that global income could increase by more than $3000 billion per year, $2500 billion of which would go to the developing world. Others had been predicting more modest outcomes, e.g. world net welfare gains ranging from $84 billion to $287 billion by the year 2015. Pascal Lamy has conservatively estimated that the deal will bring an increase of $130 billion. Several think tanks and public organizations assess that the conclusion of the trade round will result in a net gain. However, the restructuring and adjustment costs required to prevent the collapse of local industries, particularly in developing countries, is a global concern. For example, a late 2009 study by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA), the United Nations Development Programme and the Kenyan Institute for Research and Policy Analysis found that Kenya would see gains in its exports of flowers, tea, coffee and oil seeds. It would concurrently lose in the tobacco and grains markets, as well as manufacturing of textiles and footwear, machinery and equipment. The Copenhagen Consensus, which evaluates solutions for global problems regarding the cost-benefit ratio, in 2008 ranked the DDA as the second-best investment for global welfare, after the provision of vitamin supplements to the world's 140 million malnourished children. See also Safeguard Subsidy Trade bloc Copenhagen Consensus WTO Ministerial Conference of 1999 Anti-Globalization Global administrative law Globality References Further reading Anderson, Kym (ed.): Agricultural Trade Reform and the DOHA Development Agenda. World Bank, 2006, Briefing paper: The WTO Doha Round Impasse at Overseas Development Institute, London, UK, September 2008 Statement by the World Council of Churches Central Committee 6 September 2006 Schnepf, Randy and Hanrahan, Charles E. WTO Doha Round: Implications for U.S. Agriculture 4 January 2010 at nationalaglawcenter.org Ferguson,Ian F. World Trade Organization Negotiations: The Doha Development Agenda Congressional Research Service report for Congress, 18 January 2008; at nationalaglawcenter.org External links World Trade Organization's official site on the Doha Round WTO current news site Ideas for Development- blog of heads of international development agencies including Pascal Lamy, director-general of the WTO, and Supachaï Panitchpakdi, former director-general, now secretary-general of UNCTAD. The future of the Doha Round at European Parliament Library Briefing, 9 September 2011 World Trade Organization 21st-century diplomatic conferences 2001 in international relations 2001 in Qatar