claim: us covid-19 deaths were predicted by ihme model
evidence_1: seventy percent of us states had an actual death rate outside the 95 percent prediction interval for that state, casting doubt on whether the model is suitable to inform covid-19 resource allocation.", "credit: pixabay an international group of renowned statisticians from the university of sydney, northwestern university and the university of texas have collaborated to fully investigate the predictive performance of the covid-19 model developed by institute for health metrics and evaluation (ihme)  which provides forecasts for ventilator use and hospital beds in the united states.", 
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  "i am concerned that if the uw-ihme model has had difficulty in predicting the next day, how will the predictions fair over the long term, said professor tanner.", "published on pre-publication server arxiv, the researchers found that the ihme model substantially underestimates the uncertainty associated with covid-19 deaths.")