support for the federal Liberals even though the two parties are independent of one another. Polls show the Bloc with a strong lead, and they may return to the number of seats they had in 1993. However, the Liberals are likely to dominate in many parts of Montreal. Ridings where Anglophone voters are a significant factor are among the safest Liberal seats in all of Canada. The other two major federal parties, the Conservatives and the New Democratic Party (NDP) are not expected to win any seats and are struggling to move out of single digits in the polls. The NDP in particular has historically never had any electoral success in Quebec up to that point. Eastern Quebec Côte-Nord and Saguenay Quebec City Central Quebec Eastern Townships Montérégie Eastern Montreal Western Montreal Northern Montreal and Laval Laurentides, Outaouais and Northern Quebec Ontario Ontario was predicted to be the battle ground of this election. Most pundits believed that this is where the election was lost for the Conservatives. Ontario is home to more than one third of all of Canada's ridings. In the last three elections, right wing vote splitting has resulted in just six riding losses for the Liberals, compared to 299 riding wins. However, the Canadian Alliance and the Progressive Conservatives have merged, and they should win many seats in Ontario, especially in rural ridings in midwestern Ontario, Central-eastern Ontario, and Central Ontario. The NDP has some support in various pockets in Ontario in the past, but has only won one riding in the last three elections, and one more in a by-election, both in Windsor. However, the NDP was expected to do well not only in Windsor, but in Hamilton, Downtown Toronto, Ottawa Centre, and possibly even in Northern Ontario. Ottawa Eastern Ontario Central Ontario Southern Durham and York |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Ajax—Pickering || |Mark Holland21,70649.77% | |René Soetens14,66633.63% | |Kevin Modeste5,28612.12% | |Karen MacDonald1,9514.47% | | | colspan=2 align="center"|new district |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Markham—Unionville || |John McCallum30,44266.31% | |Joe Li10,32522.49% | |Janice Hagan3,9938.70% | |Ed Wong1,1482.50% | | || |John McCallum |- |rowspan=2 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Oak Ridges—Markham |rowspan=2 | |rowspan=2 |Lui Temelkovski31,96451.73% |rowspan=2 | |rowspan=2 |Bob Callow20,71233.52% |rowspan=2 | |rowspan=2 |Pamela Courtot5,4308.79% |rowspan=2 | |rowspan=2 |Bernadette Manning2,4063.89% | |Jim Conrad (PC)820 1.33% |rowspan=2 colspan=2 align="center"|new district |- | |Maurice G Whittle (CHP)458 0.74% |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Oshawa | |Louise V. Parkes14,51030.47% || |Colin Carrie15,81533.21% | |Sid Ryan15,35232.24% | |Liisa Whalley1,8503.89% | |Tim Sullivan (M-L)910.19% ||