sociology professor; and Shawn O'Hara, a frequent candidate for office, also sought the Democratic nomination. O'Hara's sister, Tracella Lou O'Hara Hill, also ran as the Reform Party nominee. Harper raised $715,014 and spent $688,959. Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Harper a 100 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 70 percent of the vote to Gill's 28 percent. On election day Harper was re-elected with 68 percent of the vote to Gill's 31 percent. Gill unsuccessfully ran for Mississippi Agriculture Commissioner in 2011, and died in a car accident in October 2012. Harper was again re-elected in 2012 and 2014. Democratic primary results General election results External links District 4 In 2010 the 4th district included Gulfport and Hattiesburg. The district's population was 71 percent white and 23 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 81 percent were high school graduates and 18 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $41,245. In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 67 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 32 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama. In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20. Democrat Gene Taylor, who took office in 1989, was the incumbent. Taylor was re-elected in 2008 with 75 percent of the vote. In 2010 Taylor's opponent in the general election was Steven Palazzo, a member of the Mississippi House of Representatives. Joe Tegerdine, a businessman, also sought the Republican nomination. Tim Hampton, the Libertarian Party nominee, and Anna Jewel Revies, the nominee of the Reform Party, also ran. Taylor raised $855,983 and spent $968,943. Palazzo raised $1,079,453 and spent $1,026,476. Tegerdine raised $74,586 and spent $74,500. In a poll by the Tarrance Group, conducted for Palazzo's campaign in September 2010, 45 percent of respondents supported Taylor while 41 percent favored Palazzo. In October 2010 Taylor said his own internal polling showed him leading Palazzo by eight percentage points. Another poll by Tarrance for Palazzo's campaign, conducted later in October 2010 with a sample size of 300 likely voters, Palazzo led with 43 percent to Taylor's 41 percent, while 3 percent supported other candidates and 12 percent were undecided. In October 2010 The Cook Political Report rated the race as a "toss up" and CQ Politics rated the race as a "tossup". In November 2010 The Rothenberg Political