South Pacific region. The BoM issued 2 seasonal forecasts for the South Pacific region between 142.5°E – 165°E and one for the Eastern Southern Pacific region between 165°E – 120°W. They noted that the western region had a 79% chance of being above average activity with seven to eight tropical cyclones expected to form, compared to an average of five tropical cyclones. The eastern region had a 33% chance of being above average with five to six tropical cyclones predicted, compared to an average of seven tropical cyclones. Within their outlook RSMC Nadi predicted that between seven and nine tropical cyclones, would occur within the basin compared to an average of around 8.9 cyclones. They also reported that the tropical cyclone genesis trough was expected to be located within the Coral Sea area near to and to the west of the International Date Line. This was based on the expected and predicted ENSO conditions, and the existence of the Pacific warm pool of sub-surface temperature anomalies in this region. The Island Climate Update outlook assessed the risk of a tropical cyclone affecting a certain island or territory. As the tropical cyclone genesis trough was expected to be located within the Coral Sea area near to and to the west of the International Date Line, normal or slightly above normal activity was expected for island nations within the Coral Sea. It was also predicted that the risk of tropical cyclones affecting island nations located to the east of the International Date Line would be reduced during the season. It was predicted that Papua New Guinea, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, New Zealand and the Solomon Islands had an elevated chance of being affected by a single or multiple tropical cyclones. Fiji and Tonga were predicted to have a near normal chance, while other island nations had a low or reduced chance of being affected by a tropical cyclone. Seasonal summary 17 tropical disturbances developed during the 2010–11 South Pacific tropical cyclone year, with 14 developing into tropical depressions and 8 becoming tropical and severe tropical cyclones. Systems Tropical Depression 01F The first tropical cyclone of the season, Tropical Depression 01F, was first identified on November 24 well to the west of Fiji. Little strengthening was anticipated to occur as the system slowly tracked towards the south-southeast. The following day, after an abrupt relocation to the southwest, the disturbance was assigned with the identifier