The 2004 United States presidential election in Arizona took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 10 representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Arizona was won by incumbent George W. Bush by 10.5%. Prior to the election, 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Neither major party tickets campaigned here in the fall election. Arizona hosted the third presidential debate on October 13, 2004, in the city of Tempe. , this is the last time Arizona was won by a double-digit margin of victory. This was the first election in which any candidate won more than a million votes as well as in which Maricopa County cast more than a million ballots. Until 2016, this would be the last time Arizona voted to the left of Georgia or North Carolina. As of 2020, this is the last time Arizona voted to the right of Arkansas. Primaries 2004 Arizona Democratic primary Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican Associated Press: Leans Bush CNN: Bush Cook Political Report: Likely Republican Newsweek: Solid Bush New York Times: Leans Bush Rasmussen Reports: Bush Research 2000: Solid Bush Washington Post: Bush Washington Times: Leans Bush Zogby International: Bush Washington Dispatch: Bush Polling Throughout several polls taken in the state in 2004, just one showed Kerry leading. The final 3 pre-election polls showed that Bush was leading with 51% to Kerry's 43%. Fundraising Bush raised $3,196,692. Kerry raised $1,525,930. Advertising and visits Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign. Analysis The exit polls showed that Bush was the going to be the clear winner of the state, based on the fact that both Bush won among both genders. A major key factor was how 55% of the people thought the state economy was good, and 70% of those people voted for Bush. Also, 55% of the state approved of Bush. The key to Bush's victory was winning the highly populated Maricopa County with almost 57%. However, Kerry did win portions of the state such as Arizona's 4th congressional district and Arizona's 7th congressional district and 4 counties. 50% of the voting age population