacation in the 12 months to September 2017 than in the previous year.
Figures show that that in September alone there were 663,500 visitor arrivals, a rise of 2.6% compared to the same month in 2016.
And in the 12 months to September there were 8.7 million visitors, a rise of 7.4% on the previous year, led by people arriving for a holiday.
China is leading the growth with 1,364,700 visitors over the 12-month period and there has also been a rise in visitors from other Asian countries with numbers up 15.3% from India and up 13.3% from Hong Kong.
A new report suggests that with an increasing number of people from China visiting Australia, more needs to be done to welcome them, in particular when it comes to language.
Australia needs to boost the learning of Mandarin, provide more Chinese language signs, improve its airports and ensure its visa processes are quick and easy, according to a report from international management consulting firm L.E.K. Consulting.
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The report, based on extensive interviews with Chinese visitors and senior executives from across the tourism, trade and related sectors, shows there is a lot more work to do if Australia is to capture the full value from the Chinese tourism boom.
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Research also suggests that a lot of Chinese people are tourists, but around 20% are visiting family and friends, 13% are students and around 9% are in the country on business.
Tourism Australia is actively encouraging businesses in the industry to gear up for Chinese visitors. It suggests that hotels can consider employing Mandarin speaking front desk staff or offering Chinese TV channels or newspapers as well as restaurants providing Chinese food options or translated menus.
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The Caol Ila Distillery gets its name from its location on the Island of Islay. Caol Ila, pronounced as 'kul-eela', is Gaelic for "Sound of Islay". It nestles in a quiet isolated cove near Port Askaig, on the north-east corner of the island. Built in 1846 by Hector Henderson it has seen many changes in ownership but rarely stopped production. In 1857 the distillery was purchased by Bulloch ...
Laphroaig, pronounced 'la-froyg', is Gaelic for "the beautiful hollow by the broad bay". This town lends it name to the exceptional single malt from the tiny Island of Islay off the west coast of Scotland. The inimitable whisky is distilled and bottled by the original founders of the distillery, D. Johnston & Co. The distillery is located in a broad depression on the south coast of Islay, ...


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Vendor: Westfield Studios
|Weight: 6 ounces
Stock No: WW785082
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Homeschool Specialists▼▲
The 9-lesson survey for biology covers life classification, plants, aquatic creatures, birds, land animals, mankind, and a brief history of genetics. Four DVDs, approx. 4.5 hours total.
The 19-segment curriculum on chemistry includes the periodic table of elements. Four DVDs, approx.11 hours total.
Ask a Question▼▲
Q: Does the Chemistry 101 set with DVD come with the answer key?
Yes, this curriculum includes printable quizzes and an answer key.
Q: Does the guidebook contain any color pictures? I am not sure if I should print it on a laser printer to save money or a color printer. thank you for any help.
They made all the pictures in the guidebook grey scale or black and white.
Q: Does this course include any sort of experiments?
This course includes a number of lab experiments in the film, most of which require items you can find in a local store and around the house.
Q: How can I incororate labs into the chemistry 101 curriculum?
Most of the 19 segments include 1 or 2 mini-labs in the one-year highschool course booklet which is included.
Q: Is this curriculum accetable for college bound students?
Yes, this curriculum includes a printable coursebook that can be used for high school credit.
Q: how do I get to the accreditation booklet and guidebook? (I do have pdf)
The accreditation booklet and guidebook are found on the last CD in pdf format. To access and print them you need to insert the CD into your computer and open the files.
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- DVDs >> Homeschool >> Science
- Homeschool >> Subjects >> Science >> Science Publishers >> More Science Curriculum
- Homeschool >> Subjects >> Science >> Science Subjects >> Chemistry
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We offer thousands of quality curricula, workbooks, and references to meet your homeschooling needs. To assist you in your choices, we have included the following symbol next to those materials that specifically reflect a Christian worldview.
If you have any questions about specific products, our knowledgeable Homeschool Specialists will be glad to help you. Just call us at 1-800-CHRISTIAN.


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Afternoon Tea
> Here
Japanese Matcha tea is a magical, earthy, and beautiful tea. It is made only from the best tea leaves. Camellia sinensis (green tea) is grown in the shade for three weeks before harvest, and have had the stems and veins removed before grinding. Its unique chemical makeup is said to imbue the drinker with a kind of calm energy. This special tea is used in the Japanese Tea Ceremony and is used for meditative and spiritual purposes. Matcha is also used to flavor a wide variety of delicious confections such as mochi, green tea ice cream, and traditional Japanese wagashi. It is also seen in savory applications such as soba noodles! Preparing the perfect cup (or traditionally a bowl) of matcha one would use a Japanese tea bowl and a bamboo whisk. Sift 1-2 teaspoons of matcha powder using a fine mesh sieve into your tea bowl. Then add 2oz of hot (just under boiling) water to the bowl. Using your bamboo whisk, whisk the tea quite vigorously using a zig-zag pattern until your tea is nice and frothy. Then enjoy your delicious Matcha tea straight from your tea bowl. We strongly recommend that if you have an interest in the Japanese Tea Ceremony to check your local area for a tea house or market that teaches or holds the ceremony. If you are from the greater Portland, OR area be sure to check out the tea house at the Portland Japanese Garden, itÍs beautiful!
Matcha is a viviacious and lively medium toned green with a very strong golden sheen and oodles and oodles of soft gold and light green sparkles. Matcha is not lip safe, but makes for a gorgeous springtime single wash eye look. Matcha would pair beautifully with Iron Crunch from our Shadow Galactica collection! Matcha is shown swatched over our Power Up Primer.
Swatch photo above taken with cool white studio flash, video below taken under indirect warm LED lighting.
2019 Geek Chic Cosmetics Cornelius, OR 97113
Contact Us


text: This is my New Years resolution: to publish this book I'm writing! It's called a Summer Beginning and it's about a teenage girl and her adventures with her friends, and focuses on her relationship family and God. I'm hoping this book will be a best-seller when I grow up. I'm hoping it will also inspire girls to be the best they can be! 🙂


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National Initiative Fund (NIF)
NIF supports all legislative, state medical board and advocacy outreach on both state and federal levels. Because of these funds, ABPS boards of certification have become more recognized as part of the national standard in physician specialty board certification throughout the medical community, as well as, the federal and state government.
NIF at Work
Your NIF support funded outreach efforts to key stakeholders that has changed bylaws in hospitals and gain recognition with managed care organizations. The Department of Labor has now defined Physician Board Certification to include ABPS, along with ABMS and AOA in their Occupational Outlook Handbook. In addition, federal programs such as the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, the Veterans Health Administration and United States Armed Forces under the GI Bill have updated their own definitions to recognize ABPS boards of certification.
Various state legislatures and medical boards have also completed their due diligence and retain strict language that accepts and recognizes ABPS as a certifying board that meets the high standards of certification they require. ABPS is recognized by a majority of the state medical boards that have specific advertising rules. Further, ABPS is recognized and listed on HealthGrades -- America's leading online physician resource for consumers.


