simulated by a fraction of climate models). The most likely figure is 1.8 degrees, and once triggered, the collapse of the gyre would most likely take 10 years from start to end, with a range between 5 and 50 years. The loss of this convection is estimated to lower the global temperature by 0.5 degrees, while the average temperature in Europe decreases by around 3 degrees. There are also substantial impacts on regional precipitation. Society and culture In popular culture The film The Day After Tomorrow and the British TV Series Ice both explore exaggerated scenarios related to the AMOC shutdown. Kim Stanley Robinson's science-fiction novel Fifty Degrees Below, a volume in his Science in the Capital series, depicts a shutdown of thermohaline circulation & mankind's efforts to counteract it by adding great quantities of salt to the ocean. In Ian Douglas' Star Corpsman novels, an AMOC shutdown triggered an early glacial maximum, covering most of Canada and northern Europe in ice sheets by the mid-22nd century. See also 8.2-kiloyear event Climate security Cold blob Loop Current of the Gulf of Mexico Anoxic event Pacific decadal oscillation Paleosalinity, changes in which are thought to slow down the THC West Greenland Current Younger Dryas References External links Project THOR University of Hamburg project to study the thermohaline circulation "An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security" (2003 study) What If the Conveyor Were to Shut Down? Reflections on a Possible Outcome of the Great Global Experiment (1999 study) A Nasty Surprise in the Greenhouse (Video about the shutdown of the thermohaline circulation, 2015) Why is there a thermohaline circulation in the Atlantic but not the Pacific? (2005 technical report) Original article at the Encyclopedia of Earth Climate change and the environment Effects of climate change Oceanography Natural hazards Future problems Currents of the Atlantic Ocean