Blockbuster Cyclone Kyant heading to S.India. Climax in Tamil Nadu?
The drama of Cyclone Kyant continues with edge of the seat stuff that could put some of the most famous screen play writers to shame. In a crucial twist of fate after possibly going around Bay for the last 4 / 5 days like “உலகம் சுற்றும் வாலிபன்” the Cyclone Kyant movie could end up having its climax off the coast of Tamil Nadu as possibly a weak tropical disturbance.
Going by the track forecast by international agencies like JTWC and our own IMD all of those are incorporating a West / Southwest Movement in the tracks after the initial westward movement for possibly the whole of today. The next 24 hours could decide on the point from where the Southwest Dip could start taking place. If the movement is skewed more to the South than expected then we could possibly see the landfall point further shifted down.
There is also a fair consistency among models in terms of the weakening trend of Cyclone Kyant as well with possibly the system being possibly a well marked low when it washes ashore over the East Coast of Peninsular India. As things stand we are likely to see this system make a landfall along the North TN / South AP coast. THe next 24 hours will be crucial in how things pan out.
Going by how models are estimating the likely rainfall pattern we could possibly see the places to the North of Landfall point getting more rains thanks to the system moving from a Northeast direction. Interior places could also get rainfall about 12 – 24 hours from landfall though as things stand unlike the Depressions of last year this one is unlikely to dump very heavy widespread rains.
We will continue to monitor the situation and provide regular updates as and when things evolve.