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Register Your Challenge!
We are a group of university students wanting to take on both a physical and fundraising challenge.
Mind help to support those with mental health problems, and their families. They aim to challenge the status quo and change attitudes surrounding society's view of mental health.
Homepage of Mind.
This challenge took place on Monday, 20 June, 2016.
Record your time
The National Three Peaks Challenge takes in the highest mountains in Scotland, England and Wales, often in 24 hours.


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Life giving gender relationships have been an integral concern for CABSA since its inception in 2001. However, CABSA has become increasingly aware of the importance of this issue within the context of the Aids pandemic.
CABSA is the copyright owner of the Churches, Channels of Hope (CCoH) programme and materials. 'Churches, Channels of Hope' is a programme mobilising faith communities to respond to the challenges of HIV. CABSA empowers leaders to become facilitators in their own communities and challenges them to be "channels of hope" through their lives and ministries.
The initial facilitator training is followed up by a mentor programme through which CABSA endeavours to keep contact with and further assist facilitators to implement the 'Churches, Channels of Hope' principles and concepts in their own communities.
The importance of Gender relationships have been emphasised in the structure of CCoH Training as well as the Mentor Programme since 2003. Training teams are chosen to represent both sexes as well as the population of South Africa. CABSA expects regional representatives to be good ambassadors of healthy gender relationships.
In 2005 CABSA was involved in discussions to further "engender" the CCoH materials because we realised that –
"People in most if not all societies act in ways that are culturally defined by gender and that are not helpful in relation to, in particular, the spread of HIV;
"The centrality of good relationships must be emphasized; and
"It has to be emphasized how fundamental and central the issue of 'relationship' is – how we relate to God, to ourselves and to others" (Quotes from workshop Minutes).
During 2007, CABSA was supported by WVSA to improve the mainstreaming of gender in the CCoH materials. A CABSA discussion workshop was held February 2007 with representatives from WVI and WVSA together with practitioners and specialists.
The outcomes of this initiative were:
These changes have been implemented successfully in the training since the middle of 2008.
The guiding principle which CABSA developed:
"Our relationships: To uphold the dignity and worth of every human being"
Once we understand that God created all human beings with immense value – and that Christ died for all of us – it should be reflected in an attitude of respect towards every individual. Our respect or lack thereof is demonstrated in our relationships.
In other words:
The gender module of the training course introduces gender through:
To emphasise the importance of CABSA's gender focus, the refresher meetings that form part of the mentor programme for trained facilitators is used to facilitate exploratory gender exercises. CABSA conducts 2 to 3 refresher meetings per annum, involving 30 to 50 trained facilitators. As more time is available at these meetings, these gender sessions have been most enlightening for all participants as well as for CABSA.
These developments will be continued and expanded in coming years, as CABSA is continually improving CCoH materials.
CARIS pays specific attention to collecting important information on Gender to form part of the website and specifically the resource database. In the constantly developing tools and resource section, materials are collected that focus on working with gender and also on working with, and including, men in this work. Advocacy materials and campaigns on gender and gender based violence are highlighted.
CABSA staff emphasise life giving gender relationships in networking and advocacy opportunities where possible and strive to embody this in all actions and relationships.
What CABSA has learned:


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Virginia Paving Company is one of Virginia's premier asphalt pavement producers and paving contractors, providing quality services for the construction and maintenance of transportation systems, commercial projects, and residential developments.
Our concern for pavement quality and customer service is complimented by one of the best safety records in the industry.
Our vision is to build upon our reputation of integrity and commitment to excellence. Guided by a framework of sound business disciplines, teamwork, and shared set of values, we strive to be the asphalt contractor of choice.
Virginia Paving Company—helping Virginia move smoothly.


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Alright? Here goes then. Reports in from the Environments Agents people in Londonshire say it's going to piss down big time all day today. And all night too.
If you haven't got a good cagoule, you know like an expensive one with a Gawtex lining, you're screwed. That's all you gotta know.
Advice from the mapsters is to cancel everything; do not attempt to enjoy yourself. You might want to smash up your barbecue as a precaution.
Find out more about breaking wind and weather at www.icantbelieveitsnotsummer.org.
Posted by dosretgent | Filed under Weather


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LilJeffgoesin - Exotic [@necterr Submitted]
This "Exotic" song by up and coming artist LilJeffGoesin is starting to buzz in the industry. With his numbers steadily increasing up the charts on streaming services, this video is sure to get your attention. With a video full of bad girls captured perfectly by @voice2hard, I am sure this video will do nothing but boost his career.
Please click the "Report" button below if the video on this page is not working properly.
Comments will only be displayed by verified emails. No Spamming or Racism.


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Hi there. Welcome to my profile. I hope you like what you hear. Have a Nice day :)
- Fl Studio 12
30 followers
Spinnin' Records uses cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website and its services. For more information see our cookies policy.


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I'm pretty sure this is war. Definitely a conflict. Struggle is sounding very appropriate.
Tiff? No. Spat? Not so much. Altercation? That's not quite right either. These give the impression that a resolution is possible. Not the case my friend. I'm locked in for the long-term.
This is war. It's because of your demanding schedule and my hypothalamus. Specifically my Suprachiasmatic. Don't be embarrassed, that is a big word that no one should know. I had to look it up and if I'm being honest if I ever find myself in a situation that requires mentioning it again, I'll have to look it up that time too.
I know what you're thinking. "What are we talking about Stacy? Get to it already" and that right there is exactly the kind of ridiculousness I'm up against. It is barely 11AM and here you are expecting me to articulate like a King because you're busy. Probably doing things and getting things done. If that is your position then you are the problem. And I am the problem. And other people who are like me. And also you, If you are like me. As well as people who are like you if you are not like me. I don't know everything. I do not know all of the details. I do know that we have a problem and their should probably be a war.
For the longest time I thought I failed at basic life stuff. Like waking up in the morning and functioning and doing good deeds. Then I took a DNA test. I learned things. A lot of things. Like all about my genetically imposed circadian rhythm. I'm not supposed to wake up in the morning. I'm not supposed to function in your 9 to 5 structure. You all thought I was a crazy person doing spontaneous Kung Foo but really I've been walking face first in to your web of lies!
Think of it this way. We live in different time zones. I'm about 6 hours different from you. When you want me to be somewhere at 7Am I'm going to struggle. The event starts at 10? Sorry I had to miss it. That's like 4am to me. Oh how the tables would turn if ever we, as a free thinking society, decided to cater to our more capable at night-ers. Then it would be me saying "You're late again. Are you wearing pajamas? You always look angry, smile more." and you would turn to me with fire in your eye and say "Because it is 2 in the morning and I am tired. Just pour the coffee and shut your pie hole Sharon" What's wrong skipper? you blanched a little at the thought. Are you trying to tell me the very idea of you being somewhere bright-eyed and bushy-tailed at 2AM is preposterous? ridiculous? inappropriate? unacceptable? I feel all the same feels about your precious 8AM. As I very well should.
My eye color. Your receding hairline. We don't control those. It's genetic. I have all the wrong chromosomes in all the right places or vice versa to make me most alert around 5pm. If all of life's important stuff took place at 5pm I would astound you with my magnificence. You would say "She's a real go getter with a bright future" Sadly it is not the case. As it is we're meeting at like 9Am and instead you say things a long the lines of "Hello? Have you been drinking? Do you know where you are?"
That alternate reality in which I am a star seems unlikely so despite having proclaimed that my operating hours are between 2-10pm I'm going to have to explore my hypothalamus (that's where the suprachiasmatic nerves are and that's what sets my late night clock) I'm going to have to learn its ways so that I can outsmart it. I have to find a way to force myself to shine my brilliance despite the odd hours you have imposed upon me and my people so that I can help others. If this were a cartoon, I would also be battling on behalf of my good friends the owl and the bat.
Why? I'm an adult. I can just say "I gotta be me Boo" and take no questions until a more afternoonly time. Alas, it is not so simple. The children. The poor young fools. Three of my six children are cursed with the same circadian rhythm. It is for them that I seek a cure.
I wake them up for school at ungoldy times. Their unfocused eyes penetrate my soul and their unspoken question "have you lost your mind" is heard and understood. I am angry too because I should be asleep. I shove them out the door unable to say the right words, but I know. I know I must help them learn to cope in this cruel and unfair world of morning dwellers. After my nap.


