Renteria’s candidacy could well make California’s 21st Congressional District race one of the nation’s most closely watched, and the target of considerable outside spending. In addition to her high-flying resume, Renteria is running in a district where 73 percent of the 712,866 residents are counted as Hispanic or Latino, according to Census Bureau records.
“A district like mine is always going to be competitive,” Valadao acknowledged.
But Valadao, the 36-year-old son of Portuguese immigrants, enjoys advantages of his own. He’s a native of the district and has held state or federal elected office in the southern San Joaquin Valley since 2011, boosting his name recognition. As an incumbent, and member of the House Appropriations Committee, he enjoys other built-in advantages that include, notably, the power to raise a great deal of money.
“Every challenger underestimates the power of incumbency and overestimates their power to get rid of the incumbent,” said David Schecter, a Fresno State University political science professor.
Last year, Valadao steamrolled a Democratic candidate, John Hernandez. Democrats point out that Hernandez was chronically underfunded and was almost totally off the radar screen of influential local party officials and the national party as a whole.
Valadao currently has $448,814 in his campaign treasury, according to the latest Federal Election Commission filing. He spent more than $1.1 million to win election in 2012, and Renteria said she expects the 2014 campaign spending to reach similar levels from both sides.
Beyond fundraising, Schecter said an incumbent who is in a challenging region like Valadao will often get leeway from House leadership to cast votes against the party line on legislation that may be unpopular in the Democratic-majority district. Most recently, Valadao was one of only 15 House Republicans to vote against a GOP bill that makes deep cuts in food stamp spending.
Renteria, declaring that “things are tough out here,” nonetheless dismissed Valadao as not having done anything to help the district where poverty is widespread. Twenty-eight percent of the district’s families report incomes below the poverty line, according to census data.
“I don’t think he’s been very effective at all,” Renteria said.
The middle of three sisters, Renteria graduated from Woodlake High School as the valedictorian before entering Stanford. She played basketball as a walk-on, and played third base on the women’s softball team, where she described herself as a slap hitter.
After a stint at Goldman Sachs and business school, as well as a year teaching high school at her alma mater, Renteria joined the staff of Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein. In 2006, she began working for Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, eventually rising to serve as chief of staff while Stabenow chaired the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee.
“My job was to put the agriculture committee together and pass a farm bill,” Renteria said.
Renteria, who is planning to formally announce her candidacy on Sunday at Sanger Park, said she is prepared to “talk about my Washington experience” as a way to show how she can help district residents.
Republicans show every sign of taking her candidacy seriously.
The National Republican Congressional Committee has already established an anti-Renteria website, misleadingly called amandarenteriaforcongress.com. It identifies Renteria as a “Washington insider” and blasts her work for Feinstein, whom the website identifies as a “longtime advocate of high-speed rail.” Valadao, a staunch opponent of California’s high-speed rail plan, likewise casts Renteria as a newcomer to the district.
Woodlake is about 50 miles from Sanger.
Renteria countered that she is going to be “talking to everybody, as many folks as we can, on the ground…in the little towns” as her campaign gets underway.