The 2004 United States presidential election in New York took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 31 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. New York was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry with an 18.3% margin of victory. Kerry took 58.37% of the vote to Bush's 40.08%. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Kerry would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. The last Republican presidential nominee to have carried the state of New York was Ronald Reagan in 1984 and the last one to even be competitive was Bush's father George H. W. Bush in 1988. Despite being a "safe blue state", this remains the best showing for a Republican candidate in a presidential election in New York since 1988 and a significant improvement over Bush's performance in 2000; this is often attributed to increased support for President Bush after the 9/11 attacks. However, New York also had Kerry's fourth largest margin of victory after Kerry's home state of Massachusetts, and neighboring Rhode Island and Vermont. In addition, New York was one of just seven states that Kerry won by double digits, the others being neighboring Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Vermont, Maryland and Illinois. As of the 2020 United States presidential election, this is the last election in which the Republican candidate both received over 40% of the vote, and lost by less than a 20% margin in New York or Westchester County, and carried Rockland and Dutchess counties. This is also the last time that any candidate won a majority of the vote in Ontario County. This also remains the only time in history that a Republican president was elected twice without ever carrying New York. Primaries 2004 New York Democratic presidential primary 2004 New York Republican presidential primary Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day. D.C. Political Report: Solid Democrat Associated Press: Solid Kerry CNN: Kerry Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat Newsweek: Solid Kerry New York Times: Solid Kerry Rasmussen Reports: Kerry Research 2000: Solid Kerry Washington Post: Kerry Washington Times: Solid Kerry Zogby International: Kerry Washington Dispatch: Kerry Polling Kerry won every single pre-election poll, and all but one with a double-digit margin and