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Pikatti Glen
Pikatti GlenB04 GLEN
The Pikatti 'Glen' features a beautiful frame in aerospace grade Titanium, inlaid with beechwood. The razor-sharp blade is 'Copper Wave' damascus steel with core in VG-5. The one-hand button lock and the thumb stud are set with citrine gemstones.
The perfect companion for every occasion, the Pikatti is the smallest of William Henry's folding knives, and the 'Glen' also features some of the exotic materials and forged metals of our collection.
Features & Specs
- One-hand button lock system
- Dimensions:
Blade 2.00" (50.8mm)
Handle 2.63" (66.8mm)
Overall open 4.63" (117.6mm)
Citrine is a variety of quartz whose color ranges from a pale yellow to brown due to ferric impurities.
The name is derived from Latin citrina which means "yellow" and is also the origin of the word "citron." Sometimes citrine and amethyst can be found together in the same crystal, which is then referred to as ametrine.
Copper Wave damascus
This beautiful William Henry exclusive blade steel (patent pending) incorporates copper and stainless steel into a 45 layer Wave Damascus that features a core of VG-5 stainless steel. This steel attains a hardness of HRC 59, excellent by any standards, at the cutting edge.
Titanium is a low density, strong, lustrous, corrosion-resistant (including sea water, aqua regia and chlorine) metal with a silver color.
It was discovered in Great Britain by William Gregor in 1791, and named by Martin Heinrich Klaproth for the Titans of Greek mythology
William Henry uses only aerospace-grade titanium alloy for our frames, clips, and micro-fasteners. Called 6Al/4V, it is titanium with a little aluminum and vanadium added in for additional toughness and tensile strength.


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Friday, December 4, 2009
Thou Shalt Not Covet They Neighbor's Volvo SUV
Two spaces away from the Volvo was an Audi SUV, also black. This woman was loading her groceries in the spacious trunk. I started imagining how much room Juliette would have in the back of such a car, kicking her legs about in her car seat. But it would be tough to parallel park one of those mammoths, and didn't that environmental type on TV just say that smaller cars were the way to go to save the planet? But my logic went out the window thinking of those plush seats.
Little did I know that later in the week I'd be happy just to be able to drive my "toy car" and see out the windshield. That's because some punk smashed in the right passenger side back window. While I was sitting cozily in my student's office discussing brands and value for your money, said punk was probably thinking I had a GPS in the car. In fact, it was with me in my bag. That'll teach me not to leave the plastic support thing on the windshield. And in the vandal's code of conduct, he smashed a window that would still allow me to drive home. But he totally disregarded the fact that there was a baby car seat on that side and that glass pieces would be littering the seat and area around it. Shame on him.
Luckily my student covered the window with yellow plastic bags and packing tape, which prevented some of the bitter cold air from entering the car on the ride home. I had to drop by the apartment and vacuum up the car seat before picking baby up of course. Remi called the company that always advertizes on TV here about window repair (Carglass répare, Carglass remplace = Carglass repairs, Carglass replaces), and just as in their ads, they took care of things quickly and efficiently. Now I've got a replacement window and they vacuumed up the major glass bits from the seat and floor area. I still found a few tiny pieces so I've got to watch out. And clean off the adhesive tape remnants from the temporary patching my student did.
And I'll try not to complain too much about driving around in a "baby car".
5 comments:
- Jessamyn said...
Oh my gosh, so sorry babe! I hate that you had to deal with that. And yes, how very rude of your vandal to not pay attention to a car seat. Glad you got it fixed - but you be careful! Love ya!
- December 4, 2009 at 3:38 PM
- Jenenz said...
That punk will be getting a big lump of coal in his stocking this year. I'm glad you and baby are okay. And that the car is taken care of. Hang in there!
- December 6, 2009 at 6:59 PM
- Crystal said...
oh no! i can't believe that happened? What is wrong with people?? I'm glad you were able to get it repaired quickly though.
I'm actually quite surprised that nothing ever happened to my car because I had to park it in the street every night. Besides a damaged side mirror, no one ever broke or scratched anything. But, on more than one occasion, the other people around where I lived would find their tires slashed thanks to bored, punk kids.
Sorry you had to deal with that. :(
- December 7, 2009 at 7:57 PM
Dear Milam,
WOW!!! That's an awful way to spend a day. I've been there. Once someone broke the driver's window of my car in the middle of the night and opened the back door and took some packages from the back seat. They left the back door open and my neighbors were crazy the next day thinking I had been abducted. It was over Christmas break and I was sleeping in and REALLY enjoying it when I heard people screaming my name and knocking loudly on my gate.
The justice was that the packages they took were books from the book club that I was sending back. I laughed thinking how upset they were when they opened it because they probably couldn't READ!!!!
Glad you and JuJu are ok. Love you much,
- December 8, 2009 at 1:30 AM
- 草莓聖代Star said...
- March 9, 2010 at 9:26 AM


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Birns Hires Meredith
BIRNS, Inc. said that Bruce Meredith has joined its sales team as Technical Sales Manager. In his new role, Meredith will be responsible for leading the company's sales team, overseeing its global distributor and dealer networks, and managing accounts for advanced deep submergence connectors and cable assemblies and high performance marine and nuclear lighting systems sales.
Meredith brings decades of sales and marketing experience to his new role. Prior to joining the team at BIRNS, he served in a range of sales management leadership roles, including Western Regional Vice President for Custom Bilt Metals, General Manager/Vice President of Sales for Exceptional Solutions Group, and Vice President of Sales and Marketing at Rapid Rack Industries. Meredith holds a Bachelor of Arts in Mathematics.


