claim: "we are within the margin of error."
author: john mccain
evidence_1: the margin of error has been described as an "absolute" quantity, equal to a  confidence interval radius for the statistic. for example, if the true value is 50  percentage points, and the statistic has a confidence interval radius of 5  percentage points, then we say the margin of error is 5 percentage points. as  another example, if ...
evidence_2: sep 8, 2016 ... a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence  level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the  result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those  times. the margin of error that pollsters customarily report describes the ...
evidence_3: can i say that if i have a good amount of samples, 95% of the means of those  samples will fall within the range of the confidence interval? my teacher  emphasized .... or minus" the margin of error. it's like saying, "we're 95%  confident that the true population mean is at most <margin of error> distance from  our sample mean.".
evidence_4: jun 9, 2017 ... gutfeld made the statement on the five as the panel discussed president  donald trump's decision to pull out of the paris climate agreement. we  interviewed several scientists who said gutfeld's statement -- that temperature  increases are within the margin of error and therefore not increasing -- is wrong.
evidence_5: nov 11, 2016 ... how well did we do compared to our published margins of error? the economist/ yougov poll was within its margin of error, but toward the outer edges, so this  doesn't prove much one way or the other. a better approach is to compare many  independent estimates. the cooperative congressional election ...