The 2004 United States presidential election in Connecticut took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose seven representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Connecticut was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by a margin of 10.4%. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Kerry would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. In presidential elections, Connecticut is usually expected to fall into the Democrats' electoral vote column, as no Republican has won the state since Bush's father George H. W. Bush in 1988. Although Connecticut was the birth state of George W. Bush, and the Bush family does have a house in the state, Connecticut was never considered competitive in 2004. This is the only election since 1876 in which the Republican nominee won the popular vote without carrying Connecticut, and the only election ever in which a Republican won two terms without ever carrying the state. As of 2020, this is the most recent election where Connecticut voted more Democratic than California and Hawaii. As of 2020, this was the most recent presidential election in which the Republican nominee carried the towns of Bethel, Cheshire, and Madison. Bush became the first ever Republican to win without carrying the towns of Redding and Simsbury, the first to win without winning the town of Essex since that town was founded in 1852, the first to win without the town of Lyme since 1872, and the first to win without the town of Roxbury since 1904 Primaries 2004 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day. D.C. Political Report: Solid Democrat Associated Press: Solid Kerry CNN: Kerry Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat Newsweek: Solid Kerry New York Times: Solid Kerry Rasmussen Reports: Kerry Research 2000: Solid Kerry Washington Post: Kerry Washington Times: Solid Kerry Zogby International: Kerry Washington Dispatch: Kerry Polling Kerry won every single pre-election poll. The final 3 poll averaged Kerry leading 52% to 42% for Bush and 2% for Nader. Fundraising Bush raised $4,256,438. Kerry raised $4,195,038. Advertising and visits Neither campaign visited or advertised in this state during the fall campaign. Analysis All counties but Litchfield County and congressional districts went Democratic. Litchfield County is