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"No extra stuff."
Damian Lillard outdueled Russell Westbrook yet again in Game 4 on Sunday night, as the Portland Trail Blazers picked up a 111-98 victory in OKC to take a commanding 3-1 series lead.
After the game, in which Westbrook was 0-7 with just one point in the second half, Blazers' center Jusuf Nurkic took a jab at Westbrook via twitter.
Westbrook scored 14 points on 5-of-21 shooting with nine rebounds and seven assists, but he simply could not buy a bucket down the stretch. According to ESPN, the All Star point guard missed his last 10 shots.
"Sometimes you have nights like that," Westbrook said. "That happens sometimes. But it just wasn't good enough for us to get the win."
Meanwhile, Lillard connected on 5-of-7 shots in the third quarter, which allowed the Blazers to take control of the pivotal Game 4.
"I didn't feel the need to get overly aggressive in the first half, once I saw how the game was going," Lillard said. "But then in the third, I felt like that was the time when we needed to hit the gas."
CJ McCollum led the Blazers with 27 points, and Al-Farouq Aminu chipped in 19 points with nine rebound. The series now shifts back to Portland on Tuesday night, as Lillard, McCollum and co. look to close out the series in Game 5.


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It often help to see how others have approached this so visit the Case Studies page to read how other developers, property owners, management companies and home owner associations have planned and provided PEV charging infrastructure for their residents.
Since plug-in vehicles need to be charged frequently, it is recommended that you explore your charging options before acquiring an electric vehicle. For many drivers, home charging provides the most convenient and affordable way to charge your vehicle.
The ideal situation for a multi-housing occupant would be to have a charging station by a dedicated parking spot at or near their building. This might not be possible in every case, but it is worth looking into all options and seeing if you can find a way to get a satisfactory charging setup. There really aren't any silver bullet solutions for multi housing charging (MHC)—instead, every system has to be designed on a case-by-case basis, looking at the vehicle owner's needs and the property limitations, whether physical or legal. The good news is that this doesn't necessarily mean big investments and high usage fees, but finding the right solutions might require a bit of legwork.
If, after all the planning and negotiations, you find out that there is no way to arrange for the necessary charging infrastructure at your home, consider whether any of the following options might work for you:Try to secure a dedicated nighttime parking spot with charging infrastructure from a nearby parking facility.Explore whether you could arrange charging solutions at your workplace. You can find more information on workplace charging by visiting www.workplacecharging.com. Look at the availability of public charging infrastructure nearby.
PlugInConnect sites: MultiHousingCharging.com
Copyright © MultiHousingCharging.com. All rights reserved.


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There's Been A New Addition To The Griffith Spring Fest!
We hope you're hungry!
Trip Advisor
There has been an exciting new addition to the Griffith Spring Fest this year thanks to local chef Rod Pieper of Reggie P's Catering & BBQ.
Introducing.... 'Botanica', a celebration of the regions delicious food and wine which will be taking place on Saturday, October 19th from 6PM at the scenic Calabria Family Wines.
To start off an amazing night, there will be signature canapés, courtesy of Chef Roderick, paired with a complimentary glass of Calabria Family Wine to sip on while you peruse some of the impressive art displays from local artists.
Griffith City Council's Tourism Manager Mirella Guideline says it's exciting to be able to share the regions produce with locals and visitors of the festival.
"This region is packed with some of the best produce around so it makes sense to celebrate with this feast."
- Ms Guidolin
After guests have finished with canapés, they will be seated at a long, outdoor table where they will be treated to a delicious, two course feast from Chef Roderick, while kicking back and watching the sun set over the region.
The talented Jones Trio will serenade guests into dessert, which will consist of handmade Gelato by Chef Ben and the team at Zecca Handmade Italian Griffith.
Botanica is an over 18 event and tickets can be found at Eventbrite or head to the Griffith Spring Fest website for more info!
In case you missed the show this morning, make sure to tune into the podcast below...


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Phishing is a fraudulent scam in which hackers or scammers attempt to fraudulently obtain information from you for malicious reasons. They often disguise themselves as a trusted source, like your bank, university, or service provider, and they're looking for sensitive information, like usernames, passwords, and financial account information. They appear to be a trustworthy source, but are in fact trying to scam you. Phishing scams mimic the process of fishing—only, you're the fish. Scammers put out a lure in the form of a fake form of communication (usually an email that leads to a fake website) in the hopes they will bait you by getting you to bite and provide the sensitive information. There are several key indicators you may be falling victim to a phishing scam, as well as ways to ensure you will not be baited.
If you receive an email that you're concerned about, review it to see if you can find any of the top red flag indicators. The scams often try to panic the recipient, making them think they're a victim of fraudulent activity and need to act immediately or they will lose their account. Often, the email will not be addressed to you, the recipient. If it were coming from a legitimate source, they would know your name. Do you recognize who the email is coming from? Were you expecting an email of this sort? Do they address you using your name in the body of the email, or does it say customer? If you use the company's resources, they should know your name. Make sure the body of the email doesn't have any obvious indicators that something corrupt is going on. For instance, an email that says you've exceeded the number of attempts allotted to access your account when you've not logged in recently is an obvious red flag. The email shouldn't be littered with grammatical errors either. They also (obviously) shouldn't be asking for any sensitive information.
However, scammers are smart. Some of them may have corrected all these simple mistakes already. They know your name and the body of the email appears legitimate. So what do you do to prevent being a victim of a vicious phishing scam? For starters, don't click on the links in the emails. Chances are, if you use the company a lot, you already have them bookmarked in your browser. Otherwise, use a search engine to type in the company's name and the link from the potentially fraudulent email to go to the correct site. The email is legitimate if you see the same information when you log into your account on the legitimate site. This process is the only way you'll guarantee you land on the legitimate site. Clicking on theirs will take you wherever they want you to land, and while it may look convincing, giving them the information they request will put you in danger. Read your emails in plain text so you can see where image URLs are directing you. Be sure you also install a good tool that will determine if the website you're on is safe or malicious. Of course, you should also have a good antivirus solution.
If worse comes to worst and you believe you've fallen victim to a phishing scam, you should immediately change all your passwords, especially if you use the same or similar passwords for multiple sites. Once they have your information, hackers will be trying to access all your other accounts. File a phishing scam complaint with the FTC. Then, be sure to call the computer experts at Dijital Majik in St. Cloud, MN and bring your machine in to have any threats addressed.


