Their 35 regular season wins did not meet expectations. It was -4 below what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went worse than expected. They met expectations on the road. It was at home where they came up short. They went 17-24 on the road and were expected to win 17.2. They won 18 at home and were expected to win 21.8. Our projected record for next season is similar. They are averaging 35 wins per sim and are projected to finish second to last in the West. There is not much of a gap between them and the #12 ranked Canucks who are projected for 35 wins.
Their record should be slightly better. Their average goal differential is -0.51 which ranks #24 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #25. They are the #24 ranked team in goal differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #25 ranked team among home teams.
Below is a betting recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Oilers in all of their games would be down -707 units. Against the puck line, they have lost -2046 units risking 100 units on each pick (35-47 PL). They are down against the puck line at home and on the road.