 Bloomberg poll of economists have increased the chance of a recession to 70 from 65 in November. That is also double from the level 6 months ago. As the Fed adds to the restrictive policy AND raises the terminal rate, it pushes the market toward the hard landing scenario. Fed officials are technically not in a black out period, but of course we are heading into the holiday season. The next Fed meeting will not be until February 1. This article wa... 