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What your employees need to know about cybersecurity
An IT Security audit merely observes the status of your environment, and always requires follow-up to address the deficiencies the audit identified. Most firms don't have the staff to effectively execute implementation and develop written policies to continually safeguard their businesses. That is where Adsero Security has demonstrated expertise. Adsero Security can teach your employees what they can do to be safe. Read on to learn some office basics to prevent cybersecurity issues.
f you are not educating your employees on cybersecurity best practices, you are missing the biggest opportunity for improvement in your cybersecurity profile.
Employees have business-need access to a lot of important data, and their ability to protect that data – or to inadvertently let it walk out the door of your organization – is vital.
Lack of education was at the heart of a number of incidents of a major security breach. You probably heard about the new human resources employee who got an email from the president of the organization asking for tax information on every employee, so that person sent them exactly as instructed.
The employee did not recognize the email came from a hacker impersonating the CEO, and there was a major security breach.
Entire business models are based on this kind of fraud. Let's pretend I am going to build a site with the world's best collection of cute pet pictures. I'll give you the first 10 for free (and those 10 are the most adorable pictures you have ever seen), but to see more, you need to set up a username and password. The access is still free, though.
No big deal, right? Wrong. In this scenario, I own this website and I am a criminal, and my business model is to try to use the username and password you just entered at every major banking website, on all major email providers, on your company's VPN portal, and anywhere else that I think you might have used the same username and password.


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Learn about these benefit offerings
Get coverage from an employer or group health plan? Review the plan benefit information you received from them.
Our Medicare Advantage Plans may offer coverage beyond Original Medicare benefits such as dental care, eyewear and/or hearing aids. These benefits may be included in the plan's premium or offered as an Optional Supplemental Benefit (this means you pay an additional premium).
The benefits may be an allowance or offered via a network.
- Allowance - lets you see any licensed provider in the U.S. who accepts Medicare patients and has not opted out of Original Medicare.
- Network - requires you to see a network provider for covered services. PPO plans may offer out-of-network coverage at higher cost shares.
Follow these steps to search for plan benefits in your area:
- Enter your zip code and then "Continue to plans"
- Review the plan list
- Choose "View Plan Details" to find more plan information


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Phone: 903-262-2400
Degrees and Certifications:
Education: Bachelor of Interdisciplinary Studies from Texas College Tyler, TX Texas Teaching Certification Early Childhood Education-6th grade generalist
Ms. Carmen Castro
5th grade Math at Orr Elementary
I taught Head Start for 3 years.
This year I am teaching 5th grade Math. I am excited to begin a new journey!
Texas Teaching Certification: Early Childhood Education-6th grade generalist
"One looks back with appreciation to the brilliant teachers, but with gratitude to those who touched our human feelings. The curriculum is so much necessary raw material, but warmth is the vital element for the growing plant and for the soul of the child." -Carl Jung


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It's amazing what passes these days for political protest and legitimate issue campaigning.
In an extraordinarily futile gesture, Greenpeace campaigners on bicycles turned up outside the South Melbourne office of advertising company Whybin/TBWA* after the agency was awarded the global advertising account for the ANZ bank.
The effort was reportedly part of the Greenpeace climate change campaign and was supposed to protest against the ANZ providing financial support for the Australian coal industry.
The business website Mumbrella reported it was the first time any NGO has targeted an agency as well as its client in Australia.
But the gesture fell completely flat. Mumbrella had a photograph of two (yes two) protesters on bikes outside the agency's office, and Greenpeace admitted agency head Scott Whybin was out when they called. Moreover neither Whybins nor the ANZ bothered to comment and, apart from Mumbrella, the stunt was completely ignored by the mainstream media.
The only real heat generated by this little effort appeared in comments posted on the Mumbrella website, some of which were pretty angry and unrepeatable, and certainly did no favours at all to the Greenpeace cause.
Someone called James, seemingly linked to Greenpeace, responded: "This visit was a really small part of a broad campaign to get ANZ to live up to their PR – and an even smaller part of the campaign on climate change. Just to be clear, we aren't targeting the agency, rather talking to them about the campaign because we believe they can influence ANZ to some extent."
The notion of an advertising agency influencing corporate policy provoked this blunt reply from another correspondent: "The ANZ corporate direction is set by the bank itself. The agency merely works to deliver that in an effective and engaging way. They (Greenpeace) may as well picket the ANZ rubbish collection firm."
Take that, Greenpeace.
*Whybin/TBWA is part of the global TBWA Group


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Jacob Ballas Children's Garden is Asia's first children's garden and is designed to provide unique discovery and learning experiences in a garden setting.
Through play and exploration, children can cultivate an appreciation for plants, nature and the environment. It meets the demands for nature education in an increasing sophisticated tropical Garden City.
Developed along the theme "All Life on Earth Depends on Plants", it is uniquely interactive fun place where children up to 12 years of age can discover how plants provide their daily needs.
Experiences in the Jacob Ballas Children's Garden will stimulate a sense of wonder for the plant world and provide happy memories for our young visitors.
How to Get to Jacob Ballas Children's Garden Singapore
Address: 1 Cluny Road Singapore 259569
Bus: 48, 66, 67, 151, 153, 154, 156, 170, 171, 186
Nearest MRT: Botanic Gardens MRT
Opening Hours: 8am to 7pm (last admission at 6.30pm). Closed on Mondays (except when Monday falls on a designated public holiday)
Admission: FREE. Jacob Ballas Children's Garden is designed for children aged 14 and below. Children aged 12 and below must be accompanied by an adult. To promote a safe environment for children, adults are permitted entry only if accompanying a child. Adult visitors without children must consult the Service Desk for entry.
For more information, visit here.
Nearby places to check out:
If you find this article useful, do click Like and Share at the bottom of the post, thank you.


