There is one Republican who stands out for better or worse in each category. Jack Roberts is the only Republican to defeat a Democratic incumbent (1994). Gordon Smith is the only Republican to win an open seat(1996) and to lose as an incumbent (2008).
This post updates the earlier “Quarter Century Study.” For more information please see: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=122 and the follow up posts in subsequent weeks.
Congratulations to our own Pat Farr on his election to the Lane County Board of Commissioners!
Pat has worked on projects for The Lindholm Company, LLC, since 2007. We’re very happy for him.
Category: Eugene and Lane County, Political | Comments Off on Congratulations to Pat Farr!
This post presents a perceptual map comparing the Secretary of State vote and the Labor Commissioner vote.
There is now an advertisement attacking both of them jointly. This perceptual map implies that there is some difference between the two candidates.
These differences come both from that there is a much higher undecided vote in the Labor Commissioner race and because Starr is drawing a relatively less partisan typical voter than Buehler is.
Avakian’s point is on a nearly direct line from the “bulls-eye” origin as Brown is. However, his point is further out. This implies that Avakian is drawing on Brown voters only getting fewer of them.
1. If the election for Secretary of State were held today, would you vote forBruce Alexander Knight, Libertarian Party, Kate Brown, Democrat and Working Families parties, Knute Buehler, Republican and Independent parties, Seth Woolley, Pacific Green Party, or Robert Wolfe, Progressive Party?
2. If the election for Labor Commissioner were held today, would you vote for Bruce Starr or Brad Avakian?
IF STARR/AVAKIAN: Is that Strongly or Somewhat?
This tracking survey series is comprised of five statewide Oregon surveys of 200 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon General Election voters conducted each of September 17-18, October 1-2, October 15-16, October 22-23, and October 29-30, 2012. The margin of error at the sample median is plus or minus five percent.
The graphic is constructed based on a Correspondence Analysis.