Incidence > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Incidence Rates Data

### Incidence Rate Report for New Jersey by CountyChildhood (Ages <20, All Sites) (All Stages^), 2015-2019All Races (includes Hispanic), Both SexesSorted by Rate

Objective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Incidence Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The incidence rate is based upon 100,000 people and is an annual rate (or average annual rate) based on the time period indicated. Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC/APC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of AAPC/APC is below 0.

AAPC/APC (95% Confidence Interval) - the change in rate over time

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### New Jersey7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 20.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.7 to 21.4 and 449 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.1.

#### US (SEER+NPCR)1

• Rate : The incidence rate is 19.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.9 to 19.2 and 15,522 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to 0.0.

#### Ocean County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 25.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.0 to 29.3 and 39 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 2.9.

#### Sussex County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 24.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.6 to 33.8 and 8 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 20)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 3.7.

#### Salem County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 24.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 14.2 to 37.9 and 4 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (1, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.0 to 4.1.

#### Hunterdon County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 23.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.1 to 33.5 and 7 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (1, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to 4.8.

#### Burlington County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 23.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.0 to 27.5 and 24 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (1, 17)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.6 to 3.6.

#### Union County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 22.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.4 to 26.6 and 33 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (1, 16)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 2.3.

#### Monmouth County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 22.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.5 to 26.5 and 34 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (1, 16)
• Recent Trend : The trend is rising because the trend is 1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 3.0.

#### Passaic County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 22.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.7 to 26.0 and 30 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (1, 17)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 2.9.

#### Middlesex County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 21.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.5 to 24.3 and 44 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (2, 17)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 1.6.

#### Bergen County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 20.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.3 to 23.8 and 46 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (3, 18)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 1.9.

#### Camden County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 20.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.1 to 24.3 and 26 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (2, 20)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 2.9.

#### Gloucester County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 19.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.5 to 25.0 and 14 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (2, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to 1.9.

#### Morris County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 19.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.8 to 23.1 and 23 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (4, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to 1.7.

#### Somerset County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 19.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.0 to 23.8 and 15 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (3, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to 0.5.

#### Hudson County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 18.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.7 to 22.2 and 28 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (5, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 2.7.

#### Cumberland County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 18.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 12.6 to 25.0 and 7 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (2, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to 2.5.

#### Cape May County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 17.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.0 to 28.4 and 3 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (1, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.0 to 4.3.

#### Mercer County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 17.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 13.4 to 21.2 and 16 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (6, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 2.6.

#### Atlantic County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 16.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 12.6 to 21.9 and 11 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (5, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 2.7.

#### Essex County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 16.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 14.1 to 19.1 and 34 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (12, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 1.4.

#### Warren County7

• Rate : The incidence rate is 16.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.9 to 25.2 and 4 average annual cases over 2015-2019.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (2, 21)
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to 3.9.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/29/2023 2:01 pm.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.

† Incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Rates calculated using SEER*Stat. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used for SEER and NPCR incidence rates.
‡ Incidence data come from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each area for additional information.

Rates and trends are computed using different standards for malignancy. For more information see malignant.html.

^ All Stages refers to any stage in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) summary stage.

1 Source: National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results SEER*Stat Database (2001-2019) - United States Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute. Based on the 2021 submission.
7 Source: SEER November 2021 submission.
8 Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. AAPCs are calculated by the Joinpoint Regression Program and are based on APCs. Data are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84,85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modifed by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with SEER November 2021 data.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for the United States does not include data from Nevada.
Data for the United States does not include Puerto Rico.

When displaying county information, the CI*Rank for the state is not shown because it's not comparable. To see the state CI*Rank please view the statistics at the US By State level.
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