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Diabetes Week 11-17 June
This year diabetes week runs from 11-17 June. This highlights the importance of ensuring that we are all aware of the symptoms of diabetes in order to diagnose it as early as possible to regain control. No one is immune from developing diabetes – do you know how to keep your risk to a minimum?
3.5 million of the UK population has been diagnosed with diabetes, in comparison with only 1.4 million in 1996. There is also an estimated 1.1 million further people with the condition but yet to be diagnosed. Someone in the UK is diagnosed with diabetes every two minutes, that's 700 people each day, and 65 people will die today, due to complications of diabetes.
Worldwide, an estimated 415 million people are living with diabetes, which is approximately 1 in 11. Almost half (46%) of those with diabetes are undiagnosed.
Diabetes is a condition that causes the person's blood sugar level to become too high, due to a lack of insulin resistance. When blood sugar becomes too high, glucose will spill out into the urine rather than being used as energy. As a consequence symptoms such as feeling thirsty, excess urination, a feeling of chronic tiredness, blurred vision, and slower healing of wounds may occur.
Type 1 diabetes accounts for only approximately 10% of those with diabetes, and treated with daily insulin doses, and a healthy diet and regular exercise is recommended to all those affected.
90% of people with diabetes are type 2, which can be treated with a healthy diet and regular exercise. One of the main risk factors for type 2 diabetes is being overweight or obese. It is therefore important to maintain a healthy weight and lifestyle to help reduce the risk of developing type 2 diabetes.
Healthy eating for people with both type 1 and type 2 diabetes is the same as for people who do not have the condition.
In the UK, the Eatwell Guide is a pictorial guide to illustrate the main food groups. The key benefits of each food groups are discussed in more detail below.
Fruit & Vegetables
- A rich source of vitamins, minerals, antioxidants and fibre. Fibre helps to control blood sugar levels
- Vegetables should be the largest part of your diet
- Include at least 5 portions of fruit and vegetables each day, in a variety of types and colours in order to consume a diverse range of nutrients
- One portion is approximately 80g which is the equivalent of a mediumsized piece of fruit, a cereal bowl of salad or 3 tablespoons of vegetables
Starchy Foods
- A rich source of carbohydrate needed for energy, but too many refined starchy foods can increase blood sugar levels so instead choose slow release whole grain varieties that are richer in fibre, minerals and vitamins
- Whole grain varieties include quinoa, rye, brown rice, oats, buckwheat, corn and spelt
Meat, Fish, Eggs, Nuts, Seeds and Pulses (beans, chickpeas and lentils)
- Rich in protein and essential for growth and repair
- Contain high levels of vitamins and minerals including zinc, iron and B vitamins
- Choose lean cuts without visible fat
- Meat should be the smallest portion of your meal, with vegetables being the largest
- Aim for two portions of fish weekly, with at least one portion being oily such as mackerel, fresh salmon, fresh tuna or sardines
- Aim for one vegetarian day per week and include pulses instead as they are high in fibre – these also count towards your 5-A-Day
- Nuts and seeds are high in energy so should be limited if you are trying to lose weight, but are high in fibre, minerals and nutrients
Milk and Dairy Foods (yoghurt, cheese and dairy alternatives)
- Rich in protein and calcium, playing an important role in bone health
- Choose low-fat, low-sugar options
- Fish, pulses, seeds and green leafy vegetables are also rich in calcium and fibre
Oils and Spreads
- Choose unsaturated fats and have in small amounts
- Choose fats rich in monounsaturated fats such as olive oil and some polyunsaturated fats such as walnut oil
- If you are aiming to lose weight, limit these to a minimum
Processed Foods and Drinks
- Limit or avoid these
- Processed foods and drinks contain empty calories with little nutritional value and will also raise your blood sugar level
- Staying hydrated is essential – aim for 1.5-2 litres of water each day
- Water is the best choice
- Avoid soft and fizzy drinks as they are high in sugar and calories
- Alcohol should be limited to 14 units per week for both men and women with at least two consecutive alcohol free days
- Regular exercise will help to maintain a healthy body weight and reduced the risk of developing type 2 diabetes
- The recommended minimum levels are 2 ½ hours of moderate intensity exercise (e.g. walking, cycling), or 1 ¼ hours vigorous intensity exercise (e.g. running, circuit training) every week, alongside weight-bearing exercise twice a week


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Back to: Home > Dog > Clothes & Accessories > Mr. Shoes Red PU Leather Velcro Zipper Dog Boots with White Lint
Product Details
Mr. Shoes Red PU Leather Velcro Zipper Dog Boots with White Lint
XXS Length: 2 inch Width: 1.5 inch
XS Length: 2.3 inch Width: 1.7 inch
S Length: 2.6 inch Width: 2 inch
M Length: 3 inch Width: 2.2 inch
L Length: 3.3 inch Width: 2.5 inch
Manufacturer: Mr. Shoes
These fashionable doggie shoes are perfect Christmas gifts for your lovely dog! They will keep your dog's paws clean and help protect them from sand, coarse surfaces. Rubber tread ensures sure-footedness and protects paw pads from rough surfaces. Adjustable ankle strap and front zip offer easy dressing and a snug, secure fit.
●Perfect Christmas gift
●Adjustable ankle strap and front zip ensure for easy dressing
●Fun, vivid colors
●Keeps paws clean and helps protect them from sand, heat and coarse surfaces
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The set include all four boots.
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Forum: Science makes the world go around - The really important moments in history
DURING the Falklands campaign Margaret Thatcher made her now famous
remark that: 'When you've spent half your political life dealing with humdrum
issues like the environment . . . it's exciting to have a real crisis on
your hands.'
Of course, had Mrs T continued her chemistry studies, instead of confusing
her mind with all that dreary law and politics, she would have realised
that the chemistry of the environment is anything but 'humdrum'. In fact,
the really important event in the South Atlantic during 1982, the 'crisis'
as far as the future of mankind is concerned, was not the Falklands war,
but something that took place even further south – the identification, by
British scientists, of the hole in the ozone layer above the Antarctic.
The thesis I am developing is that, in the long term, discoveries in
science are of far greater significance than much-trumpeted military or
political events. We are, for example, about to commemorate the 50th anniversary
of the start of the Second World War, yet an infinitely more important occurrence,
which also took place in 1939, goes largely unnoticed. I refer to the publication
by Otto Hahn and Fritz Strassman of the results of their experiments which
demonstrated that uranium is fissionable. As a result of this, in a little
over half a decade, atomic bombs were developed and dropped on Japan, thereby
ending hostilities and starting the nuclear arms race.
My next example relates to the French Revolution, the 200th anniversary
of which is putting all France into a tizzy. It was undeniably a significant
event, yet, in my book, completely eclipsing it in importance were the experiments
carried out around the same time on the other side of the Alps by an obscure
professor of anatomy, Luigi Galvani.
Galvani was attempting to find out if atmospheric electricity could
stimulate muscular contraction in the carcasses of frogs. The exact dates
of his discoveries are not known but my New Scientist diary confidently
states that it was in 1789 that he carried out the vital experiment and
observed that the frog's legs twitched when an electric spark was discharged
near them.
These and later experiments, which Galvani interpreted incorrectly,
led his friend and rival, Alessandro Volta, to develop his 'voltaic cell'
or 'battery'. For the first time a steady source of electrical current became
available for experimentalists, making possible the great discoveries in
electrical science of the early part of the 19th century. This in turn led
to the start of the Great Electrical Age, through which we are still passing.
Should you question who has had more influence on our lives, Robespierre
or Galvani, then turn off all the electrical power to your home one winter's
evening, and ask the question again.
In addition to all this, scientific discoveries are capable of being
repeated and verified: not so historic events, the accounts of which frequently
suffer from hyperbole. It is, for example, surprising to many that at the
time the Bastille was stormed in 1789 only seven prisoners were incarcerated
there, and two of those were lunatics who didn't really want to be released.
To strip the chains from fellow men, who all the time were content to wear
them, is perhaps the fate of all revolutionaries.
And then there was the Boston Massacre which was one of the precipitating
events of the American Revolution a few years earlier. The word massacre
conjures up a vision of some hundreds of bodies scattered around the scene
of a holocaust. It is a shock to learn that hundreds were not involved,
nor even tens; in fact only three Bostonians were killed during the altercation
itself (though two more did die later). Such is the stuff that legends are
made of.
Scientists in the 18th century moved more easily from science into politics
and back again. Prince among these was Benjamin Franklin who, when he was
not inventing and making great discoveries in electricity (he inspired Galvani),
was representing Pennsylvania in London and the Congress in Paris. While
in England, Franklin befriended another scientist, Joseph Priestley, and
encouraged his interest in international politics.
In 1774 Priestley travelled to France and met the third member of our
scientific trio – Antoine Lavoisier, the father of modern chemistry, who
appreciated more clearly than Priestley himself the full implications of
the Englishman's experimental data. Both were affected by the French Revolution.
On the second anniversary of the storming of the Bastille, Priestley, because
of his support for the Revolution, had his house burned down. He fled to
America where he became a friend of John Adams and Thomas Jefferson. Lavoisier's
remaining life was even more eventful.
In pre-revolutionary France Lavoisier had played a prominent part in
the Ferme Generale, the country's main tax collecting agency, and this did
not endear him to the Revolutionary Government. He had also recommended
the construction of a high wall around Paris and he was later accused by
the leading revolutionary, Jean-Paul Marat, of poisoning the air of the
city by preventing its circulation.
A chemist becoming immersed in politics, a tax reformer involved in
controversies over the composition of the atmosphere – it all has a certain
familiar ring about it. Could there be some lessons in all this for Britain's
own chemist-turned-politician, tax-reformer and environmentalist? Perhaps
Margaret Thatcher should pause in her inexorable bustling progress towards,
say, introducing her hugely unpopular poll tax and recall the fate of poor
old Lavoisier. In late 18th-century France a 'government guillotine motion'
had a rather more literal meaning than it has today, and a 'government cut'
was much more painful. On the afternoon of 8 May 1794 Lavoisier suffered
the most unkindest cut of all: he had his head cut off.
Fortunately no similar fate is likely to befall Thatcher, though these
are emotional times, and didn't 'Taxation without Representation' have something
to do with the American Revolution? Neither should she forget all that unpleasantness,
known as 'The Peasants' Revolt', which followed the last attempt by a British
government to force a poll tax onto an unwilling populace. Caution is called
for; an end to recklessness.
Jack Harris is a metallurgist who lives in Gloucestershire.


