Sleeping Beauty Reconsidered: Conditioning and Reflection in
  Asynchronous Systems
  A careful analysis of conditioning in the Sleeping Beauty problem is done,
using the formal model for reasoning about knowledge and probability developed
by Halpern and Tuttle. While the Sleeping Beauty problem has been viewed as
revealing problems with conditioning in the presence of imperfect recall, the
analysis done here reveals that the problems are not so much due to imperfect
recall as to asynchrony. The implications of this analysis for van Fraassen's
Reflection Principle and Savage's Sure-Thing Principle are considered.
