Probabilistic Logic Programming with Beta-Distributed Random Variables
  We enable aProbLog---a probabilistic logical programming approach---to reason
in presence of uncertain probabilities represented as Beta-distributed random
variables. We achieve the same performance of state-of-the-art algorithms for
highly specified and engineered domains, while simultaneously we maintain the
flexibility offered by aProbLog in handling complex relational domains. Our
motivation is that faithfully capturing the distribution of probabilities is
necessary to compute an expected utility for effective decision making under
uncertainty: unfortunately, these probability distributions can be highly
uncertain due to sparse data. To understand and accurately manipulate such
probability distributions we need a well-defined theoretical framework that is
provided by the Beta distribution, which specifies a distribution of
probabilities representing all the possible values of a probability when the
exact value is unknown.