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My feelings for this bottle's design stand right in line with the other two Chimay bottles. They are lovely as a collection of three, I like the simplistic heraldry of them, and the coloring as three distinct colors (for this bottle they are: Red, Gold, White) is great. A solid bottle that I would consider displaying on a shelf, but only if its two brothers are beside it.
The beer pours a yellowed brown like properly aged hay, and sits a nice deep amber brown, with a deeper milk chocolate brown at its center. The beer pours with a great brown sugar-white head that's bouncing with bubbles and dissipates swiftly, leaving a little thin lacing that runs down the sides of the glass. It smells like day old cooked bread, not especially pungent, but not a terrible smell, rich in biscuitiness and yeasty character. There is even a suggestion of subtle spices in the corners of the smell, along with a slight sweet kick that suggests the candy sugars in the beer. It tastes like a loaf of liquefied brown bread, and soft with candy sugars. There is also a slight hint of brown sugar and an after linger that reminds me of stale honeydew melons. Mouthfeel is very thick and smooth, with an odd harshness on the top of the tongue which sits oddly with the rest of the beers smoothness. The carbonation bubbles fiercely in the initial rush, but quickly peters out on the tongue, providing most but not all of that initial roughness. Overall this a nice sugary bread beer, easily palatable with a little too fierce of a carbonation but some nice after flavors in the mouth.
Belgian Dubbel Ale


