claim: inferring change points in the absence of covid-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions
evidence_1: in general, our approach may help to infer the efficiency of measures taken in other countries and inform policy-makers about tightening, loosening, and selecting appropriate measures for containment of covid-19.", "2 the timing and effectiveness of interventions strongly affect future covid-19 cases.", "download high-res image open in new tab download powerpoint bayesian inference of sir model parameters from daily new cases of covid-19 enables us to assess the impact of interventions.")