Mortality > Table > Interpret

## Interpretation of Death Rates Data

### Death Rate Report by StatePancreas, 2016-2020All Races (includes Hispanic), Both Sexes, All AgesSorted by Rate

Objective - The objective of *** is from the Healthy People 2020 project done by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Death Rate (95% Confidence Interval) - The death rate is based upon 100,000 people and is for 5 year(s). Rates are age-adjusted by 5-year age groups to the 2000 U.S. standard million population (the Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal).

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

• Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
• Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
• Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

• Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
• Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

#### United States

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.0 to 11.1 and 44,868 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 0.2.

#### District of Columbia

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 13.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.8 to 14.3 and 89 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 1 (1, 27)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.3.

#### Mississippi

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 12.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 12.0 to 13.1 and 459 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 2 (1, 11)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 0.7.

#### Michigan

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 12.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 12.1 to 12.6 and 1,632 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 3 (1, 10)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 0.7.

#### Delaware

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 12.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.5 to 13.2 and 168 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 4 (1, 27)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 1.0.

#### Louisiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 12.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.8 to 12.6 and 682 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 5 (1, 15)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.1.

#### Ohio

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 12.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.9 to 12.4 and 1,870 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 6 (2, 12)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.6 to 0.8.

#### Pennsylvania

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 12.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.8 to 12.3 and 2,167 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 7 (2, 13)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 0.7.

#### Indiana

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 12.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.6 to 12.3 and 979 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 8 (2, 18)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 0.5.

#### Alabama

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.5 to 12.2 and 749 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 9 (2, 22)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 0.6.

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.2 to 12.5 and 274 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 10 (1, 35)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 1.0.

#### Rhode Island

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.9 to 12.5 and 167 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 11 (1, 42)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.7.

#### Wisconsin

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.3 to 12.0 and 895 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 12 (4, 26)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 0.6.

#### Illinois

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.4 to 11.9 and 1,823 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 13 (7, 23)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 2.4.

#### Kentucky

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.1 to 11.9 and 652 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 14 (5, 35)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 0.7.

#### Massachusetts

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.1 to 11.8 and 1,017 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 15 (8, 33)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.2.

#### South Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.1 to 11.8 and 769 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 16 (7, 36)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.2.

#### Missouri

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.1 to 11.8 and 909 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 17 (8, 35)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 0.7.

#### Maine

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.7 to 12.0 and 234 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 18 (2, 44)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.5.

#### South Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.5 to 12.3 and 127 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 19 (1, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 0.8.

#### New Jersey

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.0 to 11.6 and 1,296 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 20 (11, 36)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.1.

#### Maryland

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 11.0 to 11.7 and 832 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 21 (9, 39)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 0.3.

#### Oregon

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.9 to 11.7 and 618 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 22 (8, 40)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 0.5.

#### Tennessee

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.8 to 11.5 and 949 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 23 (12, 40)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 0.2.

#### Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.8 to 11.4 and 1,141 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 24 (13, 40)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.3.

#### Oklahoma

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.7 to 11.6 and 533 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 25 (10, 43)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 0.6.

#### New Hampshire

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.4 to 11.8 and 211 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 26 (5, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.5.

#### Arkansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.6 to 11.6 and 429 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 27 (10, 44)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.3.

#### Iowa

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.6 to 11.6 and 461 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 28 (10, 43)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.4 to 0.8.

#### Vermont

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.1 to 12.1 and 101 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 29 (2, 50)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 1.0.

#### Kansas

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.5 to 11.5 and 398 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 30 (11, 45)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 0.6.

#### West Virginia

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.4 to 11.6 and 289 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 31 (9, 47)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 1.0.

#### Minnesota

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.6 to 11.3 and 761 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 32 (14, 43)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.1 to 0.4.

#### New York

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 11.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.8 to 11.2 and 2,768 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 33 (20, 41)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.0.

#### Georgia

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.7 to 11.2 and 1,259 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 34 (20, 42)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 0.3.

#### North Carolina

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.6 to 11.2 and 1,414 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 35 (20, 43)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.2.

#### Idaho

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.3 to 11.6 and 227 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 36 (9, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.2 to 1.0.

#### Connecticut

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.4 to 11.3 and 531 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 37 (16, 46)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.1.

#### Washington

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.5 to 11.2 and 963 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 38 (20, 44)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.3.

#### Hawaii (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.1 to 11.4 and 210 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 39 (12, 49)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.1 to 0.5.

#### Wyoming

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.5 to 11.7 and 77 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 40 (5, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.6.

#### North Dakota

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.6 to 11.5 and 96 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 41 (6, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.2 to 0.8.

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.0 to 11.0 and 381 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 42 (23, 49)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.4 to 0.1.

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.4 to 11.7 and 74 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 43 (3, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.6.

#### Florida

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.3 to 10.6 and 3,397 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 44 (37, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 0.2.

#### Texas

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.2 to 10.6 and 2,971 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 45 (38, 48)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.0 to 0.2.

#### California

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 10.2 to 10.4 and 4,573 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 46 (40, 49)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.3 to 0.0.

#### Montana

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.5 to 11.0 and 150 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 47 (17, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.2.

#### Arizona

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 10.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.9 to 10.5 and 962 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 48 (38, 50)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.3 to 0.8.

#### New Mexico

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 9.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.2 to 10.3 and 268 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 49 (41, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.2.

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 9.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.3 to 10.0 and 604 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 50 (46, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.5 to 0.0.

#### Utah

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 9.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 9.0 to 10.1 and 262 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : 51 (44, 51)
• Recent Trend : The trend is because the trend is 0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 0.5 to 1.1.

#### Puerto Rico (8)

• Met Healthy People Objective of ***? : ***
• Rate : The death rate is 6.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.1 to 6.8 and 319 average annual deaths over 2016-2020.
• CI*Rank⋔ : N/A
• Recent Trend : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.6 to 9.0.

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 09/22/2023 2:15 am.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data.
Trend
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

† Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
‡ The Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) is based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.
⋔ Results presented with the CI*Rank statistics help show the usefulness of ranks. For example, ranks for relatively rare diseases or less populated areas may be essentially meaningless because of their large variability, but ranks for more common diseases in densely populated regions can be very useful. More information about methodology can be found on the CI*Rank website.

*** No Healthy People 2030 Objective for this cancer.
Healthy People 2030 Objectives provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

8 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected counties.

Please note that the data comes from different sources. Due to different years of data availability, most of the trends are AAPCs based on APCs but some are APCs calculated in SEER*Stat. Please refer to the source for each graph for additional information.

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer incidence statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.
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