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Bars turn to security cameras to fend off Texas booze police
Just after midnight on June 1, 2017, an undercover team from the Texas Alcoholic Beverage Commission walked into Bombshells on Gulf Freeway, southeast of Houston. The chain projects an unabashed bro vibe, with waitresses dressed in miniskirts, knee-high boots and halter tops. The plainclothes agents stationed themselves so they had a clear view of the bar.
Although it was late, Bombshells was still busy. Just after 1 a.m., a young man caught the agents' attention. He seemed obviously drunk, they later recalled - slurring his speech, speaking loudly, swaying unsteadily. They watched the bartender serve him a vodka drink anyway - an apparent violation of state law.
Two months later, a second TABC undercover team watched a Bombshells bartender serve a Corona beer to a man so inebriated he swayed "profoundly," they reported. The beverage commission moved to cancel Bombshells' permit to serve alcohol.
Luckily for the restaurant, its security cameras were rolling both nights.
The explosion of video surveillance - from civilian phones, as well as from police dash and body cameras - has revolutionized law enforcement, exposing once-hidden misbehavior and providing conclusive evidence in disputed accounts. Most large police departments have adopted cameras to record many of their public interactions.
Not TABC, whose agents typically rely on their subjective recollections and descriptions to charge bars and restaurants with serving drinks to already drunk patrons. Yet a review of court filings showed a half-dozen recent instances in which patrons the agents had described as obviously drunk appeared decidedly sober in security camera footage. The disconnect has upended cases, raising questions about the agency's investigative methods.
To Judge Whitney Stoebner, Bombshells' June security video of the patron TABC had identified as drunk depicted a man visibly unaffected by booze - paying the bartender without fumbling, giving "a high-five, which requires hand-eye coordination." His gait, the judge wrote, was stumble-free.
Recordings of the August operation showed "one brief incident of a slight backward sway," Stoebner added - a far cry from agents' descriptions of the patron's dramatic impairment. The judge recommended the state drop its case.
Another judge recommended TABC's charges against the Twist Club be dumped, as well. In November 2017, a TABC agent scoping out the Stephenville bar reported a woman had slurred speech and swayed. But security video showed that she didn't "have any difficulty with her balance," Judge Robert Jones concluded, adding that her "walk was normal without stumbling or staggering."
The disputes represent a small fraction of cases TABC brings against bars for serving to already intoxicated patrons. Victor Kuykendoll, TABC's chief of enforcement, said the majority are settled or decided in favor of the agency, validating its work.
Attorneys who represent bars in legal battles with TABC hesitated to accuse the state's alcohol agents of deliberately misrepresenting what they see. "As a general rule, I think the agents did a good job," said John Beeler, who as a judge for the State Office of Administrative Hearings heard hundreds of TABC cases before retiring last year to represent licensees.
Rather, they say examples of cases scuttled by found video illustrate more subtle problems in the way Texas polices its drinking establishments. Vague laws defining what it means to be too drunk, as well as the alcoholic beverage agency's inconsistent approach to proving intoxication cases, can result in Rashomon-like outcomes.
"A lot of times, they have different thoughts about what the law is," said Tim Griffith, a Dallas defense attorney who previously worked as a TABC prosecutor. "If someone has a couple of beers and is getting loud or emotional, they interpret that as being intoxicated."
"There is no real definition of intoxication in the code," added Clyde Burleson, a Houston attorney who represents TABC licensees. "It's a giant problem."
Texas-sized drinking problem
Texas leads the nation in alcohol-related vehicle fatalities - unsurprising, given its population. But figures compiled by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration also show it ranks among the top five states in the percentage of total fatal accidents involving an alcohol-impaired driver, as well as in the percentage of drunk driving fatalities in which drivers had the highest level of alcohol in their systems.
Over the years, TABC has struggled with how best to prevent licensed drinking establishments from overselling to patrons. It has used, then abandoned as ineffective, reports showing where drunk drivers had their last drink to identify problem bars.
In 2005, the Sunset Advisory Commission, which periodically evaluates the effectiveness of state agencies, concluded the agency's policing did "not prioritize its enforcement activities to focus on the most serious public safety issues." In response, TABC embarked on an aggressive enforcement plan in which agents entered bars and arrested drunks for public intoxication.
Offenders weren't difficult to locate — "like finding pot on Willy's bus," said Beeler — and in the mid-2000s, TABC brought thousands of public intoxication charges against inebriated bar patrons.
Critics panned the strategy. Hotel guests charged with public intoxication for over-indulging at the on-premises bar argued they weren't drunk-driving risks because their rooms were upstairs. In 2009, a TABC sting operation at a Fort Worth gay bar on the 40th anniversary of New York's Stonewall riots ended in a melee, further embarrassing the agency.
TABC's agents' "role is not to interact with patrons," then-state Rep. Lon Burnam, D-Fort Worth, fumed. "Their role is to regulate an industry."
The agency has since concentrated its enforcement efforts on licensees. "It makes more sense to cite a business for overserving alcohol, thus halting the bad behavior at the macro scale, rather than arresting a single individual who's had too much," explained spokesman Chris Porter.
In 2008, agents charged nearly 900 people with public intoxication and cited fewer than 100 businesses for sales of alcohol to an intoxicated person. Last year, by comparison, TABC cited 253 businesses for selling alcohol to an intoxicated patron, while only 36 drinkers were charged with public intoxication.
Not seeking 'borderline' cases
On a Friday night last month, a team of TABC agents from the Austin office piled into three cars and headed downtown for an undercover operation.
TABC's police force has faced an increasingly uphill task. While licensed booze businesses in Texas have grown by about 40 percent during the past decade, the number of agents charged with monitoring them has declined 20 percent. Legislators also have passed laws limiting the sanctions the agency can levy against offending establishments, at times insulating them from meaningful punishment.
The agency said it focuses enforcement efforts primarily on bars or restaurants with complaints against them or a track record of infractions. About 10 percent of its undercover operations yield citations.
At 10:45 p.m., the plainclothes team began hitting bars along East Sixth Street. Undercover operations require at least five agents. When the plainclothes team spots a bartender serving a drunk, it texts photos of the patron and the bartender to a second-team waiting nearby. The "open team," tonight in khaki cargo pants and blue polo shirts, takes over, citing the bartender and interviewing the patron to confirm he is drunk enough to make an over-serving case.
"We don't want just borderline cases," said Lt. Brian Tullis as he waited in an idling cruiser. Minutes later a young man with a shaggy beard staggered and pitched forward outside the driver's side window. He struggled to get to his feet, eventually accepting the help of a companion.
"That's the person we're looking for," Tullis said.
Just after midnight, the undercover agents texted they'd observed a bartender at The 512 on 6th serve a Shiner beer to an obviously inebriated patron. As one open team member entered the bar to inform the manager and cite the bartender, agent Greg DeArden intercepted the drinker a block from the bar.
"There was no doubt in my mind he was intoxicated," DeArden said. "Glassy eyes, strong odor of alcohol, swaying, had difficulty using his phone." After about 15 minutes, the agents escorted him a block south to find a ride home.
Kuykendoll, the enforcement chief, said agents bring only cases based on a constellation of clearly observable signs. "If I walked into a bar with my 12-year-old daughter and she says, 'Dad, that guy is drunk,' that's about what I'm looking for," he said.
No bodycams on TABC agents
Yet "A lot of these cases, they're not black and white," said Griffin, the Dallas attorney.
One problem, said Beeler, the former judge, is "There is nothing in the law that specifically says what definition of intoxication TABC uses." Judges deciding the cases have cited different state laws.
TABC agents also bring cases using an inconsistent range of evidence, said Al Van Huff, a Houston attorney. Sometimes they perform balance tests; occasionally they'll use a Breathalyzer. Most often, he said, they simply describe what they see without any additional evidence.
And "If you're looking for something, you're going to find it," said Bruce Patton, who in 2016 used video to successfully defend Dallas's Sterling Hotel against a charge of serving an intoxicated patron.
TABC's dependence on agent observation makes its spotty use of cameras surprising, defense attorneys said. While many police agencies use at least some body and dash cameras to promote officer accountability and to gather evidence - particularly in drunk driving cases - TABC has yet to adopt the devices agency-wide as a standard tool.
Porter, the spokesman, said cameras had limited use in the agency's enforcement work. Images fail to capture alcohol-scented breath and slurred speech, which agents use to assess inebriation.
"In our enforcement agents' experience, the human eye is better suited to operate in low-light conditions than current undercover cameras," he said. He added the agency didn't have money for the technology and staff required for agency-wide use of the cameras.
Kuykendoll said cameras can present logistical challenges, as well. He recalled installing a camera in an agent's baseball cap but the batteries fell out in front of the bar owner.
Even videoing agents' follow-up interviews would be of marginal use, said Richard Alpert, a former Tarrant County prosecutor considered an expert on DWI cases. "People straighten up" after being confronted by police, he said. "And the subtle signs of intoxication are not always visible on videotape."
Police video has also worked against the agency. When TABC undercover agents entered the Sterling Hotel bar about 1:30 a.m. on a morning in December 2015, they identified a couple "holding themselves up while dancing."
One also yelled at other guests to get up and dance - "obvious signs of intoxication," a TABC agent reported. The bartender nevertheless served the couple two orange-colored vodka drinks.
A TABC agent recorded a portion of her interview with the couple to demonstrate how drunk they were. After viewing it, Administrative Law Judge Brenda Coleman reached a different conclusion. The couple's conduct, she wrote, "was just as likely due to non-intoxicated or innocent behavior as intoxicated behavior."
"Being intoxicated is an opinion call," said Burleson, the defense attorney. "Having video makes all the difference."
'Cameras don't lie. They just don't.'
It did for Sunny West.
Following a June 2017 undercover operation at West's downtown Houston bar, TABC agents charged that she had served drinks to two patrons "laughing and acting silly." The agents said the men were so clearly drunk one had to hold himself up with a pool cue; another fell onto a bar couch.
That wasn't West's recollection. As a bartender for 23 years and owner of Sunny's for nearly a decade, "I'm pretty good at identifying my people who are intoxicated," she said. "I'm not saying I haven't had intoxicated people in my bar. It's a bar; that's what they do. But I've refused to serve people all the time."
West didn't remember the men identified by TABC acting anything like what the agents described. Luckily, she said, "my cameras are everywhere."
The recordings confirmed her recollections; the men appeared goofy, but not tipsy. After viewing the footage, Judge Timothy Horan concluded last June it "does not show either man exhibiting any outward signs of intoxication such as swaying or poor balance." He recommended TABC drop the charges.
"Cameras don't lie," West said. "They just don't."