<prompt> Translate the following text to EnglishKwa mfano, tuseme umesikia mtu akisema jambo ambalo linaonekana kuwa lisilo la akili, lakini unajua kwamba mtu huyo ana uzoefu mkubwa wa kutabiri hali ya uchumi au ya soko.  <response>: Suppose that you hear someone making what sounds like a dumb argument, but you know that he has an impressive track record at market or economic prediction. 